2022-01-10 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1789

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.4%

in alpha space · 64.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,929.83	+0.73%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0006	✓	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.9406	-0.90%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.1935	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.1292	-0.99%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2767	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.017947	-1.16%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1277	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	197.0721	-1.41%	188.2	-5.85%	0.1130	✓	1.11	17.6M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.7546	-1.67%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2232	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027177	-1.69%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1761	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.307504	-1.69%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0250	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.062404	-1.70%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0579	✗	0.93	552k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.140549	-1.81%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0587	✗	1.08	4.8M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4297	-1.85%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0758	✓	0.60	714k	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.3166	-1.93%	7.48	-21.26%	0.2159	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	26.8291	-1.94%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0198	✗	0.66	370k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.2811	-2.01%	6	-6.40%	0.0838	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.486811	-2.05%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2576	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7462	-2.17%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0202	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.0753	-2.21%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0636	✓	1.36	268k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	27.8483	-2.22%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1348	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013694	-2.26%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0205	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	132.8084	-2.27%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2134	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.012822	-2.27%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.0952	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1604	-2.32%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1455	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015019	-2.47%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1627	✓	0.61	29k	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.1607	-2.50%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2608	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.33433	-2.53%	0.288	-16.03%	0.1919	✓	0.71	38k	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3059	-2.55%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0084	✓	1.65	764k	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	66.6349	-2.58%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0475	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.095801	-2.58%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0522	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,003.25	-2.60%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0158	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.2794	-2.61%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1432	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.9244	-2.68%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0440	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	177.5163	-2.73%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0117	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.947	-2.75%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0360	✓	1.03	83k	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.108353	-2.91%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0514	✗	1.01	67k	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.074954	-2.91%	0.086	+11.40%	0.0773	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.212	-2.94%	8.263	+29.11%	0.2120	✗	1.22	271k	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.136663	-3.01%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.1739	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	0.999585	-3.05%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2459	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.682503	-3.05%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2280	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	13.8207	-3.08%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2339	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.0888	-3.09%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0288	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.612212	-3.10%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0560	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.0965	-3.13%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.1030	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.910407	-3.15%	1.09	+15.96%	0.0750	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000025858	-3.15%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1690	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	102.5784	-3.22%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0665	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.302822	-3.22%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0249	✓	1.42	4.1M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000087459	-3.24%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0464	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.045184	-3.25%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0294	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.3452	-3.27%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3646	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.966649	-3.28%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1311	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	22.9428	-3.28%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1198	✓	1.27	70.4M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.5902	-3.31%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2755	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.2572	-3.33%	6.897	-8.13%	0.0910	✓	0.67	231k	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	12.7384	-3.35%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3038	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.787	-3.37%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2141	✓	1.07	665k	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.524144	-3.38%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1440	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	351.1032	-3.43%	346.21	-4.77%	0.0739	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.244277	-3.47%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.0831	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	40,369.50	-3.48%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0354	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.068217	-3.51%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0899	✗	1.03	19k	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4156	-3.57%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.3685	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.6547	-3.57%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3492	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.164578	-3.65%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2442	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	66.9251	-3.65%	57.56	-17.13%	0.2109	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	1.9938	-3.68%	1.93	-6.76%	0.0947	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	233.2275	-3.69%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2608	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	175.5182	-3.69%	144.23	-20.86%	0.2642	✓	1.13	180k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6034	-3.72%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0754	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	121.7582	-3.76%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0614	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.3215	-3.79%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0631	✓	0.72	705k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	135.7558	-3.88%	126.05	-10.75%	0.1499	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	159.8284	-3.91%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1181	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.167069	-3.93%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0493	✓	0.89	479k	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	36.6049	-3.95%	47.97	+25.87%	0.2077	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	5.9034	-4.00%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.1291	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.0692	-4.09%	2.94	-8.12%	0.1038	✓	1.01	715k	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.066092	-4.09%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5502	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.6177	-4.12%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2167	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.076049	-4.15%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.3332	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.4305	-4.15%	3.347	-6.48%	0.0654	✓	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4166	-4.30%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1257	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.2319	-4.37%	9.31	-12.99%	0.1031	✓	0.14	2.8M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.77222	-4.39%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5242	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.151222	-4.41%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1288	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.6615	-4.48%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1572	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.3971	-4.50%	10.91	+10.87%	0.1050	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	14.4289	-4.51%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2333	✓	1.26	13.1M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013321	-4.51%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.7252	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.5143	-4.55%	7.06	-20.85%	0.2265	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.285357	-4.56%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0380	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	26.7006	-4.57%	18.7	-33.17%	0.4254	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.568	-4.65%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.6506	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.8057	-4.65%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2066	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.3025	-4.66%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0724	✗	0.62	474k	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	141.1443	-4.74%	114.95	-22.42%	0.2784	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3079	-4.87%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3563	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.081826	-4.88%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0054	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	148.0833	-4.88%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.3829	✓	0.97	515k	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.4413	-4.90%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1154	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	2.9762	-4.91%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1083	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.522695	-4.96%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0470	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.2608	-4.99%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0457	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.03996	-5.02%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3012	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.102488	-5.10%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.1498	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.172217	-5.11%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0420	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.6673	-5.20%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0152	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2019	-5.20%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.1067	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.6883	-5.37%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2984	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.0501	-5.39%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0114	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.5658	-5.56%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0371	✓	0.89	31k	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	17.9378	-5.63%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0470	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.5152	-5.65%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0547	✓	0.69	3,355	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.236495	-5.78%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.0583	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.648726	-5.86%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0202	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	30,126.16	-5.89%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.1750	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.9412	-6.03%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3627	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.0435	-6.12%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.0785	✓	0.95	22.7M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	31.3083	-6.18%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0174	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	26.401	-6.18%	24.32	-13.57%	0.1445	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	32.1052	-6.37%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4124	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	3.933	-6.42%	3.796	-9.68%	0.0817	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	79.0327	-6.43%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0664	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.0405	-6.47%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2260	✓	1.37	30.4M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.6293	-6.70%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1797	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.051838	-6.77%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5110	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.2693	-6.83%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.2681	✓	1.10	32.1M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.080466	-6.84%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.8244	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	0.957133	-6.96%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3139	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.558993	-7.10%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0912	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.073413	-7.54%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0832	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	49.2773	-7.60%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1142	✓	1.40	736k	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.011959	-7.79%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.0505	✓	0.97	756k	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	34.7592	-8.12%	30.94	-18.21%	0.1715	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	9.6812	-9.05%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0421	✓	0.08	56k	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	4.6333	-9.19%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0782	✓	1.13	446k	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.567032	-9.26%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0291	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.1268	-10.15%	2.28	-34.48%	0.3906	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.070987	-12.45%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.2761	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.