ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s5
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
58.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1545
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042287 | -0.89% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041811 | -0.85% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021577 | +0.69% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6391 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021003 | +0.73% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0249 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027847 | +0.64% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3081 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.03336 | +0.52% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1835 | ✗ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029582 | +0.70% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1339 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033864 | +0.61% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1594 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036433 | +0.52% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036731 | +0.54% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053557 | -0.42% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3375 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060786 | -0.75% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1410 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059386 | -0.68% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042485 | +0.15% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3223 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.05024 | -0.28% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1383 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.053146 | -0.47% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.06719 | -0.74% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2265 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092633 | -1.13% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.104236 | -1.73% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1333 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.077221 | -0.98% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3138 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.085148 | -1.28% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.08849 | -1.62% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.066251 | -0.93% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3068 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.070223 | -1.05% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089975 | -2.06% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.072234 | -1.32% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074628 | -1.59% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060562 | -1.19% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.065196 | -1.39% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.060165 | -1.32% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.077642 | -2.47% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.054473 | -1.58% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.054741 | -1.82% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.0389 | -1.40% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3556 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.049154 | -2.57% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2775 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.028089 | -1.61% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5829 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015943 | -0.83% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014109 | -0.74% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1643 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015224 | -0.83% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017072 | -0.95% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.1003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019458 | -1.10% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001633 | +0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001134 | +0.33% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3734 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.24e-7 | -5.93% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4297 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001483 | +0.54% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6473 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010491 | -0.23% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9628 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009387 | -0.14% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1065 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010108 | -0.17% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0744 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010532 | -0.17% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010901 | -0.18% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010996 | -0.17% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011187 | -0.16% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012652 | -0.26% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1259 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011657 | -0.19% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009569 | +0.10% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1705 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010376 | +0.06% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011702 | -0.03% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011706 | +0.10% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012677 | +0.06% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0631 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013558 | -0.02% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014658 | -0.08% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015375 | -0.16% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015419 | -0.07% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015666 | -0.02% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015008 | +0.26% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015305 | +0.36% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016607 | +0.34% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0958 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016665 | +0.45% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017516 | +0.38% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017991 | +0.40% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017347 | +0.62% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.00001981 | +0.56% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2112 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023938 | +0.08% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1477 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027664 | -0.13% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029457 | -0.14% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032972 | -0.27% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.00003174 | -0.10% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0314 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033383 | -0.05% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035854 | -0.13% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038144 | -0.15% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040242 | -0.14% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040165 | -0.09% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.00004223 | -0.17% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044236 | -0.37% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045985 | -0.47% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043021 | -0.18% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042058 | -0.10% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040718 | +0.04% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039592 | +0.23% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000041043 | +0.11% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042227 | +0.06% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037114 | +0.31% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046831 | -0.15% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055498 | -0.36% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1805 | ✓ | 1.00 |