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2021-12-25 · +1d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0492
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.9446-1.31%5.75+14.77%0.1435✗1.0012.1M2021-12-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.9462-1.26%15.17-6.07%0.0497✓-0.025.1M2021-12-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.712078-1.24%0.73+1.25%0.0157✗1.243.0M2021-12-26
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.8603-1.23%15.136-5.74%0.0461✓-0.08134k2021-12-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.022596-1.07%0.02201-3.63%0.0337✓1.0035.6M2021-12-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037445-1.06%0.03765-0.52%0.0021✓1.0211.6M2021-12-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.530538-1.02%0.494-7.84%0.0767✓0.7345k2021-12-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.853892-0.99%0.879132+1.93%0.0212✗1.083.4M2021-12-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4145.9565-0.98%45.66-1.62%0.0201✓1.858.6M2021-12-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2313.1009-0.98%13.1-0.98%0.0040✓0.532.7M2021-12-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.728234-0.97%0.7068-3.89%0.0429✓1.7617.7M2021-12-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.1037-0.97%3.19+1.79%0.0203✗0.972.2M2021-12-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86113.7601-0.96%115.07+0.18%0.0031✓1.13136.0M2021-12-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9809-0.96%2.196+9.80%0.0982✗0.667.5M2021-12-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.779398-0.95%0.8093+2.85%0.0282✗1.284.0M2021-12-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.39367-0.94%0.4265+7.32%0.0707✗1.275.3M2021-12-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.713-0.94%3.862+3.04%0.0329✗0.888.6M2021-12-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.9219-0.93%2.22+14.43%0.1316✗1.701.5M2021-12-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2633-0.91%2.3444+2.64%0.0208✗1.951.9M2021-12-26
XVGVergenative0.018380.018215-0.90%0.01937+5.39%0.0527✗1.182.8M2021-12-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5611-0.87%1.6079+2.10%0.0216✗1.0733.5M2021-12-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.7092-0.86%1.6918-1.87%0.0176✓1.006.2M2021-12-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.081894-0.85%0.084+1.69%0.0157✗1.312.3M2021-12-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5744.1896-0.85%43.55-2.29%0.0272✓1.714.2M2021-12-26
HIVEHivenative1.65091.6369-0.85%1.7664+7.00%0.0664✗1.328.6M2021-12-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.204052-0.85%0.2011-2.28%0.0230✓1.144.2M2021-12-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.232515-0.85%0.24+2.35%0.0227✗1.226.2M2021-12-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.9868-0.84%10.61-4.24%0.0419✓0.952.0M2021-12-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5598-0.84%3.81+6.13%0.0604✗1.02787k2021-12-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.315665-0.83%0.3303+3.77%0.0359✗1.285.8M2021-12-26
ZECZcashZcash169.64168.2378-0.83%167.45-1.29%0.0144✓1.3212.7M2021-12-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.8034-0.82%6.8179-0.61%0.0066✓1.19819k2021-12-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.100969-0.81%0.09987-1.89%0.0218✓1.474.8M2021-12-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.2475-0.80%5.23-1.13%0.0107✓1.006.5M2021-12-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.414286-0.79%0.4225+1.17%0.0084✗1.524.4M2021-12-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.363038-0.78%0.371+1.39%0.0150✗0.91356k2021-12-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.2589-0.77%4.307+0.35%0.0038✓1.003.6M2021-12-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4139.1093-0.76%38.9-1.29%0.0165✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016622-0.76%0.01668-0.42%0.0034✓0.931.3M2021-12-26
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.7056-0.76%10.41+6.44%0.0621✗1.084.1M2021-12-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.064151-0.76%0.06404-0.93%0.0125✓1.469.2M2021-12-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.049186-0.75%0.05082+2.54%0.0259✗0.9111.3M2021-12-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.110064-0.75%0.113+1.89%0.0163✗1.363.0M2021-12-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7770.2387-0.75%70.3-0.66%0.0103✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
DASHDashDash150148.8739-0.75%149.09-0.61%0.0079✓1.272.1M2021-12-26
XECeCashnative0.000119880.00011899-0.74%0.00012144+1.30%0.0131✗0.9911.6M2021-12-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000037441-0.74%0.00003825+1.41%0.0140✗1.002.1M2021-12-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8742-0.73%4.79-2.44%0.0248✓1.001.3M2021-12-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.7975-0.73%5.75-1.54%0.0179✓1.3128.7M2021-12-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.5772-0.71%32.17+7.99%0.0777✗0.8539.4M2021-12-26
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458184.2257-0.71%187.2077+0.90%0.0077✗1.14704k2021-12-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3294-0.71%1.3324-0.49%0.0108✓1.761.6M2021-12-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.714908-0.69%0.7354+2.15%0.0188✗1.2813.2M2021-12-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.01622.0023-0.69%2.0712+2.73%0.0287✗0.701.3M2021-12-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.087408-0.68%0.08785-0.18%0.0038✓1.2021.7M2021-12-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2613-0.68%1.28+0.79%0.0073✗1.002.4M2021-12-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019824-0.68%0.01958-1.90%0.0168✓0.5953k2021-12-26
LUNATerraTerra 298.497.7387-0.67%99.78+1.40%0.0133✗1.006.1M2021-12-26
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.9861-0.66%9.8982-1.54%0.0195✓1.44309k2021-12-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.4574-0.66%42.59-0.35%0.0047✓1.0621.2M2021-12-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.4871-0.66%12.67+0.80%0.0166✗-0.284.9M2021-12-26
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6894-0.65%4.72+0.00%0.0009✓1.002.5M2021-12-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1723-0.64%1.0806-8.42%0.0888✓1.00184k2021-12-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.5031-0.64%2.4928-1.05%0.0129✓1.18147k2021-12-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.01869-0.64%0.01869-0.64%0.0092✓1.252.9M2021-12-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.111-0.64%1.1705+4.69%0.0412✗1.482.4M2021-12-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.786602-0.63%0.7893-0.29%0.0058✓1.257.7M2021-12-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7131,005.54-0.61%31,193.34-0.01%0.0022✓0.527.7M2021-12-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.4013-0.60%1.3933-1.17%0.0137✓1.071.3M2021-12-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28108.6293-0.60%107.53-1.60%0.0172✓0.968.4M2021-12-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.467515-0.59%0.469-0.28%0.0073✓1.421.1M2021-12-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.786-0.58%22.898-0.10%0.0075✓1.6820.1M2021-12-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2945-0.58%1.317+1.15%0.0101✗0.963.7M2021-12-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.112031-0.57%0.11329+0.55%0.0070✗0.57113k2021-12-26
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.93567-0.57%1.002+6.48%0.0577✗1.468.9M2021-12-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.8913-0.55%37.92-0.47%0.0070✓1.055.9M2021-12-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.139837-0.54%0.1438+2.28%0.0202✗1.06413k2021-12-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.3079-0.54%1.3907+5.76%0.0537✗1.0422.8M2021-12-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.9197-0.53%16.92-0.53%0.0051✓0.691.4M2021-12-26
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3553-0.53%6.7502+5.65%0.0544✗0.804.3M2021-12-26
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.61-0.52%7.93+3.66%0.0310✗1.3815.1M2021-12-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.9001-0.52%9.727-2.26%0.0223✓0.63388k2021-12-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9419-0.52%1.942-0.51%0.0097✓1.327.9M2021-12-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.1228-0.51%11.25+0.63%0.0057✗0.771.4M2021-12-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5659-0.51%3.66+2.11%0.0168✗1.253.4M2021-12-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.4941-0.49%25.82+0.78%0.0048✓1.072.7M2021-12-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.9015-0.49%9.64-3.12%0.0317✓0.671.0M2021-12-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.21528-0.47%0.20968-3.06%0.0383✓1.6223k2021-12-26
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.081352-0.44%0.081508-0.25%0.0052✓0.96655k2021-12-26
BANDBandEthereum5.755.7247-0.44%5.85+1.74%0.0129✗1.193.0M2021-12-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5369-0.44%3.4826-1.96%0.0148✓-0.09384k2021-12-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5347-0.43%3.61+1.69%0.0138✗0.991.2M2021-12-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0247-0.43%22.99+3.93%0.0333✗1.3069.7M2021-12-26
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91262.7763-0.43%268.05+1.57%0.0120✗1.0711.4M2021-12-26
KSMKusamaHydration293.74292.4943-0.42%322.4+9.76%0.0893✗1.091.5M2021-12-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.3006-0.42%9.4+0.64%0.0049✗0.77934k2021-12-26
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4481-0.42%1.4549+0.05%0.0032✓1.06120.7M2021-12-26
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7641-0.42%3.8689+2.35%0.0196✗1.06819k2021-12-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8555-0.42%6.24+6.12%0.0554✗1.114.6M2021-12-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2634-0.39%4.37+2.10%0.0186✗0.83719k2021-12-26
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.5413-0.38%216.57+2.47%0.0209✗0.992.8M2021-12-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2615-0.38%5.3426+1.16%0.0053✗1.355.4M2021-12-26
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5667-0.37%4.8691+6.22%0.0546✗1.295.4M2021-12-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158157.4317-0.36%155.96-1.29%0.0196✓1.3956.9M2021-12-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.089197-0.34%0.0896+0.11%0.0035✓1.0919k2021-12-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9715-0.33%9.232+2.57%0.0188✗1.33455k2021-12-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.3288-0.32%34.4-0.12%0.0029✓0.67611k2021-12-26
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4137-0.32%18.67+6.87%0.0600✗1.3114.6M2021-12-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1543-0.31%4.9306-4.64%0.0499✓0.7528k2021-12-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.216722-0.31%0.219+0.74%0.0041✗0.87756k2021-12-26
SOLSolanaSolana193.06192.461-0.31%198+2.56%0.0209✗1.02257.1M2021-12-26
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.8355-0.31%194.3-0.58%0.0097✓0.9412.0M2021-12-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7216-0.31%2.76+1.10%0.0065✗1.024.4M2021-12-26
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44227.7514-0.30%235.5+3.09%0.0254✗1.10239k2021-12-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,085.11-0.30%4,065.91-0.77%0.0124✓1.05768.5M2021-12-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,281.21-0.29%50,801.79+0.74%0.0029✓1.00750.8M2021-12-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0385-0.28%4.113+1.56%0.0130✗0.71473k2021-12-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058852-0.28%0.05866-0.61%0.0115✓1.1116k2021-12-26
XEMNEMnative0.1370.136618-0.28%0.1412+3.07%0.0249✗1.10199k2021-12-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4553-0.27%5.487+0.31%0.0010✓0.65846k2021-12-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.4174-0.26%17.11+3.95%0.0330✗1.134.9M2021-12-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.3227-0.25%3.279-1.56%0.0195✓0.8499k2021-12-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.289345-0.24%0.291987+0.67%0.0017✓1.0035.1M2021-12-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.058.031-0.24%7.96-1.12%0.0135✓0.631.0M2021-12-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.7977-0.22%31.34+8.59%0.0754✗1.2577.3M2021-12-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.123089-0.20%0.12458+1.01%0.0039✗1.1029k2021-12-26
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241945-0.19%0.2394-1.24%0.0140✓0.47393k2021-12-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1242-0.19%3.08-1.60%0.0237✓1.293.2M2021-12-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.190397-0.18%0.190018-0.38%0.0102✓1.116.1M2021-12-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.2405-0.18%26.72-2.09%0.0296✓1.4024.1M2021-12-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023769-0.16%0.024422+2.58%0.0182✗1.202.2M2021-12-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.9604-0.16%37.29+0.73%0.0014✓1.0122.7M2021-12-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6364-0.16%1.668+1.77%0.0095✗1.304.8M2021-12-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21128.0192-0.15%127.5-0.55%0.0114✓0.993.2M2021-12-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,936.06-0.14%50,987.30-0.04%0.0062✓0.988,5662021-12-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36454.7809-0.13%451.86-0.77%0.0140✓1.0313.1M2021-12-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.3084-0.07%2.289-0.91%0.0166✓1.113.3M2021-12-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.