ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s5
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 339
Track record at +30d
assessed
83
of 113 predictions shown
direction hit
47.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3729
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0739
actual +0.0949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2285 | 0.205085 | -10.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.206576 | -10.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.203594 | -10.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.208345 | -10.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.212692 | -10.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.215591 | -9.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.208351 | -9.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.219503 | -9.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.22951 | -8.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.229266 | -8.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.256782 | -8.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.253082 | -9.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.233591 | -8.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.238874 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.2464 | -9.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.244497 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.262741 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.246336 | -10.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.252649 | -10.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.260269 | -10.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.255423 | -10.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.250955 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.244252 | -9.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.233845 | -9.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.225732 | -10.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.204061 | -9.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.224491 | -9.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.227491 | -9.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.209111 | -9.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.20147 | -9.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.182798 | -8.85% | 0.2285 | +13.94% | 0.2613 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.178425 | -9.27% | 0.23045 | +17.19% | 0.2386 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.176529 | -9.22% | 0.22725 | +16.87% | 0.2467 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.173527 | -9.34% | 0.23265 | +21.55% | 0.2821 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.157674 | -8.91% | 0.23705 | +36.94% | 0.3637 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.154344 | -8.83% | 0.23935 | +41.38% | 0.3919 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.148204 | -8.69% | 0.2303 | +41.90% | 0.3843 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.149014 | -8.21% | 0.2421 | +49.12% | 0.4548 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.14124 | -8.14% | 0.25125 | +63.41% | 0.5214 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.142133 | -8.03% | 0.2508 | +62.28% | 0.5287 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.129313 | -7.04% | 0.2821 | +102.80% | 0.7236 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.125571 | -6.81% | 0.2784 | +106.60% | 0.7408 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.137984 | -6.32% | 0.25605 | +73.83% | 0.5843 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.142578 | -6.44% | 0.26245 | +72.21% | 0.5843 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.138091 | -5.38% | 0.27185 | +86.26% | 0.6434 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.135688 | -3.97% | 0.27005 | +91.12% | 0.6448 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.127258 | -3.67% | 0.2923 | +121.27% | 0.7826 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.131672 | -3.40% | 0.2751 | +101.83% | 0.6806 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.126541 | -1.91% | 0.2819 | +118.53% | 0.7696 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.12052 | -4.58% | 0.2895 | +129.22% | 0.8093 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.118499 | -3.82% | 0.284 | +130.52% | 0.8044 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.125491 | -2.61% | 0.2786 | +116.22% | 0.7516 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.115785 | -3.07% | 0.27045 | +126.41% | 0.7951 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.120247 | -2.36% | 0.25885 | +110.19% | 0.7205 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.118627 | -2.53% | 0.2513 | +106.49% | 0.6924 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.132453 | +0.34% | 0.2266 | +71.67% | 0.5041 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.127923 | -0.99% | 0.2494 | +93.03% | 0.6279 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.12854 | -1.62% | 0.2518 | +92.73% | 0.6264 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133142 | -0.31% | 0.2311 | +73.04% | 0.5092 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.138589 | -5.40% | 0.2222 | +51.67% | 0.4013 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.119949 | -3.50% | 0.20055 | +61.34% | 0.4387 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.127242 | -1.67% | 0.19665 | +51.97% | 0.4128 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.108836 | -6.98% | 0.19445 | +66.20% | 0.5396 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.10676 | -8.20% | 0.1914 | +64.57% | 0.5263 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.104304 | -8.02% | 0.1731 | +52.65% | 0.4601 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.103991 | -7.81% | 0.1693 | +50.09% | 0.4416 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.101774 | -7.23% | 0.1623 | +47.95% | 0.4318 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.100154 | -6.88% | 0.16235 | +50.95% | 0.4404 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.103429 | -7.03% | 0.15375 | +38.20% | 0.3569 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.103713 | -6.90% | 0.15455 | +38.73% | 0.3574 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.106357 | -6.95% | 0.1391 | +21.70% | 0.2269 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.110308 | -7.19% | 0.13475 | +13.38% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.116905 | -7.88% | 0.1473 | +16.08% | 0.1938 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.116948 | -7.62% | 0.1524 | +20.38% | 0.2241 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.120169 | -7.67% | 0.14595 | +12.14% | 0.1523 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.128465 | -8.60% | 0.1413 | +0.53% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.132776 | -9.12% | 0.1321 | -9.58% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.135891 | -9.56% | 0.1363 | -9.28% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.129925 | -8.34% | 0.129 | -8.99% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.134649 | -8.96% | 0.1263 | -14.60% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.137946 | -9.48% | 0.1232 | -19.16% | 0.1515 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.144703 | -10.82% | 0.12885 | -20.59% | 0.1717 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.141969 | -10.17% | 0.11945 | -24.42% | 0.2257 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.138823 | -9.62% | 0.12315 | -19.82% | 0.1970 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.14064 | -9.85% | 0.1217 | -21.99% | 0.2257 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.138333 | -9.41% | 0.132 | -13.56% | 0.1402 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.136597 | -9.06% | 0.1292 | -13.98% | 0.1417 | ✓ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.14415 | -9.91% | 0.13065 | -18.34% | 0.1543 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.157783 | -12.10% | 0.13355 | -25.60% | 0.2665 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.152875 | -10.86% | 0.1465 | -14.58% | 0.1320 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.154295 | -10.58% | 0.1243 | -27.96% | 0.3002 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.151577 | -9.80% | 0.1294 | -23.00% | 0.2603 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.139193 | -8.18% | 0.117 | -22.82% | 0.2669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.141694 | -8.26% | 0.1163 | -24.70% | 0.2583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.136493 | -7.59% | 0.1134 | -23.22% | 0.1853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.139831 | -7.52% | 0.1128 | -25.40% | 0.2099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.149595 | -7.94% | 0.1097 | -32.49% | 0.2935 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.149722 | -7.69% | 0.10755 | -33.69% | 0.3190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.15056 | -7.43% | 0.11125 | -31.60% | 0.2753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.153457 | -7.30% | 0.1114 | -32.71% | 0.2959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.159252 | -7.73% | 0.1143 | -33.78% | 0.3499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.155608 | -7.32% | 0.11885 | -29.21% | 0.2662 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.167285 | -7.78% | 0.1269 | -30.04% | 0.2785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.164681 | -7.64% | 0.1266 | -29.00% | 0.2741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.165559 | -7.59% | 0.13015 | -27.35% | 0.2677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.167372 | -7.40% | 0.14055 | -22.24% | 0.2164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.181391 | -7.64% | 0.1461 | -25.61% | 0.2312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.201296 | -7.83% | 0.15025 | -31.20% | 0.3018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.218635 | -8.44% | 0.14175 | -40.64% | 0.4407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.190703 | -7.52% | 0.1479 | -28.27% | 0.2602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.198222 | -7.59% | 0.1524 | -28.95% | 0.2784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.208237 | -7.70% | 0.16225 | -28.08% | 0.2701 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.206136 | -7.48% | 0.15805 | -29.06% | 0.3123 | ✓ | 1.00 |