PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s5

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3703

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0498

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.092916	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092178	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.083452	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086179	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089065	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092553	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095001	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.098925	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102752	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104285	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.108081	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108025	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.108213	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.107799	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.108649	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110368	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.111437	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.111589	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.112391	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.112332	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.113581	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.112311	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.111635	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.110904	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.11745	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.117795	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.116134	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.114501	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.10997	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.116946	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.11463	-2.95%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1842	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.111504	-3.45%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1410	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.113063	-3.26%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2651	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.11069	-3.10%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.2078	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.105451	-3.17%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0956	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.105995	-3.02%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0574	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.104344	-2.88%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0107	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.109903	-2.99%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0391	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.107478	-2.83%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0388	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113661	-3.16%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0109	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.111103	-2.97%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0609	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.106984	-2.44%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0978	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.114576	-2.80%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0188	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.121691	-3.19%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0592	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.127858	-3.54%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0990	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.123555	-3.19%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0502	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.122736	-2.69%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0299	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.121067	-2.29%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0159	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.12609	-2.34%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0616	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.133044	-2.57%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1108	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.144238	-3.04%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1797	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.153247	-3.39%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2513	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.166824	-4.09%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3430	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.174374	-4.37%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3968	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.178752	-4.50%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3591	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.193263	-4.68%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4392	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.193973	-4.91%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4543	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.20151	-5.02%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5034	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.208532	-5.16%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5840	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.218507	-5.49%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5655	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.216417	-5.66%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5745	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.237795	-5.75%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7110	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.240596	-6.31%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6890	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.29593	-6.55%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9593	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.419167	-6.46%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.5021	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.365899	-6.25%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3580	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.372767	-6.25%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4198	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.329595	-7.05%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2725	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.327095	-6.74%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2736	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.280366	-6.61%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0691	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.302455	-6.60%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1886	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.308031	-6.69%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2311	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.284401	-6.68%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0976	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.256808	-6.55%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9320	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.280415	-6.77%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9758	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.264768	-6.78%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9594	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.260754	-6.78%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9600	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.254354	-6.44%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9468	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.241171	-6.19%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8741	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.242484	-6.17%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7781	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.249224	-6.13%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7262	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.227937	-5.76%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5970	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.231968	-5.75%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.5093	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.233208	-5.65%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4499	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.20058	-5.30%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2442	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.172659	-4.73%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0311	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.172423	-4.63%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0168	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.181942	-5.02%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0082	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.172276	-4.64%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1287	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.171468	-4.62%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1855	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.165164	-3.94%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2248	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.164177	-3.64%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3253	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.16952	-4.16%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3598	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.166718	-4.11%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6046	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.16526	-4.07%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9975	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.1651	-4.40%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8640	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.162848	-4.27%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9040	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162319	-3.88%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7913	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.162851	-3.89%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7855	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.167662	-4.24%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6010	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.15937	-3.57%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6957	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.16384	-4.18%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7029	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.162753	-3.82%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6260	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.166609	-4.25%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4951	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.163198	-3.79%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5985	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.165804	-3.71%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5192	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.180171	-4.99%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4339	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.18036	-5.07%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4066	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.166415	-3.52%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4323	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.175744	-4.55%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3834	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.171512	-4.28%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4296	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.162372	-3.33%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3889	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.160668	-3.17%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4046	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.154356	-2.96%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4240	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.158136	-3.13%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2649	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.149578	-2.98%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1693	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146426	-2.92%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1961	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140098	-2.78%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2931	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140222	-2.74%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2360	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.13521	-2.52%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2609	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138254	-2.53%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2082	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.13506	-2.59%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2231	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.138409	-2.88%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2306	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140428	-3.01%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2092	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140156	-2.97%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2009	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.146804	-2.88%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1534	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.153162	-2.72%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1074	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.160339	-2.68%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0591	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.177688	-3.54%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0421	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.182788	-3.87%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0405	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.187578	-4.27%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1177	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184327	-3.83%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0759	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.189617	-4.62%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1147	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.170456	-3.03%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0152	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.173614	-3.53%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0262	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.17946	-4.98%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0401	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.169562	-4.74%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1118	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.165395	-4.63%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1354	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.165936	-5.14%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0361	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.176305	-6.37%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0428	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.191858	-7.47%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0697	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.181072	-7.04%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0726	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.183714	-7.15%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1053	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.187802	-7.63%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1816	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.186605	-8.05%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1476	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.16964	-6.65%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1157	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.166368	-6.81%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1171	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.147578	-4.09%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0256	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.15333	-4.32%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0739	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.163993	-5.03%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1984	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.170172	-5.27%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.2080	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.180088	-6.04%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2824	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.17808	-5.69%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2451	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.185392	-6.08%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2864	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.188263	-6.11%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3065	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.18869	-5.94%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2632	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.194341	-6.05%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2486	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.188939	-5.36%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1703	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.193043	-5.19%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0825	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.207943	-5.48%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1423	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.237999	-5.26%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3160	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.241569	-5.32%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3448	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.241861	-5.14%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3213	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.258879	-5.53%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5684	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.256356	-5.53%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5373	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.271643	-6.28%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5034	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.265891	-6.32%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5363	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.257632	-6.10%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5519	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.251679	-5.90%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5275	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.265024	-6.56%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4729	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.248437	-6.42%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3115	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.236486	-6.29%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2986	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.245587	-6.50%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2802	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.236832	-6.32%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1930	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.262366	-6.50%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2734	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.294348	-6.17%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4965	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.330995	-6.66%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6377	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.297331	-8.54%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6779	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.207596	-5.95%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2567	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.196129	-5.64%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1272	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.193865	-5.65%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0762	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.190981	-5.44%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.219683	-5.95%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1154	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.212961	-5.79%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0915	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.208034	-5.54%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.180575	-4.99%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0661	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.172629	-4.12%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1651	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.234436	-5.59%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.263818	-11.24%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2975	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.172794	-4.42%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1866	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.171599	-4.35%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2921	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.168518	-4.10%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3517	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.175482	-5.24%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2447	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.164694	-4.48%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.3974	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.15485	-4.27%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4422	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.160901	-4.67%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4723	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.166045	-4.97%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4156	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.163387	-4.75%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4117	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.162234	-5.21%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3321	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.181282	-6.01%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.2885	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.156235	-5.52%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3591	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.137131	-4.93%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4501	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.