2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2441

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,645.38	-0.81%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0372	✗	0.97	10k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.0744	-1.88%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1932	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.02161	-2.01%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.0995	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	261.2705	-2.24%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2964	✓	1.09	12.6M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.6677	-2.50%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2274	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.165491	-2.71%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0621	✗	1.09	4.7M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.074838	-2.79%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0313	✓	0.93	552k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.669	-3.07%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1149	✓	0.65	385k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032754	-3.20%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2452	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.1918	-3.23%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0666	✓	1.11	2.7M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	164.522	-3.30%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2554	✓	0.97	217.0M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.6738	-3.33%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1146	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016763	-3.44%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2753	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.116898	-3.44%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0196	✓	1.08	26k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	223.661	-3.52%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2183	✓	0.93	3.2M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	22.8755	-3.56%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0836	✓	1.25	69.2M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.191121	-3.67%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1457	✓	0.89	527k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.27	-3.69%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0322	✓	1.07	98.5M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	44,745.96	-3.69%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0376	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,626.75	-3.70%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0683	✓	1.02	654.8M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.27947	-3.73%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1378	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.198057	-3.76%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0188	✓	0.61	428k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	28.9552	-3.77%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1446	✓	1.26	72.5M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.6311	-3.83%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0921	✗	1.32	4.9M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	172.0635	-3.87%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2006	✓	0.94	8.7M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.4478	-3.87%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1661	✓	0.86	4.5M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054383	-3.90%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0888	✓	1.05	15k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.0923	-3.97%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0963	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.8362	-4.01%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0729	✓	1.35	273k	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6495	-4.10%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1944	✗	1.69	1.0M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	33.2972	-4.10%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0072	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.4321	-4.11%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2478	✓	1.05	754k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0915	-4.25%	0.64	-43.86%	0.3041	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.8737	-4.27%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2236	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	38.4914	-4.30%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3395	✗	1.01	19.4M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.629782	-4.32%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1685	✓	1.19	11.4M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	14.8487	-4.33%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3774	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.1606	-4.33%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2789	✗	0.78	3.9M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.674137	-4.35%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0635	✗	1.24	5.3M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.081775	-4.36%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3953	✓	1.20	20.9M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0235	-4.37%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3018	✓	0.64	302k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1853	-4.41%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2880	✓	0.92	2.5M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	116.7515	-4.44%	90	-26.34%	0.0452	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019331	-4.44%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2962	✓	0.57	36k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.08217	-4.45%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0073	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	132.8434	-4.46%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0730	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.357276	-4.47%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0224	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.4455	-4.47%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1722	✓	1.02	4.0M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	414.935	-4.53%	278	-36.03%	0.1725	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	212.1238	-4.53%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3040	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.1235	-4.54%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3889	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6192	-4.54%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.1077	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000111126	-4.60%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1587	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2462	-4.60%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0995	✓	1.04	100k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.394899	-4.61%	0.25	-39.61%	0.2914	✓	0.72	41k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	141.5573	-4.63%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0379	✓	1.33	38.3M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	34.7158	-4.65%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2114	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	3.9587	-4.65%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1149	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016504	-4.66%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2500	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3558	-4.69%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1332	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.9344	-4.74%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0838	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	89.805	-4.85%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3811	✓	0.97	6.3M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.1823	-4.86%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1343	✓	0.73	773k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	275.58	-4.86%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2798	✓	1.09	1.3M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.0916	-4.87%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2065	✓	1.29	3.0M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.369613	-4.93%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0421	✓	1.42	3.4M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.120661	-4.99%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0702	✗	1.06	115k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	4.8921	-5.04%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0664	✓	0.59	598k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.858232	-5.06%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2838	✓	1.43	8.1M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	142.9079	-5.08%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0813	✓	1.27	10.3M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.437	-5.11%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3723	✓	0.70	1.3M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5329	-5.14%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2566	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.8827	-5.21%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0115	✓	1.22	354k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.4959	-5.27%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2191	✓	1.26	14.1M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.351862	-5.44%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1266	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.2573	-5.44%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1802	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031222	-5.59%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1277	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.9104	-5.62%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5492	✓	-0.16	2.3M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3692	-5.62%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0726	✓	1.05	626k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	27.6222	-5.66%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0715	✗	1.38	24.2M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	83.8466	-5.71%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3364	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.603307	-5.73%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3618	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.233	-5.74%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0700	✓	0.97	995k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.084851	-5.80%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1317	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.187689	-5.88%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.3734	✗	1.55	6,519	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3321	-5.93%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1262	✓	0.63	18k	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3101	-6.07%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5998	✗	1.08	926k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7366	-6.23%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2597	✓	0.81	689k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.8538	-6.31%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5246	✓	0.04	3.7M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9161	-6.47%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.3154	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4396	-6.48%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1044	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	32.7827	-6.55%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2477	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.5716	-6.56%	1.279	-23.96%	0.1031	✗	1.35	6.0M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.4613	-6.61%	3.166	-33.72%	0.1716	✓	0.75	1.2M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.3116	-6.83%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0217	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.933502	-6.88%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1554	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	36,071.65	-6.92%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3072	✓	0.62	15.7M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.19089	-6.97%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.2819	✓	1.20	4.8M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	178.5074	-6.98%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6531	✓	1.01	574k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.8977	-7.23%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3580	✓	1.85	1.5M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.182754	-7.23%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2354	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.058993	-7.24%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.1877	✓	1.35	7.5M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.4681	-7.28%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5022	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2134	-7.32%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1480	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2043	-7.50%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0012	✓	1.72	1.3M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.114077	-7.63%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1428	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.6354	-7.71%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0397	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	99.5086	-7.94%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1406	✓	1.05	119.6M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.2719	-8.11%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2050	✓	0.91	21.2M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.9953	-8.19%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3518	✓	1.33	29.3M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.066988	-8.36%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3569	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	20.47	-8.46%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2292	✗	1.61	14.1M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.5578	-8.52%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1796	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.101341	-8.64%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.1687	✓	0.65	55k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.7994	-8.88%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0991	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.273527	-8.98%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1215	✓	1.29	4.6M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.122227	-9.60%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.1850	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.759928	-9.67%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0993	✓	1.69	31.9M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	35.4329	-9.68%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2636	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.047396	-9.69%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.2808	✓	0.88	8.2M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.09032	-10.04%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.0952	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019907	-10.17%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9580	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.116	-10.26%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2534	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.61	-10.30%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3100	✓	1.07	30.0M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.5453	-10.31%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0814	✓	1.14	577k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	56.8833	-10.34%	38.13	-39.90%	0.0748	✓	1.42	837k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.621495	-10.47%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0707	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.9018	-10.73%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0820	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.837239	-10.96%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1355	✓	1.07	2.8M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.0698	-11.33%	7.564	-44.43%	0.4710	✓	-0.02	98k	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	37.0942	-11.34%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0432	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	2.9962	-11.38%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1002	✓	0.84	41k	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.6918	-11.47%	2.18	-47.72%	0.2970	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.2776	-11.96%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5332	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4327	-12.12%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1038	✓	1.36	5.5M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.013774	-12.43%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1201	✓	0.95	817k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.396	-12.70%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2767	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.541572	-15.38%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.3095	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.