8=======>

2022-02-19 · +1d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0900
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.3209+0.31%2.1375-7.61%0.0418✗0.9328k2022-02-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.861172+0.02%0.796-7.55%0.0201✗1.342.4M2022-02-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.4912+0.01%1.454-2.48%0.0249✓1.152.1M2022-02-20
SOLSolanaSolana91.3491.3446+0.01%90.78-0.61%0.0486✓1.26179.7M2022-02-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.204127-0.02%0.194647-4.67%0.0028✓1.0322.0M2022-02-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.2539-0.04%0.24-5.51%0.0162✓0.9273k2022-02-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.425.3899-0.04%23.63-6.97%0.0063✓1.501.9M2022-02-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2656.2622-0.04%5.697-9.07%0.0518✓0.98361k2022-02-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.025146-0.05%0.02116-15.90%0.1125✓1.3810.9M2022-02-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05311.8656-0.06%302.87-2.94%0.0134✗0.988.4M2022-02-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.140906-0.07%0.136714-3.04%0.0137✗1.015.2M2022-02-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59115.5097-0.07%110.69-4.24%0.0104✗1.2131.4M2022-02-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8454.7986-0.08%52.1-5.00%0.0051✗1.279.2M2022-02-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.1663-0.08%2.067-4.66%0.0014✓1.0420k2022-02-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.089176-0.08%0.08575-3.92%0.0085✗1.0950k2022-02-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.6718-0.09%2.828-23.05%0.2121✓1.12579k2022-02-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.078325-0.10%0.0729-7.02%0.0230✓1.12194k2022-02-20
QNTQuantEthereum110.71110.6032-0.10%107.71-2.71%0.0175✗1.017.2M2022-02-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.040599-0.10%0.03914-3.69%0.0110✗1.0932k2022-02-20
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0310.0184-0.12%9.36-6.68%0.0110✓1.3111.7M2022-02-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.419599-0.12%0.3961-5.71%0.0048✗1.431.6M2022-02-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.546845-0.12%0.5079-7.23%0.0120✓1.42610k2022-02-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.085.0737-0.12%4.65-8.46%0.0415✓1.05510k2022-02-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0039,851.17-0.12%38,642.80-3.15%0.0118✗0.9851k2022-02-20
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.9775-0.13%1.82-8.08%0.0376✓1.043.2M2022-02-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,760.92-0.13%2,622.47-5.14%0.0029✓1.11588.4M2022-02-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.159772-0.13%0.15607-2.44%0.0396✗1.4432k2022-02-20
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18145.9847-0.13%137.55-5.90%0.0025✗1.426.8M2022-02-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8175-0.14%1.73-4.95%0.0090✗1.342.0M2022-02-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0614.0401-0.14%12.98-7.68%0.0336✓1.03483k2022-02-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.02751.0259-0.15%0.98512-4.12%0.0051✗1.05193k2022-02-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.1303-0.15%1.063-6.10%0.0073✓1.243.1M2022-02-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.246598-0.16%0.2213-10.40%0.0418✓1.523.7M2022-02-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.197673-0.16%0.1863-5.91%0.0003✓1.363.5M2022-02-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.8301-0.17%16.92-5.26%0.0062✗1.3432.4M2022-02-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009653-0.17%0.00912-5.69%0.0118✓1.03504k2022-02-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.728.65-0.17%27.23-5.12%0.0042✓1.075.2M2022-02-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.071134-0.18%0.06754-5.22%0.0185✓0.7688k2022-02-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6487.4774-0.19%84.46-3.63%0.0037✗0.891.1M2022-02-20
LUNATerraTerra 250.4650.3661-0.19%49.33-2.24%0.0407✗1.415.3M2022-02-20
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.994996-0.19%0.9319-6.52%0.0173✓1.1197.3M2022-02-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.059186-0.19%0.0531-10.46%0.0328✓1.7364.3M2022-02-20
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.157795-0.19%0.154-2.59%0.0058✗0.69362k2022-02-20
XEMNEMnative0.10180.101598-0.20%0.0988-2.95%0.0165✗1.0239k2022-02-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.999.9695-0.21%8.95-10.41%0.0539✓1.243.2M2022-02-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5805-0.21%2.5-3.33%0.0243✗1.28845k2022-02-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.6604-0.21%1.532-7.93%0.0211✓1.361.1M2022-02-20
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000077939-0.22%0.00007437-4.79%0.0025✗1.134.8M2022-02-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067751-0.22%0.0654-3.68%0.0119✗1.0816k2022-02-20
KSMKusamaHydration151.15150.8162-0.22%138.87-8.12%0.0313✓1.17973k2022-02-20
ZENHorizenBase38.1338.0441-0.23%34.75-8.86%0.0223✓1.56405k2022-02-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.987719-0.23%0.9-9.09%0.0380✓1.26818k2022-02-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.5664-0.23%1.41-10.19%0.0457✓1.362.7M2022-02-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.144058-0.24%0.1362-5.68%0.0113✓1.03470k2022-02-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.051417-0.24%0.0487-5.51%0.0055✗1.37951k2022-02-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.487832-0.24%0.471-3.68%0.0255✗1.394.7M2022-02-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.416197-0.24%0.3917-6.11%0.0000✓1.398.8M2022-02-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.556247-0.24%0.516-7.46%0.0179✓1.312.3M2022-02-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.8563-0.24%6.591-4.10%0.0240✓0.3536k2022-02-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0584-0.24%2.9539-3.65%0.0067✗0.952.5M2022-02-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.01188-0.26%0.01078-9.49%0.0289✓1.562.2M2022-02-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.2875-0.26%4.0929-4.78%0.0053✗1.19330k2022-02-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.272297-0.26%0.2525-7.51%0.0277✓1.09538k2022-02-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.324156-0.26%0.3-7.69%0.0193✓1.332.3M2022-02-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.3583-0.27%4.06-7.09%0.0176✓1.222.5M2022-02-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.005086-0.27%0.00465-8.82%0.0048✓1.9413.6M2022-02-20
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.2952-0.28%7.05+32.77%0.3313✗1.03682k2022-02-20
XVGVergenative0.010320.010291-0.28%0.00962-6.78%0.0109✓1.291.2M2022-02-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.746905-0.28%0.7-6.54%0.0188✓1.052.0M2022-02-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.872-0.28%9.77-1.31%0.0184✗0.66821k2022-02-20
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25120.8935-0.29%116.98-3.52%0.0232✗1.2966k2022-02-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.4128-0.30%2.48+2.48%0.0802✗1.21383k2022-02-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1115.0648-0.30%14.71-2.65%0.0061✗0.691.7M2022-02-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0616.0119-0.30%15.23-5.17%0.0238✗1.693.0M2022-02-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.026011-0.30%0.025474-2.36%0.0289✗1.1489k2022-02-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04163.0324-0.30%3.02-0.71%0.0390✗0.992.4M2022-02-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9439,980.36-0.30%38,389.03-4.27%0.0030✗1.00646.5M2022-02-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.028692-0.31%0.02715-5.66%0.0184✓0.845.2M2022-02-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5215.472-0.31%14.6-5.93%0.0053✓1.2167.7M2022-02-20
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.063285-0.31%0.06201-2.32%0.0165✗0.84330k2022-02-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.6639-0.31%1.6203-2.93%0.0222✗1.1275k2022-02-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.8011-0.32%2.55-9.25%0.0280✓1.5115.0M2022-02-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.897223-0.32%0.8455-6.07%0.0053✓1.2425.9M2022-02-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8220.7523-0.33%19.82-4.80%0.0074✗1.2210.8M2022-02-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.2463-0.33%7.17-1.38%0.0015✓0.211.4M2022-02-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000027409-0.33%0.00002547-7.38%0.0131✓1.383.8M2022-02-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.749831-0.34%0.70618-6.14%0.0048✗1.48334k2022-02-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.7711-0.34%18.962-4.42%0.0110✗1.219.9M2022-02-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2618-0.34%5.01-5.11%0.0159✓0.76415k2022-02-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012615-0.35%0.01266+0.00%0.0388✗0.8115k2022-02-20
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.1782-0.35%2.039-6.72%0.0224✓1.0076k2022-02-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2019.9278-0.36%18.7-6.50%0.0131✓1.1623.2M2022-02-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.080306-0.36%0.0744-7.69%0.0179✓1.341.1M2022-02-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.4556-0.37%4.211-5.84%0.0212✓0.81395k2022-02-20
HIVEHivenative0.96350.959962-0.37%0.9158-4.95%0.0210✗1.561.8M2022-02-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3712-0.37%2.28-4.20%0.0054✗1.02327k2022-02-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.591822-0.37%0.570834-3.91%0.0135✗1.143.6M2022-02-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.250258-0.37%0.2401-4.42%0.0021✓1.001.9M2022-02-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.7444-0.38%5.516-4.34%0.0059✓0.7965k2022-02-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.8977-0.38%5.7-3.72%0.0021✓0.83398k2022-02-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.574-0.38%1.44-8.86%0.0360✓1.211.2M2022-02-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.9632-0.38%6.57-6.01%0.0418✓0.371.4M2022-02-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.095924-0.39%0.091-5.50%0.0129✗1.50903k2022-02-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.417365-0.39%0.3785-9.67%0.0255✓1.6517.3M2022-02-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.8548-0.39%3.63-6.20%0.0001✓1.387.4M2022-02-20
FTTFTXEthereum42.7842.611-0.40%40.84-4.53%0.0084✗1.1728.5M2022-02-20
GTGateEthereum6.65486.6283-0.40%6.2563-5.99%0.0217✓0.833.6M2022-02-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.015083-0.41%0.01318-12.97%0.0870✓1.10170k2022-02-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.823585-0.41%0.7859-4.97%0.0003✓1.0810.1M2022-02-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.029874-0.42%0.028-6.67%0.0013✓1.45499k2022-02-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.7284-0.42%2.57-6.20%0.0161✓1.00723k2022-02-20
DASHDashDash102.42101.9823-0.43%98.1-4.22%0.0096✗1.111.5M2022-02-20
STXStacksnative1.311.3044-0.43%1.23-6.11%0.0028✓1.28845k2022-02-20
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.6656-0.43%5.36-5.80%0.0115✓1.011.9M2022-02-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.3824-0.43%6.14-4.21%0.0013✓0.86430k2022-02-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.88393-0.44%0.8239-7.20%0.0067✓1.46453k2022-02-20
ZECZcashZcash112.33111.8342-0.44%108.11-3.76%0.0194✗1.227.6M2022-02-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.7703-0.44%5.735-1.05%0.0104✗0.38441k2022-02-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.546-0.46%0.5119-6.67%0.0252✓0.90741k2022-02-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.8781-0.47%2.6921-6.90%0.0158✓1.173.3M2022-02-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.039479-0.48%0.03634-8.39%0.0520✓0.711.9M2022-02-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.9586-0.49%2.798-5.89%0.0217✓0.78206k2022-02-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.134339-0.49%0.127-5.93%0.0087✓1.0954k2022-02-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5723-0.49%1.49-5.70%0.0002✓1.231.2M2022-02-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4820.3794-0.49%18.79-8.25%0.0144✓1.53371k2022-02-20
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.5897-0.49%3.2624-9.56%0.0407✓1.262.2M2022-02-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.8059-0.50%2.76-2.13%0.0272✗1.00698k2022-02-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.1469-0.50%1.1176-3.04%0.0294✗1.272.6M2022-02-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.7527-0.51%6.2326-8.17%0.0167✓1.45198k2022-02-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.2644-0.51%3.107-5.30%0.0107✓0.89502k2022-02-20
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.00000201-0.51%0.00000197-2.48%0.0237✗1.0014.4M2022-02-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.146428-0.52%0.1343-8.76%0.0298✓1.303.3M2022-02-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.845517-0.53%0.78-8.24%0.0053✗1.971.2M2022-02-20
XMRMoneroMonero161.12160.2625-0.53%153.87-4.50%0.0037✓1.021.1M2022-02-20
NANOnanopayBase2.0712.0599-0.54%1.9689-4.93%0.0090✗1.24263k2022-02-20
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556884.0911-0.55%74.3242-12.10%0.0591✓1.47305k2022-02-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.9687-0.58%2.0176+1.89%0.0482✗0.542.9M2022-02-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9430.7524-0.61%27.93-9.73%0.0552✓0.941.3M2022-02-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.478429-0.62%0.4602-4.40%0.0431✗1.881.9M2022-02-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.975269-0.64%0.95-3.22%0.0069✗0.761.5M2022-02-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7621,527.72-0.66%20,667.46-4.63%0.0032✓1.016.2M2022-02-20
BANDBandEthereum4.934.8965-0.68%4.38-11.16%0.0581✓1.221.9M2022-02-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.058972-0.68%0.051219-13.74%0.0878✓1.227.5M2022-02-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6926.4998-0.71%26.09-2.25%0.0302✗1.0561.0M2022-02-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0784.4454-0.73%77.39-9.03%0.0264✓1.39110.8M2022-02-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.02046-0.76%0.019255-6.61%0.0108✓1.142.4M2022-02-20
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0018-0.82%0.94-6.93%0.0200✓1.00274k2022-02-20
PROPropyEthereum2.162.1405-0.90%1.96-9.26%0.0100✓1.79708k2022-02-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.8649-1.09%1.8141-3.78%0.0389✗1.52189k2022-02-20
API3Api3Ethereum7.477.3512-1.59%6.97-6.69%0.0437✓0.222.0M2022-02-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.