2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2780

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.82%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.1%

in alpha space · 68.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.1912	+0.75%	9.34	+14.88%	0.0086	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	289.9458	+0.69%	315.29	+9.49%	0.0129	✗	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.143175	+0.48%	0.129579	-9.06%	0.1982	✗	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	163.9667	-0.05%	129.96	-20.78%	0.3618	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.082116	-0.10%	0.072	-12.41%	0.2458	✓	1.24	299k	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.5223	-0.18%	1.523	-0.13%	0.1110	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	52.0881	-0.23%	90.56	+73.45%	0.3969	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	104.6864	-0.25%	127.04	+21.05%	0.0955	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.9509	-0.47%	5.584	-6.61%	0.1601	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	53.1738	-0.55%	53.31	-0.30%	0.1050	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,459.62	-0.60%	42,572.60	+10.03%	0.0077	✗	1.02	51k	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,771.25	-0.66%	2,833.66	+1.58%	0.0802	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.200537	-0.74%	0.187901	-6.99%	0.1611	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2291	-0.80%	2.212	-1.56%	0.1083	✓	1.09	22k	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.186818	-0.89%	0.1971	+4.56%	0.0705	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.010019	-0.90%	0.00902	-10.78%	0.2013	✓	1.04	565k	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.923091	-0.96%	0.852	-8.58%	0.2076	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	25.176	-1.15%	30.05	+17.98%	0.1047	✗	0.78	462k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	10.9791	-1.18%	9.55	-14.04%	0.2648	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	96.0262	-1.24%	96.75	-0.49%	0.1017	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.039835	-1.25%	0.03967	-1.66%	0.1076	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.037822	-1.35%	0.046937	+22.42%	0.1006	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	38,189.00	-1.36%	42,464.41	+9.68%	0.0137	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.4161	-1.43%	30.25	+12.87%	0.0345	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.5644	-1.44%	6.42	-3.60%	0.0435	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.480356	-1.57%	0.448	-8.20%	0.2116	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.731	-1.58%	14.89	-12.41%	0.2289	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0791	-1.59%	0.9021	-17.73%	0.2853	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	167.8955	-1.64%	131.9	-22.73%	0.3509	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021366	-1.81%	0.00002507	+15.21%	0.0292	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1302	-1.82%	1.0476	-9.00%	0.1701	✓	1.02	346k	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.179136	-1.84%	0.146	-20.00%	0.2671	✓	0.68	472k	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.250236	-1.87%	0.273	+7.06%	0.0014	✓	0.96	67k	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.6322	-1.89%	2.873	+7.08%	0.0537	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	19.7556	-1.96%	19.97	-0.89%	0.1072	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.076824	-1.96%	0.06983	-10.89%	0.1629	✓	0.73	80k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1093	-1.98%	1.868	-13.19%	0.2361	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.5721	-2.04%	2.1075	+31.33%	0.1898	✗	1.12	82k	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.058601	-2.06%	0.060032	+0.34%	0.0620	✓	0.93	411k	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.087135	-2.12%	0.09337	+4.89%	0.0318	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	26.1012	-2.13%	25.18	-5.59%	0.1891	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.1369	-2.15%	4.418	+4.49%	0.0092	✓	0.81	351k	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.10173	-2.18%	0.1029	-1.06%	0.0827	✓	1.02	43k	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.552622	-2.19%	0.8058	+42.62%	0.2536	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000075453	-2.29%	0.00007449	-3.54%	0.1171	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	89.5419	-2.34%	83.45	-8.99%	0.1580	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.462557	-2.35%	0.381	-19.57%	0.3233	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.8607	-2.38%	6.363	-20.98%	0.2338	✓	0.24	41k	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.42881	-2.39%	0.3647	-16.98%	0.2836	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.139064	-2.41%	0.1559	+9.40%	0.0231	✓	0.99	337k	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	96.5826	-2.41%	129.17	+30.51%	0.1654	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.117	-2.44%	4.42	-29.51%	0.4123	✓	0.95	835k	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012514	-2.46%	0.01236	-3.66%	0.0946	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	112.2309	-2.50%	111.69	-2.97%	0.1300	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.567038	-2.59%	0.534619	-8.16%	0.1718	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009317	-2.65%	0.01199	+25.29%	0.1324	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006658	-2.65%	0.00456	-33.33%	0.5936	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	18.8326	-2.82%	14.3	-26.21%	0.4455	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.043318	-2.87%	0.01525	-65.81%	1.1465	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	74.082	-2.89%	66.5878	-12.71%	0.2244	✓	1.27	383k	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.112713	-2.92%	0.1221	+5.17%	0.0429	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	5.9994	-2.92%	6.3922	+3.44%	0.0717	✓	1.46	174k	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.0953	-2.94%	6.33	+0.80%	0.0426	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	106.8543	-2.95%	95.61	-13.16%	0.2218	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.7523	-3.00%	4.2636	-12.97%	0.2242	✓	1.25	406k	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.063808	-3.03%	0.0725	+10.18%	0.0253	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.029158	-3.06%	0.02753	-8.48%	0.1409	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.2038	-3.11%	13.32	-9.14%	0.1556	✓	0.99	795k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.3805	-3.14%	3.962	+13.52%	0.0414	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.732201	-3.15%	0.714	-5.56%	0.1242	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.4214	-3.19%	5.51	-1.61%	0.0809	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.7667	-3.21%	5.231	-12.20%	0.1762	✓	0.85	118k	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.317279	-3.27%	0.295	-10.06%	0.1990	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	18.9374	-3.28%	18.03	-7.92%	0.1783	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.9127	-3.40%	1.85	-6.57%	0.1540	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.0736	-3.55%	2.9519	-7.37%	0.1447	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.1899	-3.58%	19.77	-5.59%	0.1678	✓	1.59	465k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.009815	-3.59%	0.01001	-1.67%	0.1038	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	17.8313	-3.59%	19.526	+5.57%	0.0501	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.7642	-3.61%	9.598	+60.50%	0.4095	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.0143	-3.62%	7.63	+22.28%	0.1644	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.1491	-3.68%	20.13	-3.78%	0.1131	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	140.8709	-3.72%	172.04	+17.58%	0.1057	✗	1.02	1.8M	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	37.746	-3.73%	38.18	-2.63%	0.1384	✓	1.62	626k	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.055916	-3.78%	0.05073	-12.70%	0.2292	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.4344	-3.78%	2.38	-5.93%	0.1165	✓	1.02	697k	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.0875	-3.79%	2.2899	-28.64%	0.3825	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.929828	-3.84%	0.7967	-17.61%	0.2634	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.806546	-3.88%	0.7596	-9.47%	0.1641	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.7656	-3.97%	1.46	-49.31%	0.7837	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.2712	-4.03%	0.2824	-0.07%	0.0658	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0132	-4.13%	1.24	-40.95%	0.6279	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.197751	-4.28%	0.16147	-21.84%	0.3527	✓	1.62	25k	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	122.6528	-4.30%	116.89	-8.79%	0.1697	✓	1.32	59k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.692005	-4.30%	0.4943	-31.64%	0.4806	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.913285	-4.36%	0.9796	+2.59%	0.0715	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.0968	-4.42%	1.4091	+22.80%	0.1369	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.234496	-4.52%	0.249	+1.38%	0.0483	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.92104	-4.58%	0.7864	-18.52%	0.3269	✓	1.83	852k	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.1146	-4.76%	5.38	+0.19%	0.0176	✓	0.74	429k	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.0561	-4.76%	5.6206	+31.97%	0.3263	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.666323	-4.81%	0.72	+2.86%	0.0959	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.2516	-4.82%	10.07	+3.60%	0.0150	✓	0.76	744k	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5206	-4.88%	2.04	-23.02%	0.3241	✓	1.22	577k	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6166	-4.91%	1.437	-15.47%	0.2377	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.80226	-4.91%	0.7113	-15.69%	0.2804	✓	1.73	458k	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.014409	-5.04%	0.011953	-21.22%	0.2955	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.058817	-5.13%	0.0725	+16.94%	0.0878	✗	1.31	556k	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	4.1232	-5.21%	3.3	-24.14%	0.3521	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.5639	-5.37%	6.7949	-2.04%	0.0530	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	69.4234	-5.38%	78.49	+6.98%	0.0017	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.2425	-5.58%	1.174	-10.79%	0.1731	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	13.651	-5.59%	16.42	+13.55%	0.1199	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.408468	-5.60%	0.4722	+9.13%	0.0027	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	2.948	-5.66%	2.882	-7.78%	0.0979	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	5.058	-5.72%	3.084	-42.52%	0.5871	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	2.9154	-5.83%	2.95	-4.71%	0.0850	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.831231	-5.91%	1.6497	+86.74%	0.5451	✗	1.52	103k	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	42.5056	-5.96%	44.86	-0.75%	0.0604	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.111794	-5.98%	0.095	-20.10%	0.3011	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.019681	-6.07%	0.01877	-10.42%	0.1417	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.033549	-6.29%	0.0283	-20.95%	0.3060	✓	1.47	540k	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.5485	-6.35%	6.34	-21.34%	0.2008	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.0267	-6.39%	3.808	-29.09%	0.3974	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.7188	-6.44%	1.479	-19.49%	0.2648	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.288526	-6.54%	0.2283	-26.04%	0.3835	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.3358	-6.56%	7.315	+104.90%	0.7667	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.045101	-6.60%	0.03435	-28.87%	0.3647	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.520107	-6.71%	0.5501	-1.33%	0.0522	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.7459	-6.84%	2.773	+47.96%	0.3956	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.1075	-6.88%	2.941	-11.87%	0.1342	✓	0.86	819k	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.888	-7.00%	1.545	-23.89%	0.3419	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.491683	-7.16%	0.3687	-30.38%	0.4616	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.1891	-7.83%	2.508	-27.51%	0.3750	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.3809	-7.94%	1.21	-19.33%	0.2245	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.121773	-8.44%	0.118	-11.28%	0.1239	✓	1.00	133k	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.038973	-8.55%	0.020258	-52.46%	0.7910	✓	1.48	163k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.4423	-8.88%	2.6368	-1.62%	0.0127	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	26.1674	-9.33%	34.01	+17.84%	0.1554	✗	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0154	-9.62%	1.92	-13.90%	0.1409	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	22,830.87	-10.37%	21,698.86	-14.81%	0.1382	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.077	-10.57%	0.0637	-26.02%	0.4289	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.0453	-10.65%	1.176	+0.51%	0.0276	✓	1.57	490k	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.3305	-11.14%	3.3937	-9.45%	0.1111	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.07	-11.16%	0.865	-28.18%	0.3051	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.