ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s5
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 339
Track record at +1d
assessed
112
of 113 predictions shown
direction hit
50.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0431
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0057
actual -0.0016
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2285 | 0.227178 | -0.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.228981 | -0.64% | 0.2285 | -0.85% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.225933 | -0.58% | 0.23045 | +1.41% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.231137 | -0.65% | 0.22725 | -2.32% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.235554 | -0.63% | 0.23265 | -1.86% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.237902 | -0.60% | 0.23705 | -0.96% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.229235 | -0.46% | 0.23935 | +3.93% | 0.0480 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.240784 | -0.54% | 0.2303 | -4.87% | 0.0489 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.249673 | -0.63% | 0.2421 | -3.64% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.249396 | -0.56% | 0.25125 | +0.18% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.279776 | -0.82% | 0.2508 | -11.10% | 0.0983 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.276154 | -0.81% | 0.2821 | +1.33% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.254534 | -0.59% | 0.2784 | +8.73% | 0.0876 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.260712 | -0.66% | 0.25605 | -2.44% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.269591 | -0.83% | 0.26245 | -3.46% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.267651 | -0.89% | 0.27185 | +0.67% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.289098 | -1.10% | 0.27005 | -7.61% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.272087 | -1.10% | 0.2923 | +6.25% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.2789 | -1.06% | 0.2751 | -2.41% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.286477 | -1.04% | 0.2819 | -2.63% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.281003 | -1.06% | 0.2895 | +1.94% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.275691 | -1.04% | 0.284 | +1.94% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.267595 | -1.06% | 0.2786 | +3.01% | 0.0408 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.255983 | -1.11% | 0.27045 | +4.48% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.2481 | -1.27% | 0.25885 | +3.00% | 0.0491 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.22443 | -0.96% | 0.2513 | +10.90% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.246712 | -1.08% | 0.2266 | -9.14% | 0.0874 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.248996 | -1.11% | 0.2494 | -0.95% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.228649 | -1.06% | 0.2518 | +8.96% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.219732 | -1.11% | 0.2311 | +4.01% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.198546 | -1.00% | 0.2222 | +10.80% | 0.1164 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.194662 | -1.01% | 0.20055 | +1.98% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.192355 | -1.08% | 0.19665 | +1.13% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.189281 | -1.11% | 0.19445 | +1.59% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.171641 | -0.84% | 0.1914 | +10.57% | 0.0692 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.16788 | -0.84% | 0.1731 | +2.24% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.161049 | -0.77% | 0.1693 | +4.31% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.16111 | -0.76% | 0.1623 | -0.03% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.152643 | -0.72% | 0.16235 | +5.59% | 0.0494 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153393 | -0.75% | 0.15375 | -0.52% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.138272 | -0.60% | 0.15455 | +11.11% | 0.1108 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.133958 | -0.59% | 0.1391 | +3.23% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.146334 | -0.66% | 0.13475 | -8.52% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151176 | -0.80% | 0.1473 | -3.35% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.14507 | -0.60% | 0.1524 | +4.42% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.140721 | -0.41% | 0.14595 | +3.29% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.131739 | -0.27% | 0.1413 | +6.96% | 0.0657 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.135934 | -0.27% | 0.1321 | -3.08% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.128853 | -0.11% | 0.1363 | +5.66% | 0.0710 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.125925 | -0.30% | 0.129 | +2.14% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.122954 | -0.20% | 0.1263 | +2.52% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.128672 | -0.14% | 0.1232 | -4.38% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.119299 | -0.13% | 0.12885 | +7.87% | 0.0688 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.123025 | -0.10% | 0.11945 | -3.00% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.121554 | -0.12% | 0.12315 | +1.19% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.132016 | +0.01% | 0.1217 | -7.80% | 0.0612 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.129098 | -0.08% | 0.132 | +2.17% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.130423 | -0.17% | 0.1292 | -1.11% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133341 | -0.16% | 0.13065 | -2.17% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.145369 | -0.77% | 0.13355 | -8.84% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.123739 | -0.45% | 0.1465 | +17.86% | 0.1632 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.128958 | -0.34% | 0.1243 | -3.94% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.116141 | -0.73% | 0.1294 | +10.60% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.115415 | -0.76% | 0.117 | +0.60% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.112737 | -0.58% | 0.1163 | +2.56% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.112211 | -0.52% | 0.1134 | +0.53% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.109289 | -0.37% | 0.1128 | +2.83% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.107228 | -0.30% | 0.1097 | +2.00% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.11092 | -0.30% | 0.10755 | -3.33% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.11111 | -0.26% | 0.11125 | -0.13% | 0.0028 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.11402 | -0.24% | 0.1114 | -2.54% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.118539 | -0.26% | 0.1143 | -3.83% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.12646 | -0.35% | 0.11885 | -6.34% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.126207 | -0.31% | 0.1269 | +0.24% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129762 | -0.30% | 0.1266 | -2.73% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.139991 | -0.40% | 0.13015 | -7.40% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.145446 | -0.45% | 0.14055 | -3.80% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.149466 | -0.52% | 0.1461 | -2.76% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.141238 | -0.36% | 0.15025 | +6.00% | 0.0604 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.147263 | -0.43% | 0.14175 | -4.16% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151636 | -0.50% | 0.1479 | -2.95% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.161188 | -0.65% | 0.1524 | -6.07% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.157135 | -0.58% | 0.16225 | +2.66% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.152727 | -0.57% | 0.15805 | +2.90% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.155112 | -0.57% | 0.1536 | -1.54% | 0.0151 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.151931 | -0.50% | 0.156 | +2.16% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.149552 | -0.43% | 0.1527 | +1.66% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.159017 | -0.61% | 0.1502 | -6.12% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.177856 | -0.92% | 0.16 | -10.86% | 0.1136 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.170295 | -0.70% | 0.1795 | +4.66% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.171337 | -0.70% | 0.1715 | -0.61% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.166999 | -0.63% | 0.17255 | +2.68% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.151059 | -0.36% | 0.16805 | +10.85% | 0.1131 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.153942 | -0.33% | 0.1516 | -1.85% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.147389 | -0.21% | 0.15445 | +4.57% | 0.0386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.150877 | -0.21% | 0.1477 | -2.31% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.162036 | -0.29% | 0.1512 | -6.95% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161779 | -0.26% | 0.1625 | +0.18% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.162218 | -0.27% | 0.1622 | -0.28% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.16506 | -0.30% | 0.16265 | -1.75% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.172077 | -0.30% | 0.16555 | -4.08% | 0.0815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.167388 | -0.30% | 0.1726 | +2.80% | 0.0541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.180563 | -0.46% | 0.1679 | -7.44% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.177508 | -0.44% | 0.1814 | +1.74% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.178485 | -0.37% | 0.1783 | -0.47% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.180255 | -0.27% | 0.17915 | -0.89% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.195544 | -0.44% | 0.18075 | -7.97% | 0.0614 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.217092 | -0.60% | 0.1964 | -10.07% | 0.0895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.237005 | -0.75% | 0.2184 | -8.54% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.205412 | -0.38% | 0.2388 | +15.81% | 0.1428 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.213643 | -0.40% | 0.2062 | -3.87% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224691 | -0.40% | 0.2145 | -4.92% | 0.0631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.222152 | -0.29% | 0.2256 | +1.26% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |