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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
47.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3408
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0629
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.1731-7.27%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1403-7.16%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.8979-6.36%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.8831-6.25%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9161-6.37%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9671-6.55%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8373-6.21%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.886-6.43%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1003-7.39%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.1306-7.27%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5251-8.07%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3736-7.25%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3663-7.17%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3627-6.75%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3378-6.57%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5544-6.84%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7493-6.70%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4368-6.21%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3606-5.78%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.355-5.52%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5814-5.87%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7116-6.03%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.6853-6.29%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1247-7.13%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2999-7.62%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4697-7.73%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4893-7.48%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6871-7.61%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.9053-7.79%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6706-7.82%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3719-7.74%3.4219-27.79%0.1790✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.3946-7.96%3.3826-29.15%0.2976✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.4313-7.86%3.0947-35.65%0.3712✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.391-7.92%3.0752-35.51%0.3790✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.4214-8.09%3.1146-35.26%0.4669✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2309-8.09%3.1752-31.03%0.4100✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.7028-7.88%3.0253-24.73%0.3526✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0346-8.06%3.0842-29.72%0.3436✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7778-8.15%3.3476-18.61%0.2580✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.8686-8.24%3.3759-19.92%0.2337✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.9997-8.09%3.8347-11.88%0.1808✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.9461-8.06%3.6372-15.26%0.2204✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.1612-8.06%3.6262-19.88%0.2288✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.4402-8.06%3.6061-25.33%0.2792✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.3475-7.99%3.5727-24.38%0.2885✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.1584-7.89%3.8154-15.49%0.1958✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.3878-7.72%4.0187-15.48%0.2132✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.4577-7.69%3.6643-24.12%0.3335✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.0917-7.89%3.5667-19.71%0.2108✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.4915-7.91%3.5512-6.34%0.1179✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.2499-7.67%3.8048+8.09%0.0146✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.2857-7.87%3.9499+10.75%0.1000✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.252-7.83%3.9328+11.46%0.1218✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.2745-7.86%4.4413+24.97%0.2451✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.2319-7.56%4.6547+33.14%0.2894✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.429-7.59%4.844+30.54%0.3002✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.1977-7.36%4.8522+40.57%0.3625✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.061-6.78%5.0729+54.48%0.4431✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.1813-6.43%5.3196+56.46%0.4563✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3519-6.16%5.0667+41.84%0.3126✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0119-5.56%4.7386+48.58%0.3415✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12672.9518-5.60%4.7745+52.70%0.4463✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5271-5.29%4.8092+80.24%0.5565✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4386-6.34%4.7687+83.15%0.5179✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1959-6.91%4.8107+103.95%0.6279✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1585-7.36%4.6035+97.57%0.5945✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1069-7.47%4.0195+76.51%0.4628✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.0934-7.45%4.3885+94.01%0.5291✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0771-7.06%4.1132+84.03%0.4877✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1106-7.07%4.2158+85.61%0.4999✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1669-7.23%4.3518+86.32%0.4966✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2381-7.44%4.2923+77.50%0.4637✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.202-7.57%4.5262+89.98%0.5135✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1324-7.43%4.8297+109.67%0.6144✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1175-7.22%4.7248+107.03%0.5904✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.132-7.24%4.5148+96.43%0.5252✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1878-7.86%4.7547+100.25%0.5454✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0125-7.89%4.8289+121.01%0.6480✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9004-7.68%4.4421+115.80%0.6002✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8496-7.77%3.7914+89.05%0.5138✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8654-8.23%3.52+73.16%0.4255✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8563-7.97%3.5664+76.80%0.4206✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9041-7.87%3.5283+70.70%0.3970✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.0987-7.95%3.5537+55.87%0.3448✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0078-7.82%3.4962+60.52%0.3699✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1138-8.03%3.7108+61.45%0.3534✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9642-7.72%3.4518+62.16%0.3706✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9787-7.67%3.2837+53.22%0.3439✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9106-7.37%3.3999+64.84%0.3902✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8928-6.85%3.5721+75.80%0.4641✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0184-6.64%3.1894+47.52%0.3127✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.161-6.07%3.1267+35.92%0.2300✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1981-6.28%2.6682+13.77%0.1174✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0402-6.37%2.6037+19.49%0.1988✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0583-6.86%2.3588+6.74%0.1363✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1113-6.43%2.33+3.26%0.1022✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.148-6.17%2.2771-0.53%0.0719✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1426-6.27%2.262-1.05%0.0642✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2477-6.99%2.235-7.51%0.0161✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.39-7.82%2.2713-12.40%0.0317✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1386-7.19%2.3356+1.36%0.0757✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4198-8.06%2.4181-8.12%0.0013✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3752-7.85%2.3824-7.56%0.0017✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.479-7.83%2.3035-14.36%0.0810✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2153-7.56%2.2822-4.77%0.0126✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1597-7.31%2.2984-1.35%0.0338✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2756-7.40%2.3744-3.38%0.0328✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3769-7.76%2.1849-15.21%0.0905✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2719-7.57%2.0584-16.26%0.1036✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0416-7.24%2.0055-8.88%0.0217✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.967-6.93%2.0328-3.82%0.0230✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9224-7.08%2.0172-2.50%0.0351✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9142-7.58%2.0669-0.21%0.0462✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7181-7.08%2.28+23.31%0.2271✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7278-7.13%2.1781+17.08%0.1982✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6045-7.11%2.2984+33.05%0.3188✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6026-6.80%2.1286+23.78%0.2500✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6966-6.92%2.1431+17.57%0.1857✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5017-6.68%2.0626+28.18%0.2774✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.58-6.83%2.0319+19.82%0.2251✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4076-6.46%2.162+43.68%0.4027✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5036-6.57%2.3005+42.95%0.4037✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4627-6.69%2.3453+49.61%0.4395✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.457-6.40%2.179+39.98%0.3929✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4456-6.47%2.2098+42.97%0.4117✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5064-6.54%2.2564+39.99%0.3833✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5982-7.12%2.2892+33.04%0.3647✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6035-7.50%2.2859+31.87%0.3725✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5615-7.58%2.4166+43.03%0.4529✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5538-7.88%2.5928+53.72%0.5192✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5059-7.72%2.3042+41.20%0.4484✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4275-7.15%2.6319+71.19%0.6098✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4416-7.48%2.5774+65.42%0.5789✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.295-6.94%2.6896+93.27%0.7079✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4662-7.38%2.3965+51.38%0.4785✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3698-7.10%2.33+58.02%0.5389✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3315-7.11%2.4575+71.44%0.6126✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.328-7.18%2.5769+80.11%0.6325✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3972-7.37%2.458+62.95%0.5385✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3485-7.20%2.201+51.47%0.4981✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.647-7.75%2.1136+18.38%0.2673✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4806-7.69%2.0689+28.99%0.4123✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2486-7.08%2.0712+54.13%0.7502✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2808-6.95%1.849+34.33%0.6955✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.273-7.01%1.8603+35.89%0.6563✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1684-7.20%1.7274+37.19%0.6734✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0899-7.02%1.7196+46.70%0.7322✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0554-6.91%1.8228+60.77%0.8414✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1038-6.72%1.6091+35.99%0.7053✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.287-6.71%1.6959+22.92%0.5653✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2048-6.70%1.5047+16.53%0.4716✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1487-6.42%1.6094+31.11%0.5523✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.117-6.18%1.5676+31.67%0.5488✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3336-6.48%1.5567+9.16%0.3598✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1985-6.11%1.5456+21.09%0.4732✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0668-6.55%1.6118+41.20%0.6284✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.89948-5.41%1.7207+80.95%0.8485✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.824145-4.55%1.7335+100.76%0.9356✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.839142-4.62%1.6896+92.04%0.8907✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.822268-4.16%1.6867+96.59%0.9333✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.875551-4.33%1.6319+78.31%0.8873✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.856895-4.47%1.5373+71.39%0.8535✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.884774-4.51%1.5581+68.16%0.8495✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.947402-5.24%1.3916+39.19%0.7212✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0032-5.07%1.5831+49.80%0.7962✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05420.997646-5.36%1.4745+39.87%0.6843✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0196-5.68%1.4334+32.60%0.6223✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.942723-4.84%1.4307+44.42%0.7419✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.914825-4.09%1.5084+58.14%0.8574✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.926124-4.21%1.4531+50.29%0.6975✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.868751-3.78%1.7854+97.74%0.9373✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.883801-4.15%1.6039+73.94%0.7609✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.871015-4.07%1.3438+48.00%0.5333✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.871387-3.55%1.3765+52.35%0.5196✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.850796-3.73%1.369+54.91%0.5105✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.907143-4.36%1.2591+32.75%0.3609✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.861851-3.82%1.1722+30.81%0.3497✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.833709-3.45%1.1338+31.30%0.3531✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.883743-3.56%1.1832+29.12%0.3341✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.895162-3.70%1.3796+48.41%0.4386✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.911017-3.65%1.2913+36.57%0.3564✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.894421-3.24%1.2275+32.79%0.3417✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.851413-3.16%1.1906+35.42%0.3783✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.861469-4.07%1.426+58.80%0.4852✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.859233-4.43%1.2764+41.96%0.3704✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.847242-4.88%1.1415+28.15%0.2507✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.924955-5.51%0.9509-2.86%0.0087✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04880.989625-5.64%0.86345-17.67%0.1412✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.983732-5.94%0.8798-15.88%0.1576✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.979735-5.97%0.858-17.65%0.1984✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.965002-5.92%0.9152-10.78%0.1593✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0725-6.19%0.897-21.54%0.2539✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0226-6.40%0.92655-15.20%0.2536✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1308-6.24%0.99975-17.11%0.2552✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0651-6.31%1.0568-7.04%0.1478✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.955965-5.77%1.0542+3.91%0.0367✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.944424-5.49%1.081+8.18%0.0041✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.019-5.33%0.99065-7.96%0.1507✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.968983-5.44%0.95385-6.92%0.2084✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.955794-5.18%0.96685-4.09%0.1711✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.93186-5.60%0.9029-8.53%0.2282✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.939586-5.03%0.9221-6.80%0.2024✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.904286-4.67%0.908-4.28%0.1820✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.853747-4.14%0.9035+1.45%0.1044✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.837124-4.05%0.88375+1.29%0.0758✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.775536-3.93%0.94845+17.48%0.0566✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.792023-4.20%0.89605+8.38%0.0441✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.821347-4.30%0.8635+0.61%0.1268✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.844373-4.32%0.9164+3.84%0.1139✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.871148-4.44%0.9296+1.97%0.0753✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.946231-4.97%0.94555-5.04%0.0950✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.964759-5.13%0.9244-9.10%0.1619✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.908735-4.84%0.8792-7.94%0.1457✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.892401-4.97%0.898-4.38%0.1310✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05270.994125-5.56%0.8991-14.59%0.2108✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0071-5.29%0.89075-16.24%0.1760✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1227-5.87%0.97885-17.94%0.2310✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1446-5.53%1.0488-13.44%0.1802✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2312-5.01%1.0459-19.30%0.1823✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1116-4.40%1.0419-10.39%0.0640✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0361-4.52%1.0257-5.47%0.0314✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0556-4.71%1.1433+3.20%0.0277✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0484-4.57%1.0926-0.55%0.0444✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0979-4.73%1.2061+4.66%0.0518✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0225-4.59%1.1368+6.07%0.0601✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0093-4.41%1.0145-3.92%0.0254✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.977548-4.19%0.99925-2.07%0.0226✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.976204-4.27%1.0763+5.55%0.0053✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0823-4.17%1.0248-9.27%0.0823✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0948-3.85%1.008-11.47%0.0980✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1675-3.44%0.9871-18.36%0.1067✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3306-2.98%0.98935-27.86%0.2023✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2543-3.39%0.9486-26.93%0.2545✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3106-3.58%0.8906-34.48%0.3741✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3117-3.46%0.8725-35.78%0.4521✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3404-3.27%0.8073-41.74%0.5029✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3133-3.21%0.82675-39.07%0.4646✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3789-3.45%0.85825-39.91%0.4531✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.401-3.72%0.8825-39.35%0.4327✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3751-3.82%0.91165-36.24%0.5020✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3317-4.13%0.9957-28.32%0.4170✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.379-4.65%1.017-29.69%0.3591✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4502-4.87%0.955-37.35%0.4723✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4547-5.04%0.9391-38.70%0.4356✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4001-5.18%1.0527-28.71%0.3138✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.369-5.33%1.0634-26.46%0.3122✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5039-5.34%1.1928-24.92%0.2675✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.5977-5.34%1.2116-28.22%0.3107✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.5887-5.27%1.2961-22.71%0.2756✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.562-5.20%1.1627-29.44%0.3657✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5128-5.28%1.0852-32.06%0.3890✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3521-5.36%1.1078-22.46%0.2724✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3374-5.55%1.0986-22.42%0.2535✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.3894-5.49%1.1523-21.62%0.2119✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4655-5.38%1.0717-30.80%0.3144✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5324-5.40%1.0559-34.81%0.3679✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5379-5.42%1.0204-37.25%0.3985✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5699-5.59%1.0198-38.67%0.3646✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3621-5.37%1.1295-21.53%0.2560✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4883-5.53%1.1386-27.72%0.1984✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4005-5.44%1.2091-18.36%0.0818✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5117-5.31%1.3715-14.10%0.0183✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4343-5.29%1.2982-14.27%0.0184✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4873-5.04%1.3592-13.22%0.0433✓1.00