DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

62.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1215

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0136

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.9813	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8241	-0.73%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0524	-0.54%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5209	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3372	-0.90%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5349	-1.56%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.2585	-3.30%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1412	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.9948	-13.62%	11.643	+404.14%	1.7718	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.5157	-15.67%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0923	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.4202	-16.17%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1181	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.6283	-15.96%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1426	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.1823	-10.51%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3725	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.4515	-4.63%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5966	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.8909	-10.91%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1427	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	14.2381	-17.05%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.1500	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.1406	-13.74%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.1892	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	41.9901	-3.58%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5116	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.3225	-1.33%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6584	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000370593	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000374936	-1.28%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0308	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248214	-0.52%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3690	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000267482	-0.56%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0630	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000306739	-0.70%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1763	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000268654	-0.57%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1571	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000279317	-0.60%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0495	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000308026	-0.70%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0682	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000299446	-0.68%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0425	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277163	-0.59%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0286	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000300862	-0.67%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0682	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000302297	-0.69%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0445	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000329313	-0.81%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0740	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000305249	-0.73%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0844	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000324097	-0.83%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0665	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297222	-0.73%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0874	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.00030219	-0.76%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0061	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000318309	-0.84%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000311877	-0.83%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0278	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.00040459	-1.46%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2372	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000362988	-1.25%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1098	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000320225	-1.07%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.1044	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.00032408	-1.16%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0083	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000289528	-0.88%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1464	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226471	-0.10%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2710	✗	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238435	-0.11%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0482	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207606	+0.49%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1271	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213581	+0.51%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0172	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214197	+0.80%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1294	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222958	+0.57%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1925	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265159	+0.10%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1238	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000268787	+0.03%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0482	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254685	+0.43%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0211	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272587	+0.25%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0350	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000308826	-0.25%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0108	✓	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000343299	-0.44%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0951	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000410502	-0.73%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0888	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000350717	-0.45%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1639	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000344225	-0.31%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0084	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000344868	-0.18%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0284	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000391239	-0.47%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0817	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000408512	-0.51%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0317	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000403077	-0.43%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0183	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360763	-0.04%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1135	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404665	-0.28%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1348	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000445211	-0.44%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0133	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.00050732	-0.54%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1053	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520166	-0.54%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0071	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000538872	-0.56%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0229	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000523132	-0.53%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0367	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000567791	-0.56%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0532	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000578524	-0.60%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0391	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000546838	-0.57%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0217	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000596857	-0.64%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0883	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000646208	-0.72%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0832	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000551623	-0.57%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1687	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577437	-0.60%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0285	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000575496	-0.59%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0150	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000650709	-0.67%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0639	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.00068406	-0.73%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0401	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000662481	-0.72%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0121	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000624091	-0.69%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0474	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000623242	-0.69%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0058	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000584738	-0.64%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0440	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000569098	-0.59%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0061	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000616375	-0.66%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0532	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000596901	-0.60%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0103	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.00061176	-0.61%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0015	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000585897	-0.49%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0480	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000624332	-0.54%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0681	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000609772	-0.41%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0267	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000590222	-0.25%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0450	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000613886	-0.23%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0413	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000678987	-0.40%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0729	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000680904	-0.31%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0030	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000688276	-0.21%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0150	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000704684	-0.13%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0269	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000618233	+0.46%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0730	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627798	+0.53%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0028	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.00074148	+0.17%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1353	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000814488	+0.06%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1280	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000883617	-0.16%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0426	✓	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001038	-0.44%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1149	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001024	-0.38%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0188	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001093	-0.42%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0136	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001221	-0.49%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1169	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001315	-0.53%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0554	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001338	-0.55%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0554	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001307	-0.52%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0231	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001427	-0.58%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1073	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001472	-0.60%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0238	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001491	-0.61%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0557	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001568	-0.67%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0137	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001584	-0.69%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0521	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001574	-0.66%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1109	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001526	-0.64%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1518	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001547	-0.67%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0057	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001523	-0.66%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0242	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001586	-0.73%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0229	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001606	-0.76%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0279	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001613	-0.75%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0863	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001508	-0.66%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.1022	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001468	-0.59%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0090	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001575	-0.65%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1293	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001762	-0.89%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0940	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001686	-0.80%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0992	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002009	-1.49%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0144	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002353	-2.65%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1005	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001617	-0.82%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3803	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001661	-0.91%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0388	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001286	-0.42%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3050	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001502	-0.63%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1822	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001368	-0.53%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2942	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.00154	-0.72%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0384	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001469	-0.65%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1055	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001575	-0.79%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0514	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001682	-0.90%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1067	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001545	-0.72%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0020	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.00192	-1.24%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1723	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001639	-0.82%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0986	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001815	-1.11%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0021	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001735	-0.94%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0314	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001639	-0.87%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3105	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002346	-2.42%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1791	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.00151	-0.64%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4451	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001652	-0.78%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1037	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001682	-0.72%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0612	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001758	-0.79%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0369	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001655	-0.61%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001832	-0.82%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001986	-0.98%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001808	-0.54%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0784	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001764	-0.38%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002048	-0.59%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001541	+0.10%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2667	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001371	+0.35%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001892	-0.07%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3055	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002285	-0.23%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2053	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002261	-0.15%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002696	-0.30%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.00286	-0.42%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002672	-0.45%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0960	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004732	-1.27%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5468	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004943	-1.42%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.00636	-1.87%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2396	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005127	-1.54%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1963	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001539	-0.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001326	+0.18%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001322	+0.24%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001726	+0.24%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2664	✗	1.00