NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 336
Track record at +30d
assessed
82
of 112 predictions shown
direction hit
79.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2396
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0874
actual -0.2737
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.115725 | 0.108707 | -6.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.112605 | 0.106791 | -5.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.114159 | -5.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.108149 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.112709 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.114116 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.116128 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.130386 | -5.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.13598 | -7.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.127605 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.124682 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.131613 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.131867 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.12994 | -5.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.126476 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.130809 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.131507 | -4.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.137251 | -4.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.141929 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.138242 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.139716 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.141787 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.142314 | -5.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.150339 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.15194 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.155779 | -5.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.153738 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.150366 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.155026 | -6.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.153419 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.158229 | -6.16% | 0.115725 | -31.37% | 0.3096 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.16022 | -5.44% | 0.112605 | -33.54% | 0.3485 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.150825 | -7.20% | 0.12079 | -25.68% | 0.2236 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.150827 | -7.00% | 0.114105 | -29.64% | 0.2795 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.146301 | -6.97% | 0.118045 | -24.94% | 0.2156 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.142105 | -7.62% | 0.11967 | -22.20% | 0.1734 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.149073 | -8.27% | 0.122125 | -24.85% | 0.2010 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.151396 | -8.69% | 0.138695 | -16.35% | 0.0898 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.140152 | -7.33% | 0.146385 | -3.20% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.13944 | -6.98% | 0.136455 | -8.98% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.148128 | -7.37% | 0.13391 | -16.26% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.138371 | -7.72% | 0.14095 | -6.01% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.133096 | -8.01% | 0.14031 | -3.02% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.110145 | -4.67% | 0.13735 | +18.88% | 0.2028 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.11636 | -5.01% | 0.13322 | +8.75% | 0.1219 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.124229 | -5.27% | 0.137455 | +4.82% | 0.0853 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.12215 | -5.16% | 0.137615 | +6.84% | 0.0984 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.122046 | -5.72% | 0.14428 | +11.46% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.13037 | -5.39% | 0.14974 | +8.66% | 0.1116 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.132692 | -4.84% | 0.14604 | +4.73% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.129066 | -6.04% | 0.14854 | +8.14% | 0.1125 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.132021 | -6.08% | 0.1514 | +7.70% | 0.1082 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.135274 | -6.33% | 0.15126 | +4.74% | 0.0930 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.146096 | -6.35% | 0.16081 | +3.08% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.143867 | -6.33% | 0.1614 | +5.08% | 0.0931 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.13351 | -6.86% | 0.16563 | +15.54% | 0.1882 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.136439 | -4.95% | 0.163905 | +14.18% | 0.1650 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.142011 | -4.88% | 0.15964 | +6.93% | 0.0933 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.153715 | -4.23% | 0.16505 | +2.83% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.124448 | -9.17% | 0.16465 | +20.17% | 0.2494 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.18874 | -3.29% | 0.168615 | -13.60% | 0.1792 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.19729 | -3.92% | 0.16943 | -17.49% | 0.2285 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.214047 | -3.11% | 0.16252 | -26.43% | 0.2968 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.202468 | -6.25% | 0.162175 | -24.90% | 0.2914 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.195251 | -8.53% | 0.15727 | -26.32% | 0.3248 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.182306 | -11.41% | 0.15382 | -25.25% | 0.2922 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.187716 | -11.59% | 0.16251 | -23.46% | 0.2677 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.188241 | -12.26% | 0.1658 | -22.72% | 0.2747 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.183813 | -11.79% | 0.15123 | -27.42% | 0.3702 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.184868 | -11.79% | 0.14991 | -28.47% | 0.3709 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.182404 | -11.64% | 0.15991 | -22.54% | 0.2960 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.177356 | -11.61% | 0.149955 | -25.26% | 0.3322 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.179428 | -11.67% | 0.144685 | -28.78% | 0.3705 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.179947 | -11.85% | 0.11554 | -43.40% | 0.6132 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.180774 | -11.61% | 0.1225 | -40.10% | 0.5541 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.184834 | -11.56% | 0.13114 | -37.25% | 0.5138 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.180814 | -11.09% | 0.1288 | -36.66% | 0.5244 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.182113 | -10.58% | 0.12945 | -36.44% | 0.5297 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.177102 | -9.90% | 0.1378 | -29.89% | 0.4397 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.183037 | -10.41% | 0.13944 | -31.75% | 0.4929 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.184126 | -10.85% | 0.13736 | -33.49% | 0.4779 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.182821 | -10.64% | 0.14057 | -31.29% | 0.4489 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.188343 | -10.85% | 0.14442 | -31.64% | 0.4852 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.185106 | -10.59% | 0.156 | -24.65% | 0.3796 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.19456 | -9.36% | 0.15359 | -28.45% | 0.4241 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.198143 | -9.71% | 0.14335 | -34.68% | 0.5259 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.196503 | -9.61% | 0.14355 | -33.97% | 0.5488 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.203293 | -9.55% | 0.1493 | -33.57% | 0.5306 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.221076 | -8.62% | 0.1605 | -33.66% | 0.4838 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.22047 | -9.08% | 0.13701 | -43.50% | 0.6629 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.230213 | -9.30% | 0.195165 | -23.11% | 0.3426 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.245715 | -9.03% | 0.205345 | -23.97% | 0.3488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.246618 | -8.89% | 0.220915 | -18.39% | 0.2800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.212117 | -8.26% | 0.215955 | -6.60% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.209893 | -8.33% | 0.21345 | -6.78% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.205418 | -7.99% | 0.20579 | -7.82% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.208104 | -7.76% | 0.21233 | -5.88% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.218371 | -8.25% | 0.214555 | -9.85% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.229089 | -8.33% | 0.20837 | -16.63% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.221318 | -7.61% | 0.20957 | -12.52% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.224936 | -7.18% | 0.20644 | -14.81% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.225151 | -8.53% | 0.200645 | -18.49% | 0.1335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.217602 | -7.76% | 0.203145 | -13.89% | 0.0655 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.243329 | -8.78% | 0.204145 | -23.47% | 0.1778 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.2509 | -9.23% | 0.20451 | -26.01% | 0.2156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.24666 | -9.83% | 0.208985 | -23.60% | 0.1928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.26392 | -11.31% | 0.20336 | -31.66% | 0.3024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.250541 | -10.40% | 0.20365 | -27.17% | 0.2220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.228813 | -9.26% | 0.19656 | -22.05% | 0.1613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.242663 | -10.80% | 0.2043 | -24.90% | 0.1794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.21305 | -10.00% | 0.20654 | -12.75% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.20043 | -10.08% | 0.204585 | -8.22% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |