GNS

Syli · · lstm_s5

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1736

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0642

actual -0.0603

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.465121	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.424174	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.380936	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.387087	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.423425	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.437838	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.473821	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.503022	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.641859	-10.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.348157	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.366001	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.376212	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.371869	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.362386	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.360718	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.382107	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.401936	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.405293	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.399297	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.410052	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.438205	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.442785	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.456841	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.454551	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.482075	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.455668	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.46261	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.450054	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.443941	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.465392	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.438762	-2.50%	0.499	+10.89%	0.1570	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.421655	-4.71%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0596	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.41553	-4.70%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0232	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.415528	-4.80%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0117	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.392718	-5.60%	0.453	+8.89%	0.1017	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.384232	-5.59%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1514	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.38446	-5.65%	0.503	+23.44%	0.2149	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.403399	-5.19%	0.535	+25.73%	0.2559	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.406559	-5.34%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.5178	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.408187	-5.18%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1370	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.419823	-5.12%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1315	✓	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.417291	-5.16%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.0962	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.447769	-4.63%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.1601	✓	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.464267	-4.47%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2171	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.466966	-4.11%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.2348	✓	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.471884	-3.30%	0.403	-17.42%	0.1968	✓	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.462917	-3.05%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.1329	✓	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.461281	-2.79%	0.426	-10.22%	0.1320	✓	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.512196	-1.69%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2205	✓	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.496639	-3.00%	0.432	-15.62%	0.1987	✓	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.506604	-2.39%	0.461	-11.18%	0.1564	✓	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.512667	-1.60%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1270	✓	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.496891	-1.99%	0.483	-4.73%	0.0676	✓	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.51736	-1.08%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.1091	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.519788	-0.61%	0.507	-3.06%	0.0668	✓	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.542674	+1.62%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.1516	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.538258	+1.37%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1339	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.543893	+1.47%	0.472	-11.94%	0.1786	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.552971	+2.21%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2095	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.565646	+2.10%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2213	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.556725	+1.96%	0.45	-17.58%	0.2762	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.549178	+2.27%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2355	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.517804	-2.12%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2387	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.494284	-4.76%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2247	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.471434	-6.09%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2388	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.475186	-6.28%	0.407	-19.72%	0.2659	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.472369	-6.65%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.2742	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.480934	-7.16%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.2691	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.485422	-7.36%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.2610	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.486931	-7.43%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.2633	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.485168	-7.41%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2378	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.490125	-7.52%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2453	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.492453	-7.26%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2010	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.491914	-7.01%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1569	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.479973	-6.80%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1368	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.470893	-6.57%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1422	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.462403	-6.77%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1486	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.460705	-6.93%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1454	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.460993	-7.24%	0.521	+4.83%	0.0738	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.461394	-7.35%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0599	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.462062	-7.40%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0452	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.453308	-7.30%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0429	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.45525	-7.28%	0.507	+3.26%	0.0644	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.458325	-7.03%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0264	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.451979	-7.19%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0254	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.459243	-7.41%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0432	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.460556	-7.52%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0480	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.489733	-8.12%	0.536	+0.56%	0.0691	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.491797	-8.59%	0.541	+0.56%	0.0862	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.487338	-8.57%	0.554	+3.94%	0.0419	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.502529	-8.63%	0.546	-0.73%	0.0648	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.513009	-8.23%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1009	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.515105	-7.85%	0.529	-5.37%	0.0538	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.512294	-8.68%	0.519	-7.49%	0.0386	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.542731	-9.85%	0.502	-16.61%	0.0780	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.547945	-9.73%	0.507	-16.47%	0.0733	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.551325	-10.21%	0.506	-17.59%	0.0705	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.555212	-10.16%	0.518	-16.18%	0.0586	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.573921	-9.76%	0.524	-17.61%	0.0661	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.568132	-9.53%	0.526	-16.24%	0.0548	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.536911	-10.22%	0.524	-12.37%	0.0406	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.549846	-9.86%	0.53	-13.11%	0.0338	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.553363	-9.88%	0.531	-13.52%	0.0431	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.554988	-9.76%	0.529	-13.98%	0.0574	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.544881	-10.09%	0.515	-15.02%	0.0791	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.541848	-10.59%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1074	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.551787	-10.28%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1189	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.564886	-10.19%	0.495	-21.30%	0.1399	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.56735	-10.79%	0.497	-21.86%	0.1385	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.567633	-11.45%	0.498	-22.31%	0.1359	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.55713	-12.26%	0.499	-21.42%	0.1229	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.549574	-13.04%	0.489	-22.63%	0.1337	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.523511	-13.47%	0.491	-18.84%	0.1016	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.499135	-12.12%	0.493	-13.20%	0.0901	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.476105	-9.40%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0287	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.467408	-8.53%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.47388	-8.52%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0018	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.475198	-8.26%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0426	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.474329	-7.90%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0633	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.482783	-7.87%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0569	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.498601	-8.01%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0659	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.516278	-8.14%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0519	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.522285	-8.37%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0251	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.534445	-8.33%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0353	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.522479	-8.01%	0.602	+5.99%	0.1255	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.522659	-8.14%	0.607	+6.68%	0.1237	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.536992	-8.21%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1414	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.541175	-7.96%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1578	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.554701	-8.16%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1584	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.551465	-8.09%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1398	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.546515	-8.30%	0.598	+0.34%	0.1210	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.552331	-9.60%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0964	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.516522	-8.26%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1699	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.479986	-7.52%	0.615	+18.50%	0.2108	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.463013	-7.03%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2483	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.461268	-6.81%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2847	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.449194	-6.61%	0.615	+27.86%	0.3139	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.430019	-6.52%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3368	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.428984	-6.34%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3589	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.462335	-6.41%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3359	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.494379	-6.72%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2692	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.457523	-6.05%	0.632	+29.77%	0.3965	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.472243	-5.93%	0.605	+20.52%	0.4044	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.473676	-5.83%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3951	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.472779	-5.82%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2963	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.454757	-5.85%	0.511	+5.80%	0.3120	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.436778	-5.87%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3595	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.437664	-5.88%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3679	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.446581	-5.78%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3654	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.46466	-5.56%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3534	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.451929	-5.45%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3845	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.465845	-5.51%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3526	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.43359	-5.54%	0.57	+24.18%	0.4303	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.440947	-5.38%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4484	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.431044	-5.27%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4564	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.450837	-5.29%	0.569	+19.54%	0.4150	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.469977	-5.25%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3907	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.457743	-5.23%	0.588	+21.74%	0.4117	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.491776	-5.43%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3635	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.512478	-5.27%	0.6	+10.91%	0.3342	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.543688	-4.95%	0.596	+4.20%	0.3068	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.535441	-5.06%	0.611	+8.33%	0.3403	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.565915	-4.73%	0.563	-5.22%	0.2093	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.573707	-4.22%	0.519	-13.36%	0.1614	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.614443	-3.99%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0537	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.547739	-4.41%	0.495	-13.61%	0.1150	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.537592	-4.51%	0.481	-14.56%	0.0948	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.535334	-4.58%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0806	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.528941	-4.35%	0.458	-17.18%	0.1012	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.52014	-4.39%	0.494	-9.19%	0.1221	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.529286	-4.46%	0.53	-4.33%	0.1635	✗	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.520483	-4.67%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0529	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.520165	-4.56%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0361	✓	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.505869	-4.55%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0390	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.475611	-4.88%	0.502	+0.40%	0.0774	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.508245	-4.82%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0286	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.617013	-4.93%	0.464	-28.51%	0.2593	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.657355	-4.87%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3188	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.674447	-4.33%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3275	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.665468	-4.66%	0.492	-29.51%	0.2984	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.66801	-4.71%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3303	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.658481	-4.15%	0.493	-28.24%	0.2748	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.667379	-4.11%	0.459	-34.05%	0.3493	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.668329	-5.20%	0.466	-33.90%	0.3715	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.654626	-5.26%	0.455	-34.15%	0.3784	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.633978	-5.80%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3137	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.67165	-5.00%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3140	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.685728	-4.09%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3532	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.656846	-5.08%	0.52	-24.86%	0.2598	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.662546	-5.35%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2401	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.671155	-5.74%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2211	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.663092	-5.68%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2061	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.648926	-6.76%	0.594	-14.66%	0.1748	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.676851	-6.38%	0.599	-17.15%	0.1966	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.681135	-6.31%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1406	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.680573	-6.64%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2491	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.679675	-6.77%	0.563	-22.77%	0.2682	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.699013	-6.67%	0.561	-25.10%	0.2905	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.669522	-7.52%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3022	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.663989	-7.65%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3045	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.664668	-8.45%	0.554	-23.69%	0.2956	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.661817	-8.34%	0.546	-24.38%	0.2979	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.662724	-8.34%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3029	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.676182	-8.38%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3352	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.672949	-8.19%	0.5	-31.79%	0.3712	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.661198	-8.29%	0.534	-25.94%	0.2972	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.653295	-8.12%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1028	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.662923	-8.06%	0.691	-4.16%	0.0599	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.668726	-7.89%	0.705	-2.89%	0.0590	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.692978	-7.60%	0.698	-6.93%	0.0716	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.728946	-7.26%	0.701	-10.81%	0.0921	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.734014	-7.44%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1332	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.738171	-7.15%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1220	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.702687	-7.30%	0.705	-6.99%	0.0705	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.719893	-7.23%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1009	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.741232	-6.88%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1253	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.736981	-6.71%	0.707	-10.51%	0.0912	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.768793	-6.70%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1223	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.823407	-6.96%	0.692	-21.81%	0.1839	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.816457	-6.48%	0.7	-19.82%	0.1535	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.795855	-6.59%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1226	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.782228	-6.66%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1341	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.781289	-6.43%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1139	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.778778	-6.28%	0.723	-13.00%	0.0964	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.765749	-6.04%	0.727	-10.80%	0.0762	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.741998	-5.72%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0337	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.741299	-5.81%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0404	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.728643	-5.86%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0267	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.731808	-5.69%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0255	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.735844	-5.54%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0314	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.753178	-5.38%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0038	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.762372	-5.18%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0016	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.752882	-5.54%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0263	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.760943	-5.65%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0235	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.731751	-5.82%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0226	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.748528	-5.96%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0351	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.756449	-6.26%	0.711	-11.90%	0.0630	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.780848	-6.37%	0.721	-13.55%	0.0679	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.779607	-6.30%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0548	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.709938	-6.59%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0104	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.71791	-6.64%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0292	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.709111	-6.20%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0843	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.713399	-6.26%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0804	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.689303	-6.09%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0964	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.667983	-6.05%	0.776	+9.14%	0.1311	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.670938	-6.03%	0.796	+11.48%	0.1316	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.787891	-6.31%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0196	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.811247	-6.11%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0056	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.809558	-5.97%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0440	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.827072	-5.80%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0104	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.8287	-5.94%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0076	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.798131	-6.10%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0035	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.768584	-5.81%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0481	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.797401	-5.74%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0261	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.834103	-5.86%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0241	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.838768	-5.97%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0609	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.847909	-6.10%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0673	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.826374	-5.99%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0240	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.760515	-5.64%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0203	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.815756	-5.91%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0029	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.843751	-5.83%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0127	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.863081	-5.67%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0138	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.84784	-5.69%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0226	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.872065	-5.62%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0232	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.896223	-5.46%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0556	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.884032	-5.45%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0838	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.926058	-5.31%	0.807	-17.48%	0.1110	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.922813	-5.26%	0.834	-14.37%	0.1252	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.899286	-5.24%	0.832	-12.33%	0.1293	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.863161	-5.36%	0.76	-16.67%	0.1067	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.888408	-5.49%	0.769	-18.19%	0.1042	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.87928	-5.45%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0718	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.862176	-5.46%	0.761	-16.56%	0.0936	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.861112	-5.48%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0587	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.891011	-5.71%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0018	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.929341	-5.46%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0050	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.937905	-5.36%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1560	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.955823	-4.99%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1594	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	0.967705	-4.57%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1487	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.946004	-4.15%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1807	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	0.989362	-3.57%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1555	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.912186	-4.08%	0.85	-10.62%	0.2071	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.95556	-5.11%	0.816	-18.97%	0.1137	✗	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.955358	-5.13%	0.846	-15.99%	0.1253	✗	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0182	-5.55%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0928	✗	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0196	-5.42%	0.892	-17.25%	0.0990	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.029	-5.34%	0.903	-16.93%	0.1237	✗	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.0566	-5.32%	0.879	-21.24%	0.1251	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1001	-4.92%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1714	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.0983	-4.91%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0658	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.0967	-5.38%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0339	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1026	-5.52%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0096	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.0973	-5.57%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0040	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.0844	-5.62%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0099	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.0722	-5.62%	0.948	-16.55%	0.0748	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.0739	-5.38%	0.935	-17.62%	0.0832	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.0583	-5.43%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1079	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0481	-5.24%	0.974	-11.93%	0.0908	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.0811	-5.25%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1366	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.136	-5.57%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2090	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.1628	-5.69%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2401	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.1921	-5.83%	0.93	-26.54%	0.2750	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.221	-6.08%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3215	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2097	-5.93%	0.911	-29.16%	0.2954	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.1976	-6.00%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2320	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.1906	-6.03%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2544	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2026	-6.12%	0.991	-22.64%	0.2754	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1445	-6.04%	1.006	-17.41%	0.2718	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.1541	-6.09%	1.014	-17.49%	0.2673	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.1862	-6.30%	0.987	-22.04%	0.2971	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.1614	-6.34%	1.026	-17.26%	0.2783	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.1996	-6.64%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3376	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2309	-6.82%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2146	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2216	-6.60%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2020	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.2632	-6.57%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1267	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.2955	-6.93%	1.078	-22.56%	0.1612	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.335	-7.29%	1.087	-24.51%	0.1811	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.294	-7.17%	1.116	-19.94%	0.1573	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.2911	-7.18%	1.157	-16.82%	0.1584	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3075	-7.66%	1.155	-18.43%	0.1928	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.2898	-7.14%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1395	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.3491	-7.22%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1226	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.3768	-7.10%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1175	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3334	-6.69%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1098	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.2978	-6.83%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1534	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.3653	-7.25%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1526	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.3684	-7.13%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1405	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.3835	-7.27%	1.106	-25.87%	0.1746	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.3885	-7.18%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1392	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.3788	-7.09%	1.203	-18.94%	0.0846	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.3635	-7.31%	1.233	-16.18%	0.0980	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.3615	-7.13%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0615	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3041	-6.58%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0139	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.2864	-6.58%	1.286	-6.61%	0.0691	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.28	-6.50%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0678	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.319	-6.78%	1.267	-10.46%	0.0716	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.352	-6.89%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0091	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3604	-7.01%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0307	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.3322	-6.84%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0321	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.3314	-6.83%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0689	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.349	-7.03%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0883	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3068	-6.86%	1.285	-8.41%	0.1020	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3281	-6.73%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1750	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.3676	-6.84%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1720	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.3694	-6.72%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1852	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4177	-6.67%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2415	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4077	-6.71%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2498	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.3821	-6.80%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2364	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.417	-6.90%	1.391	-8.61%	0.2258	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.2875	-6.57%	1.416	+2.76%	0.3219	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3091	-6.29%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3316	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.2607	-6.27%	1.454	+8.10%	0.3203	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3096	-5.85%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3758	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4353	-6.00%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3576	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4346	-5.96%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4345	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4101	-5.75%	1.472	-1.60%	0.4108	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.3728	-5.65%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.4068	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.3752	-5.48%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4521	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.381	-5.22%	1.496	+2.68%	0.5022	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.3958	-5.11%	1.484	+0.88%	0.5234	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4169	-5.29%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5777	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.3561	-5.30%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5491	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.3527	-5.27%	1.396	-2.24%	0.5289	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3274	-5.18%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5666	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3158	-5.27%	1.369	-1.44%	0.5195	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3126	-5.30%	1.415	+2.09%	0.5357	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3329	-5.33%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4804	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3227	-5.45%	1.463	+4.57%	0.4225	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.2979	-5.60%	1.43	+4.00%	0.4093	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.2797	-5.63%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3620	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.2651	-5.66%	1.451	+8.20%	0.3955	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.2927	-5.64%	1.403	+2.41%	0.4173	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3212	-5.56%	1.424	+1.79%	0.3443	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.361	-5.48%	1.468	+1.94%	0.3445	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.27	-5.37%	1.468	+9.39%	0.3756	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2192	-5.34%	1.519	+17.93%	0.3137	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.2687	-5.40%	1.509	+12.53%	0.3342	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.5943	-5.38%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2516	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.6784	-5.28%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2333	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.6562	-5.41%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1484	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.7744	-5.01%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0889	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7248	-5.13%	1.345	-26.02%	0.1035	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.7563	-5.32%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0179	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8025	-5.28%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0172	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.8666	-5.87%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0323	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8021	-6.14%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0384	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.6901	-6.31%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0531	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.7523	-6.84%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1187	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7119	-6.96%	1.457	-20.82%	0.1725	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.6818	-6.88%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2069	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.6637	-6.90%	1.496	-16.28%	0.1871	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6114	-6.80%	1.432	-17.18%	0.1626	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.7349	-7.22%	1.428	-23.64%	0.1565	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.697	-7.27%	1.4	-23.50%	0.1604	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.7744	-7.82%	1.389	-27.84%	0.1526	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	1.9885	-8.62%	1.386	-36.31%	0.2471	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	1.9674	-8.75%	1.408	-34.69%	0.2665	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	1.9464	-8.79%	1.399	-34.44%	0.2514	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.0939	-8.76%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3148	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.1211	-8.93%	1.356	-41.78%	0.3421	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.