LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +7d

assessed

265

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

54.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1234

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0169

actual +0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	3.8075	3.7098	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-21	oos	3.763	3.6616	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3035	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0497	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0422	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0878	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1566	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.0353	+0.32%	3.8075	+25.85%	0.1937	✓	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0965	+0.37%	3.763	+21.98%	0.1560	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3247	-0.77%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0196	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3548	-0.58%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0822	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7498	-2.30%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1722	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5855	-1.41%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1146	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5968	-0.86%	3.176	-12.46%	0.1068	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.593	-0.39%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1792	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5637	-0.29%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1143	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7721	-1.20%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0774	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9534	-1.63%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0898	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6445	-0.56%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1009	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5749	+0.22%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0497	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5675	+0.64%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0520	✓	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.806	-0.00%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0027	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.9386	-0.24%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0921	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.92	-0.15%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0597	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3829	-1.40%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1278	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5725	-1.77%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2566	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.7506	-1.94%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2923	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7615	-1.92%	3.545	-26.97%	0.3023	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.9542	-2.30%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2718	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1606	-2.80%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2534	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.9384	-2.55%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1828	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.6315	-2.30%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6604	-2.46%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0673	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6916	-2.55%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0317	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6495	-2.58%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0211	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6856	-2.71%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1044	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.498	-2.32%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0207	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9876	-0.79%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0007	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.3118	-1.72%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0864	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.068	-1.06%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0645	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1656	-1.22%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0578	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.299	-1.24%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0243	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.2417	-1.14%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1313	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4649	-1.38%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0787	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7519	-1.53%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.1020	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6638	-1.24%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0401	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.483	-0.73%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0077	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.7139	-0.84%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0541	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.772	-1.06%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0392	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.4257	-0.34%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0743	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7738	-0.48%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1628	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.5134	-0.19%	4.826	+37.10%	0.2962	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5757	+0.30%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2688	✓	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.5399	+0.25%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2120	✓	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.572	+0.51%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2669	✓	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.5123	+0.44%	4.823	+37.92%	0.2953	✓	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.7379	+0.72%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1612	✓	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4719	+0.55%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1078	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2939	+0.27%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0790	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.4007	-0.01%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0519	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5595	-0.52%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0072	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1573	-0.93%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1036	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0946	-1.07%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1284	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6155	-2.01%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2708	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5524	-1.91%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1690	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3166	-1.80%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1602	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2871	-1.92%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1910	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2277	-2.12%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2557	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2194	-2.06%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1581	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1901	-1.97%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1345	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2252	-2.02%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0403	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2837	-2.20%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0370	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.36	-2.40%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3266	-2.37%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0069	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2547	-2.14%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0440	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2323	-2.18%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0476	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2452	-2.28%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0276	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3067	-2.71%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1323	-2.46%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1116	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0066	-2.40%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1953	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.956	-2.37%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1900	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9867	-2.52%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1253	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9705	-2.35%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1109	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0166	-2.48%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0959	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2128	-2.99%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0760	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1186	-2.77%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0207	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2259	-3.26%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0824	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0764	-2.47%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0324	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0922	-2.46%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0001	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0268	-1.80%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0181	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	2.0063	-1.24%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0483	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1147	-2.03%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0802	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2473	-2.50%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0024	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2838	-2.57%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0421	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1374	-1.91%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0142	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1663	-1.93%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0177	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2169	-1.78%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0656	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2472	-1.78%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.1034	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2458	-1.72%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0570	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3602	-2.23%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0410	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5206	-2.87%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0917	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2601	-1.95%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0695	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5468	-3.16%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1515	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4943	-3.21%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1100	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5888	-3.69%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1209	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3213	-3.12%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0220	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2551	-3.15%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0405	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3677	-3.71%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0740	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4623	-4.49%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0470	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3586	-4.20%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1072	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1192	-3.63%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1884	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0396	-3.70%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2594	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9824	-4.09%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1718	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9631	-5.35%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1455	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7776	-3.92%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2792	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.787	-3.98%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3308	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6684	-3.62%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3496	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.661	-3.43%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2510	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7524	-3.98%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1655	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5659	-2.68%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2611	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6357	-3.62%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2468	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4718	-2.14%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2777	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.56	-3.17%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2178	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5205	-2.97%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1705	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5126	-2.92%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1731	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.5043	-2.57%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2321	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5648	-2.99%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0645	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6579	-3.61%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0587	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6686	-3.77%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0741	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6259	-3.68%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0156	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6202	-3.79%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0080	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5698	-3.63%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0053	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.489	-3.12%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0369	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5068	-3.28%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0751	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3617	-2.18%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2071	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5304	-3.38%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0904	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4233	-2.98%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1404	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3897	-3.02%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1691	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.384	-2.88%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1277	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4433	-3.97%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0363	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4076	-3.98%	1.558	+6.28%	0.1043	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6758	-5.91%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1547	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5227	-5.19%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1140	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2943	-3.12%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2997	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3269	-3.64%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2934	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3166	-3.86%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3411	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.217	-3.57%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4588	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1476	-2.25%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4362	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1056	-1.99%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6821	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1568	-2.30%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5048	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3347	-3.56%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0985	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2472	-3.69%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1534	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1857	-3.33%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1895	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1398	-3.89%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1349	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3403	-6.34%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0748	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2056	-5.67%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0212	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0865	-4.19%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0992	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.931182	-2.39%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3919	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.850074	-1.55%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4274	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.864264	-1.51%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3717	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.84535	-1.36%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3924	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.9022	-1.40%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5120	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.885322	-1.41%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3950	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.913696	-1.38%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2724	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.984086	-1.54%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0396	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0405	-1.74%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1159	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0335	-1.85%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1256	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0557	-1.97%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1918	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.972512	-1.67%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0766	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.941101	-1.35%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0139	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.951657	-1.48%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0213	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.895036	-1.21%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0875	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.910529	-1.35%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.896598	-1.26%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1356	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.892897	-1.12%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1624	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.874578	-1.12%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0741	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.935413	-1.28%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0553	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.887852	-1.02%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0185	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.855347	-0.94%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0215	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.90355	-1.04%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0230	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.919553	-1.12%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0280	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.937045	-1.10%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0489	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.915598	-0.96%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0039	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.872504	-0.91%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1206	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.889489	-0.89%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0089	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.892714	-0.86%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0571	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.884712	-0.59%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0448	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.967824	-0.84%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0696	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0394	-0.97%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0981	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0323	-1.02%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1589	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0318	-1.02%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2113	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0132	-1.00%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1557	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1276	-1.39%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2474	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0791	-1.36%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2437	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1838	-1.84%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2352	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1165	-1.72%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1263	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	1.004	-1.18%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0149	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.986848	-1.22%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0045	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0557	-1.61%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0667	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0115	-1.27%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0328	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.997571	-1.18%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0635	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.975623	-1.05%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1169	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.977651	-1.15%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0507	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.939255	-1.03%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0027	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.884822	-0.47%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0716	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.867624	-0.39%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1512	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.808041	+0.07%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2016	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.82749	+0.12%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1468	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.858171	+0.08%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1221	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.883646	+0.13%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1022	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.910841	-0.13%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0730	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.989764	-0.48%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0552	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.0038	-0.47%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1037	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.951486	-0.26%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0952	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.940972	+0.05%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0968	✗	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0481	-0.38%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1565	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0599	-0.39%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1130	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1864	-0.68%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2435	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2034	-0.79%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1916	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2795	-1.27%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1829	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1571	-0.64%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1277	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0821	-0.45%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0574	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1025	-0.40%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0078	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0962	-0.30%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0224	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1479	-0.40%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0502	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.07	-0.14%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1082	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0548	-0.02%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1408	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0235	+0.24%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0233	✓	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0243	+0.52%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0591	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1307	+0.06%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0891	✗	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1414	+0.12%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0857	✗	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2054	-0.26%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0389	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3626	-0.75%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.2004	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2972	-0.29%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2342	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3511	-0.43%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2733	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.357	-0.15%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2902	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3758	-0.30%	1.13	-18.12%	0.2021	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3565	-0.11%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2150	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4221	-0.52%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2226	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4452	-0.74%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1325	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4284	-0.15%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1768	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3855	-0.03%	1.357	-2.09%	0.1022	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4353	-0.77%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0186	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.498	-1.06%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0630	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5156	-1.07%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0683	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4655	-0.71%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0349	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4385	-0.45%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0183	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5703	-1.30%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0266	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6517	-2.10%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0940	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6434	-2.18%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1055	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6084	-2.22%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0263	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5676	-1.93%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4276	+0.11%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.421	+0.21%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4635	-0.51%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1031	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5265	-1.32%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.59	-1.85%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.605	-1.53%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0168	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6373	-1.61%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4689	+2.29%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5637	-0.78%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4803	-0.11%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0887	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5721	-1.31%	1.547	-2.89%	0.0991	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.5078	-0.28%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1617	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5513	-0.81%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1768	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6896	-1.94%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1609	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5882	-1.48%	1.436	-10.92%	0.1963	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9414	-2.44%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8926	-2.39%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6751	-1.93%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0647	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5536	-1.52%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7697	-2.01%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0010	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.