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2022-06-11 · +1d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0095
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.9%
in alpha space · 86.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-73.19e-7+0.64%4.01e-7+26.59%0.3031✓1.10961k2022-06-12
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2845.3771+0.21%41.2-9.01%0.0106✓1.6130k2022-06-12
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0277.1645+0.19%70.3-8.73%0.0328✓1.897.4M2022-06-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.2021+0.18%1.13-5.83%0.0580✓1.801.2M2022-06-12
XVGVergenative0.003750.003755+0.13%0.00342-8.80%0.0170✓1.65645k2022-06-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.128946+0.11%0.1183-8.15%0.0253✓1.671,7522022-06-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.908585+0.06%0.864-4.85%0.0489✓1.495.1M2022-06-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.2379+0.04%16.59-9.00%0.0020✗1.392.6M2022-06-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.259988+0.03%0.25-3.81%0.0645✓1.5531k2022-06-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.297074+0.02%0.277-6.73%0.0160✓1.29890k2022-06-12
SOLSolanaSolana33.9133.9184+0.02%30.56-9.88%0.0057✓1.65104.0M2022-06-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.163363+0.02%0.15043-7.90%0.0439✓1.89276k2022-06-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000069499-0.00%0.00006946-0.06%0.2263✗3.402.1M2022-06-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,353.35-0.00%6,006.74-5.46%0.0329✗1.333.7M2022-06-12
DASHDashDash48.9548.9468-0.01%46.05-5.92%0.0286✗1.34837k2022-06-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.693941-0.01%0.65-6.34%0.0171✗1.24365k2022-06-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.062364-0.01%0.05792-7.13%0.0159✗1.3544k2022-06-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.4088-0.01%1.246-11.57%0.0063✓1.7576k2022-06-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.5577-0.01%2.296-10.24%0.0106✓1.461.2M2022-06-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1352.1215-0.02%47.86-8.19%0.0051✗1.3517.5M2022-06-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.7351-0.02%3.885-17.97%0.0484✓2.2417.0M2022-06-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.2266-0.03%9.36-8.50%0.0017✓1.30508k2022-06-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.073576-0.03%0.0657-10.73%0.0255✓1.31153k2022-06-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.393834-0.04%0.34-13.71%0.0179✓1.93567k2022-06-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.133144-0.04%0.1199-9.98%0.0013✗1.5951k2022-06-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.003908-0.05%0.00368-5.88%0.0304✗1.365,7382022-06-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3849-0.05%2.189-8.26%0.0323✗1.77166k2022-06-12
KSMKusamaHydration57.0156.9829-0.05%50.78-10.93%0.0241✓1.371.1M2022-06-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.471384-0.05%0.42173-10.58%0.0041✗1.7363k2022-06-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.13543-0.05%0.1135-16.24%0.0596✓1.754,0262022-06-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.02960.029584-0.05%0.028-5.41%0.0309✓0.36133k2022-06-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.8975-0.06%3.55-8.97%0.0279✓0.981.7M2022-06-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.3596-0.07%3.0871-8.17%0.0049✗1.3433k2022-06-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.007785-0.07%0.00687-11.81%0.0452✓1.19625k2022-06-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.111322-0.07%0.0974-12.57%0.0412✓1.38781k2022-06-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.2782-0.07%14.43-11.42%0.0044✓1.742.4M2022-06-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.797414-0.07%0.664-16.79%0.0308✓2.281.9M2022-06-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.050862-0.07%0.0502-1.38%0.1139✗1.9023k2022-06-12
XMRMoneroMonero166.23166.1032-0.08%159.28-4.18%0.0350✗1.151.9M2022-06-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.5438-0.08%7.06-6.49%0.0381✗1.5615.2M2022-06-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003617-0.08%0.00318-12.15%0.0443✓1.272.1M2022-06-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.71938-0.09%0.63-12.50%0.0098✓1.84578k2022-06-12
QNTQuantEthereum5554.9525-0.09%49.57-9.87%0.0208✓1.232.0M2022-06-12
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.7932-0.09%1.6356-8.87%0.0027✗1.42914k2022-06-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.000009312-0.09%0.00000859-7.83%0.0195✗1.50850k2022-06-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.11579-0.09%0.1095-5.52%0.0633✗1.793.2M2022-06-12
NANOnanopayBase10.999053-0.09%0.911103-8.89%0.0012✗1.40122k2022-06-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.534486-0.10%0.49-8.41%0.0279✗1.72116k2022-06-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.023997-0.10%0.02308-3.91%0.0336✗1.09154k2022-06-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4786-0.10%1.34-9.46%0.0360✗2.01575k2022-06-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.069657-0.10%0.063482-8.96%0.0061✓1.301.3M2022-06-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.0217-0.10%7.393-7.93%0.0234✗1.5713.5M2022-06-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.0286-0.11%6.26-11.03%0.0109✓1.5732.1M2022-06-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.2788-0.11%9.32-9.43%0.0247✓1.10283k2022-06-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.3733-0.13%4.054-7.42%0.0261✗1.532.6M2022-06-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8919.8632-0.13%17.27-13.17%0.0239✓1.7447.8M2022-06-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.052627-0.14%0.05067-3.85%0.0410✗1.1815k2022-06-12
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.75995-0.14%0.644-15.37%0.0988✓1.007.8M2022-06-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.062514-0.14%0.0573-8.47%0.0539✗2.11142k2022-06-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.6431-0.14%1.439-12.54%0.0420✓1.361.9M2022-06-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,528.93-0.14%1,433.19-6.39%0.0110✗1.13340.5M2022-06-12
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000045175-0.14%0.00004105-9.26%0.0098✗1.583.0M2022-06-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.160865-0.15%0.1443-10.43%0.0023✓1.59176k2022-06-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.4534-0.15%4.29-3.81%0.0973✗2.021.5M2022-06-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.013136-0.16%0.012288-6.60%0.0167✗1.252.0M2022-06-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.792714-0.16%0.733-7.68%0.0531✗1.972.7M2022-06-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.0982-0.16%1.01-8.18%0.0044✓1.1968k2022-06-12
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.48e-7-0.17%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0423✗0.935.7M2022-06-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.995.9798-0.17%5.1-14.86%0.0527✓1.60411k2022-06-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.108612-0.17%0.1-8.09%0.0379✗1.811.1M2022-06-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9665.9557-0.17%5.636-5.53%0.0643✗1.7910.6M2022-06-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8967-0.17%1.72-9.47%0.0082✓1.34268k2022-06-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1406-0.17%1.0921-4.42%0.0454✗1.3348k2022-06-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.251942-0.18%0.2316-8.24%0.0043✗1.32103k2022-06-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57156.2855-0.18%145.97-6.77%0.0174✗1.284.4M2022-06-12
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821717.7889-0.18%15.5809-12.57%0.0254✓1.60222k2022-06-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.413237-0.18%0.373-9.90%0.0145✓1.3214k2022-06-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.332334-0.19%0.30712-7.76%0.0213✗1.50105k2022-06-12
ZECZcashZcash79.5879.4259-0.19%79.32-0.33%0.0958✗1.453.6M2022-06-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.0639-0.20%0.979-8.16%0.0593✗2.13339k2022-06-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010249-0.20%0.00946-7.89%0.0326✗1.6913.6M2022-06-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.001011-0.21%0.000825-18.56%0.0874✓1.741.8M2022-06-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.124953-0.21%0.118556-5.32%0.0280✗1.2110.3M2022-06-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.021166-0.21%0.02308+8.82%0.1305✗0.66608k2022-06-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220531-0.21%0.203-8.14%0.0585✗2.121.1M2022-06-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.013131-0.21%0.012724-3.31%0.0258✗0.86291k2022-06-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.73841-0.21%0.66-10.81%0.0321✓1.2063k2022-06-12
XEMNEMnative0.04460.0445-0.22%0.041719-6.46%0.0432✗1.6132k2022-06-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.0843-0.22%5.672-6.99%0.0378✗1.622.5M2022-06-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.057509-0.23%0.05315-7.79%0.0646✗2.151.9M2022-06-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.7315-0.23%3.21-14.17%0.0772✓1.10717k2022-06-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.258009-0.23%0.2317-10.40%0.0086✓1.48384k2022-06-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89952.7777-0.23%48.273-8.74%0.0193✓1.051.1M2022-06-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.057667-0.23%0.0518-10.38%0.0173✗1.871.7M2022-06-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.197.1734-0.23%6.62-7.93%0.0376✓0.642.0M2022-06-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.439769-0.23%0.4054-8.03%0.0399✗1.82159k2022-06-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.814428-0.24%0.78892-3.37%0.0947✗1.90789k2022-06-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.253776-0.25%0.2037-19.93%0.1275✓1.38196k2022-06-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.147633-0.25%0.1504+1.62%0.1351✗1.752.9M2022-06-12
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.07557-0.25%0.076131+0.49%0.0693✗0.93682k2022-06-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.08808-0.25%0.083-6.00%0.0693✗1.93422k2022-06-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.104237-0.25%0.0972-6.99%0.0313✗1.52795k2022-06-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.3215-0.25%0.28555-11.41%0.0164✓1.53455k2022-06-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.539594-0.26%0.489-9.61%0.0230✗1.82886k2022-06-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.122879-0.26%0.1114-9.58%0.0233✗1.825.6M2022-06-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7028,413.92-0.26%26,697.30-6.29%0.0026✓0.9729k2022-06-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.29.1754-0.27%8.45-8.15%0.0552✗2.062.8M2022-06-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.331262-0.27%0.297576-10.41%0.0029✓1.562.3M2022-06-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0701-0.27%0.945-11.93%0.0576✓1.001.3M2022-06-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.5575-0.27%4.2-8.10%0.0226✓0.881.3M2022-06-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.110496-0.27%0.1072-3.25%0.0575✗1.327,6092022-06-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.3266-0.27%2.216-5.02%0.0884✗2.053.0M2022-06-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.075.056-0.28%4.64-8.48%0.0292✓0.851.6M2022-06-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.6227-0.28%2.42-7.98%0.0592✗2.09294k2022-06-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.4151-0.28%2.229-7.97%0.0405✗1.8199k2022-06-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.2171-0.28%1.2017-1.54%0.0403✗0.791,0842022-06-12
FLOWFlownative2.0562.0502-0.28%1.794-12.74%0.0667✓1.00608k2022-06-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.3013-0.29%1.185-9.20%0.0249✗1.77826k2022-06-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.53145-0.29%0.45-15.57%0.0477✓1.784,3562022-06-12
HIVEHivenative0.48540.483987-0.29%0.4325-10.90%0.0125✓1.501.2M2022-06-12
STXStacksnative0.46760.466233-0.29%0.4189-10.41%0.0136✓1.40165k2022-06-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,305.48-0.29%26,555.20-6.46%0.0029✗1.00582.4M2022-06-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5923-0.29%1.484-7.08%0.0582✗1.93242k2022-06-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.084051-0.29%0.0788-6.52%0.0174✓0.71274k2022-06-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.010429-0.30%0.01007-3.73%0.0445✗1.191.5M2022-06-12
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.435955-0.30%0.42327-3.20%0.0167✗0.69249k2022-06-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.017755-0.31%0.01815+1.91%0.1911✗2.5332.1M2022-06-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.074.0569-0.32%3.675-9.71%0.0495✓0.746.4M2022-06-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.047147-0.34%0.0437-7.63%0.0019✓1.113,6542022-06-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.03172-0.35%0.02929-7.98%0.0258✗1.5817k2022-06-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.675-0.35%2.3596-12.10%0.0288✓1.453.2M2022-06-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004464-0.35%0.00405-9.60%0.0214✗1.78228k2022-06-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.7603-0.35%0.849+11.27%0.1946✗1.261.7M2022-06-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.299334-0.35%0.2816-6.26%0.0387✗1.496.2M2022-06-12
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.551504-0.36%0.4899-11.49%0.0071✓1.6749.8M2022-06-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1505-0.36%3.294+4.17%0.1070✗0.942.9M2022-06-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.349089-0.37%0.3246-7.36%0.0243✗1.4514.6M2022-06-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.365-0.38%27.9+1.57%0.0863✗1.009.1M2022-06-12
KCSKuCoinnative15.0214.9617-0.39%14.122-5.98%0.0146✗1.085.8M2022-06-12
ZENHorizenBase16.516.4358-0.39%15.15-8.18%0.0356✗1.7565k2022-06-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.621557-0.39%0.5869-5.95%0.0389✗1.442.9M2022-06-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.349548-0.40%0.31445-10.40%0.0006✓1.5815k2022-06-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.024493-0.40%0.0224-8.91%0.0082✓1.2110k2022-06-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.786831-0.40%0.71-10.13%0.0163✗1.78209k2022-06-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03072.0225-0.40%1.7899-11.86%0.0503✓1.083.5M2022-06-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032764-0.41%0.03-8.81%0.0241✗1.68247k2022-06-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.1426-0.42%3.83-7.93%0.0243✓0.811.9M2022-06-12
PROPropyEthereum0.920.916142-0.42%1.05+14.13%0.1898✗0.80183k2022-06-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.045804-0.43%0.0423-8.04%0.0222✗1.52403k2022-06-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.00914-0.43%0.00867-5.55%0.0229✗1.132,4432022-06-12
GTGateEthereum5.28735.2641-0.44%4.8594-8.09%0.0405✓0.592.5M2022-06-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.008154-0.44%0.00818-0.12%0.0622✗0.88164k2022-06-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.068389-0.45%0.063-8.30%0.0118✗1.41396k2022-06-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.7644-0.45%2.7-2.77%0.0505✗1.1172k2022-06-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.4437-0.47%3.11-10.12%0.0335✓1.031.8M2022-06-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.218445-0.48%0.1887-14.03%0.0416✓1.57696k2022-06-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3872-0.49%2.083-13.17%0.0628✓1.103.5M2022-06-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0874-0.51%0.998-8.69%0.0016✓1.266,0082022-06-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5767-0.51%2.4285-6.24%0.0841✗2.1513k2022-06-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.1935-0.55%1.69+40.83%0.4182✗1.05153k2022-06-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.052095-0.55%0.0525+0.22%0.0635✗0.8459k2022-06-12
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.239139-0.57%0.208-13.51%0.0399✓1.49585k2022-06-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0818-0.57%0.953-12.41%0.0542✓1.091.0M2022-06-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070582-0.59%0.07369+3.79%0.1099✗1.001,7292022-06-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.4675-0.60%5.5114+0.20%0.0293✗0.32243k2022-06-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.2619-0.61%2.1474-5.64%0.0493✗1.5258k2022-06-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.590052-0.70%0.51439-13.44%0.0131✗2.253.1M2022-06-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.3464-0.73%3.026-10.23%0.0503✓0.754.1M2022-06-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.159582-0.76%0.1563-2.80%0.0468✗1.01277k2022-06-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.6979-0.94%1.723+0.53%0.1254✗1.665.0M2022-06-12
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.7552-0.95%1.417-20.03%0.0953✓1.78342k2022-06-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2515.9996-1.54%12.2-24.92%0.1394✓1.97252k2022-06-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.1972-1.63%1.13-7.15%0.0931✗2.268.8M2022-06-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.