MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s5

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1046

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000345452	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000363736	+0.15%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000357859	+0.11%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000418173	+0.02%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1548	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000435413	-0.10%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000456848	-0.32%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000448278	-1.02%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000441704	-2.64%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000549164	-1.91%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1723	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000661263	-0.79%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1830	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000691017	-1.70%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.00031074	+0.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317522	+0.16%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0547	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319923	+0.23%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0298	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000396665	-0.26%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0822	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401366	-0.26%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0001	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397253	-0.29%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0047	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447071	-0.21%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1335	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491418	-0.36%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0188	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484494	-0.35%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0551	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468439	-0.31%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0329	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464189	-0.32%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0188	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499048	-0.45%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0196	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000538831	-0.64%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0073	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000515439	-1.01%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0432	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000540907	-0.55%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0248	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548039	-0.56%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0051	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000506745	-0.48%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0472	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497787	-0.48%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0360	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000497439	-0.39%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0110	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000547735	-0.41%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0893	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.00054013	-0.34%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0875	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000497962	-0.17%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0295	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000508992	-0.20%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0169	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000500988	-0.10%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0231	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000520549	-0.20%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0149	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000536308	-0.28%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0387	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.00049113	+0.15%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0039	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000514346	+0.03%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0297	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000534086	+0.03%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0600	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487617	+0.37%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0497	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000570737	+0.13%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0917	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000589173	-0.17%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1505	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000618386	-0.24%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0286	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000628745	-0.28%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0896	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000619956	-0.18%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0384	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000664047	-0.13%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1770	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.00062871	+0.07%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0222	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000822671	-0.62%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0282	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000679784	-0.03%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0468	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.00070986	-0.02%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0997	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000592909	+0.31%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1912	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000649683	+0.26%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1119	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000592432	+0.31%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2545	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000690705	+0.13%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0536	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000755149	-0.06%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0766	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000789291	-0.09%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0328	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000800499	-0.06%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0277	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000819248	-0.09%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0529	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000682189	+0.32%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1264	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000646571	+0.45%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0157	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000692909	+0.42%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0677	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000742932	+0.40%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0625	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000713253	+0.46%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0872	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000813545	+0.44%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1391	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000893726	+0.42%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1287	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001093	+0.26%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1635	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001409	-0.04%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3317	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.00137	+0.01%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0895	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001549	-0.08%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1581	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001569	-0.06%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0122	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001471	+0.08%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0672	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001601	+0.04%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0841	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001443	+0.20%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1060	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001343	+0.25%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1124	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001761	+0.08%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1450	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001412	+0.13%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0931	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001722	+0.13%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1022	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002052	+0.11%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1195	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002401	+0.04%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0859	✗	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002501	+0.05%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0720	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002341	+0.05%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0110	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002722	+0.07%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1270	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003102	+0.07%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1160	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004105	-0.12%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2177	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004576	-0.31%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1040	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.005002	-0.37%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1127	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006355	-0.54%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2435	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006588	-0.64%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0429	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004851	-0.60%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2041	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005078	-0.82%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0658	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.00725	-0.69%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2685	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009372	-0.82%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2579	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010808	-0.93%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2523	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013559	-1.17%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.2023	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010278	-0.89%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1843	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.01305	-0.83%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2907	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016603	-1.05%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2323	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015856	-0.96%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0583	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019638	-1.36%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.2002	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020353	-1.44%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0907	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.01778	-1.00%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2353	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.02245	-1.62%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1625	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025835	-2.29%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0398	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022392	-2.13%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0470	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.01984	-1.97%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1384	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020229	-3.03%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0017	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016099	-2.43%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2224	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012657	-1.50%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1962	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012609	-1.57%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0100	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013049	-1.81%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0396	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011087	-1.00%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2094	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015083	-2.88%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2810	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.01201	-1.72%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2469	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007889	-0.14%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4534	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.009023	-0.41%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0951	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009906	-0.64%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009935	-0.65%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008376	-0.28%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1806	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007519	-0.01%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1330	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006839	+0.28%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1004	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007664	+0.05%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1207	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011115	-0.58%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3442	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013608	-0.82%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1385	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015879	-1.31%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1465	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012286	-0.76%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2540	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010683	-0.53%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1178	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009793	-0.37%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010937	-0.48%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1206	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011811	-0.58%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009379	-0.12%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1905	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009353	-0.08%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0108	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011488	-0.36%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1661	✓	1.00