ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s5
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
81.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2915
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008722 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008692 | -3.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007291 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006907 | +0.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005841 | +2.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006985 | +1.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007761 | +1.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008739 | +0.45% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008747 | +1.12% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007681 | +2.21% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008851 | +1.85% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2563 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011036 | -0.58% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010708 | +0.45% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012429 | -1.20% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013365 | -1.73% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013759 | -1.79% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.01335 | -1.48% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013755 | -1.47% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014121 | -1.36% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013233 | -0.73% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015277 | -1.38% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014099 | -0.95% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013938 | -0.72% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014547 | -0.91% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0935 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018924 | -1.39% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3313 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021155 | -1.60% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023499 | -2.17% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5708 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024121 | -2.56% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4478 | ✓ | 1.00 |