8=======>

2022-02-19 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3668
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.0%
in alpha space · 57.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum9.9910.0261+0.36%9.37-6.21%0.0956✗1.243.2M2022-03-21
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18145.8381-0.23%153.89+5.27%0.0217✗1.426.8M2022-03-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.078086-0.40%0.0752-4.08%0.0629✓1.12194k2022-03-21
QNTQuantEthereum110.71110.2329-0.43%119.55+7.98%0.0584✗1.017.2M2022-03-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05310.2428-0.58%334.93+7.33%0.0545✗0.988.4M2022-03-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.4817-0.63%1.618+8.52%0.0621✗1.152.1M2022-03-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009604-0.68%0.00956-1.14%0.0279✓1.03504k2022-03-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.854822-0.72%0.85-1.28%0.0359✓1.342.4M2022-03-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.1515-0.76%2.211+1.98%0.0037✓1.0420k2022-03-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.2946-0.82%2.3043-0.40%0.0167✓0.9328k2022-03-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.13975-0.89%0.119184-15.47%0.1819✓1.015.2M2022-03-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,726.00-1.39%2,891.08+4.58%0.0337✗1.11588.4M2022-03-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8454.0586-1.42%50.17-8.52%0.1034✓1.279.2M2022-03-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.1633-1.47%6.45-11.28%0.1096✓0.211.4M2022-03-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0039,292.38-1.53%41,105.80+3.02%0.0231✗0.9851k2022-03-21
KSMKusamaHydration151.15148.5803-1.70%154.99+2.54%0.0157✓1.17973k2022-03-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.084.9904-1.76%4.42-12.99%0.1450✓1.05510k2022-03-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.200513-1.79%0.203692-0.24%0.0074✓1.0322.0M2022-03-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.024682-1.90%0.03588+42.61%0.3430✗1.3810.9M2022-03-21
UNIUniswapEthereum10.039.8391-1.90%9.35-6.78%0.0805✓1.3111.7M2022-03-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.536253-2.05%0.6232+13.83%0.1182✗1.42610k2022-03-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.969448-2.08%1.518+53.33%0.4200✗1.26818k2022-03-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2656.1331-2.11%5.006-20.10%0.2252✓0.98361k2022-03-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5215.1879-2.14%15-3.35%0.0397✓1.2167.7M2022-03-21
LUNATerraTerra 250.4649.374-2.15%95.82+89.89%0.6313✗1.415.3M2022-03-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.424.8525-2.16%26.75+5.31%0.0397✗1.501.9M2022-03-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.193552-2.25%0.2032+2.63%0.0178✓1.363.5M2022-03-21
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.974443-2.25%0.9179-7.92%0.0847✓1.1197.3M2022-03-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.7172-2.27%6.529-5.01%0.0364✓0.3536k2022-03-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.039693-2.33%0.04126+1.53%0.0141✓1.0932k2022-03-21
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.15431-2.40%0.1371-13.28%0.1339✓0.69362k2022-03-21
XEMNEMnative0.10180.099338-2.42%0.1071+5.21%0.0522✗1.0239k2022-03-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.247849-2.42%0.254+0.00%0.0038✓0.9273k2022-03-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.3621-2.46%4.983+11.43%0.1148✗0.81395k2022-03-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.476926-2.47%0.419-14.31%0.1608✓1.394.7M2022-03-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.02751.0007-2.60%1.1049+7.54%0.0754✗1.05193k2022-03-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.542278-2.75%0.9468+69.80%0.5277✗1.312.3M2022-03-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.405482-2.81%0.4118-1.29%0.0159✓1.398.8M2022-03-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0615.6055-2.83%15.85-1.31%0.0226✓1.693.0M2022-03-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.06923-2.85%0.07422+4.15%0.0523✗0.7688k2022-03-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012299-2.85%0.01262-0.32%0.0075✓0.8115k2022-03-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.265196-2.86%0.2933+7.44%0.0760✗1.09538k2022-03-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.621-2.88%2.1544+29.08%0.2592✗1.1275k2022-03-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.407777-2.93%0.3415-18.71%0.2097✓1.431.6M2022-03-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.5652-2.99%2.763-24.82%0.2803✓1.12579k2022-03-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.1699-2.99%4.8275+12.30%0.1196✗1.19330k2022-03-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.0978-3.02%1.228+8.48%0.0841✗1.243.1M2022-03-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.726175-3.05%0.657-12.28%0.1239✓1.052.0M2022-03-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.727.8221-3.06%38.41+33.83%0.2984✗1.075.2M2022-03-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5056-3.11%6.191+139.40%0.8756✗1.28845k2022-03-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.314832-3.13%0.694+113.54%0.7604✗1.332.3M2022-03-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9438,838.65-3.15%41,017.71+2.28%0.0320✓1.00646.5M2022-03-21
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000075642-3.16%0.00008042+2.96%0.0357✗1.134.8M2022-03-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.9159-3.24%2.141+8.13%0.0876✗1.043.2M2022-03-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.761-3.24%1.89+3.85%0.0405✗1.342.0M2022-03-21
SOLSolanaSolana91.3488.3752-3.25%88.62-2.98%0.0256✓1.26179.7M2022-03-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6484.7773-3.27%84.98-3.04%0.0177✓0.891.1M2022-03-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.7265-3.27%8.09+36.66%0.3268✗0.83398k2022-03-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.086313-3.29%0.09486+6.29%0.0697✗1.0950k2022-03-21
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25117.1332-3.40%113.52-6.38%0.0604✓1.2966k2022-03-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.5576-3.46%13.7+38.38%0.3451✗0.66821k2022-03-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.065549-3.46%0.07444+9.63%0.1028✗1.0816k2022-03-21
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.1198-3.58%4.74-10.73%0.1004✓1.03682k2022-03-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59111.409-3.62%116.13+0.47%0.0141✓1.2131.4M2022-03-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.1742-3.68%6.22-2.96%0.0119✓0.86430k2022-03-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.049644-3.68%0.05358+3.96%0.0454✗1.37951k2022-03-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.1991-3.70%18.75+4.98%0.0560✗1.3432.4M2022-03-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.724385-3.72%0.81655+8.53%0.0863✗1.48334k2022-03-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.138952-3.77%0.1524+5.54%0.0692✗1.03470k2022-03-21
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.0857-3.80%18.09-8.82%0.0809✓1.219.9M2022-03-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.027684-3.81%0.02617-9.07%0.0753✓0.845.2M2022-03-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.1538-3.86%0.15226-4.83%0.0427✓1.4432k2022-03-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.523-3.89%6.8236+0.54%0.0122✓1.45198k2022-03-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04162.9221-3.93%4.1232+35.56%0.3220✗0.992.4M2022-03-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.570548-3.96%0.550176-7.38%0.0620✓1.143.6M2022-03-21
XVGVergenative0.010320.009905-4.02%0.0099-4.07%0.0298✓1.291.2M2022-03-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.011429-4.04%0.01178-1.09%0.0051✓1.562.2M2022-03-21
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.060892-4.08%0.06179-2.67%0.0044✓0.84330k2022-03-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.063-4.11%6.4+21.21%0.2172✗0.76415k2022-03-21
DASHDashDash102.4298.1814-4.14%123.68+20.76%0.2058✗1.111.5M2022-03-21
ZENHorizenBase38.1336.5459-4.15%43.59+14.32%0.1409✗1.56405k2022-03-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0613.4627-4.25%16.52+17.50%0.1814✗1.03483k2022-03-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000026313-4.32%0.00002294-16.58%0.1683✓1.383.8M2022-03-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.1774-4.41%4.971+13.75%0.1464✗1.222.5M2022-03-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8219.9021-4.41%17.82-14.41%0.1381✓1.2210.8M2022-03-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.092034-4.43%0.0897-6.85%0.0596✓1.50903k2022-03-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.235966-4.47%0.212-14.17%0.1414✓1.523.7M2022-03-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.6751-4.50%6.55-6.29%0.0273✓0.371.4M2022-03-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.8383-4.53%3.313+11.44%0.1370✗0.78206k2022-03-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9261-4.56%3.772+23.03%0.2325✗0.952.5M2022-03-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9429.5109-4.62%29.57-4.43%0.0192✓0.941.3M2022-03-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.056539-4.66%0.0625+5.40%0.0611✗1.7364.3M2022-03-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2019.0485-4.76%16.97-15.15%0.1417✓1.1623.2M2022-03-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3047-4.76%2.09-13.64%0.1250✓1.21383k2022-03-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.488-4.82%6.034+4.65%0.0769✗0.7965k2022-03-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1114.3679-4.91%12.88-14.76%0.1248✓0.691.7M2022-03-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.096-4.92%1.1654+1.10%0.0327✓1.272.6M2022-03-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.502-4.94%1.12-29.11%0.3209✓1.211.2M2022-03-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.1184-4.96%3.851+17.37%0.1910✗0.89502k2022-03-21
ZECZcashZcash112.33106.705-5.01%181.56+61.63%0.5040✗1.227.6M2022-03-21
HIVEHivenative0.96350.914981-5.04%0.9143-5.11%0.0359✓1.561.8M2022-03-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.238527-5.04%0.2506-0.24%0.0269✓1.001.9M2022-03-21
GTGateEthereum6.65486.3143-5.12%6.3691-4.29%0.0100✓0.833.6M2022-03-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.853471-5.18%0.828-8.01%0.0583✓1.2425.9M2022-03-21
DIADIAEthereum1.010.956835-5.26%0.94-6.93%0.0403✓1.00274k2022-03-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.004831-5.27%0.00441-13.53%0.1351✓1.9413.6M2022-03-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.6653-5.29%3.31-14.47%0.1330✓1.387.4M2022-03-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.056196-5.36%0.040344-32.05%0.3589✓1.227.5M2022-03-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.5906-5.45%2.27-17.15%0.1547✓1.00723k2022-03-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.4765-5.51%6.1969+6.91%0.1150✗0.38441k2022-03-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.78135-5.52%0.7443-10.00%0.0729✓1.0810.1M2022-03-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.7840.4115-5.54%44.67+4.42%0.0739✗1.1728.5M2022-03-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.138868-5.66%0.1326-9.92%0.0755✓1.303.3M2022-03-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4819.31-5.71%19.75-3.56%0.0120✓1.53371k2022-03-21
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.3593-5.81%7.575+33.13%0.3233✗1.011.9M2022-03-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.4784-5.83%1.608+2.42%0.0533✓1.362.7M2022-03-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.2389-5.93%2.37-0.42%0.0338✓1.02327k2022-03-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.028211-5.96%0.02575-14.17%0.1241✓1.45499k2022-03-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.5637-6.03%1.433-13.88%0.1180✓1.361.1M2022-03-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.126721-6.13%0.103-23.70%0.2318✓1.0954k2022-03-21
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000001896-6.14%0.00000183-9.41%0.0580✓1.0014.4M2022-03-21
XMRMoneroMonero161.12151.2195-6.14%191.87+19.09%0.2151✗1.021.1M2022-03-21
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556879.3117-6.20%62.2596-26.37%0.2754✓1.47305k2022-03-21
STXStacksnative1.311.2277-6.29%1.3-0.76%0.0283✓1.28845k2022-03-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.6319-6.34%2.196-21.85%0.2151✓1.5115.0M2022-03-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.8543-6.36%3.1635+59.76%0.5219✗0.542.9M2022-03-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.037069-6.56%0.03903-1.61%0.0356✓0.711.9M2022-03-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.829479-6.57%0.8075-9.04%0.0597✓1.46453k2022-03-21
BANDBandEthereum4.934.6059-6.57%3.749-23.96%0.2335✓1.221.9M2022-03-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.024355-6.65%0.025644-1.71%0.0258✓1.1489k2022-03-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.4748-6.66%1.531-3.10%0.0097✓1.231.2M2022-03-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.6989-6.67%2.4089-16.69%0.1400✓1.173.3M2022-03-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.511828-6.69%0.5105-6.93%0.0229✓0.90741k2022-03-21
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.0345-6.93%1.687-22.83%0.2099✓1.0076k2022-03-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.389442-7.05%0.3439-17.92%0.1617✓1.6517.3M2022-03-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.789871-7.07%0.64-24.71%0.2549✓1.971.2M2022-03-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.6197-7.10%2.15-23.76%0.2202✓1.00698k2022-03-21
NANOnanopayBase2.0711.9178-7.40%2.212+6.81%0.1147✗1.24263k2022-03-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.014022-7.42%0.012814-15.39%0.1148✓1.10170k2022-03-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.074592-7.45%0.0712-11.66%0.0768✓1.341.1M2022-03-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.444899-7.58%0.41-14.83%0.1241✓1.881.9M2022-03-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.018986-7.91%0.01896-8.04%0.0272✓1.142.4M2022-03-21
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.3166-8.06%3.2407-10.17%0.0515✓1.262.2M2022-03-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0778.1258-8.16%86.26+1.40%0.0676✓1.39110.8M2022-03-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7619,702.25-9.08%20,359.40-6.05%0.0100✓1.016.2M2022-03-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6924.2015-9.32%27.93+4.65%0.1196✗1.0561.0M2022-03-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.884122-9.93%0.7969-18.82%0.1210✓0.761.5M2022-03-21
PROPropyEthereum2.161.9321-10.55%1.59-26.39%0.2353✓1.79708k2022-03-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.6341-13.33%1.499-20.49%0.1207✓1.52189k2022-03-21
API3Api3Ethereum7.476.4256-13.98%4.917-34.18%0.2725✓0.222.0M2022-03-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.