MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s5

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3536

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0011

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001894	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001766	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.0019	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001756	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002043	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002283	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002335	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002189	-2.84%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1353	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002002	-2.02%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.1044	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002109	-2.10%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0839	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001815	-0.81%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0142	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001822	-0.41%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1669	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001846	-0.11%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2647	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002091	-0.68%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1396	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002373	-1.61%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0219	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002347	-1.40%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0906	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002794	-2.87%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1827	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002315	-0.50%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1741	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001759	+2.41%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0697	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001735	+2.99%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.0966	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001744	+3.30%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2432	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002438	+2.02%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0050	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003101	+0.21%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3026	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003618	-0.48%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2750	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003657	-0.36%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4762	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004506	-1.28%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9680	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004865	-1.55%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0655	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004457	-0.84%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9765	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004555	-0.69%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6352	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004801	-0.84%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.4091	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005288	-1.11%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3379	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004496	+0.69%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2429	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004326	+1.33%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005638	+0.63%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1709	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005606	+1.75%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.3209	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004458	+2.62%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.006066	+2.43%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3567	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.0086	+0.62%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5774	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006449	+2.58%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.4229	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.00855	+1.74%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7447	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006515	+2.42%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1973	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008611	+1.87%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.4442	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010561	+0.72%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8606	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017596	-1.45%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0518	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017723	-1.57%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7176	✓	1.00