DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1224

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.2604	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.1309	-12.13%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.1985	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6725	-8.98%	1.287	-29.96%	0.2750	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9699	-3.23%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4935	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.227	-4.17%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0481	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.3896	-5.61%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.0391	-5.19%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1216	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.0485	-11.30%	11.643	+404.14%	1.7452	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.6227	-12.08%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.1340	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.5687	-12.53%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1606	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.8234	-12.41%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.083	-11.59%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3603	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.8117	-8.34%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5570	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.891	-10.91%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1427	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	15.0129	-12.54%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0970	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.3722	-12.80%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2001	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	39.4181	-9.48%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4484	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	83.6721	-2.09%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6506	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000373021	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000377414	-0.63%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0242	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249489	-0.00%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3638	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.00026888	-0.04%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0683	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308517	-0.12%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1821	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000270186	-0.01%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1514	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280978	-0.01%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0555	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309842	-0.12%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0741	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000301233	-0.09%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0365	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278931	+0.05%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0222	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302847	-0.02%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0748	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.00030423	-0.06%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0382	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000331477	-0.16%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0805	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000307292	-0.07%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0777	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.00032641	-0.12%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0736	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000299348	-0.02%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0803	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000304379	-0.04%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0012	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320651	-0.11%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000314201	-0.10%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0204	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000408147	-0.60%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2459	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.00036616	-0.39%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1011	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322994	-0.22%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0958	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326976	-0.28%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0006	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291688	-0.14%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1389	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227291	+0.26%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2673	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.00023928	+0.24%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0518	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207611	+0.49%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1271	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.00021357	+0.50%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0172	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213737	+0.58%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1273	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222887	+0.54%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1928	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.00026597	+0.40%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1268	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.00026979	+0.41%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0445	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254916	+0.52%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0202	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273224	+0.49%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0374	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000310553	+0.31%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0164	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345367	+0.16%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1011	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412612	-0.21%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0940	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000352826	+0.15%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1579	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000346188	+0.26%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0027	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000346664	+0.34%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0336	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000393604	+0.13%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0877	✗	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410933	+0.08%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0376	✗	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000405511	+0.18%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0123	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000362316	+0.39%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1092	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000407058	+0.31%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1407	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000447524	+0.07%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0185	✗	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000509357	-0.15%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1093	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000522199	-0.15%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0032	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000541006	-0.16%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0268	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000525116	-0.15%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0329	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000570002	-0.17%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0571	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000580921	-0.19%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0433	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000549186	-0.15%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0260	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000599554	-0.19%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0928	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000649218	-0.26%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0879	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000554065	-0.13%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1643	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000580045	-0.15%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0330	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000578098	-0.14%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0105	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000653769	-0.20%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0686	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000687351	-0.25%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0449	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000665739	-0.23%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0170	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000627178	-0.19%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0424	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000626403	-0.19%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0109	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000587937	-0.10%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0385	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572493	-0.00%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0002	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000619903	-0.10%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0589	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000600609	+0.02%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0041	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000615596	+0.02%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0078	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000589606	+0.14%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0417	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000628384	+0.11%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0746	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000613537	+0.20%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0205	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000593398	+0.29%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0396	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000617148	+0.30%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0466	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000683154	+0.21%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0790	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000684825	+0.27%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0027	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000691917	+0.32%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0203	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000708156	+0.36%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0318	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000618658	+0.53%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0723	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627935	+0.55%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0030	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000743878	+0.50%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1386	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000817832	+0.47%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1321	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000888556	+0.40%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0481	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001044	+0.10%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1203	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.00103	+0.17%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0132	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001099	+0.05%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0184	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001227	-0.02%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1216	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001321	-0.05%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0602	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001345	-0.04%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0605	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001314	-0.00%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0179	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001434	-0.04%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1127	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.00148	-0.06%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0293	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001499	-0.09%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0505	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001576	-0.15%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0189	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001593	-0.15%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0575	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001583	-0.08%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1168	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001535	-0.09%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1463	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001555	-0.11%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0001	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001532	-0.09%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0185	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001596	-0.15%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0288	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001615	-0.16%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0339	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001623	-0.11%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0926	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001517	-0.03%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0960	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001478	+0.04%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0153	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001585	+0.01%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1359	✗	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001775	-0.19%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1011	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001697	-0.15%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0926	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002019	-0.98%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0195	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.00237	-1.94%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1078	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001624	-0.35%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3756	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001668	-0.51%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0347	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001291	+0.04%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3004	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001508	-0.21%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1864	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001374	-0.11%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2900	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001546	-0.34%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0421	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001475	-0.27%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1017	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001582	-0.40%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0474	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001688	-0.51%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1107	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.00155	-0.36%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0015	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001928	-0.81%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1766	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001645	-0.50%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0953	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001822	-0.71%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0019	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001741	-0.65%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0344	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001644	-0.55%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3073	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002369	-1.47%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1888	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001515	-0.34%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4420	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001657	-0.50%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1065	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001686	-0.49%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0636	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001762	-0.55%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0344	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001659	-0.37%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0918	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001837	-0.55%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0879	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001992	-0.69%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001811	-0.41%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0770	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001766	-0.27%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002049	-0.55%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001541	+0.08%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2669	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001368	+0.17%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001893	-0.02%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3059	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002285	-0.21%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2055	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002261	-0.15%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002695	-0.33%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1813	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.00286	-0.40%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002674	-0.36%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004752	-0.85%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5511	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004969	-0.89%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006403	-1.20%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2464	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005146	-1.16%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1925	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001528	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001304	-1.49%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1491	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.00129	-2.20%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001704	-1.04%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2535	✓	1.00