FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0473

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047575	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.04843	-0.31%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0123	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047394	-0.24%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0136	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047684	-0.22%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0019	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050975	-0.30%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0711	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052527	-0.31%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0257	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052701	-0.28%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0064	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053689	-0.26%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0216	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059938	-0.46%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0930	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.05917	-0.40%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0049	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066365	-0.67%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0958	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064971	-0.62%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0221	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.064116	-0.57%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0168	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061502	-0.45%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0412	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.064069	-0.54%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0254	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068542	-0.68%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0488	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.073082	-0.83%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0562	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069554	-0.78%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0624	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072165	-0.91%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0409	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063807	-0.57%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1306	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.06719	-0.69%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0438	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068489	-0.76%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0209	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065618	-0.62%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0510	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060767	-0.44%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0817	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068503	-0.76%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1097	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.06638	-0.74%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0389	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058403	-0.53%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1337	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059314	-0.65%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0085	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059311	-0.67%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059875	-0.75%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060603	-0.75%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.06146	-0.89%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0714	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069537	-1.30%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1136	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065894	-1.29%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063319	-1.22%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054479	-0.42%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1600	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043781	+0.11%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2155	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049058	-0.05%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048188	+0.02%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.05053	-0.03%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051097	+0.00%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052343	+0.02%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0329	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051412	+0.06%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053506	+0.03%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055333	+0.01%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056081	+0.02%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.05519	+0.10%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055484	+0.17%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059089	+0.11%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0449	✗	1.00