TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
43.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1116
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0004
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.009399 | -0.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.00916 | -0.21% | 0.00942 | +2.61% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009163 | -0.19% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008931 | -0.16% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008371 | -0.05% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007992 | +0.09% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0514 | ✓ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007963 | +0.16% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008696 | +0.07% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1115 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.01036 | -0.14% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010398 | -0.11% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012546 | -0.35% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011019 | -0.23% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1059 | ✗ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010613 | -0.21% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010664 | -0.19% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012325 | -0.37% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0870 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012581 | -0.43% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014218 | -0.61% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.1104 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.015487 | -0.98% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011526 | -0.42% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2487 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011139 | -0.54% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.015175 | -1.14% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2930 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008819 | +0.45% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5217 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.00893 | +0.50% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008855 | +0.57% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010818 | +0.35% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1814 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012189 | +0.28% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1239 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011775 | +0.43% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.01573 | +0.12% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2871 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018687 | +0.04% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1736 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.021103 | -0.03% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.1006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020879 | -0.00% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021237 | +0.08% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0818 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.02052 | +0.19% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.021079 | +0.28% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022329 | +0.42% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.023898 | +0.45% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026842 | +0.44% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1281 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032841 | +0.26% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1724 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029707 | +0.46% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.03319 | +0.45% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.030176 | +0.59% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.0900 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.031049 | +0.66% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036505 | +0.63% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.048066 | +0.49% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2793 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055756 | +0.42% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078731 | +0.02% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3336 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.094733 | -0.14% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1916 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.094616 | -0.09% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114187 | -0.26% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1674 | ✓ | 1.00 |