8=======>

2022-02-07 · +1d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0929
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.1%
in alpha space · 78.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09150.089365-2.33%0.0865-5.46%0.0394✓1.39540k2022-02-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032550.000031955-1.83%0.00003097-4.85%0.0382✓1.401.3M2022-02-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015840.015651-1.19%0.01536-3.03%0.0261✓1.491.7M2022-02-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383890.038049-0.88%0.034271-10.73%0.1108✓1.27117k2022-02-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.22681.2164-0.85%1.319+7.52%0.0734✗1.53103k2022-02-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09010.08939-0.79%0.0799-11.32%0.1205✓1.6827.2M2022-02-08
XEMNEMnative0.11750.116591-0.77%0.1163-1.02%0.0077✓1.0535k2022-02-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.950.942849-0.75%1.05+10.53%0.0981✗1.92996k2022-02-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64830.643433-0.75%0.8556+31.98%0.2759✗1.841.8M2022-02-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28783.2653-0.69%3.4688+5.50%0.0556✗0.972.8M2022-02-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.246-0.62%2.26+0.00%0.0006✓1.373.3M2022-02-08
SCSiacoinnative0.012110.012037-0.60%0.01176-2.89%0.0283✓1.02572k2022-02-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.40295.3706-0.60%5.215-3.48%0.0355✓1.24442k2022-02-08
ZENHorizenBase48.247.92-0.58%47.62-1.20%0.0140✓1.56457k2022-02-08
MOVRMoonriverBase105.8832105.2684-0.58%101.7616-3.89%0.0410✓1.44319k2022-02-08
QNTQuantEthereum154.1153.2231-0.57%147.49-4.29%0.0431✓1.017.6M2022-02-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.79020.785725-0.57%0.7515-4.90%0.0522✓1.541.0M2022-02-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2991.2916-0.57%1.3504+3.96%0.0395✗1.002.4M2022-02-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03690.036706-0.53%0.0344-6.78%0.0725✓1.54490k2022-02-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.5224.3924-0.52%24.6+0.33%0.0026✓1.1910.4M2022-02-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.2876.2544-0.52%5.831-7.25%0.0750✓1.001.2M2022-02-08
XVSVenusEthereum10.3310.277-0.51%9.72-5.91%0.0622✓1.312.3M2022-02-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7537.7138-0.51%7.632-1.56%0.0157✓1.02394k2022-02-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7713-0.49%3.85+1.58%0.0191✗0.321.5M2022-02-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3267.9871-0.49%66.79-2.24%0.0238✓1.227.8M2022-02-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.2382.8305-0.48%86.45+3.87%0.0361✗1.3485.1M2022-02-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.79933.7813-0.47%3.6711-3.37%0.0340✓0.8927k2022-02-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.4439-0.47%3.5194+1.71%0.0170✗0.952.0M2022-02-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99871.9893-0.47%1.9181-4.03%0.0396✓0.633.1M2022-02-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.227240.226208-0.45%0.22456-1.18%0.0152✓1.5936k2022-02-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.283708-0.45%0.283-0.70%0.0073✓0.9770k2022-02-08
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9718.9309-0.45%8.653-3.54%0.0333✓0.3538k2022-02-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.382.3694-0.45%2.25-5.46%0.0576✓1.192.0M2022-02-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50650.504247-0.44%0.4741-6.40%0.0683✓1.349.3M2022-02-08
STXStacksnative1.721.7124-0.44%1.69-1.74%0.0181✓1.001.3M2022-02-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.089850.089457-0.44%0.08606-4.22%0.0426✓0.7886k2022-02-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16641.1614-0.43%1.0791-7.48%0.0811✓1.53725k2022-02-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.23450.233508-0.42%0.2258-3.71%0.0404✓1.383.6M2022-02-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09480.094406-0.42%0.0919-3.06%0.0330✓1.22244k2022-02-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.763.7449-0.40%3.641-3.16%0.0324✓0.86585k2022-02-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.235-0.40%1.19-4.03%0.0438✓1.34511k2022-02-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.07061.0663-0.40%1.0239-4.36%0.0460✓1.0929.2M2022-02-08
ZECZcashZcash128.86128.3459-0.40%133.12+3.31%0.0302✗1.296.6M2022-02-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.82334.8041-0.40%7.5798+57.15%0.4548✗0.25376k2022-02-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.30021.2951-0.40%1.2693-2.38%0.0260✓1.202.3M2022-02-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.95.8766-0.40%5.53-6.27%0.0669✓1.242.6M2022-02-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,893.5043,719.32-0.40%42,914.50-2.23%0.0234✓0.9741k2022-02-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.563.5461-0.39%3.42-3.93%0.0432✓1.4120.8M2022-02-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.8121.725-0.39%20.1-7.84%0.0863✓1.733.8M2022-02-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0790.078693-0.39%0.0786-0.51%0.0066✓1.0921k2022-02-08
FTTFTXEthereum47.2247.0377-0.39%46.39-1.76%0.0197✓1.1733.0M2022-02-08
ADACardanoCardano1.19911.1945-0.38%1.1764-1.89%0.0208✓1.12109.8M2022-02-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.679550.676955-0.38%0.681804+0.33%0.0014✓1.163.5M2022-02-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.30920.2319-0.38%20.237-0.35%0.0064✓1.3410.4M2022-02-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046570.046395-0.38%0.04533-2.66%0.0288✓1.1229k2022-02-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6632.5383-0.37%32.06-1.84%0.0201✓1.073.8M2022-02-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.6562.6463-0.36%2.561-3.58%0.0380✓1.0722k2022-02-08
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3082.2996-0.36%2.166-6.15%0.0648✓1.0066k2022-02-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.12341.8905-0.36%335.57-2.20%0.0238✓1.036.8M2022-02-08
HIVEHivenative1.23171.2273-0.36%1.1789-4.29%0.0475✓1.461.9M2022-02-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.92311.9163-0.35%1.8682-2.85%0.0309✓1.1176k2022-02-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.5350.533104-0.35%0.5288-1.16%0.0152✓1.442.0M2022-02-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,868.0743,713.94-0.35%44,085.59+0.50%0.0035✓1.00642.7M2022-02-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.387.3544-0.35%6.81-7.72%0.0820✓1.03751k2022-02-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.6331.5209-0.34%30.42-3.83%0.0412✓1.14103.7M2022-02-08
LUNATerraTerra 259.4859.2788-0.34%57.22-3.80%0.0423✓1.418.8M2022-02-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4951.49-0.34%1.422-4.88%0.0529✓1.273.4M2022-02-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15930.158765-0.34%0.1638+2.82%0.0261✗1.03349k2022-02-08
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.581043-0.34%0.557-4.46%0.0494✓1.454.6M2022-02-08
PROPropyEthereum2.22.1928-0.33%2.23+1.36%0.0119✗1.001.7M2022-02-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8681.8619-0.33%1.791-4.12%0.0446✓1.171.5M2022-02-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.99850.995277-0.32%0.9872-1.13%0.0134✓1.0613.5M2022-02-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,141.893,131.90-0.32%3,119.57-0.71%0.0094✓1.10544.5M2022-02-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0942.0874-0.32%2.11+0.76%0.0044✗1.291.2M2022-02-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5764.5615-0.32%4.578+0.04%0.0005✓0.83359k2022-02-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.062920.062721-0.32%0.05908-6.10%0.0669✓1.431.5M2022-02-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007010.006988-0.31%0.00724+3.28%0.0256✗1.9919.8M2022-02-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2396230.238876-0.31%0.242394+1.16%0.0095✗1.0424.4M2022-02-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.272.263-0.31%2.19-3.52%0.0393✓1.312.2M2022-02-08
IMXImmutableEthereum2.862.8512-0.31%2.78-2.80%0.0299✓0.932.4M2022-02-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0423.9672-0.30%23.02-4.24%0.0461✓1.1726.9M2022-02-08
XYMSymbolnative0.19160.191024-0.30%0.1858-3.03%0.0313✓0.72419k2022-02-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.56463.5539-0.30%3.5159-1.37%0.0162✓1.112.5M2022-02-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin137.43137.0194-0.30%133.82-2.63%0.0300✓1.2930.6M2022-02-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.600207-0.30%0.5442-9.60%0.1069✓1.8040.2M2022-02-08
BANDBandEthereum4.064.048-0.30%3.96-2.46%0.0282✓1.272.0M2022-02-08
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0668-0.29%1.06-0.93%0.0114✓1.00293k2022-02-08
BTTCBTTC0.000002350.000002343-0.29%0.00000225-4.26%0.0455✓1.0015.1M2022-02-08
KSMKusamaHydration198.23197.6631-0.29%192.41-2.94%0.0329✓1.211.0M2022-02-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.069.0342-0.28%8.65-4.53%0.0453✓0.371.6M2022-02-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427450.042625-0.28%0.04912+14.91%0.1360✗1.178.4M2022-02-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.0631.9701-0.28%30.82-3.87%0.0439✓1.472.0M2022-02-08
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3812.3455-0.28%11.95-3.47%0.0391✓1.3212.5M2022-02-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0230540.02299-0.28%0.022305-3.25%0.0363✓1.222.5M2022-02-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13820.13782-0.27%0.1335-3.40%0.0387✓1.383.2M2022-02-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3840.382951-0.27%0.371-3.39%0.0383✓1.331.7M2022-02-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.39811.3944-0.27%1.344-3.87%0.0420✓1.05308k2022-02-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8540.851728-0.27%0.809-5.27%0.0569✓1.101.6M2022-02-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047780.047653-0.27%0.04628-3.14%0.0342✓1.005.1M2022-02-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.816.756-0.26%16.15-3.87%0.0420✓1.05616k2022-02-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.093.0819-0.26%3-2.91%0.0330✓1.23407k2022-02-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.32470.323861-0.26%0.3065-5.61%0.0628✓1.564.1M2022-02-08
XVGVergenative0.012220.012188-0.26%0.01184-3.11%0.0355✓1.321.3M2022-02-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.132658-0.26%0.123-7.52%0.0805✓1.0090k2022-02-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.32670.325881-0.25%0.3139-3.92%0.0430✓1.12554k2022-02-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63740.635813-0.25%0.6264-1.73%0.0214✓1.322.6M2022-02-08
DASHDashDash115.9115.6168-0.24%112.75-2.72%0.0308✓1.152.4M2022-02-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1652910.164895-0.24%0.1583-4.23%0.0460✓1.047.1M2022-02-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0731.0705-0.24%1.045-2.61%0.0309✓1.392.3M2022-02-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.3722.3171-0.24%21.68-3.08%0.0357✓1.3640.7M2022-02-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27140.270763-0.23%0.2815+3.72%0.0338✗1.031.7M2022-02-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.12480.124514-0.23%0.1243-0.40%0.0095✓1.571.6M2022-02-08
NANOnanopayBase2.36272.3573-0.23%2.3589-0.16%0.0051✓1.18845k2022-02-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104410.104172-0.23%0.10219-2.13%0.0244✓1.0547k2022-02-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.9626.9464-0.22%6.692-3.88%0.0418✓0.9181k2022-02-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2316.1943-0.22%17.23+6.16%0.0586✗0.69908k2022-02-08
XMRMoneroMonero185.08184.6744-0.22%179-3.29%0.0364✓1.051.6M2022-02-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62570.624333-0.22%0.5993-4.22%0.0462✓1.071.4M2022-02-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.796.7753-0.22%6.83+0.59%0.0037✗0.87416k2022-02-08
SOLSolanaSolana117.62117.365-0.22%113.58-3.43%0.0389✓1.24181.0M2022-02-08
XECeCashnative0.000090070.000089875-0.22%0.00009444+4.85%0.0439✗1.155.5M2022-02-08
XTZTezosTezos4.14084.1319-0.22%4.3927+6.08%0.0547✗1.322.3M2022-02-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.033230.03316-0.21%0.0314-5.51%0.0590✓0.907.3M2022-02-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.5425.4871-0.21%25.99+1.76%0.0118✗1.57411k2022-02-08
COMPCompoundEthereum145.96145.6582-0.21%147.97+1.38%0.0094✗1.2965k2022-02-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0227.9664-0.19%27.08-3.35%0.0370✓0.97528k2022-02-08
RADRadworksEthereum65.9887-0.19%6.13+2.17%0.0181✗1.06867k2022-02-08
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9512-0.18%4.65-6.25%0.0696✓1.388.3M2022-02-08
GTGateEthereum7.30857.2956-0.18%6.8111-6.81%0.0731✓0.894.1M2022-02-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.966860.965176-0.17%0.92382-4.45%0.0512✓1.49311k2022-02-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3971-0.17%7.29-1.62%0.0162✓0.331.1M2022-02-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,559.7226,513.84-0.17%25,530.13-3.88%0.0425✓0.9512.1M2022-02-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.822.8153-0.17%2.78-1.42%0.0176✓1.01504k2022-02-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9268-0.17%1.86-3.63%0.0415✓1.261.7M2022-02-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.410.3833-0.16%10.47+0.67%0.0049✗0.70627k2022-02-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.8502-0.16%18.4-2.54%0.0300✓1.1876.9M2022-02-08
TRXTRONTron0.0685170.068412-0.15%0.068059-0.67%0.0097✓0.91362k2022-02-08
UMAUMAEthereum6.616.6004-0.15%6.51-1.51%0.0187✓1.001.9M2022-02-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.47037.46-0.14%7.0785-5.25%0.0597✓1.46156k2022-02-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013540.013523-0.12%0.01315-2.88%0.0320✓0.8113k2022-02-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.78101.6635-0.11%101.44-0.33%0.0067✓0.921.5M2022-02-08
AAVEAaveEthereum182.29182.1129-0.10%184.15+1.02%0.0042✗1.409.8M2022-02-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9452.9422-0.09%2.847-3.33%0.0395✓1.34986k2022-02-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.041070.041032-0.09%0.04001-2.58%0.0307✓1.109.0M2022-02-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3063.303-0.09%3.261-1.36%0.0168✓0.80206k2022-02-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.017210.017197-0.08%0.016889-1.87%0.0239✓1.192.0M2022-02-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.656.6461-0.06%6.95+4.51%0.0408✗0.80441k2022-02-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.6206+0.01%5.63+0.18%0.0021✗0.77356k2022-02-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.