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2022-01-29 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3158
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+39.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.4%
in alpha space · 53.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1214.1438+0.17%14.2+0.57%0.1181✗0.99886k2022-02-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.06313.0571-0.20%2.1929-28.41%0.4397✓0.8721k2022-02-28
XVSVenusEthereum8.228.1884-0.38%9.33+13.50%0.0311✓1.312.8M2022-02-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.26710.265426-0.63%0.2945+10.26%0.0359✓1.14604k2022-02-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.656.6045-0.68%6.6-0.75%0.0281✓0.221.2M2022-02-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3330.330484-0.76%0.308-7.51%0.2410✓1.391.7M2022-02-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.843385-0.78%1.236+45.41%0.1962✗1.51523k2022-02-28
AAVEAaveEthereum154.04152.5756-0.95%145.83-5.33%0.2129✓1.3612.7M2022-02-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.165.0969-1.22%5.51+6.78%0.0116✓0.73413k2022-02-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12050.118944-1.29%0.1612+33.78%0.1862✗0.96312k2022-02-28
SOLSolanaSolana96.2594.9589-1.34%99.74+3.63%0.0975✓1.19164.2M2022-02-28
QNTQuantEthereum97.5196.1821-1.36%115.74+18.70%0.0572✗1.047.3M2022-02-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,181.6037,652.69-1.39%43,136.20+12.98%0.0112✓1.0153k2022-02-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.194.1266-1.51%3.54-15.51%0.3188✓1.3410.7M2022-02-28
NANOnanopayBase2.33622.2985-1.61%1.9381-17.04%0.3233✓1.24888k2022-02-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4931.4659-1.81%1.571+5.22%0.0769✓1.191.6M2022-02-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010211-1.82%0.01099+5.67%0.0838✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013470.013224-1.83%0.01231-8.61%0.1836✓0.9121k2022-02-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.935.821-1.84%7.55+27.32%0.1636✗0.78470k2022-02-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3424.8707-1.85%30.53+20.48%0.0722✗1.083.3M2022-02-28
DASHDashDash96.5594.761-1.85%100.51+4.10%0.0870✓1.193.0M2022-02-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9240.906727-1.87%0.877-5.09%0.2032✓1.382.4M2022-02-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2415.9185-1.98%15.14-6.77%0.2002✓1.2281.3M2022-02-28
ZECZcashZcash96.3994.4726-1.99%118.68+23.12%0.0643✗1.337.0M2022-02-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2425.7118-2.01%30.9+17.76%0.0876✗0.78430k2022-02-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.60811.5755-2.03%1.7163+6.72%0.0514✓1.1182k2022-02-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.715828-2.08%0.697-4.65%0.1626✓1.101.8M2022-02-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1286.0001-2.09%5.875-4.13%0.1430✓0.99320k2022-02-28
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1610.9194-2.16%10.53-5.65%0.2007✓1.3412.5M2022-02-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52510.513714-2.17%0.5696+8.47%0.0644✓1.362.6M2022-02-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1512.8645-2.17%16.18+23.04%0.1452✗0.68801k2022-02-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,603.742,546.02-2.22%2,923.08+12.26%0.0013✓1.11560.6M2022-02-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2034910.198864-2.27%0.197675-2.86%0.1339✓1.0426.2M2022-02-28
TRXTRONTron0.0603410.058958-2.29%0.061786+2.39%0.0699✓0.95460k2022-02-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021660.000021161-2.30%0.00002579+19.07%0.0240✗1.411.7M2022-02-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431690.139861-2.31%0.133451-6.79%0.1762✓1.057.1M2022-02-28
XTZTezosTezos3.09153.0196-2.33%3.5483+14.78%0.0068✓1.372.5M2022-02-28
XVGVergenative0.010020.009785-2.34%0.01037+3.49%0.1061✓1.331.6M2022-02-28
LUNATerraTerra 250.9349.7254-2.37%91.38+79.42%0.4077✗1.638.8M2022-02-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.790.5005-2.37%88.67-4.35%0.1371✓0.951.7M2022-02-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089790.087655-2.38%0.09213+2.61%0.0976✓1.2046k2022-02-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.03291.9084-2.38%339.27+13.46%0.0218✓1.047.6M2022-02-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.2301-2.41%21.16+2.07%0.1479✓1.57775k2022-02-28
COMPCompoundEthereum123.06120.0549-2.44%120.75-1.88%0.1513✓1.2868k2022-02-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.2852-2.48%18.95+1.07%0.1338✓1.3850.2M2022-02-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050520.04926-2.49%0.01796-64.45%1.1737✓1.349.2M2022-02-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.5848.3324-2.52%54.42+9.76%0.0247✓1.177.5M2022-02-28
BANDBandEthereum3.513.4213-2.53%3.934+12.08%0.0138✓1.252.5M2022-02-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.24439-2.63%0.236-5.98%0.1537✓0.9667k2022-02-28
XECeCashnative0.000076920.00007489-2.64%0.00007869+2.30%0.0883✓1.125.8M2022-02-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.2486-2.66%2.21-4.33%0.1631✓1.18602k2022-02-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.49880.485466-2.67%0.504+1.04%0.1436✓1.472.1M2022-02-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.1963-2.69%4.85-9.18%0.1909✓0.99978k2022-02-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0015.8312-2.83%5.63-6.18%0.1378✓0.83125k2022-02-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.84107.6965-2.84%113.82+2.69%0.1090✓1.3433.8M2022-02-28
KSMKusamaHydration171.16166.2818-2.85%130.28-23.88%0.3919✓1.201.3M2022-02-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007230.007023-2.86%0.00439-39.28%0.7612✓2.3722.6M2022-02-28
QTUMQtumQtum5.96165.7906-2.87%6.4925+8.91%0.0630✓1.44221k2022-02-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.085.9025-2.92%7.228+18.88%0.0706✗1.072.3M2022-02-28
ADACardanoCardano1.06031.0289-2.96%0.964-9.08%0.2042✓1.13113.2M2022-02-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.085.8991-2.97%6.6+8.55%0.0078✓0.85503k2022-02-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41040.397863-3.05%0.3772-8.09%0.2116✓1.2910.2M2022-02-28
XMRMoneroMonero153.67148.9686-3.06%170.31+10.83%0.0091✓1.012.1M2022-02-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6672.5852-3.07%3.317+24.37%0.0605✗1.53986k2022-02-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040890.039634-3.07%0.04194+2.57%0.0829✓1.1330k2022-02-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.310.300326-3.12%0.2321-25.13%0.4505✓1.574.2M2022-02-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.639236-3.15%0.75+13.64%0.0699✓1.871.2M2022-02-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,191.1036,951.09-3.25%43,192.66+13.10%0.0330✗1.00717.4M2022-02-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.832.7372-3.28%1.564-44.73%0.7486✓1.542.2M2022-02-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5080.491163-3.31%0.461-9.25%0.2528✓1.545.2M2022-02-28
XEMNEMnative0.10470.101225-3.32%0.1081+3.25%0.0640✓1.0543k2022-02-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48783.3699-3.38%5.9258+69.90%0.5670✗-0.02350k2022-02-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.178.8564-3.42%10.15+10.69%0.0442✗0.75709k2022-02-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186770.180304-3.46%0.16639-10.91%0.2740✓1.5723k2022-02-28
GTGateEthereum6.77366.5351-3.52%6.71-0.94%0.0882✓0.934.2M2022-02-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.0895-3.54%6.79-7.62%0.0794✓0.291.9M2022-02-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145180.013999-3.57%0.012148-16.32%0.2881✓1.192.7M2022-02-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.04791.0101-3.61%1.3278+26.71%0.1150✗1.292.4M2022-02-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.721.6564-3.70%1.505-12.50%0.2536✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.1541.1103-3.78%1.0426-9.65%0.1872✓1.01376k2022-02-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.921.8473-3.79%1.86-3.12%0.1623✓1.372.8M2022-02-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5654340.543882-3.81%0.575051+1.70%0.0948✓1.223.7M2022-02-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.030350.029193-3.81%0.02937-3.23%0.1089✓0.938.7M2022-02-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60220.578999-3.85%0.3657-39.27%0.6899✓1.8748.9M2022-02-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24250.2331-3.88%0.2454+1.20%0.1015✓1.241.9M2022-02-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0092.8894-3.97%3.115+3.52%0.0228✓0.80397k2022-02-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.422.3225-4.03%2.44+0.83%0.0764✓1.02794k2022-02-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220290.021121-4.12%0.0214-2.86%0.1262✓1.133.2M2022-02-28
API3Api3Ethereum3.693.537-4.15%7.529+104.04%0.7290✗0.22837k2022-02-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399990.038335-4.16%0.049264+23.16%0.0995✗1.2310.1M2022-02-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.847870.812112-4.22%0.74117-12.58%0.3017✓1.71610k2022-02-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18440.176578-4.24%0.1925+4.39%0.0811✓1.363.9M2022-02-28
HIVEHivenative0.9520.911595-4.24%0.9803+2.97%0.1138✓1.522.1M2022-02-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1819.3209-4.26%20.13-0.25%0.1131✓1.2534.3M2022-02-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59680.571383-4.26%0.5007-16.10%0.3210✓1.541.3M2022-02-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.96930.927984-4.26%0.8684-10.41%0.2098✓1.1736.8M2022-02-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46370.443732-4.31%0.3943-14.97%0.2881✓1.382.3M2022-02-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08170.07815-4.35%0.073-10.65%0.2202✓1.24317k2022-02-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06530.06242-4.41%0.0695+6.43%0.0309✓1.1221k2022-02-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0423.8621-4.45%4.565+12.94%0.0703✗0.79367k2022-02-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.15.8278-4.46%4.86-20.33%0.3003✓0.96953k2022-02-28
MOVRMoonriverBase79.312475.7323-4.51%67.763-14.56%0.2626✓1.23410k2022-02-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07270.069415-4.52%0.07201-0.95%0.0604✓0.7967k2022-02-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.7339.8403-4.53%45.95+10.11%0.0071✓1.2235.1M2022-02-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.127.7636-4.59%31.38+7.84%0.0158✓1.12130.3M2022-02-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,297.6523,153.52-4.71%21,589.29-11.15%0.1835✓0.9219.5M2022-02-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.992.8471-4.78%2.442-18.33%0.3260✓1.4025.0M2022-02-28
KCSKuCoinnative17.54216.7006-4.80%20.677+17.87%0.0271✓1.5210.7M2022-02-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.2452.1369-4.82%2.477+10.33%0.0142✓1.0823k2022-02-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96840.919482-5.05%0.823-15.01%0.3519✓1.961.1M2022-02-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1210.114884-5.05%0.1303+7.69%0.0357✓1.313.8M2022-02-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90370.85796-5.06%1.6754+85.39%0.4825✗1.52107k2022-02-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0925.713-5.08%26.36-2.69%0.1822✓1.682.7M2022-02-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98242.8297-5.12%3.1196+4.60%0.0309✓1.041.9M2022-02-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.055250.05242-5.12%0.03503-36.60%0.5261✓1.006.4M2022-02-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0719.0324-5.17%15.37-23.42%0.4403✓1.843.9M2022-02-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72841.6388-5.18%2.4391+41.12%0.3035✗0.762.8M2022-02-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7581.6664-5.21%1.566-10.92%0.2222✓1.301.5M2022-02-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.2919.2327-5.21%21.72+7.05%0.0247✓1.1913.0M2022-02-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15732.9829-5.52%3.1104-1.49%0.0934✓1.103.4M2022-02-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3641.2854-5.76%1.164-14.66%0.2563✓1.283.6M2022-02-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.103649-5.77%0.0857-22.09%0.3756✓1.511.8M2022-02-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83020.782071-5.80%0.7967-4.04%0.1171✓1.1018.7M2022-02-28
XYMSymbolnative0.17390.16344-6.01%0.1531-11.96%0.1483✓0.67536k2022-02-28
ZENHorizenBase41.6439.0977-6.11%37.91-8.96%0.2268✓1.59639k2022-02-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.3722.2264-6.14%2.8507+20.18%0.1312✗0.942.8M2022-02-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3246.8679-6.23%6.75-7.84%0.0483✓0.2538k2022-02-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.9567.4509-6.25%84.59+17.57%0.0622✓1.3385.3M2022-02-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010150.009494-6.46%0.00968-4.63%0.1106✓1.06593k2022-02-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56930.532417-6.48%0.5607-1.51%0.0927✓1.172.1M2022-02-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2583.0353-6.84%3.233-0.77%0.0436✓0.87884k2022-02-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.059247-6.84%0.078+22.64%0.0994✗1.43577k2022-02-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1735.7484-6.88%2.664-56.84%0.8922✓1.001.4M2022-02-28
STXStacksnative1.511.4051-6.95%1.25-17.22%0.2400✓1.002.3M2022-02-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.120.111652-6.96%0.132+10.00%0.0443✓1.00155k2022-02-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.063960.059381-7.16%0.04871-23.84%0.3775✓1.461.7M2022-02-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.0128-7.17%4.154-23.07%0.3444✓1.273.1M2022-02-28
PROPropyEthereum2.312.1304-7.78%1.84-20.35%0.2696✓1.003.5M2022-02-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03620.033304-8.00%0.029-19.89%0.3196✓1.47836k2022-02-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.342.1465-8.27%1.36-41.88%0.6478✓1.562.4M2022-02-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.045150.041203-8.74%0.022655-49.82%0.7670✓1.37266k2022-02-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.8514.4139-9.01%4.2345-12.71%0.1931✓1.23430k2022-02-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29361.1661-9.85%0.7584-41.37%0.5533✓1.003.4M2022-02-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.362.0819-11.78%1.352-42.71%0.6208✓1.544.2M2022-02-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09070.074054-18.35%0.0703-22.49%0.3598✓2.5023.2M2022-02-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.