AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0406

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019351	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01957	-0.62%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0014	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02052	-0.77%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0567	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019322	-0.63%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0703	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020404	-0.69%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0573	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021971	-0.91%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0653	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020337	-1.00%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0958	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018544	-0.55%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0942	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019269	-0.55%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0106	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018728	-0.47%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0146	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020539	-0.60%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0620	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022311	-0.71%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0872	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019887	-0.29%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1172	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019887	-0.23%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0087	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.02225	-0.38%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0906	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021679	-0.33%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0597	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022429	-0.38%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0280	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022782	-0.45%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0020	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022735	-0.43%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0167	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022681	-0.46%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0036	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.02285	-0.45%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0018	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02353	-0.47%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0427	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022451	-0.36%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0528	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021783	-0.30%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0313	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024793	-0.52%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1136	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025363	-0.59%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0181	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.02465	-0.56%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023973	-0.52%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0370	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023165	-0.49%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0394	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024457	-0.59%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023192	-0.56%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021028	-0.52%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021252	-0.55%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021481	-0.55%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020307	-0.52%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020469	-0.52%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021185	-0.56%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020333	-0.54%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020148	-0.56%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021415	-0.72%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020356	-0.45%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018574	-0.34%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020028	-0.46%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020406	-0.48%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020679	-0.46%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020516	-0.42%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020505	-0.42%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0016	✓	1.00