8=======>

2022-07-09 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0787
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.7%
in alpha space · 12.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36112.2855+0.83%143.54+28.90%0.1336✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.069565+0.10%0.070056+0.81%0.1127✗1.222.2M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.674213+0.03%0.774+14.84%0.0184✓1.22952k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0681.9114-0.18%102.58+25.01%0.0629✗1.658.5M2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,496.99-0.27%23,846.60+10.64%0.0064✗0.9946k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,211.11-0.47%1,777.36+46.07%0.2686✗1.17342.2M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004125-0.59%0.00474+14.22%0.0038✓1.37169k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.501519-0.79%0.6088+20.44%0.0826✗1.13249k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.0108-0.85%18.67+23.32%0.0842✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.005851-0.93%0.006716+13.72%0.0402✗0.993,1492022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.5472-0.93%10.767+11.73%0.0106✗1.113.1M2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.111581-0.95%0.130156+15.54%0.0543✗1.019.3M2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001212.8765-0.96%19.4666+49.73%0.2944✗1.21316k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.200439-1.16%0.2285+12.67%0.0156✓1.49151k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9921,328.51-1.18%23,815.65+10.34%0.0119✗1.00493.8M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7947.1454-1.35%56.22+17.64%0.0679✗1.10698k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.08082-1.44%0.1038+26.59%0.1263✗1.267,1372022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.05459-1.46%0.062+11.91%0.0200✓1.50131k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.7092-1.50%8.73+50.62%0.3098✗1.172.3M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.408346-1.51%0.5085+22.65%0.0942✗1.27345k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.04459-1.57%0.0517+14.13%0.0108✓1.3910k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94633.8825-1.62%4.9055+24.31%0.1628✗0.721.2M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8515.5908-1.64%38.06+140.13%0.7764✗1.181.8M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29125.1941-1.65%167.1+31.28%0.1759✗1.151.3M2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.11074-1.65%0.1317+16.96%0.0742✗1.017,0862022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.255022-1.69%0.5111+97.03%0.5796✗1.1831k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.101357-1.69%0.1526+48.01%0.2979✗1.13540k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2160.1081-1.80%77.53+26.66%0.1228✗1.341.8M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0292.9743-1.80%4.1656+37.53%0.2274✗1.1132k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9023-1.84%2.385+23.07%0.1029✗1.2540k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.3219-1.87%11.72+23.37%0.1138✗1.17316k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.008958-1.88%0.00837-8.32%0.1618✓0.951.2M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.0993-1.98%1.2304+9.71%0.0040✓1.1065k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.91e-7-2.05%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0209✗0.855.7M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.129921-2.11%0.17585+32.50%0.1426✗1.63186k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.051979-2.11%0.0826+55.56%0.3863✗0.78213k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.029533-2.11%0.0332+10.04%0.0116✓1.3124k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.674257-2.14%0.767+11.32%0.0277✓1.59222k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1358-2.17%6.92+31.81%0.1513✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.05202-2.25%0.11272+111.80%0.6268✗1.49902k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.14739-2.33%0.163+8.02%0.0259✓1.29105k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.000964939-2.40%0.001192+20.58%0.0827✗1.312.6M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003356-2.44%0.00377+9.59%0.0191✓1.38670k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.0718-2.44%9.276+27.96%0.1484✗1.2511.8M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.889394-2.45%1.0843+18.93%0.0950✗1.0597k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0552.6533-2.58%62.61+15.84%0.0573✗1.1818.8M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.123204-2.61%0.1674+32.33%0.2086✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.282611-2.62%0.33107+14.08%0.0325✗1.28465k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6378-2.63%3.052+12.66%0.0294✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.012766-2.68%0.016131+22.97%0.1521✗0.831.4M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.276312-2.71%0.339+19.37%0.1034✗1.03663k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.070606-2.80%0.08965+23.42%0.1600✗0.802,3812022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.98081-2.89%1.1648+15.33%0.0572✗1.171,6262022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.8621-2.89%7.314+46.08%0.2332✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.673606-3.08%0.835+20.14%0.1241✗0.92419k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002841-3.11%0.003433+17.09%0.0866✗1.041.4M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.462566-3.17%0.5372+12.46%0.0227✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.238514-3.20%0.2624+6.49%0.0321✓1.30220k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1326.2597-3.21%31.49+16.07%0.0893✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.4454-3.23%2.626+3.92%0.0194✓0.92148k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.00688-3.23%0.00911+28.13%0.1817✗1.01412k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.1906-3.31%0.19653-0.30%0.2598✓2.958572022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.279106-3.36%0.3474+20.29%0.1006✗1.203.0M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.3992-3.44%2.058+42.03%0.2397✗1.48169k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.7896-3.47%3.99+38.06%0.2487✗1.11560k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.4569-3.53%6.04+30.74%0.2392✗0.66836k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.067315-3.56%0.070047+0.36%0.0429✓0.84531k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.243604-3.56%0.2733+8.19%0.0024✓1.1463k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.2924-3.62%1.438+7.23%0.0281✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000040109-3.63%0.00004589+10.26%0.0121✓1.252.5M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5118-3.71%1.85+17.83%0.0567✗1.48338k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.4822-3.76%4.8-15.73%0.1536✓0.21291k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.047913-3.79%0.068+36.55%0.2162✗1.36922k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4155-3.84%1.875+27.38%0.1380✗1.45453k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.770105-3.85%1.1662+45.61%0.3116✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.2289-3.88%8.607+32.82%0.1969✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.2213-3.90%19.15+13.45%0.0262✓1.4272k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5477-3.93%2.06+27.87%0.1875✗1.00180k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006624-4.00%0.0063-8.70%0.1098✓0.61100k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.3492-4.02%2.9975+22.47%0.1400✗1.051.3M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.101222-4.05%0.1491+41.33%0.2549✗1.352.8M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.30829-4.08%0.3629+12.91%0.0462✗1.199.4M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,225.58-4.18%11,448.81+76.21%0.4792✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5358-4.31%3.02+13.96%0.0195✓1.58255k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.2829-4.32%2.9+21.54%0.1006✗1.4167k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.063413-4.35%0.0607-8.45%0.1872✓1.46325k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0836.4047-4.40%42.2+10.82%0.0178✓1.3290.8M2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.139626-4.43%0.1804+23.48%0.1302✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.831239-4.46%0.79-9.20%0.1217✓0.72133k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.3769-4.50%2.889+16.07%0.0294✓1.6890k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3846-4.51%1.55+6.90%0.0835✗0.30575k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.315876-4.58%0.363104+9.68%0.0147✓1.272.3M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.412098-4.61%0.42996-0.47%0.0804✓1.25155k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.6185-4.63%3.023+78.14%0.5069✗1.20297k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02015-4.64%0.029+37.25%0.2583✗1.0796k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.8642-4.65%1.0855+19.76%0.0950✗1.35557k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.047246-4.75%0.0543+9.48%0.0177✓1.23266k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.1811-4.75%1.56+25.81%0.1291✗1.52755k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.18881-4.83%0.2677+34.93%0.2145✗1.373,2022022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.091923-4.84%0.1199+24.12%0.1311✗1.37701k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.5444-4.92%1.894+16.60%0.0787✗1.27582k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.386176-4.93%0.4704+15.81%0.0619✗1.3895k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-73.80e-7-4.94%3.37e-7-15.82%0.2304✓1.11566k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.091983-4.98%0.1545+59.61%0.4399✗0.80167k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.7997-5.03%4.04+37.04%0.2905✗0.78622k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4721.3368-5.04%45.63+103.07%0.6617✗1.00110k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.807486-5.11%1.084+27.38%0.2141✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.049891-5.13%0.05725+8.86%0.0737✗0.6515k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.46271-5.14%0.6064+24.31%0.1447✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01854.0668-5.18%62.317+9.29%0.0595✗0.84525k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.133.9146-5.22%5.71+38.26%0.3138✗0.65721k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.5429-5.31%3.0082+12.02%0.0064✓1.644,8022022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.138516-5.32%0.1447-1.09%0.0913✓1.3734k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3175-5.36%1.6087+15.56%0.0681✗1.34727k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.6488-5.38%10.19+70.69%0.4594✗1.33278k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.693183-5.40%0.69895-4.61%0.1546✓1.66108k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.495-5.40%11.817+31.59%0.1976✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.491712-5.40%0.6657+28.07%0.1820✗1.23642k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8580.3592-5.46%128.79+51.52%0.3745✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.184316-5.53%0.2282+16.97%0.0630✗1.532,7942022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.4511-5.54%4.095+57.80%0.3398✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.526097-5.55%0.697+25.13%0.1444✗1.3999k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000010965-5.56%0.00001229+5.86%0.0102✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.057491-5.57%0.08557+40.56%0.2619✗1.3827k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3623-5.63%6.031+69.27%0.5264✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.039707-5.64%0.052476+24.70%0.1633✗1.1712k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.240129-5.65%0.2624+3.10%0.0287✓1.19682k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.950182-5.69%1.0662+5.83%0.0076✓1.25252k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.5598-5.78%8.259+18.63%0.0984✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.070835-5.81%0.0737-1.99%0.0673✓1.0999k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5752.308-5.87%62.01+11.59%0.0297✓1.4328k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.149.9725-5.89%64.6+21.66%0.1403✗1.18396k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.026642-5.89%0.03333+17.73%0.0632✗1.632,0362022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.0015-5.90%2.498+17.44%0.0769✗1.47123k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.6372-5.91%2.74+57.47%0.4017✗1.15114k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.6593-6.01%21.84+31.09%0.2318✗1.03501k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.439848-6.02%0.553+18.16%0.1195✗1.1111k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.018349-6.05%0.01763-9.73%0.1145✓0.76414k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.1495-6.09%1.351+10.38%0.0471✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.022721-6.11%0.03513+45.17%0.2694✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.805055-6.28%0.898+4.54%0.0782✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.909515-6.32%1.2133+24.97%0.1427✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.0402-6.32%8.791+36.34%0.2417✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.254452-6.45%0.23-15.44%0.2531✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.8364-6.51%4.125+35.96%0.3121✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.375.9438-6.69%8.84+38.78%0.3480✗0.50872k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.220961-6.73%0.3126+31.95%0.2485✗1.00440k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01420.943602-6.96%1.4281+40.81%0.2779✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.19.3961-6.97%16.74+65.74%0.4352✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.0206-7.02%3.2115+47.77%0.3814✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.043666-7.05%0.05269+12.15%0.0948✗0.955,7282022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.399262-7.08%0.561+30.56%0.2417✗1.00202k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.389288-7.09%0.4659+11.19%0.0195✓1.63208k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.918.4766-7.15%27.92+40.30%0.2635✗1.5229.2M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.0172-7.16%5.02+54.46%0.4404✗0.70770k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.1861-7.18%30.04+83.62%0.5181✗1.67463k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.038414-7.21%0.0454+9.66%0.0422✓1.27134k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.5227-7.32%4.707+23.84%0.2255✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.646884-7.32%0.894+28.08%0.1942✗1.32172k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.105913-7.34%0.1267+10.85%0.0705✓1.10401k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.5387-7.36%5.62+47.12%0.4009✗0.63778k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.01032-7.44%0.01044-6.37%0.0928✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.148395-7.48%0.1759+9.66%0.0385✓1.34355k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.6929-7.50%3.4773+90.00%0.6374✗0.84954k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.8572-7.51%2.141+6.62%0.0095✓1.35997k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.241391-7.51%0.2614+0.15%0.0188✓1.0054k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.020113-7.69%0.023579+8.23%0.0571✓1.048342022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.74638-7.73%0.9875+22.08%0.1191✗1.63160k2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000101377-8.22%0.00009929-10.11%0.2128✓1.95766k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.285086-8.25%0.36941+18.88%0.1238✗1.382,7752022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.212.9447-8.27%3.05-4.98%0.0031✓0.3982k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.015027-8.50%0.018974+15.54%0.1783✗0.56337k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.476772-8.58%0.5796+11.14%0.0872✓1.1074k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.523634-8.62%1.899+231.41%1.1209✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.767371-8.76%1.1739+39.57%0.3408✗0.862472022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.684937-8.80%0.841+11.98%0.0579✓1.503,2002022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.422887-8.91%0.48293+4.02%0.0618✓0.7255k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.084579-9.25%0.0896-3.86%0.0716✓1.31179k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.093261-9.47%0.08629-16.24%0.1761✓1.00343k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.899614-10.13%0.944-5.69%0.1304✓1.81635k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.453738-11.36%0.42203-17.56%0.2272✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.