AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0654

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0176

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019005	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019214	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02012	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.018973	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020026	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021529	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.01989	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018234	-2.21%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0495	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.01894	-2.25%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0413	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018446	-1.97%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1129	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020215	-2.17%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0168	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021919	-2.45%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0435	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019706	-1.19%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1321	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019743	-0.95%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0339	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022022	-1.40%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1455	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021495	-1.17%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0716	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022223	-1.30%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1133	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.02255	-1.46%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0506	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.0225	-1.46%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0233	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022435	-1.54%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0913	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022592	-1.57%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0825	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023248	-1.67%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0362	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.02224	-1.30%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0486	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021618	-1.05%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0089	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024492	-1.73%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0935	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025024	-1.92%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0957	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024336	-1.83%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0707	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023688	-1.70%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0370	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022907	-1.60%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024132	-1.92%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0384	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022904	-1.80%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020774	-1.72%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1423	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020957	-1.93%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1583	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.02116	-2.04%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1193	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019999	-2.03%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0863	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02015	-2.07%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020842	-2.17%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020036	-1.99%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0496	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019867	-1.95%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021082	-2.26%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.0201	-1.70%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018385	-1.35%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1071	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019764	-1.77%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020115	-1.89%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020386	-1.87%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020256	-1.68%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0454	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020261	-1.60%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0953	✗	1.00