2022-02-25 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3567

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.0%

in alpha space · 7.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.2252	+0.27%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0623	✗	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.126997	-0.61%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0461	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068471	-0.62%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0318	✗	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008744	-0.63%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1205	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	138.6941	-0.72%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0591	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.478174	-0.81%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8085	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.2767	-0.84%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0530	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3666	-0.98%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0585	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	111.094	-1.27%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1089	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	38,860.89	-1.33%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0141	✗	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	122.8589	-1.40%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1344	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	304.6021	-1.44%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0350	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1549	-1.47%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0031	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.439883	-1.59%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1361	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4215	-1.63%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1048	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.017857	-1.83%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4348	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5232	-1.88%	7.01	+52.06%	0.3001	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.187453	-1.93%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0066	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.1941	-2.00%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3282	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.4193	-2.01%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0256	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.864196	-2.02%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0409	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.0965	-2.03%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0122	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0037	-2.13%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2593	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.453201	-2.20%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1976	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.353128	-2.21%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0527	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.879209	-2.28%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0917	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.8247	-2.29%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3326	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.143506	-2.31%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0704	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.170055	-2.32%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2089	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,704.76	-2.34%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0062	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.5131	-2.42%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0150	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011729	-2.42%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0300	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.2791	-2.44%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7989	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.5055	-2.48%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0788	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	49.8887	-2.48%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0755	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5068	-2.50%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2631	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2169	-2.52%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0246	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.0247	-2.54%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0349	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.63725	-2.56%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0492	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.223057	-2.60%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0432	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.104	-2.83%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0578	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	8.9842	-2.87%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0025	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	65.1649	-2.92%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2332	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.565	-2.96%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2797	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.6469	-3.04%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.3025	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0518	-3.22%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.0970	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0225	-3.23%	2.79	+33.49%	0.1041	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.7727	-3.25%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1500	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.009829	-3.26%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.1005	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	108.9522	-3.29%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0843	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6389	-3.38%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2928	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6037	-3.39%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1162	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	37,886.75	-3.44%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0351	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.483	-3.45%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2532	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.044497	-3.46%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0236	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	5.9171	-3.51%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.1069	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.057374	-3.54%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0403	✗	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	26.9934	-3.63%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3783	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	18.7467	-3.70%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1627	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009177	-3.70%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0821	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.021867	-3.72%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.4217	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	105.245	-3.74%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0023	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.3136	-3.74%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0153	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.037435	-3.77%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0895	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.7895	-3.81%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2130	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.980945	-3.83%	1.07	+4.90%	0.0824	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	89.326	-3.85%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1982	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.675196	-3.86%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0363	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.0069	-3.88%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3465	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.1942	-3.94%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0413	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.8567	-3.99%	5.413	+34.75%	0.1073	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.9714	-4.01%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0505	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.285018	-4.03%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5266	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.214283	-4.04%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0717	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5301	-4.05%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0283	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.062271	-4.05%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.1256	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1383	-4.11%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0250	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.0598	-4.12%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0492	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.916009	-4.18%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.1238	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.356893	-4.24%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.0868	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	81.1986	-4.25%	95	+12.03%	0.0000	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.771	-4.27%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1517	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	102.1466	-4.29%	210.67	+97.40%	0.5242	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000071994	-4.30%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.1014	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.706702	-4.32%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0180	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000023757	-4.32%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1663	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.046536	-4.38%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2834	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.1617	-4.39%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0754	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026462	-4.47%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0226	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.061706	-4.48%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1429	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.3814	-4.50%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1173	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.078302	-4.51%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.2221	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.0933	-4.51%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0471	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.082077	-4.53%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0962	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	33.1286	-4.61%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1485	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.514622	-4.62%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1397	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	28.8458	-4.67%	31.17	+3.01%	0.1041	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.85894	-4.76%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0621	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	16.4498	-4.80%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0762	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	88.3359	-4.85%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0363	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.201737	-4.89%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0236	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.017243	-4.89%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0117	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1507	-4.90%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0647	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	5.9931	-5.07%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0440	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.395839	-5.53%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.1052	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.2423	-5.53%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0061	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.3697	-5.54%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0001	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.130337	-5.55%	0.114	-17.39%	0.3031	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1016	-5.68%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2526	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.2294	-5.73%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1087	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.1758	-5.74%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2080	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.00000179	-5.78%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0555	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.121718	-5.79%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0899	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.330942	-5.80%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1335	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	144.8179	-5.80%	216.11	+40.57%	0.2226	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.149459	-5.82%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1305	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.138248	-5.83%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0087	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.0668	-5.95%	16.11	+25.57%	0.1073	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.780966	-6.04%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0208	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	19.8682	-6.10%	24.3	+14.84%	0.0803	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.5538	-6.14%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0256	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	40.3924	-6.26%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0486	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.674121	-6.37%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2614	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.027353	-6.39%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1221	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.24625	-6.44%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0830	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.558	-6.53%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1625	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	13.7664	-6.61%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1478	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.7351	-6.69%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4896	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.3538	-6.83%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0444	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010904	-6.91%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1248	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004039	-6.93%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2508	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0674	-7.18%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0753	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.696	-7.52%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0149	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	2.9712	-7.53%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0221	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.816118	-7.61%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0188	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.492379	-7.62%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0081	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.1052	-7.67%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0804	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.032617	-8.02%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.1149	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	67.3143	-8.04%	94.25	+28.76%	0.0907	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	74.5235	-8.05%	89.91	+10.93%	0.0774	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.710266	-8.15%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1754	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.5036	-8.29%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2492	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.067283	-8.33%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0233	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.4829	-8.56%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1678	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.5024	-8.62%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2423	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.7154	-8.62%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1788	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	18,253.95	-9.50%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0215	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.33e-7	-9.61%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4838	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	24.2043	-11.34%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0148	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7294	-11.76%	1.74	-11.22%	0.2832	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.061159	-12.13%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.0678	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.