8=======>

2022-02-22 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3194
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.0%
in alpha space · 15.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+15.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.4693+1.37%2.846+16.83%0.0526✗1.39579k2022-03-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.019908-0.46%0.04032+101.60%0.4752✗1.6411.1M2022-03-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.0882-0.97%2.402+13.91%0.0152✗0.8928k2022-03-24
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74133.2475-1.11%168.07+24.74%0.0296✗1.446.5M2022-03-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5037,814.87-1.35%44,010.90+14.81%0.0159✗0.9742k2022-03-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022022-1.46%0.03772+68.78%0.3855✗1.09101k2022-03-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8665-1.49%6.72+36.03%0.2115✗0.79415k2022-03-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.2944-1.59%8.28+53.90%0.3244✗0.88398k2022-03-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3447-1.63%3.67+7.94%0.1022✓1.397.1M2022-03-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.92593-1.81%1.697+79.96%0.4312✗1.24934k2022-03-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.240314-1.91%0.3142+28.24%0.1050✗1.16469k2022-03-24
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0115-1.94%3.5281+14.88%0.0228✓1.292.1M2022-03-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.006-2.04%5.02-1.76%0.1355✓0.99682k2022-03-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.6817-2.15%15.84+22.22%0.0780✗1.03392k2022-03-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.619-2.23%2.162+30.56%0.1338✗1.113.4M2022-03-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.211466-2.23%0.234+8.18%0.1154✓1.543.4M2022-03-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.1434-2.33%6.323+20.07%0.0947✗0.8065k2022-03-24
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.035-2.35%7.907+53.36%0.3091✗1.011.8M2022-03-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.508645-2.35%1.098+110.79%0.5816✗1.342.3M2022-03-24
XMRMoneroMonero150.97147.2316-2.48%203.77+34.97%0.1847✗1.00966k2022-03-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012034-2.72%0.01336+8.00%0.0012✓0.7515k2022-03-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4118.8822-2.72%21.78+12.21%0.0751✓1.55334k2022-03-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.127739-2.73%0.136967+4.30%0.0716✓1.013.7M2022-03-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010114-2.75%0.01238+19.04%0.0147✓1.552.2M2022-03-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3416-2.78%1.713+24.13%0.0821✗1.161.8M2022-03-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018396-2.82%0.02128+12.41%0.0139✓1.142.2M2022-03-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.7051-2.82%6.84-0.87%0.0108✓0.221.3M2022-03-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.5798-2.84%2.2754+39.94%0.2072✗1.1275k2022-03-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.5794-2.87%16.17+15.67%0.0046✓1.2161.5M2022-03-24
TRXTRONTron0.062640.060842-2.87%0.065663+4.83%0.0428✓0.85299k2022-03-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.2331-2.88%0.26+8.33%0.0176✓0.9068k2022-03-24
XVGVergenative0.009630.009351-2.90%0.01065+10.59%0.0518✓1.301.2M2022-03-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3032-2.90%6.349+167.66%0.8357✗1.27792k2022-03-24
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.180237-2.91%0.215105+15.87%0.0287✓1.0621.8M2022-03-24
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.862188-2.92%1.1314+27.40%0.1117✗1.1497.3M2022-03-24
HIVEHivenative0.84660.821569-2.96%1.0248+21.05%0.0026✓1.561.8M2022-03-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6825.8878-2.97%48.64+82.31%0.4764✗1.105.1M2022-03-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.115-2.98%2.58+18.35%0.0290✓1.21324k2022-03-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.082006-3.04%0.10347+22.33%0.0763✗1.1148k2022-03-24
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33108.8966-3.06%119.41+6.30%0.0898✓1.3064k2022-03-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.774433-3.07%0.953+19.27%0.0149✓1.372.1M2022-03-24
GTGateEthereum6.19015.9916-3.21%6.4925+4.89%0.0384✓0.853.1M2022-03-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.443737-3.22%0.6697+46.06%0.2090✗1.44586k2022-03-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.684113-3.24%0.726+2.69%0.0941✓1.091.9M2022-03-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.3769-3.24%1.629+14.48%0.0051✓1.231.1M2022-03-24
KSMKusamaHydration129.85125.6383-3.24%162.8+25.38%0.0922✗1.19930k2022-03-24
SOLSolanaSolana86.4383.588-3.29%102.38+18.45%0.0285✓1.24139.1M2022-03-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.438047-3.30%0.4337-4.26%0.2795✓1.922.0M2022-03-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.054-3.35%21.25+27.93%0.0940✗1.3329.5M2022-03-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.036658-3.35%0.04349+14.66%0.0140✓1.1232k2022-03-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.045019-3.39%0.05648+21.20%0.0328✓1.38865k2022-03-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.363-3.43%10.44+20.55%0.0413✗1.293.2M2022-03-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6004-3.44%3.765+39.81%0.2513✗0.85205k2022-03-24
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.7998-3.45%7.8674+30.97%0.0975✗1.48153k2022-03-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.513.9995-3.45%13.33-8.07%0.1539✓0.751.8M2022-03-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4280.5361-3.46%91.06+9.16%0.0024✓0.89986k2022-03-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,546.66-3.46%3,112.52+17.99%0.0468✗1.10581.4M2022-03-24
DASHDashDash93.5690.3108-3.47%130.02+38.97%0.2003✗1.171.5M2022-03-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.6265-3.49%6.52+11.84%0.0242✓0.88430k2022-03-24
XEMNEMnative0.09870.095181-3.57%0.1091+10.54%0.0079✓1.0337k2022-03-24
QNTQuantEthereum115.85111.6982-3.58%136.28+17.63%0.0590✗1.006.6M2022-03-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.127141-3.61%0.1577+19.56%0.0707✗1.03467k2022-03-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.659126-3.62%0.85665+25.26%0.0500✗1.51269k2022-03-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.284064-3.71%0.618+109.49%0.5876✗1.352.0M2022-03-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.0173-3.73%29.71-1.43%0.1184✓1.011.5M2022-03-24
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000069522-3.74%0.00008405+16.38%0.0270✓1.164.5M2022-03-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4836,817.50-3.75%44,012.29+15.06%0.0382✓1.00646.5M2022-03-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51103.4363-3.79%126.52+17.68%0.0307✓1.2229.9M2022-03-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6259-3.79%2.11+24.85%0.0701✗1.362.0M2022-03-24
ZECZcashZcash102.9698.995-3.85%193.05+87.50%0.5006✗1.197.6M2022-03-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.8474-3.91%5.282+31.92%0.1407✗1.262.3M2022-03-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.891259-3.92%1.1819+27.40%0.1298✗1.09165k2022-03-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.2561-3.93%4.74+7.00%0.0479✓1.11471k2022-03-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.1354-3.94%13.53+42.27%0.2926✗0.71758k2022-03-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.011.9308-3.94%2.363+17.56%0.0538✗1.0619k2022-03-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.0116-3.97%7.49+19.65%0.1613✗0.421.3M2022-03-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.367041-3.99%0.44+15.09%0.0172✓1.418.7M2022-03-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.7847-4.00%1.908+2.64%0.0735✓1.0084k2022-03-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.5036-4.02%10.79+21.78%0.0526✗1.3211.0M2022-03-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.339274-4.05%0.3633+2.74%0.1646✓1.6616.4M2022-03-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48281.5893-4.05%366.47+24.87%0.1247✗0.997.6M2022-03-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.435482-4.08%0.458+0.88%0.1421✓1.374.5M2022-03-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.14516-4.08%0.16172+6.86%0.0885✓1.4030k2022-03-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7152-4.10%3.1236+74.64%0.5247✗0.532.8M2022-03-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.476646-4.21%0.5368+7.88%0.0106✓0.92684k2022-03-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.679457-4.30%0.7-1.41%0.2418✓1.941.0M2022-03-24
DIADIAEthereum0.890.851464-4.33%1.01+13.48%0.0305✓1.00284k2022-03-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.1511-4.40%2.59+15.11%0.0425✓1.02283k2022-03-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.3601-4.47%5.286-5.79%0.1591✓1.04266k2022-03-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001853-4.48%0.00000199+2.58%0.0690✓1.0014.6M2022-03-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.216673-4.51%0.2687+18.42%0.0713✗1.031.8M2022-03-24
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.6987-4.53%4.119+6.32%0.0702✓1.271.9M2022-03-24
FTTFTXEthereum41.5139.6209-4.55%49.47+19.18%0.0590✗1.1627.6M2022-03-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.3967-4.73%1.684+14.87%0.0146✓1.44970k2022-03-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.7835-4.75%3.9044+33.61%0.1980✗1.002.6M2022-03-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1523.9536-4.78%5.478+31.94%0.2058✗0.86395k2022-03-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.059869-4.82%0.07771+23.55%0.1105✗1.0714k2022-03-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.068528-4.82%0.0793+10.14%0.0146✓1.14185k2022-03-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1548.6677-4.85%70.34+37.52%0.1853✗1.307.8M2022-03-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.7253-4.97%4.1695+45.40%0.2844✗1.002.4M2022-03-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000023705-4.99%0.00002469-1.04%0.1538✓1.393.7M2022-03-24
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821766.3109-5.03%62.4871-10.50%0.2693✓1.50249k2022-03-24
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.14093-5.03%0.1426-3.91%0.1023✓0.81354k2022-03-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0236-5.05%1.352+25.42%0.1013✗1.262.9M2022-03-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.0022-5.12%19.43+8.43%0.0295✓1.1622.7M2022-03-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.711482-5.25%0.8052+7.23%0.0369✓1.149.8M2022-03-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.025302-5.27%0.02695+0.90%0.0459✓0.784.6M2022-03-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.2671-5.34%2.383-0.50%0.1683✓1.5613.8M2022-03-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2041-5.34%1.153-9.36%0.2289✓1.322.6M2022-03-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.0244-5.37%18.14+22.40%0.0239✓1.662.7M2022-03-24
STXStacksnative1.171.1068-5.40%1.38+17.95%0.0346✓1.33746k2022-03-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.8313-5.50%3.938+31.44%0.1987✗0.94481k2022-03-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.3517-5.55%2.62+5.22%0.0323✓1.00639k2022-03-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0719,489.48-5.56%21,219.97+2.83%0.0599✓1.035.8M2022-03-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.048144-5.61%0.042036-17.58%0.3126✓1.267.5M2022-03-24
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.8537-5.62%2.3244+18.35%0.0532✓1.23210k2022-03-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.083536-5.72%0.1068+20.54%0.0372✓1.49684k2022-03-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.9417.854-5.73%18.833-0.56%0.1133✓1.199.6M2022-03-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.037676-5.74%0.04032+0.88%0.0547✓0.871.7M2022-03-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.167495-5.80%0.2208+24.18%0.0787✗1.413.0M2022-03-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.362843-5.83%0.3888+0.91%0.1320✓1.431.4M2022-03-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.058836-5.83%0.07971+27.58%0.1893✗0.8180k2022-03-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.01177-5.86%0.013705+9.61%0.0090✓1.1544k2022-03-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.754731-5.88%1.0824+34.98%0.1506✗1.50361k2022-03-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.51132-5.90%0.590761+8.72%0.0175✓1.153.3M2022-03-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.768929-6.00%0.7956-2.74%0.0628✓0.691.5M2022-03-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.4529-6.02%2.29-12.26%0.2090✓1.00683k2022-03-24
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008248-6.06%0.01029+17.20%0.0738✗1.05525k2022-03-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.761691-6.09%0.8916+9.92%0.0166✓1.2423.2M2022-03-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8423.3187-6.12%29.27+17.83%0.0733✗1.1055.4M2022-03-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7322.2629-6.18%27.96+17.83%0.0148✓1.521.8M2022-03-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.123573-6.24%0.1431+8.57%0.0360✓1.303.1M2022-03-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.4838-6.39%2.6959+1.60%0.0974✓1.283.3M2022-03-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.046903-6.57%0.066+31.47%0.0922✗1.7864.3M2022-03-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004218-6.67%0.00439-2.88%0.2263✓1.9012.7M2022-03-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.4433-6.92%6.0183+2.91%0.0475✓0.38412k2022-03-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.024659-6.95%0.02649-0.04%0.1297✓1.43497k2022-03-24
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7021-6.99%1.59-13.11%0.2985✓1.64635k2022-03-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1817.822-7.08%19.64+2.40%0.0764✓1.249.6M2022-03-24
ZENHorizenBase35.2732.7251-7.22%45.37+28.64%0.1057✗1.58335k2022-03-24
LUNATerraTerra 254.7750.7885-7.27%93.83+71.32%0.4212✗1.374.5M2022-03-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.2142-7.31%1.55+18.32%0.0651✓1.28968k2022-03-24
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2145.7478-7.50%7.452+19.92%0.2071✗0.3829k2022-03-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.5902-7.55%1.3853-19.46%0.3522✓1.53213k2022-03-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4268.7875-7.57%87.61+17.72%0.0315✓1.50106.7M2022-03-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.128303-7.70%0.115-17.27%0.2568✓1.0551k2022-03-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.25-7.95%1.58+16.35%0.0398✓1.391.8M2022-03-24
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.4546-8.77%5.14-14.03%0.1096✓0.362.0M2022-03-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.064348-9.11%0.084+18.64%0.0733✓1.381.1M2022-03-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.5964-9.74%5.2272+31.18%0.2049✗1.21291k2022-03-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.