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2022-03-01 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0710
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.5%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4478.6747-8.18%7.832-17.10%0.0919✗1.421.9M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004463-5.24%0.00376-20.17%0.0531✓1.649.6M2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.699-4.88%5.243-35.22%0.3173✓0.492.9M2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.723565-4.57%0.6773-10.67%0.1251✗1.392.5M2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 289.7285.6833-4.50%85.48-4.73%0.1942✗1.434.8M2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.403464-4.35%0.3413-19.08%0.0580✗1.6414.7M2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.277.9229-4.20%7.88-4.72%0.1203✗0.92461k2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.06757-3.88%0.0566-19.49%0.0647✗1.7676.7M2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.4836-3.45%3.0589+18.91%0.3296✗0.882.7M2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6482-3.15%1.3396-21.28%0.0338✓1.27278k2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7828-3.11%1.54-16.30%0.0192✓1.21452k2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1001-2.91%3.365+5.39%0.2124✗0.95741k2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.2959-2.71%27.87-10.50%0.0733✗1.1450.3M2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,203.17-2.54%19,352.13-11.05%0.0429✗0.985.9M2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.6546-2.43%5.71-16.28%0.0407✗1.41942k2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.03343-2.42%0.03821+11.53%0.2569✗0.901.2M2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012189-2.41%0.011366-9.00%0.0716✗1.0315k2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.751-2.41%12.75-9.51%0.0743✗1.09331k2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.4862-2.35%2.035-20.07%0.0000✓1.4613.6M2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.94-2.32%1.8748-5.61%0.1084✗1.0475k2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3529.6677-2.25%26.77-11.80%0.0448✗1.085.2M2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1955.9155-2.23%46.4-18.87%0.0089✓1.306.7M2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.158003-2.17%0.1485-8.05%0.0785✗1.03446k2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.336-2.14%1.1917-12.71%0.0724✗1.362.8M2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.120383-2.13%0.1-18.70%0.1109✓0.5444k2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.311418-2.07%0.27-15.09%0.0362✗1.312.2M2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.764137-2.03%0.6-23.08%0.0070✓1.711.0M2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.528439-2.03%0.4042-25.06%0.0073✓2.012.1M2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9496-2.03%1.69-15.08%0.0389✗1.332.0M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.4722-2.01%16.34+3.48%0.1516✗0.712.2M2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.071445-2.00%0.07059-3.17%0.1262✗1.0112k2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.133497-1.98%0.1137-16.52%0.0159✓1.293.1M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.2561-1.96%28.1-8.94%0.0533✗0.931.5M2022-03-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5296-1.95%2.19-15.12%0.0071✓1.00488k2022-03-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-75.99e-7-1.93%0.000001432+134.40%1.0084✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000026606-1.93%0.0000229-15.59%0.0215✗1.253.9M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2144-1.93%2.0561-8.94%0.0234✗0.7126k2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.102786-1.92%0.0836-20.23%0.0016✓1.50613k2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.9672-1.92%13.87-9.11%0.1266✗1.482.4M2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.5796-1.91%18.04-14.01%0.0214✗1.129.1M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.565553-1.90%0.5126-11.08%0.0265✗0.91642k2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2656-1.89%1.17-9.30%0.0645✗1.04885k2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.7759-1.88%1.824+0.77%0.1442✗0.8676k2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.2545.4043-1.83%40.57-12.28%0.0340✗1.0722.8M2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2037-1.79%3.8173-10.82%0.0600✗1.14244k2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4292-1.79%3.0102-13.79%0.0454✗1.282.1M2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.8867-1.79%1.6748-12.82%0.0420✗1.18179k2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0161-1.79%2.668-13.12%0.0009✓0.89218k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5791-1.73%1.338-16.74%0.0323✗1.45863k2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0658-1.73%0.93442-13.85%0.0512✗1.33175k2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.3508-1.73%4.714-13.43%0.0018✓0.9171k2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.291.2677-1.73%1.06-17.83%0.0147✓1.20596k2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0391-1.72%2.9137-5.77%0.0789✗0.882.4M2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.7075-1.69%5.667-16.94%0.0225✗1.3927k2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.821914-1.67%0.734-12.19%0.0855✗1.45270k2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.743106-1.65%0.65836-12.86%0.0667✗1.37206k2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7799-1.65%3.99-17.90%0.0264✗1.51456k2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.047879-1.65%0.04783-1.75%0.1641✗1.20681k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9543,712.17-1.64%38,749.38-12.81%0.0165✓1.00632.3M2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0364-1.63%4.34-15.23%0.0106✓1.01828k2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.158-1.63%3.473-17.84%0.0013✓1.301.8M2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4199-1.63%2.16-12.20%0.0236✗1.00263k2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4138-1.62%2.9-16.43%0.0098✓1.266.8M2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.678-1.61%4.763-17.47%0.0321✓1.05181k2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016294-1.61%0.01098-33.70%0.1869✓1.5212.5M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1099-1.61%3.912-6.34%0.1197✗1.232.3M2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.369316-1.59%0.3352-10.68%0.0893✗1.368.7M2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.6693-1.59%18.57-15.67%0.0428✗1.44328k2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.787641-1.54%0.7047-11.91%0.0384✗1.099.7M2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020136-1.53%0.01691-17.31%0.0256✓1.092.2M2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.075-1.50%2.9495-5.52%0.0783✗0.883.6M2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.5871-1.48%2.467-6.05%0.1345✗1.33584k2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.04877-1.44%0.040538-18.08%0.0386✓1.078.1M2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.163142-1.44%0.14701-11.19%0.0591✗1.1924k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94124.1336-1.43%103-18.22%0.0197✓1.2258k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.865-1.43%5.6406-5.20%0.0030✓0.31433k2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1574-1.42%2.83-11.65%0.0072✓0.85477k2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5595-1.42%1.518-4.05%0.1169✗1.053.4M2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.625-1.41%6.17-8.18%0.0007✓0.511.2M2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.844797-1.41%0.7402-13.62%0.0226✗1.1320.7M2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana98.797.322-1.40%82.35-16.57%0.0054✓1.26131.2M2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.472432-1.37%0.391-18.37%0.0127✓1.294.2M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041302-1.36%0.03904-6.76%0.0796✗0.9929k2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0456-1.36%0.92-13.21%0.0916✓0.27286k2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase39.3438.8079-1.35%39.86+1.32%0.2252✗1.45280k2022-03-08
DASHDashDash100.0198.6786-1.33%96.39-3.62%0.1314✗1.131.5M2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.132208-1.33%0.116967-12.70%0.0064✓0.943.7M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.0854-1.32%16.86-12.82%0.0344✗1.1620.6M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.717258-1.31%0.7371+1.42%0.0746✗0.351.2M2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.518442-1.31%0.4195-20.14%0.0234✓1.37484k2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6886.5362-1.30%78.77-10.16%0.0210✗0.84905k2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.228778-1.30%0.2009-13.33%0.0715✗1.472.6M2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.2062-1.29%8.83-14.60%0.0165✗1.1810.8M2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028478-1.29%0.02495-13.52%0.0262✓0.774.1M2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.027838-1.28%0.0246-12.77%0.0581✗1.33500k2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012074-1.28%0.01218-0.41%0.1102✗0.7413k2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009666-1.27%0.00889-9.19%0.0883✗1.25563k2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65111.2513-1.24%100.75-10.56%0.0542✗1.1229.5M2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.952404-1.23%0.8021-16.82%0.0193✓1.1197.3M2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0226-1.22%0.8637-16.57%0.0057✓1.192.1M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000078004-1.21%0.00006915-12.42%0.0298✗1.104.5M2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8028-1.21%2.3938-15.62%0.0070✓1.203.3M2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.23-1.21%1.006-19.20%0.0553✓1.061.3M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.077677-1.17%0.0696-11.45%0.0691✗1.311.0M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.150514-1.17%0.1326-12.93%0.0152✓0.81294k2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075437-1.17%0.07699+0.86%0.1913✗1.2569k2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum6.75536.6766-1.17%6.5581-2.92%0.0786✗0.702.8M2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011327-1.16%0.01185+3.40%0.2362✗1.392.8M2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415665.6529-1.15%52.05-21.63%0.0427✓1.38223k2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78325.0415-1.14%284.53-13.46%0.0002✓0.977.6M2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.880127-1.11%0.805-9.55%0.0864✗1.282.3M2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2626.9605-1.10%23.39-14.20%0.0467✗1.381.6M2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero177.8175.8621-1.09%203.38+14.39%0.2823✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.6941-1.09%16.97-10.21%0.0697✗1.2129.4M2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2109-1.07%1.132-7.52%0.0964✗1.202.9M2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4409-1.06%5.92-9.06%0.0362✗0.88452k2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,678.63-1.04%38,942.90-11.77%0.0188✗0.9752k2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.302621-1.04%0.2596-15.11%0.0273✗1.32328k2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6003-1.03%1.529-5.44%0.1117✗1.151.8M2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4632-1.03%5.13-7.07%0.0544✗0.86510k2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.5344-1.02%18.038-13.05%0.0065✓0.999.5M2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash119.02117.8072-1.02%138.68+16.52%0.3175✗1.137.2M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.568141-0.95%0.497835-13.21%0.0232✗1.132.8M2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration138.55137.2686-0.92%122.46-11.61%0.0440✗1.15973k2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001972-0.92%0.00000181-9.05%0.0053✓0.6614.0M2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.1581-0.92%72.98-16.08%0.0303✗1.43118.3M2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.010440.010346-0.90%0.01031-1.25%0.1670✗1.241.3M2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.255308-0.89%0.2233-13.32%0.0088✓0.912.0M2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4624-0.88%4.219-6.29%0.0593✗0.84435k2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.096-0.87%121.68-15.11%0.0285✗1.346.8M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,953.14-0.83%2,576.72-13.47%0.0067✓1.04561.7M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3171-0.82%1.274-4.07%0.1460✗1.312.0M2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.2756-0.80%8.61-7.91%0.0919✗1.213.4M2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum119.35118.4206-0.78%111.08-6.93%0.0714✗0.996.4M2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5103-0.77%1.298-14.72%0.0013✓1.12939k2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1633-0.76%1.82-16.51%0.0132✓1.17354k2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6555-0.74%5.7399-14.40%0.0359✗1.34226k2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.061725-0.73%0.060594-2.55%0.0866✗0.77299k2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.396707-0.72%0.3058-23.47%0.0647✓1.431.3M2022-03-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3136-0.70%2.36+1.29%0.1569✗1.00443k2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.2523-0.70%13.09-14.78%0.0088✗1.1852.2M2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.194087-0.67%0.1948-0.31%0.1911✗1.372.8M2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.091623-0.67%0.08944-3.04%0.1211✗1.0643k2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.197737-0.60%0.173136-12.97%0.0133✗1.0720.5M2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0796-0.60%10.15+0.10%0.0977✗0.66928k2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.240725-0.53%0.234-3.31%0.0890✗0.8659k2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.693449-0.51%0.641-8.03%0.0677✗1.072.5M2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022589-0.41%0.016926-25.38%0.1704✓0.86124k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109265-0.40%0.0953-13.13%0.0037✓0.9741k2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3867-0.39%2.146-10.43%0.0185✗0.9123k2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074107-0.26%0.0685-7.81%0.0566✗0.99155k2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.