2022-02-09 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2442

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.1%

in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.1229	+0.62%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0072	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	188.9345	+0.39%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2916	✗	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.159062	+0.01%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.1804	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.094207	-0.10%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1341	✓	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.6055	-0.13%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0647	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,340.40	-0.34%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0002	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7705	-0.64%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0163	✗	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.1698	-0.68%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6269	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	343.4898	-0.79%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0377	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.3194	-0.82%	2.741	-18.11%	0.0807	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.285387	-0.91%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1025	✓	0.95	70k	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.815	-0.93%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0577	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.184583	-1.19%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.2264	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013068	-1.30%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0117	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0718	-1.31%	0.807	-25.69%	0.0962	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.119558	-1.36%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.1025	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	189.6144	-1.36%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2582	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.614754	-1.37%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2665	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046122	-1.45%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0134	✓	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078199	-1.51%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0135	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.5719	-1.55%	45.9	-32.12%	0.2052	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9666	-1.58%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.2238	✗	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.3535	-1.69%	5.85	-21.79%	0.1845	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.7231	-1.71%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0841	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011839	-1.75%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1599	✓	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040257	-1.81%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.8819	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	20.8631	-1.91%	13.72	-35.50%	0.1830	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.0881	-1.96%	8.51	-30.98%	0.1703	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.579081	-2.02%	0.385	-34.86%	0.2116	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9158	-2.04%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4426	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3503	-2.07%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1690	✓	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.068455	-2.13%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0055	✓	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	6.9863	-2.15%	7.84	+9.80%	0.2259	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	27.8614	-2.17%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1341	✗	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.0474	-2.18%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0161	✓	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.233469	-2.25%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.1003	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	146.7265	-2.30%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1219	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.235506	-2.36%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0078	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,167.41	-2.43%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0623	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	112.1482	-2.44%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0113	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030433	-2.46%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.0876	✓	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3183	-2.48%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.1696	✓	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.1887	-2.49%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0782	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0056	-2.51%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8356	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.083539	-2.56%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0565	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.2073	-2.63%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1701	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2207	-2.66%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.0833	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007237	-2.72%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4441	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	6.9797	-2.79%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0149	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	32.9707	-2.80%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1586	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.914737	-2.81%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1304	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.7309	-2.81%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3444	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.75	-2.83%	2.16	-23.67%	0.1024	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.47345	-2.92%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2150	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.1451	-2.94%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5436	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.6828	-2.98%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1301	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	98.464	-2.99%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1088	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.057629	-3.00%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0038	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.4071	-3.00%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1788	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.801819	-3.04%	0.636	-23.10%	0.0823	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1579	-3.08%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2324	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	110.5042	-3.10%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1450	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,037.78	-3.10%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0315	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8465	-3.18%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3118	✓	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	179.885	-3.20%	170.68	-8.15%	0.0900	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.308291	-3.21%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0241	✓	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056322	-3.21%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1772	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.123881	-3.22%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0271	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.523	-3.26%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.3786	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.138234	-3.27%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0009	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.8037	-3.27%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0516	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.0218	-3.29%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4400	✓	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	7.9846	-3.37%	4.594	-44.40%	0.4143	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.202	-3.42%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1166	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	24.9141	-3.43%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1212	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000031845	-3.44%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.1754	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.4286	-3.47%	7.075	+6.23%	0.2297	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.797	-3.48%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0506	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.985981	-3.49%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1840	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	5.8648	-3.54%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1366	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	121.5319	-3.58%	153.51	+21.79%	0.4061	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.103962	-3.60%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0136	✓	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.119234	-3.61%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2027	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.6466	-3.63%	4.778	-30.72%	0.2064	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	32.6084	-3.64%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0621	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016382	-3.68%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1619	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.73292	-3.68%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3585	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.579517	-3.69%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0007	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.0102	-3.83%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0198	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000093462	-3.86%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.0893	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.7444	-3.91%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1409	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	102.835	-3.96%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5518	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014491	-3.97%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0263	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.7307	-3.97%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0568	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.161132	-3.97%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0640	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.0956	-3.98%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0092	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012023	-4.05%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.0608	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	138.3347	-4.09%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1298	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	15.8321	-4.11%	12.74	-22.83%	0.0738	✓	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	45.991	-4.13%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0404	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.221061	-4.13%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1352	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.5968	-4.16%	4.165	-28.68%	0.1284	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.913	-4.26%	5.57	-40.17%	0.4225	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	0.992594	-4.29%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.1970	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0239	-4.30%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0407	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.388503	-4.31%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2082	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.2642	-4.34%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1291	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1207	-4.44%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0581	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2333	-4.45%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0931	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.3662	-4.46%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0356	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3657	-4.49%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1692	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	133.8398	-4.54%	104.55	-25.43%	0.0685	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0471	-4.60%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.1946	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8397	-4.68%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1598	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.2879	-4.80%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1262	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	45.5192	-4.83%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0264	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3196	-5.15%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3316	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.6683	-5.20%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.4599	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.305012	-5.22%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2291	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.1626	-5.36%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1844	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.86	-5.48%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4096	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0294	-5.56%	0.59	-45.87%	0.2912	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.624	-5.58%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0405	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.00000219	-5.59%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.0705	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3074	-5.62%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3403	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.665941	-5.77%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.1528	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.044251	-5.83%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.0553	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.4004	-5.95%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.0520	✓	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.532201	-6.05%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.2780	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.081415	-6.10%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0195	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.278226	-6.10%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.0928	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.1715	-6.11%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.1538	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.080632	-6.24%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.1070	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.0199	-6.49%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2595	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.5206	-6.56%	2.42	-59.04%	0.6878	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.4395	-6.73%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2423	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.7617	-6.89%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2835	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	28.7516	-7.07%	27.47	-11.22%	0.1064	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	83.7557	-7.12%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0228	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.022423	-7.47%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1025	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.030977	-8.08%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.0918	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	24,160.73	-8.11%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1355	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.2575	-8.23%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2652	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	2.9985	-8.27%	1.662	-49.16%	0.4532	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.034317	-8.42%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.6597	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2196	-9.72%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.3962	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.0263	-11.13%	1.157	-49.25%	0.3718	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.716363	-12.66%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.3505	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.