8=======>

2021-12-24 · +1d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0336
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.0%
in alpha space · 19.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7558-0.05%8.05+3.74%0.0425✗0.631.0M2021-12-25
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.808-0.14%16.46+3.98%0.0499✗1.145.0M2021-12-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.9589-0.15%34.44+1.26%0.0197✗0.67649k2021-12-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023225-0.15%0.023808+2.36%0.0349✗1.202.2M2021-12-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0346-0.17%9.95+9.94%0.1022✗0.681.0M2021-12-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2621-0.17%2.31+1.94%0.0302✗1.113.4M2021-12-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.185951-0.20%0.190748+2.38%0.0348✗1.116.1M2021-12-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.121661-0.20%0.12333+1.17%0.0228✗1.1030k2021-12-25
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.7726-0.20%10.0526+2.66%0.0403✗1.44349k2021-12-25
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080722-0.21%0.081715+1.02%0.0203✗0.96659k2021-12-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.4242-0.21%22.12+3.03%0.0429✗1.3169.7M2021-12-25
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4804-0.22%4.5838+2.09%0.0336✗1.295.4M2021-12-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.3377-0.22%38.1+1.82%0.0290✗1.056.1M2021-12-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,600.63-0.22%51,009.40+0.58%0.0163✗0.989,2792021-12-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.8373-0.24%39.41+12.86%0.1360✗1.521.3M2021-12-25
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.9357-0.25%211.35+3.38%0.0440✗0.992.7M2021-12-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.2533-0.25%128.21-1.06%0.0002✓0.993.2M2021-12-25
SOLSolanaSolana190.65190.1623-0.26%193.06+1.26%0.0236✗1.02257.1M2021-12-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.9316-0.26%158-2.08%0.0068✓1.3958.6M2021-12-25
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2961-0.26%6.389+1.21%0.0213✗0.804.6M2021-12-25
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116984-0.27%0.00011988+2.20%0.0327✗0.9911.7M2021-12-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.6947-0.27%17.01+1.61%0.0245✗0.691.4M2021-12-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.269-0.28%25.62+1.10%0.0228✗1.072.7M2021-12-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5885-0.28%1.639+2.89%0.0422✗1.315.2M2021-12-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.277831-0.29%0.290047+4.10%0.0514✗1.0136.2M2021-12-25
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6316-0.29%3.78+3.79%0.0489✗1.06819k2021-12-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.36694-0.29%0.536+45.65%0.3852✗0.7645k2021-12-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.0885-0.29%28.86+2.45%0.0375✗1.2577.3M2021-12-25
QNTQuantEthereum199.57198.9924-0.29%195.44-2.07%0.0102✓0.9412.0M2021-12-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6552-0.30%9.001+3.69%0.0503✗1.33511k2021-12-25
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,037.55-0.30%4,097.43+1.18%0.0235✗1.05768.5M2021-12-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27450.9006-0.30%455.36+0.68%0.0184✗1.0313.7M2021-12-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3814-0.30%1.4098+1.75%0.0293✗1.081.4M2021-12-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5704-0.31%3.5524-0.81%0.0058✓-0.09384k2021-12-25
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2229.4459-0.33%228.44-0.76%0.0048✗1.10239k2021-12-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2259-0.33%1.27+3.25%0.0437✗1.002.4M2021-12-25
XEMNEMnative0.13590.135446-0.33%0.137+0.81%0.0206✗1.10202k2021-12-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.9894-0.34%9.952-0.71%0.0015✓0.63455k2021-12-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62104.2688-0.34%109.28+4.45%0.0550✗0.968.8M2021-12-25
KSMKusamaHydration288.88287.9002-0.34%293.74+1.68%0.0292✗1.091.5M2021-12-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,675.62-0.35%50,428.31-0.83%0.0035✓1.00750.8M2021-12-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0693-0.35%3.13+1.62%0.0303✗1.293.2M2021-12-25
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.6139-0.35%4.72+1.94%0.0311✗1.002.5M2021-12-25
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.243642-0.35%0.2424-0.86%0.0012✓0.47410k2021-12-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.082544-0.36%0.08801+6.24%0.0742✗1.2121.7M2021-12-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2824-0.36%1.302+1.17%0.0232✗0.974.1M2021-12-25
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.4369-0.36%17.47-0.17%0.0128✗1.3114.6M2021-12-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.2946-0.37%12.57+1.86%0.0198✗-0.284.9M2021-12-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.5169-0.37%3.55+0.57%0.0176✗0.991.3M2021-12-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7397-0.37%2.73-0.73%0.0049✗1.024.7M2021-12-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.088463-0.38%0.0895+0.79%0.0208✗1.0921k2021-12-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018689-0.38%0.01881+0.27%0.0169✗1.253.2M2021-12-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.0355-0.38%9.34+2.98%0.0396✗0.78836k2021-12-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0811.0364-0.39%11.18+0.90%0.0194✗0.771.5M2021-12-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6932-0.40%1.94+14.12%0.1503✗1.711.5M2021-12-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6972-0.40%5.88+2.80%0.0409✗1.115.0M2021-12-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.0922-0.40%0.10179+9.96%0.1113✗1.484.8M2021-12-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.215333-0.40%0.2174+0.56%0.0168✗0.87776k2021-12-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057747-0.40%0.05902+1.79%0.0311✗1.1217k2021-12-25
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3879-0.40%1.4542+4.36%0.0556✗1.07124.4M2021-12-25
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1263-0.40%3.331+6.12%0.0705✗0.85100k2021-12-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019639-0.41%0.01996+1.22%0.0212✗0.5960k2021-12-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9869-0.43%4.05+1.15%0.0217✗0.71473k2021-12-25
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.4975-0.43%42.74+0.14%0.0145✗1.0621.8M2021-12-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.3126-0.43%37.02+1.51%0.0278✗1.0223.1M2021-12-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2522-0.43%5.47+3.70%0.0461✗0.65846k2021-12-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.049226-0.43%0.04956+0.24%0.0144✗0.9112.1M2021-12-25
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.905048-0.43%0.941+3.52%0.0512✗1.479.3M2021-12-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.380909-0.44%0.3974+3.87%0.0530✗1.276.2M2021-12-25
BANDBandEthereum5.635.6048-0.45%5.75+2.13%0.0356✗1.193.0M2021-12-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9381-0.45%2.0162+3.56%0.0453✗0.701.3M2021-12-25
XVGVergenative0.017980.017897-0.46%0.01838+2.22%0.0366✗1.192.8M2021-12-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.5014-0.47%27.29-1.23%0.0040✓1.4024.1M2021-12-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1943-0.47%5.1706-0.93%0.0017✓0.7529k2021-12-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3931-0.48%3.5842+5.13%0.0653✗1.253.4M2021-12-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9898-0.48%5.2814+5.33%0.0681✗1.365.2M2021-12-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.693603-0.49%0.7199+3.29%0.0479✗1.2814.0M2021-12-25
DASHDashDash149.49148.7602-0.49%150+0.34%0.0189✗1.272.2M2021-12-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1365-0.49%4.28+2.96%0.0411✗0.83714k2021-12-25
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.5123-0.50%9.78+2.30%0.0368✗1.084.1M2021-12-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,414.84-0.50%31,196.71-4.24%0.0340✓0.527.0M2021-12-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5627-0.51%2.5192-2.20%0.0072✓1.18152k2021-12-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.215983-0.51%0.2345+8.01%0.0925✗1.236.5M2021-12-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.731-0.52%29.79+10.87%0.1155✗0.8640.2M2021-12-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.805-0.52%4.91+1.66%0.0300✗1.001.5M2021-12-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.109567-0.54%0.11267+2.28%0.0327✗0.57143k2021-12-25
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.6851-0.55%22.92+0.48%0.0244✗1.6821.0M2021-12-25
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.2005-0.56%2.2841+3.22%0.0536✗1.952.1M2021-12-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.7716-0.56%4.292+13.16%0.1376✗1.003.5M2021-12-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.845754-0.57%0.862461+1.39%0.0286✗1.083.7M2021-12-25
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.7875-0.58%11.08+2.12%0.0347✗0.951.6M2021-12-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7768-0.58%3.134+12.21%0.1292✗0.982.2M2021-12-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8857-0.58%2+5.45%0.0644✗0.668.1M2021-12-25
ZECZcashZcash165.18164.2173-0.58%169.64+2.70%0.0435✗1.3213.6M2021-12-25
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748187.0525-0.60%185.5458-1.40%0.0014✓1.14720k2021-12-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.213546-0.60%0.21629+0.68%0.0263✗1.6224k2021-12-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9868-0.61%1.952-2.35%0.0067✓1.317.9M2021-12-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.00003592-0.61%0.00003772+4.37%0.0573✗1.002.2M2021-12-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.791607-0.63%0.7916-0.63%0.0105✗1.257.7M2021-12-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2768-0.63%1.315+2.34%0.0382✗1.0422.8M2021-12-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.7397-0.64%1.7241-1.54%0.0007✓1.006.7M2021-12-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.3049-0.68%1.3389+1.91%0.0404✗1.761.6M2021-12-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1809-0.68%1.1799-0.77%0.0075✗1.00190k2021-12-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.201417-0.68%0.2058+1.48%0.0311✗1.144.3M2021-12-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.358632-0.68%0.3659+1.33%0.0276✗0.91388k2021-12-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.06179-0.69%0.06464+3.89%0.0573✗1.479.5M2021-12-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93114.1093-0.71%114.86-0.06%0.0160✗1.13142.8M2021-12-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.459585-0.72%0.4703+1.60%0.0350✗1.431.2M2021-12-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.299433-0.72%0.3183+5.54%0.0718✗1.286.2M2021-12-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.136905-0.72%0.1406+1.96%0.0355✗1.06445k2021-12-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.4694-0.74%5.29-3.99%0.0250✓1.006.5M2021-12-25
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33268.314-0.75%263.91-2.37%0.0076✓1.0711.4M2021-12-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5133-0.76%3.59+1.41%0.0301✗1.02807k2021-12-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.564-0.76%1.5748-0.08%0.0158✗1.0734.9M2021-12-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.1095-0.79%1.1181-0.02%0.0201✗1.492.5M2021-12-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.037942-0.80%0.037845-1.05%0.0060✓1.0212.1M2021-12-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.1477-0.82%5.84+12.52%0.1372✗1.3228.7M2021-12-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.402861-0.82%0.4176+2.81%0.0487✗1.524.4M2021-12-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.077444-0.84%0.0826+5.76%0.0754✗1.312.5M2021-12-25
ZENHorizenBase70.5369.9373-0.84%70.77+0.34%0.0245✗1.511.4M2021-12-25
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.871-0.87%7.65-3.65%0.0170✓1.3814.9M2021-12-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.667034-0.89%0.721+7.13%0.0882✗1.243.0M2021-12-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.618-0.94%6.86+2.68%0.0459✗1.19876k2021-12-25
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016347-0.99%0.01675+1.45%0.0322✗0.941.4M2021-12-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.107493-1.02%0.1109+2.12%0.0426✗1.373.0M2021-12-25
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5766-1.03%1.6509+3.63%0.0571✗1.3210.4M2021-12-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7245.2218-1.09%46.41+1.51%0.0414✗1.858.8M2021-12-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.7285-1.10%5.01+32.89%0.3038✗1.0011.9M2021-12-25
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.4604-1.13%3.7481+7.09%0.0872✗0.889.0M2021-12-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.9629-1.21%13.23+9.25%0.1051✗0.532.7M2021-12-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.749428-1.34%0.7869+3.59%0.0595✗1.285.1M2021-12-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.021581-1.50%0.02284+4.24%0.0650✗1.0039.8M2021-12-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1543.4842-1.51%44.57+0.95%0.0390✗1.714.7M2021-12-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.749677-1.64%0.7354-3.52%0.0045✓1.7614.6M2021-12-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.3939-1.95%16.15+2.87%0.0478✗-0.024.8M2021-12-25
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61115.2369-2.40%16.057+2.86%0.0518✗-0.08133k2021-12-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.