2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2423

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.27%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.3%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.820986	-12.69%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1048	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4135	-12.25%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2819	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.4574	-12.11%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1360	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.565392	-11.66%	0.316	-50.63%	0.2919	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4482	-11.17%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1094	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.569266	-11.05%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2596	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	96.2016	-11.00%	67.87	-37.21%	0.0928	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	56.4917	-10.95%	38.13	-39.90%	0.0467	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.8258	-10.75%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3141	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.015453	-10.73%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.1834	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6029	-10.70%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.2960	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019796	-10.67%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9524	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.895656	-10.66%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1968	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	22.1126	-10.48%	13.76	-44.29%	0.2380	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.047005	-10.43%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.2679	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.2871	-10.19%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0843	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.090197	-10.16%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.0961	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	172.4024	-10.16%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.5843	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.334532	-10.10%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.0760	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000104804	-10.02%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.0982	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.2123	-10.02%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0182	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.757552	-9.95%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0908	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.625915	-9.84%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0764	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.933	-9.77%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0712	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.185175	-9.76%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.2432	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.8997	-9.65%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3297	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.351349	-9.63%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.1090	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.030579	-9.63%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.1771	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	35.5953	-9.26%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2682	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.066329	-9.26%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3471	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.0242	-9.12%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0197	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.6654	-8.94%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5655	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4026	-8.88%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.0786	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.7998	-8.88%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3259	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.5696	-8.74%	1.36	-20.93%	0.2518	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.112736	-8.72%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1309	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.2736	-8.69%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.6321	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.101399	-8.58%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.1706	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014389	-8.52%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1616	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.5816	-8.46%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0507	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.1571	-8.38%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0402	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.082546	-8.36%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1042	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.275381	-8.36%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1238	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.180551	-8.35%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2233	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.342822	-8.34%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0189	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.123978	-8.30%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.1992	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0454	-8.30%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2609	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.3538	-8.29%	5.22	-53.76%	0.4922	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	31.8428	-8.29%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0472	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1398	-8.08%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2445	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.058466	-8.07%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.1690	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.7969	-8.07%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1193	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.6289	-8.05%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5256	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.015962	-8.05%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2205	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	136.7128	-7.89%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0771	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	33.5416	-7.88%	20.09	-44.82%	0.1613	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.6408	-7.87%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5172	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1464	-7.82%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2803	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7083	-7.76%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2444	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.2514	-7.68%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.0931	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	35,780.86	-7.67%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3021	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.1726	-7.50%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0456	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000030601	-7.47%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1076	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	37.2388	-7.41%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3838	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.5857	-7.38%	5.49	-40.78%	0.1910	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.4604	-7.38%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.1337	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.7309	-7.31%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0628	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.2367	-7.29%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1055	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.6434	-7.12%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5266	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.018815	-6.99%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2526	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.5629	-6.98%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0263	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2118	-6.92%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0023	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	8.7869	-6.88%	5.754	-39.02%	0.2831	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	140.2136	-6.87%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0444	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.4035	-6.82%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1455	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.84288	-6.76%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2566	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	129.696	-6.73%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0409	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	20.8899	-6.59%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2139	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.239	-6.58%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1400	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.1986	-6.50%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1598	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.616506	-6.33%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1234	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1684	-6.29%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1548	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.66105	-6.21%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0889	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.0452	-6.12%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.3112	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.187315	-6.07%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.3806	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.2673	-6.01%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1450	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	88.7487	-5.97%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3706	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.823	-5.93%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0054	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3033	-5.85%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2236	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.0133	-5.84%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3720	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9387	-5.74%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.3077	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	83.9428	-5.60%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3376	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.5893	-5.51%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0955	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.274484	-5.44%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1178	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	22.4608	-5.31%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0483	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	9.9535	-5.29%	9.36	-10.94%	0.1101	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.072979	-5.21%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0028	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	219.8183	-5.17%	145.08	-37.41%	0.1847	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.081088	-5.16%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3831	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5328	-5.15%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2548	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.5778	-4.83%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2176	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6084	-4.83%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.1108	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.081864	-4.81%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0048	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	14.8078	-4.59%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3719	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.3951	-4.57%	0.25	-39.61%	0.2896	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	28.76	-4.42%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1313	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.4536	-4.16%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1658	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	163.1484	-4.10%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2248	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.121812	-4.08%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0703	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1189	-4.04%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2118	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.3669	-4.02%	23.57	-25.51%	0.0977	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054371	-3.92%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0762	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.116382	-3.86%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0106	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.5933	-3.84%	3.166	-33.72%	0.1976	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.191262	-3.60%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1416	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	279.6343	-3.46%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2876	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	214.5351	-3.45%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3077	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.461	-3.30%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2517	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.3227	-3.22%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1437	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.479	-3.22%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0598	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2764	-3.20%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0343	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.3847	-3.06%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0499	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	422.6566	-2.75%	278	-36.03%	0.1865	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	119.0472	-2.56%	90	-26.34%	0.0606	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.0351	-2.43%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1870	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2106	-2.40%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0725	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021533	-2.36%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.0993	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,682.83	-2.21%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0783	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.3237	-2.16%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2916	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.7	-2.14%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2293	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	175.2106	-2.11%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2137	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,637.75	-1.77%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0178	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0933	-1.41%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1485	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0803	-1.39%	3.998	-22.40%	0.1009	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	264.1235	-1.17%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2976	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.204069	-0.84%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0132	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,723.71	-0.64%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0366	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.170403	+0.18%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0356	✓	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.