CTR

Citrea · Base · lstm_s5

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

51.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0953

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0120

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.015033	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014696	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016726	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016252	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013126	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013118	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.0137	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012882	-1.35%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1687	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013516	-1.79%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1081	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014237	-2.30%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2271	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013481	-2.06%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2486	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012715	-1.34%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0524	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012672	-1.37%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0549	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012352	-1.34%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1249	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012562	-1.38%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0368	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012423	-1.31%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1106	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012499	-1.26%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1647	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012545	-1.27%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1130	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012724	-1.36%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0282	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012751	-1.58%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0178	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011761	-1.04%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0734	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012164	-1.21%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0637	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012703	-1.60%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0075	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012409	-1.52%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0106	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011867	-1.30%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0561	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.01207	-1.39%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0555	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012251	-1.47%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0541	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.01168	-1.27%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0151	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012078	-1.45%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0168	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012263	-1.82%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0558	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012072	-1.29%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0565	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.01183	-1.20%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0355	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011182	-1.32%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0717	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011351	-1.37%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0727	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011585	-1.61%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0014	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011335	-1.85%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0248	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011295	-2.12%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0456	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011688	-3.71%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0376	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010723	-1.68%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0339	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010247	-1.99%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0593	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009831	-1.09%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1198	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.00968	-0.93%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1611	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009206	-0.71%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2285	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010163	-0.94%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1455	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010099	-0.85%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2094	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010296	-0.76%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0660	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.00946	+0.11%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1321	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009865	+0.00%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0311	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009877	+0.08%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0102	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010136	+0.58%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0502	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010005	-0.34%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0135	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009668	-0.02%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0396	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009563	+0.57%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0754	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009385	+0.45%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0234	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009636	+0.66%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0059	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009485	+0.57%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0197	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009352	+1.22%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0637	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009408	+0.89%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0848	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.00864	+0.91%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1250	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008637	+0.96%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1013	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007968	+0.55%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1600	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008076	+0.37%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1558	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008773	+0.61%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0780	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008142	-0.63%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0411	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008349	-1.15%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0222	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008307	-1.51%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1961	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008255	-1.50%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.2008	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008621	-1.86%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3478	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008543	-1.85%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3091	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008348	-1.74%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2260	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008631	-1.99%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2255	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008132	-1.67%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0709	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008213	-1.87%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0046	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007694	-1.10%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0746	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007996	-1.28%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1329	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008212	-1.41%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0946	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007823	-1.10%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1193	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007742	-1.00%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1449	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.00763	-0.91%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1034	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007237	-0.66%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1553	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007191	-0.61%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0704	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.00733	-0.81%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0746	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007274	-0.77%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.0953	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007419	-0.68%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0253	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.00744	-0.67%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0586	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007398	-0.57%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0263	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007242	-0.32%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0020	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007187	-0.25%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0111	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007874	-0.77%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0295	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008087	-0.89%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0691	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007622	-0.50%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0036	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007503	-0.43%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0045	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008208	-0.93%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0583	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008164	-0.87%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0679	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008275	-0.90%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1099	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.0081	-0.79%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0328	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008239	-0.85%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0004	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.00776	-0.57%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0164	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007984	-0.82%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0810	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008236	-1.01%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0184	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.00825	-1.02%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0288	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008069	-0.62%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0206	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008053	-0.71%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0041	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008368	-0.86%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0265	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009043	-1.27%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1428	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008345	-0.71%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0468	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008535	-0.70%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0713	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.00907	-1.20%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1143	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010186	-1.97%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1960	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010659	-2.30%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2761	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010787	-2.56%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2578	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010405	-2.48%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1560	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010726	-2.67%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2757	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.01156	-3.42%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3474	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01085	-2.86%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2688	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011056	-3.28%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1434	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010429	-2.76%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0382	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010467	-2.91%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0078	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009892	-1.96%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0258	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010224	-2.07%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0386	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010105	-1.89%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1862	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011016	-2.73%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010958	-2.51%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.1032	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010512	-1.67%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0814	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011016	-2.08%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0475	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010535	-1.08%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010424	-0.39%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011594	-1.91%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.01133	-1.39%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0459	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011872	-1.89%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012283	-2.13%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012244	-1.85%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0814	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.01257	-1.76%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1648	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012756	-1.57%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1871	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012465	-0.28%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014753	-2.62%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3118	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013881	-1.62%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1870	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014293	-1.63%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1673	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014756	-1.36%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2251	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013615	-0.33%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.1024	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016439	-2.61%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2340	✓	1.00