FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1242
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0213
actual -0.0241
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.046984 | -1.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.047792 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.046837 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047141 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.050277 | -1.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051791 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.052018 | -1.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.053013 | -1.52% | 0.04772 | -11.35% | 0.1171 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.05893 | -2.13% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.1916 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.058266 | -1.92% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.2050 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.065043 | -2.64% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.2953 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.063635 | -2.67% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.2071 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.062791 | -2.63% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1675 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.060366 | -2.29% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1361 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.062812 | -2.49% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1424 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.067075 | -2.80% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.0935 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.071336 | -3.19% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1600 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.067977 | -3.03% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.070319 | -3.44% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.06254 | -2.54% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0439 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.06571 | -2.87% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.066849 | -3.14% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.064255 | -2.68% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.059799 | -2.03% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.1933 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.06694 | -3.03% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.064915 | -2.93% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1131 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.057417 | -2.21% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.058121 | -2.64% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1493 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.058014 | -2.84% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.1834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.058492 | -3.04% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.059172 | -3.09% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.059671 | -3.78% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.1058 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.067068 | -4.80% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.063579 | -4.76% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.061101 | -4.68% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.1233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.053573 | -2.08% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043704 | -0.07% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.1909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048737 | -0.71% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047982 | -0.41% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.050231 | -0.62% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.2882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050823 | -0.53% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2263 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.0521 | -0.44% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.051259 | -0.23% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053299 | -0.36% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.055078 | -0.46% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055859 | -0.38% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.1028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.055117 | -0.03% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055511 | +0.22% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.059012 | -0.02% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0602 | ✓ | 1.00 |