HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · lstm_s5

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0173

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.083617	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.08337	-0.58%	0.084215	+0.42%	0.0079	✗	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.08378	-0.58%	0.08386	-0.49%	0.0116	✓	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.082536	-0.48%	0.08427	+1.61%	0.0081	✗	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.084885	-0.54%	0.082935	-2.82%	0.0213	✓	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.084797	-0.50%	0.085345	+0.14%	0.0009	✓	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.083213	-0.33%	0.085225	+2.08%	0.0253	✗	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.084842	-0.33%	0.083485	-1.93%	0.0088	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.084195	-0.24%	0.085125	+0.86%	0.0044	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.086627	-0.33%	0.0844	-2.89%	0.0082	✓	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.08656	-0.25%	0.08691	+0.15%	0.0118	✓	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.093578	-0.51%	0.08678	-7.73%	0.0548	✓	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.092026	-0.38%	0.094055	+1.81%	0.0137	✗	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.091958	-0.27%	0.09238	+0.19%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.090151	-0.13%	0.092205	+2.15%	0.0134	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.092632	-0.22%	0.090265	-2.77%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.099256	-0.41%	0.09284	-6.84%	0.0446	✓	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.101273	-0.43%	0.09966	-2.02%	0.0140	✓	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.103536	-0.48%	0.10171	-2.23%	0.0104	✓	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.101529	-0.43%	0.10403	+2.02%	0.0072	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.101906	-0.47%	0.10197	-0.41%	0.0017	✓	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.102039	-0.56%	0.10239	-0.22%	0.0068	✗	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.103846	-0.83%	0.102615	-2.01%	0.0250	✓	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.101363	-1.00%	0.10472	+2.28%	0.0334	✗	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.119426	-2.11%	0.102385	-16.08%	0.1558	✓	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.095419	-0.45%	0.122	+27.28%	0.2571	✗	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.093094	-0.42%	0.09585	+2.53%	0.0287	✗	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.095149	-0.55%	0.093485	-2.29%	0.0213	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.0926	-0.53%	0.095675	+2.78%	0.0360	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.089985	-0.56%	0.09309	+2.87%	0.0338	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.09812	-0.97%	0.09049	-8.67%	0.0614	✓	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.092648	-0.79%	0.099085	+6.10%	0.0714	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.085935	-0.67%	0.093385	+7.94%	0.0252	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.081097	-0.40%	0.086515	+6.26%	0.0655	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.078917	-0.37%	0.08142	+2.79%	0.0272	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.074305	-0.32%	0.07921	+6.27%	0.0128	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.073664	-0.29%	0.07454	+0.89%	0.0095	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.074016	-0.30%	0.07388	-0.48%	0.0083	✓	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.077463	-0.34%	0.074235	-4.49%	0.0140	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.074843	-0.31%	0.077725	+3.53%	0.0228	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.074477	-0.29%	0.075075	+0.51%	0.0131	✗	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.074228	-0.23%	0.074695	+0.40%	0.0057	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.074588	-0.23%	0.0744	-0.48%	0.0100	✓	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.076387	-0.19%	0.07476	-2.32%	0.0021	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.078894	-0.20%	0.076535	-3.18%	0.0286	✓	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.081688	-0.19%	0.07905	-3.41%	0.0259	✓	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.081557	-0.06%	0.081845	+0.29%	0.0169	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.080189	-0.03%	0.08161	+1.75%	0.0122	✗	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.078428	+0.04%	0.08021	+2.31%	0.0208	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.079397	+0.16%	0.0784	-1.10%	0.0043	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.074505	-0.07%	0.07927	+6.32%	0.0206	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.074045	-0.01%	0.07456	+0.69%	0.0079	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.073754	+0.17%	0.07405	+0.57%	0.0163	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.073542	+0.10%	0.07363	+0.22%	0.0083	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.075656	+0.18%	0.07347	-2.71%	0.0232	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.076225	+0.16%	0.07552	-0.76%	0.0135	✗	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.078937	+0.21%	0.0761	-3.39%	0.0112	✗	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.078712	+0.13%	0.07877	+0.20%	0.0121	✗	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.077791	+0.04%	0.07861	+1.09%	0.0054	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.0793	-0.00%	0.07776	-1.94%	0.0150	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.079731	-0.11%	0.0793	-0.65%	0.0182	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.077213	-0.27%	0.07982	+3.10%	0.0263	✗	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.079599	-0.25%	0.07742	-2.98%	0.0149	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.073104	-0.47%	0.0798	+8.65%	0.0361	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.070284	-0.42%	0.07345	+4.07%	0.0060	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.06714	-0.30%	0.07058	+4.81%	0.0007	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.065743	-0.28%	0.06734	+2.14%	0.0217	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.064424	-0.27%	0.06593	+2.06%	0.0044	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.065243	-0.29%	0.0646	-1.27%	0.0078	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.065661	-0.27%	0.06543	-0.62%	0.0040	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.065296	-0.27%	0.06584	+0.57%	0.0135	✗	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.065818	-0.28%	0.06547	-0.80%	0.0055	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.0662	-0.27%	0.066	-0.57%	0.0016	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.067407	-0.29%	0.06638	-1.80%	0.0110	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.068375	-0.30%	0.0676	-1.43%	0.0006	✓	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.068734	-0.30%	0.06858	-0.52%	0.0016	✓	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.067851	-0.28%	0.06894	+1.32%	0.0157	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.06798	-0.28%	0.06804	-0.19%	0.0065	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.068808	-0.29%	0.06817	-1.22%	0.0053	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.06914	-0.30%	0.06901	-0.49%	0.0085	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.070224	-0.33%	0.06935	-1.58%	0.0197	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.069787	-0.33%	0.07046	+0.63%	0.0100	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.068782	-0.32%	0.07002	+1.48%	0.0087	✗	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.06854	-0.32%	0.069	+0.35%	0.0075	✗	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.068129	-0.31%	0.06876	+0.61%	0.0334	✗	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.067619	-0.28%	0.06834	+0.78%	0.0003	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.06815	-0.29%	0.06781	-0.79%	0.0056	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.067873	-0.29%	0.06835	+0.41%	0.0051	✗	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.069966	-0.33%	0.06807	-3.03%	0.0073	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.070673	-0.36%	0.0702	-1.03%	0.0198	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.070525	-0.33%	0.07093	+0.24%	0.0030	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.070828	-0.34%	0.07076	-0.44%	0.0113	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.072577	-0.39%	0.07107	-2.46%	0.0082	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.069319	-0.30%	0.07286	+4.79%	0.0551	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.066529	-0.27%	0.06953	+4.23%	0.0286	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.066334	-0.28%	0.06671	+0.29%	0.0008	✓	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.066893	-0.28%	0.06652	-0.83%	0.0042	✓	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.065726	-0.23%	0.06708	+1.82%	0.0094	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.066386	-0.23%	0.06588	-0.99%	0.0092	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.067771	-0.23%	0.06654	-2.05%	0.0069	✓	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.067152	-0.22%	0.06793	+0.94%	0.0148	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.066426	-0.17%	0.0673	+1.14%	0.0220	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.06744	-0.20%	0.06654	-1.53%	0.0059	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.068295	-0.21%	0.067575	-1.26%	0.0102	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.070157	-0.23%	0.06844	-2.67%	0.0203	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.069755	-0.21%	0.07032	+0.60%	0.0041	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.069185	-0.18%	0.0699	+0.85%	0.0018	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.070731	-0.21%	0.06931	-2.22%	0.0063	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.073139	-0.25%	0.07088	-3.33%	0.0228	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.076067	-0.29%	0.07332	-3.89%	0.0423	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.07695	-0.32%	0.07629	-1.18%	0.0152	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.073146	-0.24%	0.0772	+5.29%	0.0466	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070719	-0.17%	0.07332	+3.50%	0.0227	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.071765	-0.15%	0.07084	-1.43%	0.0338	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.069422	-0.04%	0.07187	+3.48%	0.0149	✗	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071499	-0.11%	0.06945	-2.98%	0.0068	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070874	-0.06%	0.07158	+0.93%	0.0007	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.071785	-0.05%	0.07092	-1.25%	0.0060	✓	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070838	+0.01%	0.07182	+1.40%	0.0147	✓	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.073356	-0.01%	0.07083	-3.45%	0.0390	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.07548	-0.07%	0.07336	-2.87%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.077374	-0.14%	0.07553	-2.52%	0.0028	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.078509	-0.18%	0.07748	-1.49%	0.0032	✗	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077875	-0.16%	0.07865	+0.83%	0.0010	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.08045	-0.21%	0.078	-3.25%	0.0186	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.080307	-0.18%	0.08062	+0.21%	0.0055	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.080081	-0.14%	0.08045	+0.32%	0.0030	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.081093	-0.17%	0.08019	-1.28%	0.0087	✗	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.080438	-0.18%	0.08123	+0.81%	0.0247	✗	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.082353	-0.23%	0.08058	-2.37%	0.0135	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080995	-0.20%	0.08254	+1.70%	0.0118	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.078188	-0.12%	0.08116	+3.68%	0.0212	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.077793	-0.06%	0.07828	+0.57%	0.0053	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.079102	-0.07%	0.07784	-1.67%	0.0158	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.077654	+0.04%	0.07916	+1.98%	0.0091	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.079484	+0.02%	0.07762	-2.33%	0.0205	✗	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.081278	-0.03%	0.07947	-2.25%	0.0041	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.081936	-0.00%	0.0813	-0.78%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.079821	+0.19%	0.08194	+2.85%	0.0056	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.080511	+0.20%	0.07967	-0.85%	0.0081	✗	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.083755	+0.04%	0.08035	-4.03%	0.0058	✗	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.085131	+0.01%	0.08372	-1.64%	0.0138	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.08669	-0.13%	0.08512	-1.94%	0.0138	✗	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.091855	-0.41%	0.0868	-5.89%	0.0040	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.095874	-0.62%	0.09223	-4.40%	0.0150	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.094088	-0.95%	0.09647	+1.56%	0.0270	✗	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.098137	-0.95%	0.09499	-4.13%	0.0367	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.090355	-0.59%	0.09908	+9.01%	0.0937	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.08529	-0.29%	0.09089	+6.25%	0.0720	✗	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.086186	-0.31%	0.08554	-1.05%	0.0081	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.087762	-0.33%	0.08645	-1.82%	0.0001	✓	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.088059	-0.32%	0.08805	-0.33%	0.0030	✓	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.089302	-0.32%	0.08834	-1.40%	0.0143	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.087559	-0.30%	0.08959	+2.02%	0.0102	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.089551	-0.32%	0.08782	-2.25%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.088481	-0.31%	0.08984	+1.22%	0.0145	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.088213	-0.30%	0.08876	+0.32%	0.0012	✓	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.089877	-0.31%	0.08848	-1.86%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.08979	-0.31%	0.09016	+0.10%	0.0089	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.090942	-0.30%	0.09007	-1.26%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.092544	-0.31%	0.09122	-1.73%	0.0046	✓	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.094667	-0.33%	0.09283	-2.26%	0.0010	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.093088	-0.31%	0.09498	+1.71%	0.0013	✓	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.093556	-0.31%	0.09338	-0.50%	0.0105	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.096571	-0.35%	0.09385	-3.16%	0.0161	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.097166	-0.37%	0.09691	-0.64%	0.0021	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.09258	-0.31%	0.09753	+5.02%	0.0369	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.092377	-0.32%	0.09287	+0.22%	0.0007	✓	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.089841	-0.28%	0.09267	+2.86%	0.0292	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.091117	-0.28%	0.09009	-1.40%	0.0052	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.09004	-0.28%	0.09137	+1.20%	0.0087	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.087501	-0.27%	0.09029	+2.91%	0.0195	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087442	-0.31%	0.08774	+0.03%	0.0114	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.088297	-0.31%	0.08771	-0.97%	0.0052	✓	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.087928	-0.29%	0.08857	+0.44%	0.0020	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.087069	-0.28%	0.08818	+1.00%	0.0104	✓	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.088398	-0.27%	0.08731	-1.50%	0.0191	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.088672	-0.27%	0.08864	-0.30%	0.0066	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.089478	-0.26%	0.08891	-0.89%	0.0063	✗	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.092054	-0.28%	0.08971	-2.82%	0.0102	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.091011	-0.27%	0.09231	+1.15%	0.0020	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.090754	-0.27%	0.09126	+0.29%	0.0033	✗	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.090577	-0.27%	0.091	+0.20%	0.0146	✗	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.090615	-0.27%	0.09082	-0.04%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.090128	-0.28%	0.09086	+0.53%	0.0147	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.08951	-0.28%	0.09038	+0.69%	0.0036	✗	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.087038	-0.27%	0.08976	+2.85%	0.0049	✗	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.088574	-0.28%	0.08727	-1.75%	0.0095	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.090493	-0.32%	0.08882	-2.16%	0.0016	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.090462	-0.33%	0.09078	+0.02%	0.0210	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.086904	-0.26%	0.09076	+4.17%	0.0392	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084903	-0.24%	0.08713	+2.37%	0.0174	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.087588	-0.28%	0.08511	-3.10%	0.0252	✓	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.084971	-0.26%	0.08783	+3.10%	0.0169	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.088109	-0.28%	0.08519	-3.59%	0.0019	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.089292	-0.29%	0.08836	-1.33%	0.0117	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.089086	-0.30%	0.08955	+0.22%	0.0111	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.088738	-0.31%	0.08935	+0.38%	0.0029	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.091525	-0.33%	0.08901	-3.07%	0.0165	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.087151	-0.31%	0.09183	+5.04%	0.0096	✗	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.08773	-0.33%	0.08742	-0.68%	0.0014	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.087196	-0.32%	0.08802	+0.62%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.087455	-0.30%	0.08748	-0.27%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.087736	-0.30%	0.08772	-0.32%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.088187	-0.30%	0.088	-0.51%	0.0161	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.087332	-0.28%	0.08845	+0.99%	0.0144	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.086962	-0.28%	0.08758	+0.42%	0.0156	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.087743	-0.29%	0.08721	-0.90%	0.0182	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.089512	-0.30%	0.088	-1.98%	0.0114	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088845	-0.25%	0.08978	+0.80%	0.0110	✗	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.09082	-0.27%	0.08907	-2.20%	0.0177	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.094385	-0.30%	0.09107	-3.80%	0.0018	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.093892	-0.28%	0.09467	+0.54%	0.0030	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.09293	-0.27%	0.09416	+1.05%	0.0182	✗	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.089026	-0.21%	0.09318	+4.45%	0.0000	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.091318	-0.25%	0.08921	-2.56%	0.0071	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.092957	-0.24%	0.09155	-1.75%	0.0084	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.092685	-0.21%	0.09318	+0.32%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.095566	-0.23%	0.09288	-3.04%	0.0087	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.098499	-0.26%	0.09579	-3.01%	0.0114	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.100001	-0.29%	0.09876	-1.53%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.096088	-0.24%	0.10029	+4.12%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.09341	-0.20%	0.09632	+2.91%	0.0072	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.094943	-0.21%	0.0936	-1.62%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.094648	-0.20%	0.09514	+0.32%	0.0010	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.094085	-0.18%	0.09484	+0.63%	0.0031	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.095023	-0.18%	0.09425	-0.99%	0.0119	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.094214	-0.15%	0.09519	+0.88%	0.0134	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.093801	-0.13%	0.09436	+0.47%	0.0341	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.095662	-0.17%	0.09392	-1.98%	0.0028	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.097423	-0.16%	0.09582	-1.80%	0.0030	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.099382	-0.21%	0.09758	-2.02%	0.0256	✗	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.100909	-0.25%	0.09959	-1.55%	0.0145	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096829	-0.15%	0.10116	+4.32%	0.0260	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.097882	-0.16%	0.09697	-1.09%	0.0012	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.096869	-0.09%	0.09804	+1.11%	0.0410	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.100051	-0.15%	0.09696	-3.23%	0.0103	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.100279	-0.13%	0.1002	-0.21%	0.0203	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.102457	-0.19%	0.10041	-2.18%	0.0085	✗	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.10164	-0.19%	0.10265	+0.81%	0.0186	✗	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094995	-0.04%	0.10183	+7.16%	0.0002	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.094885	-0.04%	0.09503	+0.12%	0.0116	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.098062	-0.13%	0.09492	-3.33%	0.0206	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.099622	-0.15%	0.09819	-1.58%	0.0087	✓	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.099518	-0.13%	0.09977	+0.12%	0.0030	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.097494	-0.10%	0.09965	+2.11%	0.0039	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.098966	-0.10%	0.09759	-1.49%	0.0240	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.101867	-0.16%	0.09907	-2.90%	0.0090	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.101462	-0.17%	0.10203	+0.38%	0.0303	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.100128	-0.15%	0.10164	+1.36%	0.0138	✗	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.103581	-0.25%	0.10028	-3.43%	0.0151	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.098628	-0.15%	0.10384	+5.12%	0.0346	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.093067	-0.04%	0.09878	+6.10%	0.0134	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.089046	+0.02%	0.0931	+4.57%	0.0594	✓	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090706	-0.02%	0.08903	-1.86%	0.0133	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.092048	-0.02%	0.09072	-1.47%	0.0083	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.091227	+0.01%	0.09207	+0.93%	0.0123	✓	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.090013	+0.07%	0.09122	+1.41%	0.0053	✗	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.091244	+0.03%	0.08995	-1.39%	0.0087	✓	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078401	+0.48%	0.09122	+16.90%	0.0092	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.089386	+0.15%	0.07803	-12.57%	0.0808	✓	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.090672	+0.10%	0.08925	-1.47%	0.0374	✓	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.093185	+0.00%	0.09058	-2.79%	0.0307	✓	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.08863	+0.20%	0.09318	+5.35%	0.0167	✓	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.09296	+0.11%	0.08845	-4.75%	0.0160	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.098466	-0.13%	0.09286	-5.81%	0.0464	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.100808	-0.16%	0.09859	-2.36%	0.0148	✓	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.106656	-0.28%	0.10097	-5.60%	0.0309	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.107753	-0.28%	0.10696	-1.02%	0.0082	✓	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.106194	-0.26%	0.10806	+1.49%	0.0023	✓	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.102945	-0.18%	0.10647	+3.24%	0.0040	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.108001	-0.28%	0.10313	-4.77%	0.0022	✓	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.109111	-0.25%	0.1083	-0.99%	0.0007	✓	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.107866	-0.22%	0.10938	+1.18%	0.0137	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.108974	-0.21%	0.1081	-1.01%	0.0098	✓	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.105438	-0.12%	0.1092	+3.44%	0.0172	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.110538	-0.23%	0.10557	-4.71%	0.0264	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.111446	-0.25%	0.11079	-0.83%	0.0119	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.118489	-0.30%	0.11172	-5.99%	0.0349	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.118253	-0.28%	0.11884	+0.21%	0.0113	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.117459	-0.28%	0.11859	+0.68%	0.0109	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.122962	-0.35%	0.11779	-4.54%	0.0211	✓	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.121813	-0.33%	0.12339	+0.96%	0.0124	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.114646	-0.26%	0.12222	+6.33%	0.0068	✓	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.116829	-0.28%	0.11494	-1.89%	0.0218	✓	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.117337	-0.28%	0.11716	-0.43%	0.0102	✓	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.11984	-0.29%	0.11767	-2.10%	0.0157	✓	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.120064	-0.30%	0.12019	-0.19%	0.0102	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.123163	-0.34%	0.12042	-2.56%	0.0177	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.128374	-0.42%	0.12358	-4.14%	0.0078	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.131094	-0.45%	0.12892	-2.10%	0.0140	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.124876	-0.39%	0.13169	+5.05%	0.0088	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.120315	-0.34%	0.12536	+3.84%	0.0240	✗	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.121143	-0.38%	0.12073	-0.72%	0.0157	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.113864	-0.29%	0.1216	+6.49%	0.0423	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.105973	-0.19%	0.11419	+7.55%	0.0510	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.111317	-0.24%	0.10617	-4.86%	0.0303	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.112446	-0.25%	0.11159	-1.01%	0.0320	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.115033	-0.30%	0.11273	-2.30%	0.0057	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114822	-0.29%	0.11538	+0.19%	0.0035	✗	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.111276	-0.26%	0.11516	+3.22%	0.0248	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.108586	-0.23%	0.11157	+2.51%	0.0248	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.108987	-0.22%	0.10884	-0.36%	0.0068	✗	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.110179	-0.20%	0.10923	-1.06%	0.0120	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.113798	-0.24%	0.1104	-3.22%	0.0094	✓	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.111684	-0.22%	0.11407	+1.91%	0.0227	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.113502	-0.21%	0.11193	-1.59%	0.0198	✓	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.11173	-0.15%	0.11374	+1.64%	0.0135	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.104844	+0.01%	0.1119	+6.74%	0.0159	✓	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.109882	-0.03%	0.10483	-4.63%	0.0329	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.114503	-0.08%	0.10992	-4.08%	0.0102	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.114124	-0.03%	0.1146	+0.39%	0.0227	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.118105	-0.09%	0.11416	-3.43%	0.0013	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.122858	-0.13%	0.11821	-3.91%	0.0006	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.123831	-0.11%	0.12302	-0.77%	0.0062	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.129706	-0.16%	0.12397	-4.58%	0.0050	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.134498	-0.19%	0.12992	-3.59%	0.0436	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.138666	-0.23%	0.13476	-3.04%	0.0170	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.134318	-0.17%	0.13898	+3.29%	0.0021	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.130819	-0.13%	0.13455	+2.72%	0.0236	✗	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133858	-0.13%	0.13099	-2.27%	0.0425	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.13384	-0.08%	0.13403	+0.06%	0.0029	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.139197	-0.14%	0.13395	-3.90%	0.0118	✗	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.145788	-0.19%	0.13939	-4.57%	0.0206	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.144467	-0.16%	0.14607	+0.95%	0.0278	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.13322	-0.01%	0.1447	+8.61%	0.0128	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.141124	-0.15%	0.13323	-5.73%	0.0215	✗	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.143009	-0.15%	0.14133	-1.33%	0.0032	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.145182	-0.14%	0.14323	-1.49%	0.0121	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.146797	-0.16%	0.14539	-1.12%	0.0019	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.147666	-0.14%	0.14703	-0.57%	0.0201	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.144825	-0.05%	0.14787	+2.05%	0.0401	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.148323	-0.09%	0.1449	-2.39%	0.0049	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.147813	-0.05%	0.14845	+0.39%	0.0247	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.131985	+0.23%	0.14788	+12.30%	0.0715	✓	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.131102	+0.31%	0.13168	+0.75%	0.0121	✓	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.136712	+0.25%	0.1307	-4.16%	0.0160	✗	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.144879	+0.10%	0.13637	-5.78%	0.0374	✓	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.150657	+0.04%	0.14473	-3.90%	0.0123	✗	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.145927	+0.16%	0.1506	+3.36%	0.0160	✓	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.146753	+0.14%	0.1457	-0.58%	0.0328	✓	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.154814	+0.05%	0.14655	-5.29%	0.0293	✗	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.153066	+0.15%	0.15474	+1.25%	0.0087	✗	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.16461	-0.05%	0.15283	-7.21%	0.0213	✗	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.173726	-0.16%	0.1647	-5.34%	0.0171	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.177295	-0.21%	0.174	-2.06%	0.0053	✗	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.193073	-0.41%	0.17766	-8.36%	0.0335	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.176163	-0.22%	0.19386	+9.80%	0.0746	✗	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.175277	-0.18%	0.17656	+0.55%	0.0337	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.176639	-0.18%	0.17559	-0.77%	0.0107	✗	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.163121	+0.00%	0.17696	+8.48%	0.0486	✓	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.174986	-0.12%	0.16312	-6.89%	0.0284	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.16855	-0.01%	0.1752	+3.94%	0.0006	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.174999	-0.13%	0.16856	-3.80%	0.0482	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.193896	-0.30%	0.17522	-9.90%	0.0384	✓	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.195604	-0.31%	0.19448	-0.89%	0.0133	✓	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.20016	-0.38%	0.19622	-2.34%	0.0278	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.195794	-0.37%	0.20092	+2.23%	0.0058	✗	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.200137	-0.48%	0.19653	-2.27%	0.0095	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.193446	-0.55%	0.2011	+3.39%	0.0856	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.184296	-0.29%	0.19451	+5.23%	0.0731	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.179455	-0.29%	0.18484	+2.71%	0.0370	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.172175	-0.24%	0.17997	+4.28%	0.0031	✓	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.170527	-0.18%	0.17259	+1.02%	0.0015	✓	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.164947	-0.12%	0.17084	+3.45%	0.0194	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.165977	-0.07%	0.16515	-0.57%	0.0490	✓	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.170305	-0.11%	0.1661	-2.58%	0.0114	✓	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.175195	-0.18%	0.1705	-2.85%	0.0117	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.170382	-0.09%	0.17551	+2.92%	0.0033	✓	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.166016	+0.02%	0.17053	+2.74%	0.0009	✓	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.16285	+0.14%	0.16598	+2.07%	0.0058	✓	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.17088	+0.04%	0.16262	-4.80%	0.0189	✗	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.17887	-0.07%	0.17082	-4.57%	0.0006	✓	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.189961	-0.18%	0.179	-5.94%	0.0205	✓	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.194032	-0.22%	0.19031	-2.13%	0.0181	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.185137	-0.15%	0.19446	+4.88%	0.0457	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.168487	+0.13%	0.18541	+10.19%	0.0242	✓	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.177687	+0.00%	0.16827	-5.30%	0.0155	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.212548	-0.25%	0.17768	-16.61%	0.0425	✓	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.219144	-0.27%	0.21307	-3.04%	0.0038	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.217703	-0.26%	0.21974	+0.67%	0.0209	✓	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.229491	-0.32%	0.21828	-5.19%	0.0016	✓	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.215841	-0.27%	0.23022	+6.38%	0.0462	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.216561	-0.27%	0.21642	-0.34%	0.0170	✓	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.224895	-0.30%	0.21715	-3.73%	0.0372	✓	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.226854	-0.32%	0.22557	-0.89%	0.0325	✓	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.223714	-0.33%	0.22759	+1.40%	0.0147	✓	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.214359	-0.29%	0.22445	+4.40%	0.0336	✓	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.2162	-0.31%	0.21499	-0.87%	0.0003	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.215448	-0.32%	0.21688	+0.35%	0.0329	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.21221	-0.27%	0.21613	+1.57%	0.0294	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.213991	-0.25%	0.21279	-0.81%	0.0053	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.207168	-0.18%	0.21453	+3.37%	0.0222	✗	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.220526	-0.32%	0.20754	-6.19%	0.0220	✗	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.218398	-0.31%	0.22124	+0.99%	0.0125	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.221655	-0.34%	0.21907	-1.51%	0.0018	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.233272	-0.43%	0.22242	-5.06%	0.0005	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.240884	-0.47%	0.23427	-3.20%	0.0190	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.23789	-0.46%	0.24201	+1.26%	0.0160	✗	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.244979	-0.51%	0.23899	-2.94%	0.0021	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.