TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1224
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0311
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.860439 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.87531 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.884369 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.82707 | -1.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.867549 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.874875 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0202 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0088 | -2.05% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.993136 | -2.04% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.1063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.968681 | -1.88% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0589 | -2.56% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1045 | -2.84% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.2087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0286 | -2.71% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0081 | -2.67% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0543 | -2.91% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1072 | -3.15% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0794 | -3.16% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1292 | -3.40% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1568 | -3.78% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.817428 | -2.80% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.828423 | -2.86% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.852372 | -2.94% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.971763 | -3.28% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1400 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0906 | -4.20% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0337 | -4.77% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.0990 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.868912 | -3.69% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.789678 | -3.60% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |