8=======>

2022-02-06 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1971
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.1%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58260.509681-12.52%0.4042-30.62%0.0675✓1.821.8M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32661.1767-11.30%0.7371-44.44%0.3773✓1.002.5M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.171.9293-11.09%1.274-41.29%0.2917✓1.363.4M2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022030.019934-9.51%0.01691-23.24%0.0552✓1.212.5M2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.032048-9.21%0.0246-30.31%0.1262✓1.53490k2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,634.4122,379.73-9.15%19,352.13-21.44%0.0607✓0.9412.3M2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum2.131.9418-8.83%1.54-27.70%0.1415✓1.001.8M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.065061-8.62%0.0696-2.25%0.1853✗1.30540k2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3128.6475-8.50%27.87-10.99%0.0763✓1.15103.8M2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum4.814.4076-8.37%2.9-39.71%0.2936✓1.388.3M2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1435.6348-8.27%2.467-59.84%0.7356✓1.001.4M2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383920.035236-8.22%0.016926-55.91%0.6187✓1.27117k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0631.9036-7.73%1.338-35.14%0.2349✓1.301.2M2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09290.086089-7.33%0.0566-39.07%0.2615✓1.7526.7M2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.0573.2902-7.29%72.98-7.68%0.1172✗1.3485.1M2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53050.49229-7.20%0.3413-35.66%0.2048✓1.7942.5M2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048880.045434-7.05%0.03821-21.83%0.0828✓1.005.3M2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.681.563-6.96%1.06-36.90%0.2980✓1.001.2M2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.3786-6.93%5.243+44.44%0.4662✗0.301.5M2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.92563.6542-6.91%3.0102-23.32%0.0747✓1.322.3M2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000002280.000002123-6.89%0.00000181-20.61%0.0691✓1.0014.9M2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.30033.0744-6.85%2.3938-27.47%0.1605✓0.992.8M2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0761.9401-6.55%3.0589+47.35%0.5150✗0.663.2M2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.830.778292-6.23%0.6-27.71%0.0901✓1.88996k2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase47.4944.5512-6.19%39.86-16.07%0.0304✓1.57531k2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10731.0395-6.12%1.3396+20.98%0.3889✗1.50103k2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.588.0588-6.08%5.71-33.45%0.3129✓0.351.6M2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.393.1854-6.04%2.035-39.97%0.3204✓1.4120.8M2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.7479-6.03%1.298-30.22%0.1832✓1.271.8M2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.6523.176-5.98%18.57-24.67%0.0793✓1.57411k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum140.8132.455-5.93%103-26.85%0.1350✓1.2959k2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.3110.29266-5.90%0.2009-35.40%0.2345✓1.574.1M2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4038-5.72%1.132-23.98%0.0993✓1.283.4M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.010.952916-5.65%0.92-8.91%0.0552✓1.00298k2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.21771.1491-5.63%0.8637-29.07%0.1516✓1.481.9M2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.1290.121778-5.60%0.0836-35.19%0.2316✓1.601.6M2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168350.015898-5.57%0.011366-32.49%0.2278✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2412.1164-5.56%1.824-18.61%0.0583✓1.0066k2022-03-08
UMAUMAEthereum6.446.0843-5.52%7.832+21.61%0.3431✗1.001.9M2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12221.0606-5.49%0.734-34.59%0.2309✓1.52672k2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.8735-5.48%1.82-40.13%0.3447✓1.24407k2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77520.733052-5.44%0.4195-45.88%0.4179✓1.551.1M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61910.585793-5.38%0.5126-17.20%0.0355✓1.081.4M2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26070.246763-5.35%0.2233-14.35%0.0069✓1.031.7M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6599060.625852-5.16%0.497835-24.56%0.1239✓1.163.3M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46683.2885-5.14%2.0561-40.69%0.3916✓0.8626k2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero173.8165.14-4.98%203.38+17.02%0.3022✗1.041.6M2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.942620.89578-4.97%0.65836-30.16%0.1716✓1.51334k2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash124.6118.4176-4.96%138.68+11.30%0.2741✗1.286.6M2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.1971.1378-4.94%1.1917-0.44%0.1534✗1.192.3M2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.1606-4.87%1.006-17.54%0.0211✓1.35490k2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.68121.5027-4.84%100.75-21.09%0.0721✓1.2730.6M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.815.5328-4.77%3.912-32.67%0.2337✓1.252.7M2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002850.000027146-4.75%0.0000229-19.65%0.0477✓1.351.3M2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.6544.4454-4.73%40.57-13.03%0.0161✓1.1933.0M2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4621.3988-4.72%18.04-19.68%0.0649✓1.1710.4M2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.235560.22444-4.72%0.14701-37.59%0.2762✓1.6334k2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95920.914328-4.68%0.7047-26.53%0.1651✓1.0513.5M2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9120.8891-4.66%16.97-22.55%0.0837✓1.3741.9M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2815.5227-4.65%16.34+0.37%0.1147✗0.70908k2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.121174-4.59%0.1-21.26%0.1017✓1.0096k2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6373.4738-4.49%2.83-22.19%0.1275✓0.86649k2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase91.457587.3561-4.48%52.05-43.09%0.3918✓1.39319k2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24723.1056-4.36%2.9495-9.17%0.0329✓0.932.0M2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.465.2275-4.26%5.13-6.04%0.0506✗0.77356k2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum7.16246.8607-4.21%6.5581-8.44%0.0354✓0.894.0M2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.6152-4.21%2.16-20.88%0.0998✓1.01542k2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02590.983906-4.09%0.7402-27.85%0.1858✓1.0929.2M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059740.057297-4.09%0.04783-19.94%0.0514✓1.431.5M2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.34791.2928-4.09%0.93442-30.67%0.2300✓1.05326k2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01260.012087-4.07%0.01185-5.95%0.1083✗1.421.7M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3622.4508-3.89%16.86-27.83%0.1806✓1.1726.9M2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2796.0399-3.81%4.714-24.92%0.1680✓0.8881k2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum31.3330.138-3.80%23.39-25.34%0.1210✓1.472.0M2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088120.08479-3.78%0.07699-12.63%0.0257✓0.7886k2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1540.148203-3.76%0.1485-3.57%0.0952✗1.03337k2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.182.0981-3.76%1.69-22.48%0.0979✓1.312.2M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.8928.7695-3.75%26.77-10.44%0.0221✓1.043.5M2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.011520.011089-3.75%0.01031-10.50%0.0454✗1.311.3M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000086130.000082917-3.73%0.00006915-19.71%0.0784✓1.145.4M2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.31940.307636-3.68%0.2596-18.72%0.0679✓1.13533k2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum3.973.8257-3.64%3.473-12.52%0.0187✓1.282.0M2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40893.2857-3.61%2.9137-14.53%0.0204✓1.102.5M2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50740.489378-3.55%0.3058-39.73%0.3406✓1.432.0M2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1461-3.52%2.668-18.18%0.0917✓0.81206k2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.6595.2292-3.47%78.77-20.15%0.1073✓0.911.5M2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.16364.9849-3.46%3.8173-26.07%0.1554✓1.23406k2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.332.2501-3.43%1.17-49.79%0.5464✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5615.0313-3.40%12.75-18.06%0.0717✓1.03616k2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.12576.8898-3.31%5.7399-19.45%0.0508✓1.46156k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08784.9199-3.30%5.6406+10.87%0.1621✗0.28376k2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.097743-3.29%0.08944-11.51%0.0063✓1.0547k2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.646.4243-3.25%5.92-10.84%0.0027✓0.88444k2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2927.0556-3.24%4.763-34.68%0.3013✓1.01341k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,415.1641,052.24-3.21%38,749.38-8.64%0.0327✓1.00638.9M2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7842.6946-3.21%3.365+20.87%0.3423✗1.33911k2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.916.69-3.18%3.99-42.26%0.4249✓1.02818k2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.56.295-3.15%7.88+21.23%0.2967✗0.80441k2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano1.14361.1077-3.14%0.8021-29.86%0.2221✓1.11108.7M2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1310.126899-3.13%0.1137-13.21%0.0146✓1.383.2M2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.074402-3.12%0.07059-8.09%0.0467✗1.1021k2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.00119.38-3.10%18.038-9.81%0.0505✗1.3510.4M2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8160.791043-3.06%0.641-21.45%0.1114✓1.091.6M2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.2320.224958-3.04%0.1948-16.03%0.0184✓1.393.6M2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.795.6149-3.02%4.34-25.04%0.1628✓1.05802k2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013480.013074-3.01%0.01218-9.64%0.0035✓0.8213k2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4730.458802-3.00%0.3352-29.13%0.1943✓1.329.3M2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana115.32111.9522-2.92%82.35-28.59%0.1945✓1.25181.0M2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3670.356344-2.90%0.27-26.43%0.1575✓1.331.7M2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0662560.064353-2.87%0.060594-8.55%0.0215✓0.90362k2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.5560.540233-2.84%0.391-29.68%0.1926✓1.454.6M2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.7403-2.83%1.518-46.17%0.5066✓0.932.3M2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0617.558-2.78%13.09-27.52%0.1873✓1.1876.9M2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.269.9751-2.78%10.15-1.07%0.0808✗0.70627k2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.032080.031191-2.77%0.02495-22.23%0.1424✓0.897.4M2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4668.2332-2.75%5.667-33.06%0.3436✓0.3339k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.11210.109046-2.72%0.0953-14.99%0.0399✓1.0535k2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0070.006818-2.60%0.00376-46.29%0.4121✓2.0220.0M2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.85211.8051-2.53%1.8748+1.23%0.1381✗1.1172k2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8627.158-2.52%28.1+0.86%0.1228✗0.98513k2022-03-08
DASHDashDash108.83106.1857-2.43%96.39-11.43%0.0055✓1.132.5M2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2239260.218726-2.32%0.173136-22.68%0.1417✓1.0224.4M2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.01160.011339-2.25%0.00889-23.36%0.1518✓1.01550k2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59760.584241-2.24%0.6773+13.34%0.2659✗1.312.6M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.186229-2.19%0.1326-30.36%0.2742✓0.72423k2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3266.8869-2.10%46.4-32.08%0.2537✓1.247.8M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,058.222,994.86-2.07%2,576.72-15.74%0.0501✓1.11544.5M2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04080.039967-2.04%0.01098-73.09%1.1919✓1.119.0M2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase2.23812.1928-2.02%1.6748-25.17%0.1638✓1.17845k2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.8620.4607-1.91%13.87-33.51%0.2323✓1.733.8M2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration195.98192.2693-1.89%122.46-37.51%0.3403✓1.231.0M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045030.044248-1.74%0.03904-13.30%0.0234✓1.1329k2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5334.4553-1.71%4.219-6.93%0.0211✗0.84351k2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7781.7499-1.58%1.529-14.00%0.0302✓1.161.5M2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum135.95133.9267-1.49%111.08-18.29%0.0995✓0.977.5M2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.266038-1.47%0.234-13.33%0.0422✓0.9567k2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397480.039208-1.36%0.040538+1.99%0.1377✗1.158.4M2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.5832.55-1.28%2.146-16.92%0.0758✓1.0722k2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum11.711.5536-1.25%8.83-24.53%0.1501✓1.3112.2M2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.257.1732-1.06%6.17-14.90%0.1216✓0.321.1M2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,902.9041,567.10-0.80%38,942.90-7.06%0.0216✗0.9636k2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 256.1355.7059-0.76%85.48+52.29%0.5552✗1.408.4M2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0161.0092-0.67%0.805-20.77%0.1011✓1.382.3M2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15380.153198-0.39%0.116967-23.95%0.1771✓1.037.1M2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum173.57173.2695-0.17%121.68-29.90%0.2270✓1.4010.2M2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash324.8324.6424-0.05%284.53-12.40%0.0401✓1.026.8M2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08940.089425+0.03%0.0685-23.38%0.1565✗1.22244k2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum8.919.0298+1.34%8.61-3.37%0.0668✓1.272.3M2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.