O
o1.exchange · Base · lstm_s5
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 357
Track record at +1d
assessed
118
of 119 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0330
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0030
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.43434 | 0.432355 | -0.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.43252 | 0.430582 | -0.45% | 0.43434 | +0.42% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.437237 | -0.46% | 0.43252 | -1.53% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.406105 | -0.35% | 0.439245 | +7.78% | 0.0715 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.425382 | -0.43% | 0.407545 | -4.60% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.442739 | -0.51% | 0.42721 | -4.00% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.456446 | -0.53% | 0.445015 | -3.03% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.45316 | -0.52% | 0.4589 | +0.74% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.458714 | -0.52% | 0.455525 | -1.21% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.470587 | -0.56% | 0.46111 | -2.56% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.481325 | -0.59% | 0.47322 | -2.26% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.478005 | -0.55% | 0.48416 | +0.73% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.475789 | -0.53% | 0.480645 | +0.49% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.448071 | -0.30% | 0.47832 | +6.43% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.453358 | -0.27% | 0.449425 | -1.14% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.470289 | -0.32% | 0.454605 | -3.64% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.500917 | -0.42% | 0.47178 | -6.21% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.504903 | -0.46% | 0.503025 | -0.83% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.510553 | -0.50% | 0.50726 | -1.14% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.509998 | -0.54% | 0.513105 | +0.07% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.517795 | -0.50% | 0.51275 | -1.47% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.53625 | -0.52% | 0.5204 | -3.46% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.550021 | -0.55% | 0.539035 | -2.54% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.56286 | -0.57% | 0.55308 | -2.30% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.526773 | -0.46% | 0.566075 | +6.96% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.536607 | -0.49% | 0.52923 | -1.86% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.54098 | -0.50% | 0.53924 | -0.82% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.545702 | -0.48% | 0.543685 | -0.85% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.548915 | -0.45% | 0.548345 | -0.56% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.543072 | -0.44% | 0.55141 | +1.09% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.556545 | -0.39% | 0.54546 | -2.38% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.542919 | -0.34% | 0.55875 | +2.56% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.547295 | -0.50% | 0.54479 | -0.95% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.5638 | -0.54% | 0.550025 | -2.97% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.569782 | -0.56% | 0.566845 | -1.07% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.555872 | -0.54% | 0.572975 | +2.52% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.53366 | -0.44% | 0.55887 | +4.26% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.524801 | -0.38% | 0.536045 | +1.75% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.543695 | -0.43% | 0.52681 | -3.52% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.50436 | -0.32% | 0.54605 | +7.92% | 0.0659 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.539291 | -0.43% | 0.506 | -6.58% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.545609 | -0.42% | 0.541645 | -1.14% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.53058 | -0.35% | 0.54789 | +2.90% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.52354 | -0.28% | 0.53246 | +1.41% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.532261 | -0.28% | 0.525035 | -1.63% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.543107 | -0.28% | 0.53373 | -2.00% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.534352 | -0.19% | 0.54462 | +1.73% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.533849 | -0.20% | 0.53535 | +0.08% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.552825 | -0.23% | 0.53493 | -3.46% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.559993 | -0.14% | 0.55411 | -1.19% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.547815 | -0.39% | 0.56077 | +1.97% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.555676 | -0.40% | 0.549935 | -1.43% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.551404 | -0.31% | 0.55791 | +0.87% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.532017 | -0.36% | 0.55311 | +3.59% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.529506 | -0.30% | 0.53392 | +0.53% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.451742 | -0.12% | 0.5311 | +17.43% | 0.1577 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.436481 | -0.03% | 0.452265 | +3.59% | 0.0633 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.447004 | -0.03% | 0.4366 | -2.35% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.445996 | -0.03% | 0.44712 | +0.22% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.430008 | -0.02% | 0.446145 | +3.74% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.441336 | -0.06% | 0.43008 | -2.61% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.436102 | -0.07% | 0.44159 | +1.19% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.511696 | -0.09% | 0.4364 | -14.79% | 0.1454 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.478513 | -0.43% | 0.51216 | +6.57% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.483162 | -0.62% | 0.48057 | -1.15% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.480867 | -0.71% | 0.48616 | +0.38% | 0.0731 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.455486 | -0.59% | 0.484325 | +5.70% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.447325 | -0.47% | 0.45821 | +1.95% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.453326 | -0.47% | 0.449445 | -1.33% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.440345 | -0.40% | 0.455485 | +3.03% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.443572 | -0.38% | 0.4421 | -0.71% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.437906 | -0.32% | 0.44526 | +1.35% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.444457 | -0.32% | 0.439325 | -1.47% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.451636 | -0.34% | 0.445895 | -1.61% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.470062 | -0.43% | 0.45317 | -4.00% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.465859 | -0.44% | 0.47207 | +0.88% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.475049 | -0.49% | 0.467935 | -1.98% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.478258 | -0.51% | 0.47738 | -0.69% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.487271 | -0.54% | 0.4807 | -1.88% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.501462 | -0.59% | 0.489915 | -2.88% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.495647 | -0.60% | 0.50446 | +1.17% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.477071 | -0.58% | 0.49863 | +3.91% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.512408 | -0.67% | 0.47985 | -6.98% | 0.0808 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.493185 | -0.66% | 0.51585 | +3.91% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.499115 | -0.69% | 0.496455 | -1.22% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.475631 | -0.68% | 0.5026 | +4.95% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.483466 | -0.77% | 0.47888 | -1.71% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.478486 | -0.69% | 0.487225 | +1.12% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.474599 | -0.67% | 0.48183 | +0.84% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.505965 | -0.80% | 0.4778 | -6.32% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.482703 | -0.67% | 0.51004 | +4.96% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.539358 | -1.07% | 0.48595 | -10.86% | 0.0825 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.586191 | -0.92% | 0.54517 | -7.86% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.6134 | -1.08% | 0.59166 | -4.59% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.619117 | -1.13% | 0.6201 | -0.97% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.584324 | -0.88% | 0.6262 | +6.23% | 0.0581 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.570431 | -0.79% | 0.5895 | +2.53% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.562532 | -0.69% | 0.57496 | +1.51% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.519469 | -0.46% | 0.56643 | +8.54% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.552566 | -0.62% | 0.521855 | -6.14% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.552514 | -0.61% | 0.556 | +0.02% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.523258 | -0.38% | 0.55588 | +5.83% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.540033 | -0.48% | 0.525275 | -3.20% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.560191 | -0.56% | 0.542635 | -3.68% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.55096 | -0.52% | 0.56335 | +1.72% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.568715 | -0.56% | 0.55385 | -3.16% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.551839 | -0.46% | 0.57192 | +3.16% | 0.0208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.555972 | -0.51% | 0.55441 | -0.78% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.530221 | -0.44% | 0.558795 | +4.93% | 0.0631 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.550911 | -0.49% | 0.53254 | -3.81% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.605272 | -0.70% | 0.55362 | -9.17% | 0.0970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.537605 | -0.47% | 0.609515 | +12.85% | 0.1165 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.554906 | -0.53% | 0.54012 | -3.18% | 0.0437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.555055 | -0.53% | 0.557835 | -0.03% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.503421 | -0.31% | 0.558 | +10.50% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.532764 | -0.42% | 0.505 | -5.61% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.487037 | -0.20% | 0.535035 | +9.64% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.427737 | +0.03% | 0.488 | +14.12% | 0.1395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.456771 | -0.05% | 0.427605 | -6.43% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 1.00 |