8=======>

2022-06-12 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1406
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
12.4%
in alpha space · 73.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum70.372.0271+2.46%68.24-2.93%0.5529✓1.907.4M2022-07-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.815+0.58%97.19-33.42%0.0023✓1.294.4M2022-07-12
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.150843+0.29%0.1227-18.42%0.3337✓1.693.4M2022-07-12
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.423849+0.14%0.36924-12.76%0.0799✓0.68249k2022-07-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.1141+0.13%2.747-11.67%0.2283✓1.111.8M2022-07-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6432+0.13%6.277+11.37%0.6727✓1.7810.6M2022-07-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.057941+0.04%0.05308-8.36%0.3458✓1.3649k2022-07-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.29+0.00%4.65+8.39%0.7167✓1.991.5M2022-07-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2595-0.01%5.944-5.05%0.4554✗1.5932.8M2022-07-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,430.25-0.20%1,037.34-27.62%0.0420✗1.14340.5M2022-07-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004037-0.33%0.00364-10.12%0.4654✗1.78213k2022-07-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063258-0.35%0.059797-5.81%0.3664✗1.331.3M2022-07-12
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.3699-0.40%80.2+61.79%0.8892✗1.272.0M2022-07-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0369-0.42%5.528+36.36%0.8021✗1.532.6M2022-07-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.1931-0.53%2.51-21.81%0.1314✗1.17722k2022-07-12
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.48731-0.53%0.4165-14.98%0.3884✗1.7149.8M2022-07-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.117657-0.54%0.1686+42.52%0.9019✗1.701,7522022-07-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.117762-0.67%0.10045-15.27%0.2273✗1.2110.3M2022-07-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3306-0.70%1.31-2.24%0.6338✗2.04580k2022-07-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2365-0.76%1.737+39.41%0.9044✗1.7773k2022-07-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-73.98e-7-0.78%3.61e-7-10.00%0.2030✗0.941.0M2022-07-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.3111-0.82%12.83-11.09%0.4491✗1.752.3M2022-07-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.229728-0.85%0.2221-4.14%0.4490✗1.51432k2022-07-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.201947-0.86%0.1812-11.05%0.3773✗1.52196k2022-07-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.3987-0.88%2.12-12.40%0.5431✗2.09294k2022-07-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.0914-0.89%14.51+18.93%0.8515✗2.10252k2022-07-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.062347-1.04%0.0602-4.44%0.4369✗1.48403k2022-07-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.186581-1.12%0.1362-27.82%0.1907✗1.58751k2022-07-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.096104-1.13%0.0966-0.62%0.4932✗1.53795k2022-07-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012144-1.17%0.01164-5.27%0.3584✗1.262.0M2022-07-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.249-1.19%7.74-17.31%0.2378✗1.30502k2022-07-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.416668-1.20%0.60811+44.19%0.9418✗1.7761k2022-07-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.22874-1.24%0.23-0.69%0.4150✗1.28100k2022-07-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.3823-1.27%11.1506-28.43%0.2001✗1.64222k2022-07-12
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.1219-1.30%46.86-7.72%0.3793✗1.401.0M2022-07-12
KCSKuCoinnative14.12213.9358-1.32%8.659-38.68%0.1262✓1.105.3M2022-07-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1429-1.36%3.81-9.29%0.2131✗0.931.5M2022-07-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.107988-1.38%0.1038-5.21%0.5200✗1.753.2M2022-07-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.191-1.38%15.24+63.52%0.8663✗1.13281k2022-07-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.111892-1.42%0.0733-35.42%0.1536✗1.814,0262022-07-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,177.81-1.42%19,303.65-27.31%0.0143✓1.00538.8M2022-07-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.98295-1.51%0.92188-7.63%0.3465✗1.296,0082022-07-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.00081239-1.53%0.0009021+9.35%0.6747✗1.791.8M2022-07-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27347.5316-1.54%49.484+2.51%0.3865✗1.091.1M2022-07-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.118044-1.55%0.1231+2.67%0.5438✗1.5749k2022-07-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.367057-1.59%0.373+0.00%0.4433✗1.3415k2022-07-12
DASHDashDash46.0545.3139-1.60%39.75-13.68%0.2933✗1.33837k2022-07-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.064645-1.61%0.0711+8.22%0.5312✗1.37153k2022-07-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.10957-1.64%0.0874-21.54%0.3473✗1.805.4M2022-07-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.334238-1.69%0.3739+9.97%0.7446✗1.98530k2022-07-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.3063-1.71%13.82-16.70%0.2862✗1.422.3M2022-07-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.6904-1.72%1.6-6.98%0.3858✗1.38270k2022-07-12
COMPCompoundEthereum41.240.4461-1.83%46.78+13.54%0.6656✗1.6330k2022-07-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.077344-1.85%0.0483-38.71%0.2466✓0.70274k2022-07-12
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.8117-1.89%4.237+9.06%0.8306✗2.2717.0M2022-07-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.141577-1.89%0.1314-8.94%0.4391✗1.61169k2022-07-12
HIVEHivenative0.43250.424171-1.93%0.415-4.05%0.4680✗1.541.1M2022-07-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.066.9208-1.97%7.792+10.37%0.6158✗1.5615.2M2022-07-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0705-1.98%0.991597-9.20%0.3479✗1.3348k2022-07-12
STXStacksnative0.41890.410605-1.98%0.3597-14.13%0.3187✗1.41165k2022-07-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.050759-2.01%0.0415-19.88%0.3975✗1.881.6M2022-07-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008416-2.03%0.00000989+15.13%0.6429✗1.51850k2022-07-12
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.040858-2.06%0.037692-9.65%0.4321✗1.6131k2022-07-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0396-2.08%2.0329-2.41%0.3902✗1.233.3M2022-07-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.056094-2.11%0.0469-18.15%0.4979✗2.12141k2022-07-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.2364-2.12%6.273-15.15%0.3617✗1.5813.5M2022-07-12
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000040163-2.16%0.00003731-9.11%0.4365✗1.603.0M2022-07-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.5397-2.16%4.26-8.19%0.2249✗0.901.6M2022-07-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.7463-2.19%3.46-9.66%0.1833✗0.821.9M2022-07-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.051976-2.21%0.04715-11.29%0.5670✗2.081.8M2022-07-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.022569-2.21%0.01901-17.63%0.1777✗1.10151k2022-07-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049083-2.23%0.0404-19.52%0.4076✗1.8923k2022-07-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8646.7909-2.23%47.28-1.21%0.4451✗1.3617.5M2022-07-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7497-2.25%1.7188-3.97%0.3558✗1.173.4M2022-07-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.300216-2.25%0.36718+19.56%0.6752✗1.49105k2022-07-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003108-2.27%0.002623-17.52%0.2473✗1.312.1M2022-07-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.5422-2.29%5.074-10.54%0.4293✗1.622.5M2022-07-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.644735-2.31%0.778+17.88%0.5888✗1.2663k2022-07-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.017728-2.32%0.02268+24.96%1.0298✗2.4632.1M2022-07-12
SOLSolanaSolana30.5629.842-2.35%32.66+6.87%0.6214✗1.67103.2M2022-07-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.010.986164-2.36%0.4374-56.69%0.4316✓1.2068k2022-07-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.2418-2.36%2.538+10.54%0.5952✗1.481.1M2022-07-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.270437-2.37%0.259-6.50%0.3688✗1.29847k2022-07-12
XVGVergenative0.003420.003338-2.40%0.00316-7.60%0.4749✗1.66628k2022-07-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.4643-2.41%3.03-14.65%0.1781✗0.981.7M2022-07-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.4572-2.46%5.93-10.42%0.1328✗0.682.0M2022-07-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.14.9744-2.46%5.14+0.78%0.5588✗1.65405k2022-07-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022507-2.48%0.01819-21.19%0.0161✓0.62637k2022-07-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.954519-2.50%0.577-41.06%0.1741✗2.12319k2022-07-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1015-2.53%1.12-0.88%0.5835✗1.781.1M2022-07-12
ZECZcashZcash79.3277.3095-2.53%51.92-34.54%0.0639✗1.453.6M2022-07-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.1597-2.54%2.32+4.69%0.7245✗2.052.9M2022-07-12
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.3805-2.57%1.226-13.48%0.4813✗1.88342k2022-07-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.887593-2.58%0.84082-7.71%0.3959✗1.41120k2022-07-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.28155.1151-2.61%122.96-22.80%0.1299✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.613474-2.62%0.633+0.48%0.6308✗1.88578k2022-07-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3025,994.51-2.63%19,265.30-27.84%0.0113✓0.9729k2022-07-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.2973-2.64%2.2234-5.77%0.4268✗1.443.0M2022-07-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003582-2.65%–pending––1.364,6932022-07-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.289672-2.66%0.272174-8.54%0.4448✗1.592.3M2022-07-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.745,846.46-2.67%5,437.91-9.47%0.3496✗1.323.6M2022-07-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012383-2.68%0.017618+38.46%0.5750✗0.70324k2022-07-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.029187-2.71%0.0349+16.33%0.7171✗1.69221k2022-07-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.021789-2.73%0.019824-11.50%0.2987✗1.2310k2022-07-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.92695-2.73%0.574-39.77%0.1189✓1.131.0M2022-07-12
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.04e-7-2.77%8.00e-7-13.98%0.1702✗0.925.5M2022-07-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.3612-2.77%2.146-11.63%0.5838✗2.1313k2022-07-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.042483-2.78%–pending––1.133,6542022-07-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.273723-2.80%0.2544-9.66%0.3993✗1.486.2M2022-07-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.242908-2.84%0.2259-9.64%0.4037✗1.4931k2022-07-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.630315-3.03%0.558-14.15%0.2751✗1.24365k2022-07-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.0815-3.07%1.6352-23.86%0.2412✗1.5155k2022-07-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.643536-3.08%0.847+27.56%1.0060✗2.291.8M2022-07-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1205-3.13%2.014-7.99%0.5148✗1.78139k2022-07-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.1457-3.14%0.11445-23.92%0.3664✗1.91260k2022-07-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.836557-3.18%0.8753+1.31%0.5174✗1.485.1M2022-07-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.00665-3.20%0.00616-10.33%0.3206✗1.25607k2022-07-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.763461-3.23%0.78392-0.63%0.6223✗1.87789k2022-07-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.497759-3.23%0.4556-11.43%0.6492✗2.313.1M2022-07-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.08712.9859-3.28%2.5959-15.91%0.2909✗1.3533k2022-07-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.708112-3.40%0.8264+12.74%0.7920✗2.002.7M2022-07-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.096571-3.43%0.0827-17.30%0.4278✗1.831.1M2022-07-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.3885-3.51%1.1907-17.26%0.2792✗1.361.7M2022-07-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.434115-3.53%0.608+35.11%0.9269✗1.854,3562022-07-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.103407-3.54%0.1017-5.13%0.3961✗1.296,7702022-07-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2716.6514-3.58%16.73-3.13%0.5728✗1.7847.8M2022-07-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.926.8936-3.61%23.87-14.44%0.1845✗0.959.1M2022-07-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.028228-3.63%0.026-11.23%0.4245✗1.5917k2022-07-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.390415-3.70%0.3603-11.12%0.5036✗1.83146k2022-07-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.1358-3.72%8.3-1.78%0.6744✗2.052.7M2022-07-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.1459-3.73%1.97-11.62%0.4743✗1.7697k2022-07-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000066857-3.75%0.0000918+32.16%1.3142✗3.132.0M2022-07-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.00787-3.79%0.006495-20.60%0.0796✗0.85153k2022-07-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.040696-3.79%0.0444+4.96%0.5806✗1.55383k2022-07-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.274654-3.82%0.26761-6.28%0.4699✗1.55453k2022-07-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.469806-3.93%0.4639-5.13%0.5652✗1.81886k2022-07-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.5931-3.96%2.205-18.33%0.1859✗1.0963k2022-07-12
ZENHorizenBase15.1514.5435-4.00%14.3-5.61%0.5392✗1.7465k2022-07-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.009664-4.03%0.00877-12.91%0.2799✗1.181.5M2022-07-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4239-4.05%1.263-14.89%0.4913✗1.92236k2022-07-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.093449-4.06%0.0999+2.57%0.5181✗1.42733k2022-07-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009075-4.07%0.00959+1.37%0.5288✗1.4813.3M2022-07-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1367-4.07%1.677+41.52%0.9644✗1.80826k2022-07-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.311367-4.08%0.2923-9.95%0.4010✗1.4614.4M2022-07-12
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.5678-4.14%1.4325-12.42%0.3681✗1.44894k2022-07-12
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7188-4.19%1.427-20.46%0.1329✗1.00623k2022-07-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.193571-4.65%0.203+0.00%0.6996✗2.041.1M2022-07-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0262.8854-4.65%3.422+13.09%0.4424✗0.854.3M2022-07-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.559418-4.68%0.7484+27.52%0.7531✗1.452.8M2022-07-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.078935-4.90%0.0822-0.96%0.6437✗1.89409k2022-07-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.895849-5.20%1.088+15.13%0.5133✗1.001.4M2022-07-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.04802-5.23%0.0424-16.32%0.2508✗1.1815k2022-07-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.1206-5.27%2.867-12.96%0.2073✗0.923.7M2022-07-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1383-5.28%0.67955-43.45%0.2654✓0.799702022-07-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.463652-5.38%0.462-5.71%0.5484✗1.73116k2022-07-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.297442-5.41%0.28233-10.21%0.4504✗1.5814k2022-07-12
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.609138-5.41%0.451-29.97%0.0184✓1.007.3M2022-07-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.4714-5.54%3.579-2.61%0.2905✗0.826.4M2022-07-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.670404-5.58%0.8537+20.24%0.8115✗1.79198k2022-07-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.069509-5.67%0.06505-11.72%0.2526✗1.001,6002022-07-12
GTGateEthereum4.85944.5545-6.27%3.7877-22.05%0.0158✓0.632.1M2022-07-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.146241-6.44%0.092-41.14%0.1439✓1.00268k2022-07-12
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.049081-6.51%0.050021-4.72%0.2787✗0.8157k2022-07-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.6028-6.98%1.158-32.79%0.1896✗1.615.1M2022-07-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.0507-7.02%0.776-31.33%0.4206✗2.2710.6M2022-07-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.1201-7.10%5.389-2.22%0.1491✗0.31235k2022-07-12
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.070593-7.27%0.064572-15.18%0.2004✗0.91682k2022-07-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.191414-7.97%0.199-4.33%0.5252✗1.52585k2022-07-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.007958-8.22%0.005673-34.57%0.0200✓1.122,4432022-07-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.547-8.46%1.47-13.02%0.1957✗0.77153k2022-07-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.771596-9.12%0.765-9.89%0.3546✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
PROPropyEthereum1.050.918538-12.52%0.82-21.90%0.1179✓0.73183k2022-07-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.