2022-02-26 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3518

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.13%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.06282	-11.77%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1092	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	26.5232	-11.26%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1099	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.6511	-11.23%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3106	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	18,849.47	-9.71%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0211	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.32e-7	-9.42%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.3987	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.1063	-9.10%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.0776	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.7008	-8.81%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.1443	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.4845	-8.56%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2529	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.06692	-8.33%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.0944	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.701663	-8.29%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1861	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	75.1866	-8.07%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1132	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	71.9252	-7.97%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0434	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.0956	-7.93%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0100	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.6674	-7.77%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0050	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.1213	-7.77%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0581	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.3664	-7.56%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2190	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.031933	-7.52%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1159	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.0392	-7.49%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1535	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.509739	-7.40%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0594	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.003994	-7.32%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.2791	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.256486	-7.31%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0037	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011097	-7.06%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0806	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	13.6831	-6.92%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1460	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.800476	-6.90%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1051	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3395	-6.78%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0240	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7292	-6.69%	3.61	+94.80%	0.6051	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.140662	-6.60%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0150	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.0692	-6.51%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0625	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.079951	-6.38%	0.121	+41.69%	0.1190	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.5107	-6.36%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.1761	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.2423	-6.34%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1479	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.017632	-6.31%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0664	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.6811	-6.27%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0067	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.328805	-6.24%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1765	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	40.5919	-6.23%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0288	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.894577	-6.16%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0183	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.402095	-6.07%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1654	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.026698	-6.06%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1348	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.657752	-6.04%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2268	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	19.9451	-5.92%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1615	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	148.758	-5.80%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1804	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.0000018	-5.77%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0206	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.748265	-5.76%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1256	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.14735	-5.70%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1201	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3594	-5.66%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0578	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.0247	-5.63%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0028	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1428	-5.61%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1644	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.133255	-5.49%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2416	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.1731	-5.40%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0684	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.0652	-5.39%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0371	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.937617	-5.33%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0546	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.063841	-5.28%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.1188	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.516213	-5.21%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0724	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.20185	-5.19%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0433	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2108	-5.11%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0203	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.082914	-4.99%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0914	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.8245	-4.94%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.1051	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.115253	-4.91%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1496	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.731	-4.80%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1239	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.062953	-4.78%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0561	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2392	-4.72%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0230	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	86.1023	-4.67%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0353	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	102.8442	-4.60%	192.22	+78.31%	0.4100	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.0955	-4.58%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0332	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000071933	-4.57%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0408	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.711909	-4.56%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0367	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.045661	-4.52%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0305	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.046173	-4.51%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2946	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.02619	-4.42%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0401	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.349428	-4.40%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1386	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.038375	-4.40%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0388	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	81.0365	-4.39%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0037	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.216093	-4.38%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0420	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.231	-4.35%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0852	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	27.6545	-4.34%	47.08	+62.85%	0.3205	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.0897	-4.33%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2414	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	31.8252	-4.31%	47.68	+43.36%	0.1203	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1397	-4.30%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0821	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	6.0008	-4.29%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0722	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009428	-4.29%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0010	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.1607	-4.27%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1141	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.9727	-4.27%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0297	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000023327	-4.20%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1250	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	89.803	-4.14%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1348	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.4513	-4.13%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0301	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.278148	-4.09%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4712	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.4622	-4.04%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0796	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.671663	-3.98%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0197	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	8.9604	-3.96%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3500	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	108.9675	-3.87%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1195	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.039	-3.80%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0072	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	18.9604	-3.79%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1739	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	104.2467	-3.73%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0226	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6364	-3.72%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2771	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.9041	-3.72%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0551	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.7674	-3.71%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1958	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.057308	-3.62%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0322	✓	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6096	-3.62%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0598	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4463	-3.58%	2.68	+78.67%	0.4128	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.021831	-3.53%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3833	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.8346	-3.48%	6.365	+27.07%	0.1183	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	37,785.57	-3.46%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0352	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.7431	-3.38%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1093	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.635	-3.23%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0288	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009651	-3.20%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0917	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6238	-3.19%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2887	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.2671	-3.08%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0876	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	1.9876	-3.04%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0326	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.0595	-2.97%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1063	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4788	-2.97%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0396	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.225136	-2.96%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0105	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.7963	-2.91%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0367	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.65958	-2.86%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0759	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.170291	-2.75%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1496	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.5449	-2.72%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0109	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.531	-2.68%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3152	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011852	-2.61%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0005	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5092	-2.59%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2688	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	63.135	-2.59%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2354	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	49.1367	-2.58%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0498	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,710.92	-2.51%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0057	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1689	-2.50%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0613	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2486	-2.45%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7944	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.2513	-2.39%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3203	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.873868	-2.36%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1244	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.8177	-2.36%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2891	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.449247	-2.32%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1944	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.866898	-2.30%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0807	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.098707	-2.27%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0657	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9679	-2.22%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3135	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.140905	-2.22%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0958	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.3616	-2.21%	5.34	+19.73%	0.1018	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.188652	-2.20%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0158	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.5798	-2.14%	7	+49.57%	0.2787	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.3745	-2.14%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0442	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.341351	-2.08%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0354	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2403	-1.96%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0201	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017492	-1.95%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3616	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	309.5277	-1.91%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0166	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.496205	-1.55%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6514	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	122.8685	-1.53%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0894	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.431492	-1.49%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1426	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.5458	-1.37%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0771	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,068.39	-1.32%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0180	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	109.3691	-1.28%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0667	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.1977	-1.15%	7	+11.64%	0.0352	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008979	-0.90%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0181	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.126646	-0.74%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0728	✓	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.06805	-0.66%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0097	✓	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	136.0983	-0.42%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0661	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.0106	+0.34%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0669	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.