MON

Monad · native · lstm_s5

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

49.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1557

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0897

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.019563	-12.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.019629	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.019678	-10.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.018841	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.01908	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.019562	-10.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.020528	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.0207	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.021697	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.021974	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.021902	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.024884	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.02266	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.022092	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021709	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.023164	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.026055	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.028664	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030184	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.030539	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029227	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.029995	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.028682	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.024785	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.026126	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.025877	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.024748	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.02448	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023271	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022415	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.02542	-6.91%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.1009	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024006	-6.33%	0.022069	-13.89%	0.0426	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023134	-7.42%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.0786	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.022996	-7.31%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1065	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.022842	-7.42%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1010	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.021319	-8.33%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.0758	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.020291	-8.36%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0172	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.019798	-8.70%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0243	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.020974	-8.47%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0751	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.020681	-8.67%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0480	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.021231	-8.24%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0497	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.021561	-7.51%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.1254	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.021199	-7.52%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0507	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.023218	-7.04%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0268	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.023855	-6.93%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.0529	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.025259	-6.47%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.0663	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.025566	-5.68%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0188	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.023661	-5.10%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1852	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.023852	-4.73%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.2205	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.026006	-4.04%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.2074	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.023919	-5.70%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1849	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.025102	-5.20%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1751	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.025476	-3.71%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1441	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.025492	-3.98%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0415	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026151	-2.13%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0048	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.026978	-1.31%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0633	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028738	+0.45%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1361	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028693	+0.39%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1628	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027971	+0.78%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.2044	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031715	+0.41%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3631	✗	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030272	-0.52%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2355	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027702	-1.53%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2260	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028293	-1.25%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1692	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.024562	-8.07%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1276	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.020988	-7.00%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0196	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.019524	-8.03%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0285	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.019885	-8.65%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.0991	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.018459	-8.98%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.0613	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.018996	-9.03%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.0724	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.01917	-9.24%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.0724	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.019568	-9.08%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.0700	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.019811	-9.14%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.0779	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.019489	-8.96%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0586	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.019799	-8.96%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0083	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.019214	-8.38%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0525	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019154	-8.20%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0980	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.019239	-7.92%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0772	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.018815	-7.95%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0124	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.019343	-7.84%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0037	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.018901	-7.94%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0677	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.019657	-8.69%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0064	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019167	-8.55%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0695	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.018743	-8.39%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0594	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019015	-8.19%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0644	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.019974	-7.95%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0518	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019126	-7.87%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0982	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.019562	-7.88%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0795	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.018632	-7.35%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1438	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.019757	-7.48%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0991	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.019109	-7.24%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.2329	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.020195	-7.62%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1539	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.020731	-7.18%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0802	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.021309	-7.03%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0685	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.021299	-7.13%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.1020	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.021125	-7.63%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0161	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.019673	-7.29%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0761	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.020044	-7.08%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0892	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.020366	-7.17%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0192	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.020039	-7.05%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0581	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.020739	-6.96%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0565	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.021065	-7.04%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0555	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.020716	-7.06%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0245	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.021164	-7.19%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0162	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.020739	-6.88%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0442	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.021351	-7.01%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0351	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.0215	-6.84%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.0721	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.021558	-6.63%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.0976	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.022546	-7.52%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1217	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.022887	-8.34%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1014	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.020351	-5.74%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0029	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.019979	-5.40%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0650	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.01951	-4.83%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0469	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019096	-4.45%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0360	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019144	-4.47%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0023	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.017544	-4.29%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0556	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018073	-4.48%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0442	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.017853	-4.32%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0584	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018104	-3.86%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0065	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.01865	-3.57%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0032	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018492	-3.44%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0126	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.018953	-3.67%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0606	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019284	-4.03%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0830	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.019755	-4.24%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0915	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.01981	-4.53%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0586	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.019627	-4.65%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.1267	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.019733	-4.49%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0400	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.0202	-4.17%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0131	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.020831	-4.31%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0670	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.021909	-4.91%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0339	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.021474	-5.03%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0783	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.021331	-5.15%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0795	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.020792	-4.71%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.1290	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.02018	-4.27%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.1167	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.02072	-4.12%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0664	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020251	-3.79%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0494	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020487	-3.68%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0767	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020094	-3.67%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1628	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021274	-4.04%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1357	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020343	-3.50%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.1149	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020467	-2.82%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0202	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.020809	-3.35%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0359	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.01976	-3.33%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0797	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.019645	-3.94%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1674	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.021028	-6.58%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2797	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.021836	-8.18%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2599	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.0214	-7.90%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2478	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021539	-7.48%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2365	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.021882	-7.59%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2185	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.02149	-7.81%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2794	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.022879	-8.59%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2480	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.023943	-8.86%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.2124	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023111	-8.54%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.2165	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.023564	-8.56%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1582	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.023819	-8.91%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1491	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.025843	-9.80%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0730	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.024364	-9.45%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1533	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.023574	-9.02%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.2059	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.024406	-9.54%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1723	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.025007	-10.05%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1870	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.025034	-9.79%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1661	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.025669	-9.23%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1662	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.02717	-8.73%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1502	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.02738	-9.34%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.1113	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.028107	-8.89%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.1288	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.030721	-8.62%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0865	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.032271	-9.07%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0322	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.031346	-9.59%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0211	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.030887	-9.82%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0356	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.029282	-9.57%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0927	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.029383	-9.00%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0505	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.028393	-9.32%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0105	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.026494	-10.04%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0096	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.025929	-10.99%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.0500	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.026948	-10.50%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.0678	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.026972	-10.33%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.0560	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.024375	-10.25%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0090	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.024343	-9.84%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0078	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.026038	-10.68%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.0519	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.027352	-10.67%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1140	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.028768	-10.35%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.0966	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.028122	-10.15%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.0621	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.027584	-10.12%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.0802	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.029296	-9.80%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1036	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.030342	-10.01%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1066	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.029348	-10.36%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0423	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.028622	-10.26%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.0865	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.026949	-10.41%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.0863	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.029178	-10.08%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.0972	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.031447	-9.61%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1280	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.030798	-10.21%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1501	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.031507	-10.34%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.1738	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.030902	-10.43%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1442	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.032197	-10.64%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1385	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.029122	-10.97%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.0930	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.031771	-10.65%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.0718	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.031169	-11.22%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0062	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.029279	-11.17%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0368	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.027646	-11.22%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0777	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.027216	-10.47%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0526	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.024341	-10.18%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0939	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.02529	-10.57%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0343	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.024241	-11.07%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0050	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.024111	-11.59%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0128	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.0223	-10.76%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.1211	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.021476	-9.88%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1784	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.022356	-10.11%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0660	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.019975	-10.47%	0.027	+21.02%	0.1588	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.019674	-10.74%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.2280	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.020723	-10.98%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.2159	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.019983	-10.75%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2811	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.021989	-9.59%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.2181	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.023879	-9.62%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1604	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.021366	-8.44%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.3070	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.019872	-7.83%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.4222	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.018671	-9.06%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.4345	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.019579	-8.55%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3851	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.02063	-8.06%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.3278	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.020265	-7.80%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3855	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.021246	-7.83%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.4068	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.021801	-7.62%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.4349	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.022766	-8.05%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.4348	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.021599	-7.93%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.4475	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.020521	-7.48%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.5130	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.020357	-7.11%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4774	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.019757	-6.81%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.5466	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.019911	-7.00%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.5215	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.020085	-6.88%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4650	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.019828	-6.61%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.4068	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019136	-6.29%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3630	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.020204	-6.81%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2665	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.020275	-6.74%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.3178	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.020318	-6.54%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3546	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.020977	-7.02%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3572	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.019187	-5.85%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2886	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.019807	-6.61%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1967	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.019508	-6.44%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.2022	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.019732	-6.62%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.1264	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.019382	-6.23%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.1270	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.019724	-6.25%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1838	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.020148	-6.55%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.1307	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.018969	-5.30%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1782	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019368	-5.66%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.2135	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.018728	-5.68%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1781	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.019381	-6.01%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0649	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.01969	-6.42%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0438	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019221	-5.97%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0797	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019052	-5.50%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.1050	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.020533	-7.21%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0334	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.021259	-9.58%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0481	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.021339	-11.16%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0313	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.020789	-11.12%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.1064	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.020454	-10.21%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0823	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019024	-5.59%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0866	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018134	-4.81%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1369	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018553	-5.77%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.1105	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017076	-4.92%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.2248	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017211	-5.02%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.2301	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.017696	-4.91%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1934	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.017633	-5.00%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.2110	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.016634	-3.51%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1936	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.017942	-9.06%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2717	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.016503	-5.91%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3619	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.016781	-9.14%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.4012	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.016571	-7.06%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3629	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.016541	-8.31%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.4270	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.017517	-13.24%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4919	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.017349	-13.30%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4985	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.018319	-13.91%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.5231	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.018857	-14.98%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.4789	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.016431	-12.65%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5995	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.015779	-11.30%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.6060	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.016644	-12.81%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5894	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.016088	-12.16%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.5451	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.015993	-11.64%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5827	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.016587	-11.58%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5649	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.015968	-10.74%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5710	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.017605	-12.50%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4773	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.018847	-13.39%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4846	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.019175	-13.28%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5253	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.019411	-12.92%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5399	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.019286	-12.85%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.5070	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.020245	-12.68%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4524	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.021538	-12.98%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3131	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.019908	-13.71%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2495	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.020464	-14.16%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2283	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.020798	-14.24%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0984	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.022354	-14.42%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0317	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.023736	-14.62%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0119	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.022844	-14.79%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0355	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.025411	-14.84%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.0719	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.024043	-15.04%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0038	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.024136	-16.05%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.1555	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.024319	-17.06%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.1509	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.023011	-17.67%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1204	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.019949	-15.83%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0161	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.01918	-15.51%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0772	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.01909	-15.53%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0772	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.018286	-14.83%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.1374	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.018985	-15.40%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1473	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.01945	-15.80%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0365	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.019626	-15.87%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.0932	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.019483	-15.84%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0333	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.01849	-14.75%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0227	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017144	-13.24%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.016814	-12.47%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.017712	-13.60%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.016494	-12.13%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1519	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.01678	-11.92%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1989	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.015327	-9.36%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2594	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.01683	-10.15%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1786	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.018961	-12.01%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.017834	-10.24%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1473	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.018477	-10.48%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.2137	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.020597	-12.39%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.02114	-12.17%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.02284	-12.96%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.023368	-13.16%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.023752	-13.22%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1755	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.024235	-13.79%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.022344	-12.65%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.2532	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.023603	-13.19%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.1312	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.02377	-12.71%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.1665	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.024306	-12.22%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.2039	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.026946	-11.77%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0747	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.