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2021-12-20 · +30d

lstm_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2082
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 81.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01184.2945+1.81%210.15+16.10%0.2470✓0.9811.0M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.168089+0.54%0.161705-3.27%0.0937✓1.125.3M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28429.8041-0.11%369.1-14.22%0.0277✓1.0514.2M2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0374-0.13%1.709-16.23%0.0435✓1.113.4M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.7912-0.33%12.52-15.63%0.0301✓1.156.6M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum174.01173.127-0.51%135.59-22.08%0.1388✓0.8912.3M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,562.76-0.65%41,724.00-10.98%0.0078✗0.9915k2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0334.9979-0.70%4.793-4.77%0.0343✗0.641.0M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.816-0.77%2.623-7.58%0.0299✗0.85104k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.6751-0.97%3.627-2.26%0.0674✗0.68544k2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.5216-1.05%26.53+21.98%0.3669✗1.3320.8M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.5727-1.10%21.56+14.80%0.3018✗1.2969.7M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.3917-1.22%1.222-13.27%0.0265✗1.325.6M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,896.54-1.26%3,085.27-21.82%0.1049✓1.08768.5M2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,288.17-1.36%41,674.27-11.19%0.0137✗1.00750.8M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.3393-1.43%7.67-9.34%0.0041✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71119.8076-1.56%109.45-10.07%0.0278✗1.002.5M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.8764-1.59%3.956+0.43%0.1180✗0.82780k2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8193-1.67%3.9939-18.51%0.0961✓0.7731k2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.254018-1.69%0.245567-4.96%0.0836✗0.9940.4M2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.4353-1.73%26.81-16.19%0.0808✓0.66754k2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.2675-1.74%15.12+4.13%0.2101✗1.2814.2M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.12490.122702-1.76%0.1126-9.85%0.0448✗1.10202k2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.236035-1.86%0.1786-25.74%0.2242✓0.46434k2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.525-1.90%7.57-12.89%0.0248✓0.79838k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.795489-1.91%0.701-13.56%0.0477✗1.4710.9M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2144-1.91%1.3366+7.96%0.2183✗1.03131.8M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.1624-2.00%27.59-20.85%0.0914✓1.0321.2M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.2623-2.01%7.009-5.42%0.1244✗1.35635k2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration263.85258.4389-2.05%243.71-7.63%0.0724✗1.101.5M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43184.3424-2.17%172.8-8.29%0.0612✗1.06236k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.021767-2.31%0.01895-14.95%0.0075✓1.231.9M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.3527-2.32%6.05+10.40%0.2775✗1.3112.7M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.774-2.33%4-18.17%0.0135✓1.385.2M2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2115-2.35%3.0555-7.09%0.0738✗1.04798k2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.84184.1879-2.46%201.62+6.77%0.2066✗0.982.9M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.7426-2.49%6.36-19.90%0.1172✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6390.2613-2.56%71.82-22.47%0.1157✓0.9510.6M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.198286-2.66%0.1712-15.95%0.0427✓0.88756k2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.6959-2.68%2.47-10.83%0.0647✗1.283.0M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0823.4174-2.75%24.06-0.08%0.1750✗1.2575.1M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3829.5087-2.87%26.13-13.99%0.0575✗1.511.6M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.649831-2.89%0.6838+2.18%0.1935✗1.207.8M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5320.8911-2.97%37.07+72.18%0.6717✗0.8342.5M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.052432-3.01%0.04692-13.21%0.0231✓1.1322k2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.105414-3.09%0.10044-7.66%0.0841✗1.1231k2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.08086-3.28%0.0761-8.97%0.0713✗1.1124k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.337526-3.29%0.349+0.00%0.1216✗0.7454k2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5433.3881-3.34%31.27-9.47%0.0600✗1.066.5M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.063381-3.35%0.07162+9.21%0.2398✗0.9922.6M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.10643.9674-3.39%3.8849-5.39%0.1353✗1.324.7M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash127.33122.9976-3.40%126.8-0.42%0.1788✗1.252.2M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana174.06168.1327-3.41%135.33-22.25%0.0962✓1.02281.0M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.114.9331-3.46%4.9-4.11%0.1210✗1.085.5M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3055-3.53%2.09-12.55%0.0156✓0.964.9M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.077610.074843-3.57%0.069192-10.85%0.0380✗0.98798k2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4552-3.63%1.17-22.52%0.0178✓1.692.0M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6094-3.69%1.294-22.56%0.0653✓1.297.6M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.6366-3.74%7.4032-17.48%0.0207✓1.47356k2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.109-3.75%2.91-9.91%0.0515✗0.991.3M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.1925-3.75%1.537+24.05%0.3823✗1.081.6M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.1681-3.91%2.0509-9.10%0.0850✗1.18169k2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.064.8607-3.94%4.91-2.96%0.1501✗1.182.8M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.597485-3.97%0.5244-15.72%0.0153✓1.2314.9M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.2607-4.03%10.22+5.91%0.1858✗0.741.9M2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000106380.00010208-4.04%0.00009227-13.26%0.0177✓1.0013.4M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.085387-4.07%0.07218-18.91%0.0043✓1.456.7M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.014316-4.12%0.0127-14.94%0.0113✓0.911.9M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.6144-4.24%5.4486-7.07%0.1107✗1.18833k2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.0324-4.24%3.1421-0.78%0.1817✗1.234.7M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138169.3903-4.25%120.5322-31.87%0.2047✓1.141.1M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.5674-4.33%10.274+14.73%0.1557✗-0.22119k2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0024-4.38%0.9271-11.56%0.1022✗1.523.4M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.062322-4.41%0.0486-25.46%0.0875✓1.362.9M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0311-4.52%1.0492-2.84%0.1308✗0.9623.6M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.255291-4.53%0.2463-7.89%0.1145✗1.277.0M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7522.6362-4.69%19.03-19.87%0.0476✓1.062.9M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1385-4.73%0.96-19.67%0.0528✓0.994.6M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.094452-4.73%0.0853-13.96%0.0394✓0.53143k2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.401-4.85%3.6546+2.25%0.0605✗-0.10372k2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.189447-4.85%0.151-24.16%0.0831✓1.218.9M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.314.5551-4.87%14.85-2.94%0.1025✗0.691.6M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.055142-4.90%0.051115-11.84%0.1019✗1.5013.8M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71145.2243-4.90%136.2-10.81%0.1059✗1.4360.7M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4473-4.91%0.7592-50.12%0.5894✓0.478.8M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.53-5.02%8.35-31.22%0.3619✓-0.335.9M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.184637-5.15%0.19913+2.30%0.2701✗1.6434k2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.2854-5.31%8.26-5.60%0.1278✗1.103.9M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase61.4958.2095-5.34%49.93-18.80%0.0286✓1.532.2M2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.123238-5.42%0.1012-22.33%0.0677✓1.09603k2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.285332-5.43%0.366+21.31%0.4235✗1.474.9M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.299942-5.53%0.2983-6.05%0.0985✗0.88693k2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum5.83545.4983-5.78%7.1+21.67%0.3527✗0.825.1M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.459.8386-5.85%8.43-19.33%0.0957✓0.504.2M2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.016264-5.88%0.01394-19.33%0.0052✓1.263.6M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2199-6.00%1.2659-2.46%0.1614✗1.0535.8M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0932.0058-6.11%32.43-4.87%0.2207✗1.756.0M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.708836-6.12%0.684968-9.29%0.0933✗1.074.8M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.395045-6.23%0.5701+35.32%0.5320✗1.391.8M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum9.538.8993-6.62%7.01-26.44%0.1249✓0.962.0M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.5737.8763-6.64%46.67+15.04%0.3355✗1.0725.2M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.5472-6.68%3.282-13.65%0.0410✓1.003.7M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.4081-6.68%10.21+13.32%0.1750✗-0.163.7M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.5541-6.71%7.272-28.99%0.1942✓0.66388k2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.586212-6.74%0.5784-7.99%0.1319✗1.227.7M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.088488-6.85%0.0774-18.53%0.0275✓1.363.4M2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.162.9428-6.87%3.39+7.28%0.2580✗0.98821k2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative21.10319.6055-7.10%19.951-5.46%0.2220✗1.7223.4M2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.016640.015458-7.10%0.01267-23.86%0.0586✓1.183.1M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0281-7.18%0.95676-13.61%0.1384✗1.771.5M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum4.283.9428-7.88%3.56-16.82%0.0166✓1.002.8M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.042955-7.90%0.03718-20.28%0.0313✓0.9515.8M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3737.169-7.93%22.14-45.16%0.2887✓1.9313.8M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash157.02144.4851-7.98%125.87-19.84%0.0263✓1.3813.6M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.113.7816-7.99%4.19+1.95%0.2593✗1.3228.7M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.557512-8.15%0.469-22.73%0.0255✓1.243.4M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.41.2854-8.19%1.1386-18.67%0.0359✓1.3212.4M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.4926-8.23%1.462-10.11%0.0559✓0.651.4M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.22.9365-8.23%3.33+4.06%0.2444✗1.0011.9M2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.2741-8.30%1.1693-15.85%0.0321✓0.997.8M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000028563-8.51%0.00002726-12.68%0.0720✓1.001.9M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.322862-8.59%0.2982-15.57%0.0754✓1.306.8M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4333,655.84-8.59%32,142.29-12.70%0.0247✓0.606.2M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.017593-8.61%0.01585-17.66%0.0390✓0.5567k2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19012.9065-8.89%2.7346-14.28%0.0426✓0.8710.9M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.8319-9.26%1.1835-41.38%0.2043✓1.962.3M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.2089-9.57%3.1-46.18%0.4003✓1.009.3M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.0738-9.76%0.93-21.85%0.0251✓1.002.3M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.3106-10.01%4.35-9.19%0.1278✗1.001.8M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.0737-10.31%2.219-4.02%0.1763✗0.923.3M2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.476782-11.25%0.8466+57.59%0.7919✗1.8310.2M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.031749-11.43%0.026624-25.73%0.0566✓1.0115.0M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.190873-12.84%0.1191-45.62%0.3332✓1.173.9M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.5598.6021-13.16%82.64-27.22%0.0414✓1.14164.3M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.015549-14.04%0.01172-35.21%0.1640✓1.0030.7M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.