BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1147
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0130
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0766 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0185 | -1.21% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0374 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9431 | -1.18% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0703 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3811 | -1.41% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1946 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4005 | -1.55% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0178 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9015 | -1.37% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2464 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7937 | -1.26% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0607 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3365 | -1.84% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2421 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0451 | -2.07% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1272 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7212 | -1.62% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2176 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6018 | -1.47% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0541 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5628 | -1.35% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0530 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5533 | -1.39% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0262 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.376 | -1.21% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1510 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2829 | -1.13% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0534 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2003 | -1.09% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2193 | -1.16% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2306 | -1.22% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0111 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0282 | -0.91% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2285 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3633 | -1.32% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2680 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3988 | -1.38% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0196 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.311 | -1.35% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1068 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3684 | -1.46% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0311 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1041 | -1.35% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2334 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.204 | -1.37% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0967 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.988639 | -1.29% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2119 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2912 | -1.83% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2467 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.941139 | -1.39% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3284 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0217 | -1.55% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0680 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.885143 | -1.41% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1804 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.787993 | -1.59% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.736276 | -1.44% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.585372 | -0.83% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2448 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.623995 | -0.98% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.711399 | -1.18% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.74049 | -1.29% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.695757 | -1.32% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.575405 | -1.23% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.720054 | -1.96% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.544302 | -1.09% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3056 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.503642 | -1.01% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0879 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.494561 | -1.10% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.447181 | -0.87% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1343 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.433991 | -0.86% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0408 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.446893 | -0.92% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.443591 | -0.85% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.448068 | -0.91% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.451941 | -1.01% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.448984 | -1.19% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.483603 | -1.22% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1122 | ✓ | 1.00 |