ARK

ARK · native · lstm_s5

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0564

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0203

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.180252	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.183366	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.172131	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.171397	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.166547	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.169833	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.174892	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.176731	-2.97%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0170	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.175764	-3.03%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0347	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.183994	-3.55%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0512	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.182807	-3.18%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0505	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.198368	-4.15%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1427	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.20515	-3.61%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1534	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.206926	-3.56%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1317	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.212686	-5.32%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1595	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.202774	-5.47%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.0938	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.200895	-3.74%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0249	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.209357	-4.07%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0590	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.215499	-3.83%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0095	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.22026	-4.73%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0134	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.201668	-4.72%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0844	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.230421	-5.26%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0096	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.244857	-6.03%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1291	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.241415	-3.90%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1672	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.227588	-4.64%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0667	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.238798	-3.46%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0850	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.248044	-4.81%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0738	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.240121	-5.59%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1306	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.185112	-4.24%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2678	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.153719	-3.16%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5372	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.151194	-4.31%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5375	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.146714	-4.73%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5230	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146821	-3.25%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4785	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.148008	-3.54%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5244	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.137668	-3.22%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5717	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.132985	-2.99%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2615	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.14407	-3.80%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0180	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.139808	-3.69%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0263	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.160991	-4.50%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1473	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.131942	-4.22%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0896	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.129178	-2.82%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1259	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.110687	-3.42%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.2076	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.107059	-2.72%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2495	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.115228	-2.05%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2869	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.114	-2.00%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2744	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.11228	-1.93%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.4167	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.115325	-2.10%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.2170	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.114974	-2.23%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1736	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.114826	-2.35%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0255	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.111948	-1.72%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0375	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.107678	-2.03%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0770	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.106831	-1.98%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0727	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.107963	-1.99%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0526	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.10718	-1.94%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0637	✗	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.109343	-1.97%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0552	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.110269	-1.94%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0441	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.11262	-1.50%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.110539	-1.80%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0136	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.105525	-1.19%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0450	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.106006	-1.11%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0431	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.106255	-1.96%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0290	✗	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.10619	-2.13%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0356	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.105264	-1.54%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0717	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.094545	-2.56%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.1109	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.089439	-2.72%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1228	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.084437	-1.84%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0844	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085291	-2.50%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0698	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086556	-1.60%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0526	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.087934	-1.88%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0479	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.086549	-2.09%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0347	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.087896	-2.39%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0154	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087078	-2.48%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0193	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.088359	-3.16%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0416	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.090406	-2.29%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0402	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.091498	-2.10%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0128	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.091853	-2.84%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0003	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.091446	-2.97%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0087	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.09241	-2.35%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0148	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.091663	-1.46%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0104	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092104	-1.37%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0026	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093531	-1.31%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0168	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091861	-1.13%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0008	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091685	-0.97%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0023	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092918	-0.90%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0131	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093598	-0.87%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0171	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092222	-0.71%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0006	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.09594	-0.74%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0297	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096921	-0.72%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0193	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.103204	-1.00%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0829	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.102626	-0.94%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0840	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101089	-0.89%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0597	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.102406	-1.02%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0772	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.103901	-1.17%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0857	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.104182	-1.28%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0428	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101584	-1.24%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0221	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.101308	-1.34%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0210	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.103788	-1.56%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0041	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.102399	-1.62%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0062	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102609	-1.65%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0074	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.104533	-2.21%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0107	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.106321	-1.32%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0258	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103623	-1.30%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0446	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.10534	-1.55%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0374	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105965	-1.70%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106493	-1.76%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0198	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103671	-2.19%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0012	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.103071	-1.14%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105339	-1.40%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.108916	-1.67%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0151	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.108783	-1.75%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0185	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.109714	-1.80%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0261	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.109891	-1.88%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0335	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.107118	-1.91%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0314	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103378	-2.40%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0198	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.110749	-1.51%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.1020	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.108632	-1.61%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0366	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110406	-2.16%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0310	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.10596	-0.82%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0210	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103429	-0.68%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0298	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105769	-0.77%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0154	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.107611	-0.91%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.1009	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109916	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.111333	-1.36%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0433	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114689	-1.59%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0424	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.11225	-1.51%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0014	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.113393	-2.04%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0403	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119796	-1.23%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0701	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.122281	-1.47%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0796	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122965	-1.58%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0695	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122267	-1.87%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0469	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120186	-1.08%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0279	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118398	-1.05%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0372	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.11997	-1.19%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0260	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.118556	-1.37%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0212	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.113369	-1.55%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0330	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.139048	-3.06%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1096	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144242	-2.82%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1578	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.154558	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.1521	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.149061	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.145637	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.145091	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.149074	-1.28%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0791	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.151666	-1.75%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0801	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.156747	-1.47%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0710	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.157276	-0.54%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0326	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.161877	-0.75%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0335	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157226	-0.64%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0311	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.161993	-1.08%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0551	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.158288	-1.12%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0137	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.156036	-1.37%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.16018	-1.82%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0100	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.159225	-1.98%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0024	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.162429	-2.66%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0192	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.166283	-2.46%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0110	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.175182	-1.64%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0311	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.172786	-2.05%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0564	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.180272	-1.28%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0906	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.185906	-1.72%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0803	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.184764	-1.67%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0795	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.175091	-2.18%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0064	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.176249	-2.19%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0253	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.172756	-2.68%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0613	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.170504	-2.57%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0784	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.172611	-2.91%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0352	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.168312	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.169718	-2.28%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0009	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.171316	-2.42%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0296	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.176061	-3.21%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0569	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.168714	-1.85%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.173276	-1.87%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0274	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.170413	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.169578	-1.66%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0120	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.169166	-1.47%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0551	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.169926	-1.56%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0685	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.170815	-1.69%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0633	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.168905	-1.69%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0047	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164296	-1.53%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.171227	-1.82%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0134	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.175041	-2.14%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0202	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.172146	-2.17%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0479	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.169096	-1.96%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0284	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.165521	-1.83%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0165	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.167442	-1.94%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0048	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.159958	-2.34%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0058	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.16583	-1.59%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0101	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.16755	-1.82%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0036	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166223	-1.95%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0051	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165124	-2.05%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0147	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.167605	-2.02%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0292	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.161513	-2.73%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0321	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161667	-2.64%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0151	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162524	-1.68%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0573	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.164012	-1.67%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0581	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.158065	-1.75%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0098	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164614	-1.14%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0247	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161078	-1.03%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0004	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159729	-0.93%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0032	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.156177	-0.80%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0101	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159941	-0.94%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0165	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160322	-1.03%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0293	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.164311	-1.34%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0105	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.169996	-1.68%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0316	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.168406	-1.78%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0040	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168231	-1.87%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0263	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161065	-1.89%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0096	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.167674	-1.80%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0061	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.172464	-2.02%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0065	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.172435	-2.06%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0159	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.173974	-2.78%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0071	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.183605	-2.93%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0144	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.184751	-1.99%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0113	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.171775	-1.77%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0347	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.1676	-1.74%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0560	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169677	-1.74%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0439	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.17044	-2.31%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0423	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.167889	-1.31%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0473	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.164084	-1.15%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0801	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162143	-1.09%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0492	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.162201	-0.49%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0381	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163128	-0.56%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0213	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168615	-0.75%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0227	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.1701	-0.96%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0312	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.172542	-1.20%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0254	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.170259	-1.12%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0533	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.169738	-1.27%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0279	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.169391	-1.14%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0421	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.17323	-1.20%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0596	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.172708	-1.07%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0569	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.177075	-1.10%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0899	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.179073	-0.92%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1058	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.170294	-0.15%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0680	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.172184	-0.08%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0775	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179534	-0.51%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0132	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184488	-0.71%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0332	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.182885	-0.81%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0079	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.180773	-0.91%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0190	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.179685	-1.12%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0227	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.18619	-1.61%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0262	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187745	-1.91%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0099	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185292	-2.45%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0059	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.201069	-1.88%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0476	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196719	-1.97%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0505	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.182268	-1.57%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.17779	-2.09%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0321	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.182161	-1.51%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0604	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.178474	-1.99%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0904	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.177372	-2.30%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0925	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.180108	-3.00%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1203	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.180158	-2.62%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1358	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.158343	-1.04%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0978	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.200383	-1.41%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0228	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.204986	-1.56%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0211	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.212492	-2.10%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0553	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.208151	-1.02%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0594	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.219738	+0.08%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0502	✗	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.234771	-0.14%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0768	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.237839	-0.00%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1221	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.254381	-0.61%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0473	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.258614	-0.64%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0702	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.257967	-0.49%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0713	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.249268	-0.03%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0668	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.257009	-0.34%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0497	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.256349	-0.23%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0328	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.258821	-0.11%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0349	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.261929	-0.24%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0143	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.261542	-0.49%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0356	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.271322	-0.93%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0114	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.28431	-1.60%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0377	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.281101	-1.98%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0301	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.280479	-2.52%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0185	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.287878	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.287074	-3.14%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0166	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.265763	-3.49%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0245	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.272857	-3.38%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0241	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.280056	-3.24%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0165	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.280536	-3.17%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.280769	-3.48%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0240	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.282949	-3.44%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0239	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.274165	-3.33%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0562	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.270893	-3.31%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0520	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.263638	-3.06%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0964	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.267506	-2.98%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0722	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.255038	-2.83%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1006	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.251022	-2.67%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1038	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.257187	-2.58%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0267	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.25811	-2.57%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0075	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.255955	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.258857	-1.04%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0124	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.248059	-0.79%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0706	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.248847	-0.69%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0324	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.255734	-0.92%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0099	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.255336	-1.01%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0203	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.25695	-1.24%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0500	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.250908	-1.24%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0514	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.254833	-1.36%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0332	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.250905	-1.35%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0073	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.24191	-0.40%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0117	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.252161	-0.62%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0042	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.260315	-0.83%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0034	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.263637	-0.95%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0425	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.273521	-0.36%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0801	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.281357	-0.55%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0598	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.278714	-0.48%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0627	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.284657	-0.62%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0646	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.289721	-0.88%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0551	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.290109	-1.07%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0366	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.2818	-1.08%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.283182	-1.34%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0018	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.285831	-1.56%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0234	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.291521	-1.68%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0525	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.287206	-1.76%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0087	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.287235	-2.03%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0363	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.280508	-2.27%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0259	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.269126	-3.10%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0069	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.290499	-2.18%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0124	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.301077	-3.01%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0143	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.278681	-2.66%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0839	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.278125	-1.70%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0391	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.269631	-1.65%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0428	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.269046	-1.62%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0067	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.271325	-1.65%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0529	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.265928	-1.97%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0575	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.257327	-0.58%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0938	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.259918	-0.60%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0080	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.267201	-0.71%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0140	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.274199	-1.19%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0154	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.281878	-1.69%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0583	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.282512	-2.30%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0382	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.281156	-2.75%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0837	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.285805	-3.24%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0780	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.285418	-3.42%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0674	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.289948	-3.37%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1465	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.303811	-3.00%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0743	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.311419	-3.39%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0781	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.303485	-2.69%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1767	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.300515	-3.14%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1190	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.277219	-2.90%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.1041	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.267723	-2.29%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1904	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263033	-1.05%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1799	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.275603	-1.27%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1323	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.313951	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.315547	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.305679	-1.35%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.1050	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.304999	-1.14%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0367	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.315044	-1.33%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0521	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.315229	-1.24%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0037	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.324416	-1.18%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0439	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.335535	-1.31%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0047	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.326788	-1.49%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0033	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.322119	-1.65%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0174	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.320375	-1.62%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0115	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.310917	-1.48%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0092	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.317205	-1.54%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0591	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.32655	-1.69%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0440	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.322017	-1.70%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0269	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.31624	-1.74%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0151	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.315111	-1.90%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0263	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.330095	-2.20%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0405	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.343724	-2.42%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0408	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.353348	-2.48%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0280	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.372949	-2.75%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0537	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.378317	-1.83%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0601	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.346013	-1.83%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0265	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.350211	-0.97%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0048	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.422363	-1.60%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.1011	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.429644	-1.91%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0867	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.429962	-2.27%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.0996	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.440476	-2.68%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.429719	-2.59%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.429623	-3.11%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.0964	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.440539	-2.39%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1389	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.44152	-2.51%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0375	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.422792	-2.45%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0006	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.41407	-2.39%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0017	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.406068	-2.54%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0155	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.411395	-2.74%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0374	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.403656	-2.85%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0316	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.405304	-3.55%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0165	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.396396	-2.96%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0188	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.424245	-2.49%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0286	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.431054	-2.49%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0362	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.407621	-3.08%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0058	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.4405	-2.41%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0112	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.449807	-2.67%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0189	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.440318	-2.82%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0129	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.456688	-3.16%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0310	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.452402	-3.07%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0079	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.441812	-3.58%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0486	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.446146	-2.91%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0323	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.477214	-3.56%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0553	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.440974	-3.41%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0492	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.43649	-3.72%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0417	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.442562	-2.86%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0471	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.44018	-2.68%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0322	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.437252	-2.64%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0107	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.437508	-2.94%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0128	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.418019	-2.77%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1230	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.414228	-2.87%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0372	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.411043	-4.01%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0413	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.