2022-01-20 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0922

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.13%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

86.4%

in alpha space · 87.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.156305	+0.51%	0.141002	-9.33%	0.0874	✗	1.11	6.5M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	199.3769	+0.51%	146.18	-26.31%	0.2932	✗	1.22	17.6M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.3884	+0.25%	9.99	-12.06%	0.1146	✗	1.17	2.9M	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.0327	-0.22%	110.71	-16.33%	0.1628	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,253.02	-0.40%	39,901.00	-3.66%	0.0195	✓	0.98	16k	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.099729	-0.47%	0.0784	-21.76%	0.2248	✓	1.12	244k	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.67777	-0.62%	0.489	-28.30%	0.3051	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	355.4766	-0.63%	312.05	-12.77%	0.1158	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050307	-0.65%	0.059376	+17.26%	0.1827	✗	1.20	8.4M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,977.43	-0.78%	2,764.44	-7.88%	0.0590	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6655	-0.80%	1.491	-11.20%	0.0942	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.5102	-0.84%	54.84	-20.63%	0.2069	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.7452	-0.94%	20	-19.94%	0.1926	✓	1.44	34.3M	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.176353	-1.04%	0.1581	-11.28%	0.0996	✓	0.69	573k	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.044838	-1.17%	0.04064	-10.43%	0.0828	✓	1.10	24k	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.228773	-1.18%	0.204174	-11.80%	0.0989	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1295	-1.18%	0.861	-24.67%	0.2518	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	118.3713	-1.30%	84.5568	-29.50%	0.3200	✓	1.16	489k	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,104.43	-1.39%	40,101.94	-1.40%	0.0140	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.0738	-1.40%	30.94	+21.67%	0.2204	✗	0.72	342k	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.8468	-1.42%	5.08	-36.18%	0.4243	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.230983	-1.54%	0.198	-15.60%	0.1349	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	119.1286	-1.67%	102.42	-15.46%	0.1341	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	235.5081	-1.71%	151.15	-36.92%	0.4265	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.011953	-1.78%	0.00967	-20.54%	0.1976	✓	1.02	641k	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.0902	-1.79%	0.99	-10.81%	0.0727	✓	1.68	556k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	19.8161	-1.80%	15.52	-23.09%	0.2271	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.112029	-1.82%	0.0963	-15.60%	0.1331	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	20.7213	-1.89%	16.06	-23.96%	0.2285	✓	1.87	4.1M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.490598	-1.90%	0.4172	-16.58%	0.1436	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	116.5512	-1.93%	112.33	-5.48%	0.0182	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.070893	-1.95%	0.0679	-6.09%	0.0275	✓	1.11	21k	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.321571	-1.96%	0.254	-22.56%	0.2247	✓	0.80	51k	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	23.9114	-1.96%	20.48	-16.03%	0.1329	✓	1.56	1.0M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.8068	-2.05%	7.27	-8.78%	0.0712	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.094383	-2.09%	0.08925	-7.42%	0.0396	✓	1.16	34k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.849695	-2.13%	0.5475	-36.94%	0.4197	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.067363	-2.16%	0.05154	-25.14%	0.2484	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.051756	-2.16%	0.0593	+12.10%	0.1502	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.01798	-2.17%	0.015145	-17.59%	0.1543	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8289	-2.24%	1.6691	-10.78%	0.0753	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.7564	-2.27%	2.071	-26.57%	0.2696	✓	1.16	665k	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.079713	-2.28%	0.07126	-12.64%	0.1017	✓	0.74	56k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.2953	-2.33%	1.82	-22.55%	0.2133	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.6207	-2.33%	4.472	-5.47%	0.0232	✓	0.68	445k	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.011983	-2.34%	0.01191	-2.93%	0.0125	✓	1.32	2.1M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	6.8906	-2.36%	6.787	-3.83%	0.0053	✓	1.45	251k	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.4983	-2.36%	2.973	-17.02%	0.1527	✓	0.71	523k	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.1417	-2.40%	10.03	-30.78%	0.3249	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.06606	-2.41%	0.063482	-6.22%	0.0264	✓	0.95	486k	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.56	-2.45%	5.69	-26.58%	0.2704	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000025828	-2.46%	0.0000275	+3.85%	0.0818	✗	1.35	1.7M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.1982	-2.46%	5.92	-19.78%	0.1865	✓	0.64	652k	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.144696	-2.50%	0.1472	-0.81%	0.0350	✗	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.7622	-2.56%	3.281	-15.02%	0.1256	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000088041	-2.75%	0.00007811	-13.72%	0.1053	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.034355	-2.76%	0.02878	-18.54%	0.1640	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	28.5488	-2.80%	28.7	-2.28%	0.0206	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.4678	-2.80%	2.168	-14.61%	0.1153	✓	1.01	24k	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	29.3668	-2.92%	25.4	-16.03%	0.1214	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.3116	-2.99%	17.86	-22.35%	0.2032	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.878208	-3.13%	0.75237	-17.01%	0.1292	✓	1.80	866k	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	25.3504	-3.21%	20.82	-20.50%	0.1812	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	123.4106	-3.22%	91.34	-28.37%	0.2846	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	182.6316	-3.23%	161.12	-14.63%	0.1112	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.1596	-3.25%	6.41	-13.38%	0.0998	✓	0.77	638k	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.414025	-3.27%	0.325	-24.07%	0.2233	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.7077	-3.30%	2.38	-15.00%	0.1149	✓	1.00	855k	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.8521	-3.31%	3.0416	-23.65%	0.2196	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.6604	-3.33%	5.31	-22.93%	0.2141	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0336	-3.40%	0.9635	-9.94%	0.0500	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.0309	-3.46%	4.2985	-17.51%	0.1400	✓	1.23	443k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.632812	-3.47%	0.594043	-9.38%	0.0468	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.5174	-3.47%	4.93	+5.34%	0.1033	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.906248	-3.49%	0.749	-20.23%	0.1766	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.011907	-3.51%	0.01032	-16.37%	0.1253	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	0.980847	-3.58%	0.827	-18.71%	0.1564	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.272273	-3.62%	0.273	-3.36%	0.0173	✓	1.04	397k	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1184	-3.70%	0.9001	-22.50%	0.2000	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.647104	-3.72%	0.4814	-28.37%	0.2806	✓	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3423	-3.75%	1.0275	-26.32%	0.2545	✓	0.91	402k	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.0885	-3.78%	1.1527	+1.89%	0.0725	✗	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.105335	-3.80%	0.1018	-7.03%	0.0191	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.855812	-3.84%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0202	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.2303	-3.86%	1.98	-41.07%	0.4688	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.5952	-3.87%	4.37	-8.58%	0.0332	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.6777	-4.02%	1.58	-43.37%	0.5093	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0215	-4.11%	0.8878	-16.66%	0.1129	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2062	-4.18%	0.9969	-20.81%	0.1745	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2186	-4.19%	1.132	-11.01%	0.0542	✓	1.39	4.0M	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.5641	-4.23%	3.87	-33.39%	0.3447	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.011548	-4.33%	0.0051	-57.75%	0.7837	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	99.7965	-4.34%	87.64	-15.99%	0.1163	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	155.1327	-4.34%	121.25	-25.23%	0.2297	✓	1.19	95k	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	1.9412	-4.37%	1.58	-22.17%	0.1908	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.043211	-4.40%	0.03	-33.63%	0.3455	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	45.505	-4.40%	38.13	-19.89%	0.1555	✓	1.51	620k	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	17.5308	-4.41%	14.06	-23.34%	0.2064	✓	1.01	807k	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	5.8679	-4.43%	5.28	-14.01%	0.0962	✓	0.67	505k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.024866	-4.50%	0.020617	-20.82%	0.1727	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	73.79	-4.68%	50.46	-34.81%	0.3535	✓	1.88	7.7M	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.5317	-4.77%	5.7961	+56.28%	0.4947	✗	-0.05	371k	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.586	-4.83%	5.766	-16.68%	0.1230	✓	0.71	163k	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.612899	-4.86%	0.5576	-13.44%	0.0762	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.53	-4.98%	3.6074	-2.90%	0.0413	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	8.9537	-5.07%	6.873	-27.13%	0.2628	✓	0.12	38k	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	18.4288	-5.15%	19.839	+2.11%	0.0966	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	123.0745	-5.18%	115.59	-10.95%	0.0436	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.267804	-5.44%	0.2512	-11.30%	0.0458	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.069581	-5.46%	0.0806	+9.51%	0.1670	✗	1.42	826k	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	42.6866	-5.50%	42.78	-5.29%	0.0180	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.157378	-5.54%	0.1444	-13.33%	0.0732	✓	0.91	362k	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.178642	-5.55%	0.15998	-15.42%	0.0881	✓	1.58	6,611	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	9.5288	-5.56%	9.9	-1.88%	0.0487	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.4911	-5.59%	2.8917	+9.60%	0.1639	✗	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.0571	-5.67%	6.265	-16.25%	0.1009	✓	1.29	301k	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	1.9893	-5.76%	1.664	-21.17%	0.1624	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	74.7102	-5.85%	85.07	+7.21%	0.1470	✗	1.22	87.3M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	8.9592	-5.89%	6.99	-26.58%	0.2457	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.527571	-5.89%	0.4201	-25.06%	0.2082	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.6137	-5.95%	6.6548	-5.37%	0.0184	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.014585	-5.96%	0.01266	-18.38%	0.1300	✓	0.82	21k	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.4831	-6.22%	1.9802	+25.21%	0.3009	✗	0.84	1.3M	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	13.582	-6.91%	15.11	+3.56%	0.1162	✗	0.68	813k	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.06314	-6.94%	0.02516	-62.92%	0.9023	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.6879	-7.11%	2.81	-29.22%	0.2512	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.1084	-7.21%	2.42	-27.76%	0.2350	✓	1.09	752k	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	2.8391	-7.22%	1.57	-48.69%	0.5741	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.0592	-7.28%	3.675	-62.38%	0.8881	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.535409	-7.30%	0.5485	-5.04%	0.0436	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	2.9258	-7.41%	3.0659	-2.97%	0.0632	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.700775	-7.43%	0.419	-44.65%	0.4890	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	2.8487	-7.96%	2.586	-16.45%	0.0724	✓	1.73	1.1M	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.339279	-8.13%	0.247	-33.12%	0.2962	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.4794	-8.71%	2.3136	-39.30%	0.3974	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.064742	-8.74%	0.02609	-63.22%	0.8948	✓	1.00	682k	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	35.4406	-9.06%	26.69	-31.51%	0.2701	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	28,513.70	-9.23%	21,669.76	-31.02%	0.2647	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	3.8023	-9.25%	7.47	+78.28%	0.6892	✗	0.99	471k	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	0.968339	-10.66%	1.8854	+73.95%	0.6806	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.