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2021-12-27 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2451
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.2%
in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.3639-15.76%1.91-63.13%0.5066✓1.0012.4M2022-01-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.7996-13.41%0.4593-77.90%1.1523✓0.676.3M2022-01-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.626781-13.31%0.322-55.46%0.2709✓1.242.9M2022-01-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.767162-13.25%0.6029-31.82%0.3196✗1.7523.5M2022-01-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.022746-13.18%0.0078-70.23%0.7506✓1.0035.6M2022-01-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.082.6818-12.93%1.552-49.61%0.2370✓0.972.2M2022-01-26
HIVEHivenative1.8521.6298-12.00%0.8673-53.17%0.2074✓1.327.3M2022-01-26
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789186.7943-11.71%78.4855-62.90%0.5026✓1.14674k2022-01-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.716219-11.70%0.4503-44.48%0.0547✓1.283.6M2022-01-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.773817-11.68%0.530813-39.41%0.0312✓1.083.0M2022-01-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.3129-11.49%2.1607-42.27%0.1478✓0.878.0M2022-01-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.37046-11.44%0.235-43.82%0.0460✓1.284.9M2022-01-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.102839-11.42%0.0645-44.44%0.0300✓1.372.5M2022-01-26
XVGVergenative0.019080.016933-11.25%0.00978-48.74%0.1683✓1.192.8M2022-01-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.0127-10.86%1.0722-52.51%0.0092✓1.941.6M2022-01-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.4435-10.79%2.31-40.16%0.0718✓1.02787k2022-01-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.033312-10.75%0.020906-43.99%0.1402✓1.0210.0M2022-01-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.4872-10.58%0.9233-44.48%0.1332✓1.0731.7M2022-01-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96101.9688-10.52%65.89-42.18%0.0758✓1.13127.7M2022-01-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5839.0189-10.47%24.1-44.70%0.0636✓1.713.1M2022-01-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3123.8706-10.24%2.541-41.07%0.1012✓1.003.3M2022-01-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7263.661-9.98%36.62-48.22%0.0710✓1.511.2M2022-01-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.215955-9.87%0.1184-50.58%0.2102✓1.226.1M2022-01-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.06692-9.69%0.034-54.12%0.2610✓1.302.1M2022-01-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10.993527-9.68%0.8612-21.71%0.1767✗1.00165k2022-01-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.339371-9.65%0.2242-40.31%0.1240✓0.91328k2022-01-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4440.2315-9.47%17.02-61.70%0.2737✓1.838.0M2022-01-26
UMAUMAEthereum10.759.7346-9.45%5.87-45.40%0.1588✓1.094.1M2022-01-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7411.5526-9.32%5.64-55.73%0.5497✓0.521.5M2022-01-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.089049-9.28%0.0491-49.98%0.1276✓1.464.8M2022-01-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.305921-9.28%0.1727-48.78%0.1626✓1.285.8M2022-01-26
XECeCashnative0.000118590.00010814-8.81%0.00007183-39.43%0.0932✓0.9910.2M2022-01-26
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.0164-8.79%3-45.45%0.1944✓1.002.5M2022-01-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.04872-8.78%0.02988-44.06%0.1957✓0.9210.6M2022-01-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.191-8.78%0.5576-57.29%0.2801✓1.502.3M2022-01-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.366868-8.60%0.2561-36.20%0.1261✗1.524.7M2022-01-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.2067-8.59%0.67-49.24%0.2687✓1.002.4M2022-01-26
ZECZcashZcash169.76155.2061-8.57%89.84-47.08%0.1271✓1.3111.8M2022-01-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.5786-8.56%1.0283-40.44%0.1114✓0.995.4M2022-01-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.6362-8.38%2.3-54.55%0.3813✓1.004.9M2022-01-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.842-8.36%0.8-60.20%0.2859✓1.711.5M2022-01-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.1672-8.32%5.05-54.46%0.3977✓0.951.3M2022-01-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017236-8.13%0.01035-44.83%0.1115✓1.252.8M2022-01-26
API3Api3Ethereum5.134.7154-8.08%3.78-26.32%0.0986✗1.001.2M2022-01-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.058677-8.08%0.041779-34.55%0.1265✗1.468.2M2022-01-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7124.5597-8.05%13-51.33%0.2929✓1.071.6M2022-01-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.193425-7.89%0.0991-52.81%0.3046✓1.143.8M2022-01-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000035982-7.86%0.00002111-45.94%0.2136✓1.002.4M2022-01-26
XTZTezosTezos5.10164.7019-7.84%2.9426-42.32%0.0539✓1.305.3M2022-01-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.434416-7.75%0.5301+12.57%0.6550✗1.431.0M2022-01-26
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.015817-7.67%0.00956-44.19%0.2053✓0.931.2M2022-01-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.106-7.44%7.03-50.35%0.6340✓-0.034.8M2022-01-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.3644-7.41%4.2234-38.56%0.0305✓1.19764k2022-01-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.682891-7.40%0.4047-45.13%0.1141✓1.2812.5M2022-01-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.639.4691-7.35%36.48-14.37%0.2590✗1.0620.7M2022-01-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5936.6817-7.35%18.91-52.24%0.1806✓1.511.3M2022-01-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.0769-7.31%6.13-52.95%0.7681✓-0.284.5M2022-01-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.73622-7.31%0.5015-36.86%0.0158✓1.256.8M2022-01-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.3621-7.26%1.6506-35.20%0.0195✓1.18147k2022-01-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.211986-7.22%0.16532-27.65%0.2676✗1.6118k2022-01-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.284.8992-7.21%2.87-45.64%0.1190✓1.3026.8M2022-01-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.2294-7.21%0.746-43.70%0.1907✓0.973.1M2022-01-26
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.089-7.21%6.982-50.50%0.6583✓-0.09129k2022-01-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9069-7.17%1.068-48.01%0.3555✓0.701.2M2022-01-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6134.9909-6.96%24.34-35.28%0.0287✓1.055.1M2022-01-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.135516-6.73%0.0799-45.01%0.1896✓1.06376k2022-01-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6827.686-6.72%32.35+9.00%0.4313✗0.8640.2M2022-01-26
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.3288-6.70%5.5942-44.05%0.0518✓1.44299k2022-01-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.29-6.68%0.80993-41.41%0.0965✗1.761.5M2022-01-26
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.5484-6.57%4.26-53.44%0.2534✓1.3915.8M2022-01-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2029,680.45-6.55%24,190.20-23.83%0.0375✓0.528.7M2022-01-26
DODODODOEthereum1.0170.950567-6.53%0.501-50.74%0.1699✓1.479.2M2022-01-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.323-6.50%1.7265+22.01%0.6083✗1.071.2M2022-01-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.107395-6.50%0.06885-40.06%0.2623✓0.57113k2022-01-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.3793-6.40%2.6906-25.47%0.1728✗1.253.1M2022-01-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.079064-6.36%0.0472-44.10%0.1328✓1.2021.1M2022-01-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.020171-6.35%0.01218-43.45%0.3165✓0.5946k2022-01-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.0327-6.32%4.63-28.11%0.0931✗1.125.1M2022-01-26
DASHDashDash151.04141.551-6.28%93.16-38.32%0.0142✓1.262.0M2022-01-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78146.3113-6.08%107-31.31%0.1302✗1.3954.4M2022-01-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04100.5834-6.03%49.62-53.64%0.4013✓0.967.6M2022-01-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.4357-5.96%5.876-41.44%0.0470✓1.33411k2022-01-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8115.8315-5.82%12.63-24.87%0.0060✓0.691.4M2022-01-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.97621.6562-5.74%16.167-29.64%0.2444✗1.6818.6M2022-01-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.7771-5.68%1.333-29.25%0.1317✗1.317.9M2022-01-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3011-5.67%0.8025-41.82%0.1490✓1.0523.6M2022-01-26
GTGateEthereum6.83956.4553-5.62%6.3615-6.99%0.2429✗0.814.3M2022-01-26
SOLSolanaSolana195.74184.769-5.60%92.18-52.91%0.3692✓1.02255.1M2022-01-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.3992-5.58%2.32-35.56%0.0663✓0.991.2M2022-01-26
LUNATerraTerra 291.0186.1789-5.31%58.8-35.39%0.0626✓1.006.1M2022-01-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.281-5.29%6.051-38.25%0.2281✓0.62455k2022-01-26
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.7587-5.21%2.3802-39.97%0.1171✓1.06798k2022-01-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.442243-5.10%0.247-47.00%0.3550✓0.7145k2022-01-26
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.077111-5.00%0.056164-30.80%0.0101✓0.96648k2022-01-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1610.6066-4.96%8.86-20.61%0.0674✗0.771.4M2022-01-26
BANDBandEthereum5.875.5854-4.85%3.44-41.40%0.1033✓1.192.6M2022-01-26
KSMKusamaHydration322.27306.9469-4.75%165.32-48.70%0.2663✓1.101.5M2022-01-26
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.2252-4.63%10.58-44.64%0.1221✓1.3214.6M2022-01-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.5289-4.54%3.038-35.96%0.1326✓0.83719k2022-01-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.085685-4.48%0.0618-31.10%0.0217✓1.0918k2022-01-26
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.4496-4.41%1.0784-28.88%0.0444✓1.06120.2M2022-01-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9729.6367-4.31%18.05-41.72%0.0937✓1.2677.1M2022-01-26
XMRMoneroMonero220.72211.2528-4.29%148.42-32.76%0.0364✓0.992.8M2022-01-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.2496-4.14%1.73-48.97%0.2198✓1.283.0M2022-01-26
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.288019-4.09%0.196933-34.42%0.0595✓1.0033.6M2022-01-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.0782-4.04%3.0743-41.91%0.0687✓1.365.2M2022-01-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.21143-3.63%0.115-47.58%0.3315✓0.87701k2022-01-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7012-3.53%1.63-41.79%0.1801✓1.024.4M2022-01-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.120466-3.50%0.08331-33.27%0.0176✓1.1029k2022-01-26
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34229.196-3.43%125.05-47.31%0.2537✓1.10239k2022-01-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.056179-3.41%0.03832-34.11%0.0271✓1.1116k2022-01-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.3441-3.37%3.594+3.85%0.0435✗-0.09395k2022-01-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.2614-3.30%15.24-33.80%0.0395✗1.3169.7M2022-01-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.0315-3.20%5.68-39.12%0.2162✓0.771.1M2022-01-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.8012-3.15%2.8665-42.18%0.2786✓0.7427k2022-01-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5933.5548-2.99%20.41-40.99%0.2835✓0.67572k2022-01-26
XEMNEMnative0.13910.135096-2.88%0.0977-29.76%0.0270✓1.10175k2022-01-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6404-2.71%0.856-49.23%0.2336✓1.304.1M2022-01-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.3877-2.69%7.92-52.97%0.3634✓1.144.8M2022-01-26
QNTQuantEthereum206.05200.7638-2.57%97.63-52.62%0.4206✓0.9411.9M2022-01-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7749,433.89-2.53%36,840.63-27.36%0.0256✗1.00744.5M2022-01-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.023556-2.52%0.014587-39.64%0.0943✓1.202.3M2022-01-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.643,946.15-2.29%2,465.00-38.96%0.1374✓1.04760.7M2022-01-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.8288-2.26%4.91-38.70%0.2652✓0.631.0M2022-01-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.2678-2.14%2.887-33.80%0.1618✓0.72487k2022-01-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2024-1.98%2.086-36.15%0.1602✓0.8495k2022-01-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.238.4409-1.94%19.28-50.82%0.3652✓1.0222.1M2022-01-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.2702-1.90%5.62-40.53%0.2879✓0.661.0M2022-01-26
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.234888-1.76%0.1625-32.04%0.2187✓0.47392k2022-01-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41125.1968-1.74%90.62-28.88%0.0078✓0.993.7M2022-01-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2427.8142-1.51%19.86-29.67%0.1102✗1.4022.9M2022-01-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3458.8689-1.38%289.23-37.84%0.1340✓1.0212.3M2022-01-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6050,489.55-1.38%36,316.90-29.06%0.0156✓0.988,5662022-01-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4306-1.26%3.788-31.13%0.1535✓0.65798k2022-01-26
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6274.6527-1.06%146.64-47.18%0.2846✓1.0711.4M2022-01-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.32-0.73%1.401-40.05%0.1515✓1.103.3M2022-01-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.186606-0.64%0.143059-23.83%0.0880✗1.115.5M2022-01-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.