2021-12-22 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3077

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.05%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.9%

in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-25.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.020131	-15.70%	0.0092	-61.47%	0.4954	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.1239	-14.21%	0.8913	-31.96%	0.0558	✓	1.00	196k	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.2307	-13.50%	1.738	-32.61%	0.0144	✓	0.92	2.8M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	102.5523	-12.09%	66.07	-43.37%	0.1075	✓	1.15	158.3M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.032503	-11.89%	0.022082	-40.14%	0.0932	✓	1.02	13.9M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.332658	-11.86%	0.2523	-33.15%	0.0966	✓	1.30	6.6M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.730564	-11.36%	0.55846	-32.24%	0.0383	✓	1.07	4.7M	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.596222	-11.29%	0.6365	-5.30%	0.5943	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.1926	-11.07%	2.45	-31.75%	0.0229	✓	1.00	11.9M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	1.9607	-10.87%	0.8678	-60.55%	0.2388	✓	2.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	37.0866	-10.61%	24.86	-40.08%	0.0985	✓	1.73	5.2M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	40.3008	-10.50%	17.88	-60.29%	0.2798	✓	1.85	10.6M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.567946	-10.42%	0.352	-44.48%	0.1264	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	148.9512	-10.18%	102.35	-38.28%	0.0166	✓	1.36	13.6M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	2.9758	-10.10%	2.9	-12.39%	0.2532	✗	0.97	807k	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.092246	-10.09%	0.0619	-39.67%	0.0106	✓	1.35	3.3M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.015528	-9.93%	0.01002	-41.88%	0.0993	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.4486	-9.91%	0.91734	-42.95%	0.1677	✓	1.01	7.8M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.19106	-9.83%	0.0939	-55.69%	0.3803	✓	1.15	4.2M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	2.9707	-9.69%	2.2219	-32.45%	0.0459	✓	0.85	9.3M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.777	-9.59%	1.1848	-39.72%	0.2059	✓	0.69	1.3M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000031673	-9.51%	0.00002226	-36.40%	0.0650	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.3629	-9.47%	0.906	-39.82%	0.0313	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.045535	-9.46%	0.0303	-39.75%	0.1350	✓	0.95	16.3M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	4.5642	-9.44%	4.65	-7.74%	0.3063	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.0965	-9.38%	0.73	-39.67%	0.1191	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	8.5777	-9.33%	6.6	-30.23%	0.0509	✓	1.09	4.1M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	4.583	-9.25%	3.31	-34.46%	0.0637	✓	1.35	28.7M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.626046	-9.18%	0.4811	-30.20%	0.0913	✓	1.23	6.5M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	4.9629	-8.94%	2.29	-57.98%	0.4858	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	61.9633	-8.88%	38.94	-42.74%	0.0278	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	9.6841	-8.81%	7.97	-24.95%	0.2290	✓	-0.12	4.2M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.2452	-8.72%	1.0303	-24.47%	0.1124	✗	1.05	35.5M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	5.9727	-8.68%	4.7186	-27.85%	0.1056	✗	1.19	833k	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.15	-8.39%	2.71	-40.18%	0.1385	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	9.1796	-8.39%	5.68	-43.31%	0.2072	✓	0.95	1.9M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	37.8726	-8.37%	38.52	-6.80%	0.3225	✗	1.06	23.4M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.30201	-8.29%	0.2921	-11.30%	0.3845	✗	1.45	4.4M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	9.717	-8.16%	7.826	-26.03%	0.2669	✓	-0.18	129k	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.016449	-8.10%	0.01111	-37.93%	0.0312	✓	1.26	3.6M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.0948	-7.73%	0.81011	-31.72%	0.2008	✗	1.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.087103	-7.53%	0.05388	-42.80%	0.0462	✓	1.51	6.4M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.643001	-7.40%	0.4366	-37.13%	0.0172	✓	1.29	14.9M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.017973	-7.36%	0.01394	-28.14%	0.0956	✓	0.55	61k	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.178	-7.31%	0.857	-32.57%	0.0117	✓	1.07	23.6M	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.418659	-7.19%	0.5351	+18.62%	0.6537	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.056576	-7.16%	0.041641	-31.67%	0.1230	✗	1.49	11.0M	2022-01-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.6405	-7.08%	0.5186	-70.62%	1.0012	✓	0.52	8.5M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	25.465	-7.03%	34.64	+26.47%	0.5570	✗	0.87	41.0M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.265636	-6.99%	0.198	-30.67%	0.0686	✓	1.26	6.6M	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.014892	-6.98%	0.01044	-34.79%	0.0896	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.193202	-6.98%	0.1206	-41.94%	0.1279	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.081599	-6.96%	0.05552	-36.69%	0.0281	✓	1.24	22.6M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.5009	-6.87%	2.795	-25.65%	0.0625	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	19.9733	-6.82%	16.808	-21.59%	0.3133	✗	1.69	22.7M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.317681	-6.81%	0.2396	-29.72%	0.0268	✓	0.89	401k	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	10.3302	-6.77%	6.49	-41.43%	0.3182	✓	0.51	3.4M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	169.6646	-6.73%	95	-47.78%	0.2519	✓	1.14	748k	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.099054	-6.57%	0.07197	-32.12%	0.1628	✓	0.54	143k	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.188	-6.53%	0.764	-39.89%	0.1597	✓	0.98	4.4M	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.127598	-6.52%	0.0834	-38.90%	0.1141	✓	1.08	508k	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.689154	-6.45%	0.5619	-23.73%	0.1461	✗	1.22	7.7M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	1.0192	-6.40%	0.6747	-38.04%	0.0241	✓	1.52	3.0M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	22.9432	-6.39%	15.55	-36.56%	0.0827	✓	1.06	2.7M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.066665	-6.37%	0.0363	-49.02%	0.2150	✓	1.37	2.7M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.4987	-6.33%	0.97	-39.38%	0.0530	✓	1.70	1.6M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	5.7422	-6.25%	6.243	+1.93%	0.3178	✗	0.81	4.7M	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	29,662.23	-6.22%	25,741.64	-18.62%	0.0129	✓	0.54	6.8M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000103675	-6.22%	0.00007968	-27.92%	0.0223	✓	0.99	12.0M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	11.4299	-6.16%	6.72	-44.83%	0.6212	✓	-0.31	5.4M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.6902	-6.15%	1.209	-32.87%	0.0358	✓	1.29	6.8M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	9.5198	-6.12%	5.957	-41.25%	0.2837	✓	0.64	455k	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	14.8518	-5.94%	13.42	-15.01%	0.0896	✗	0.66	1.5M	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.191514	-5.89%	0.16704	-17.92%	0.3321	✗	1.63	34k	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	146.3013	-5.88%	114.51	-26.33%	0.1574	✗	1.40	60.2M	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.3129	-5.85%	1.6672	-32.14%	0.0189	✓	1.20	147k	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	95.7541	-5.72%	58.39	-42.51%	0.2197	✓	0.96	9.8M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	9.7956	-5.54%	9.4	-9.35%	0.1728	✗	0.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.058	-5.53%	3.11	-3.93%	0.3635	✗	1.21	4.0M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.2878	-5.50%	1.4321	+5.09%	0.4152	✗	1.07	1.5M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	128.0155	-5.29%	105.73	-21.77%	0.1676	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	8.9545	-5.04%	6.1225	-35.07%	0.0361	✓	1.45	349k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	33.89	-4.99%	25.95	-27.25%	0.0334	✓	1.04	6.2M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	32.0775	-4.98%	21.23	-37.11%	0.0195	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.2314	-4.68%	2.46	-27.43%	0.0099	✓	0.98	1.3M	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.075423	-4.58%	0.061109	-22.69%	0.0667	✗	0.96	787k	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.857654	-4.49%	0.561	-37.53%	0.0014	✓	1.47	9.7M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.4426	-4.36%	3.5345	-1.81%	0.0006	✓	-0.09	372k	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.2968	-4.22%	4.17	-24.59%	0.0717	✗	1.08	5.3M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.3546	-4.12%	3.3417	-26.42%	0.1090	✗	1.30	5.1M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.1449	-4.01%	3.96	-26.12%	0.0784	✗	1.18	2.8M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.083078	-3.96%	0.0634	-26.71%	0.0463	✗	1.10	22k	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.054747	-3.70%	0.03977	-30.04%	0.0037	✓	1.12	20k	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	171.8947	-3.67%	112.32	-37.06%	0.1352	✓	1.01	265.5M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.3849	-3.44%	1.84	-25.51%	0.0131	✓	0.95	4.7M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.345578	-3.20%	0.271	-24.09%	0.0293	✓	0.74	49k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.111574	-3.04%	0.08324	-27.66%	0.0238	✓	1.10	30k	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	26.4432	-2.93%	19.67	-27.79%	0.0609	✗	1.24	75.5M	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	2.9859	-2.74%	2	-34.85%	0.0309	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.202355	-2.62%	0.1474	-29.07%	0.0654	✓	0.87	776k	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	8.0452	-2.58%	8.351	+1.13%	0.4172	✗	1.32	635k	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.3892	-2.48%	2.3265	-33.06%	0.0766	✓	1.04	819k	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	185.88	-2.44%	172.82	-9.30%	0.2008	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.2065	-2.41%	4.96	-22.01%	0.1538	✗	1.31	13.8M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	4.9446	-2.39%	3.555	-29.82%	0.0631	✗	1.37	5.0M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.022453	-2.33%	0.016171	-29.66%	0.0198	✓	1.21	2.0M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.2985	-2.21%	1.1211	-15.57%	0.1484	✗	1.03	128.9M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	202.1495	-2.18%	139.37	-32.56%	0.0693	✓	1.05	236k	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	3.9422	-2.03%	3.392	-15.71%	0.0808	✗	0.80	714k	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.262369	-2.00%	0.202862	-24.23%	0.0267	✗	0.99	39.0M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	267.7854	-1.99%	213.87	-21.72%	0.0859	✗	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	4.9085	-1.99%	3.2277	-35.55%	0.2006	✓	0.76	31k	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.657	-1.96%	6.56	-25.71%	0.0554	✓	0.77	934k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	32.4357	-1.95%	23.31	-29.53%	0.1384	✓	0.67	711k	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	15.8983	-1.92%	12.63	-22.09%	0.1350	✗	1.27	14.1M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	34.9579	-1.89%	21.98	-38.31%	0.1728	✓	1.01	22.5M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.237937	-1.84%	0.1639	-32.38%	0.2414	✓	0.46	428k	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.7912	-1.75%	5.64	-28.88%	0.1412	✓	0.63	1.1M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,912.93	-1.71%	2,569.01	-35.47%	0.1155	✓	1.06	768.5M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.128312	-1.68%	0.097	-25.67%	0.0326	✗	1.09	202k	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	47,850.40	-1.56%	36,456.94	-25.00%	0.0157	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.5446	-1.55%	0.984	-37.28%	0.0726	✓	1.32	5.4M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	121.7547	-1.55%	95.68	-22.63%	0.0422	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.6682	-1.39%	6.31	-28.21%	0.1288	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	23.0424	-1.27%	24.19	+3.64%	0.4327	✗	1.34	21.2M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.6884	-1.16%	17.44	-12.45%	0.2448	✗	1.27	67.0M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.946	-0.91%	2.197	-26.10%	0.0511	✓	0.84	103k	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.8283	-0.87%	3.168	-17.97%	0.0063	✓	0.68	487k	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.4421	-0.76%	9.94	-36.12%	0.1120	✓	1.14	5.7M	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.1141	-0.72%	4.12	-20.02%	0.0342	✓	0.63	936k	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	181.2775	-0.67%	114.44	-37.29%	0.1968	✓	0.91	12.1M	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	48,483.17	-0.66%	36,607.80	-24.99%	0.0023	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	437.5096	-0.18%	315.04	-28.12%	0.0316	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.2236	-0.15%	1.445	-35.11%	0.1114	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.174337	+0.66%	0.142057	-17.98%	0.1112	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	209.259	+1.35%	171.09	-17.14%	0.0764	✓	0.97	11.4M	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.