2022-02-09 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1405

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.10%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.4%

in alpha space · 87.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.6292	-4.72%	5.046	-14.59%	0.0976	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.4897	-4.64%	5.8668	-13.79%	0.0974	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2992	-3.83%	1.2019	-11.04%	0.0661	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.4652	-3.83%	16.75	-7.76%	0.0335	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,392.32	-3.43%	23,690.00	-9.90%	0.0582	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3388	-3.35%	1.6305	+17.71%	0.2153	✗	1.55	107k	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000031878	-3.34%	0.00003095	-6.16%	0.0130	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.3812	-3.20%	2.34	-4.88%	0.0057	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056333	-3.19%	0.056084	-3.62%	0.0097	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6082	-3.19%	4.3	-9.66%	0.0531	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.548976	-3.09%	0.4482	-20.88%	0.1816	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.0228	-3.09%	8.24	-11.49%	0.0866	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.036315	-3.08%	0.028284	-24.52%	0.2348	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0579	-2.95%	1.05	-3.67%	0.0154	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.7718	-2.91%	3.9514	+1.71%	0.0579	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.083502	-2.90%	0.0695	-19.19%	0.1638	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.045667	-2.82%	0.04583	-2.47%	0.0154	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.0016	-2.48%	32.25	-4.70%	0.0105	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1886	-2.46%	2.348	-28.17%	0.2942	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.1976	-2.40%	28.51	-7.85%	0.0444	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.0677	-2.36%	7.454	-9.79%	0.0672	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3969	-2.31%	1.12	-21.68%	0.2050	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.587982	-2.28%	0.602	+0.05%	0.0362	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.801638	-2.26%	0.625	-23.80%	0.2273	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8091	-2.25%	3.6017	-7.57%	0.0430	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.225476	-2.21%	0.17624	-23.57%	0.2276	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9243	-2.21%	2.2822	+15.97%	0.1778	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.3453	-2.20%	4.0382	-9.11%	0.0578	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.7865	-2.14%	3.7402	-3.34%	0.0019	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084879	-2.10%	0.09	+3.81%	0.0749	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.7178	-2.09%	4.9	-16.10%	0.1400	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.07774	-2.09%	0.0757	-4.66%	0.0138	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.1353	-2.08%	8.239	-11.68%	0.0994	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5223	-2.07%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0127	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007288	-2.05%	0.00601	-19.22%	0.1692	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.116	-2.04%	1.952	-9.63%	0.0655	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.959	-2.01%	4.58	+13.37%	0.1496	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0011	-2.01%	0.8933	-12.56%	0.1016	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.7591	-2.00%	6.358	-7.81%	0.0505	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2769	-1.93%	3.2632	-2.35%	0.0072	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.0542	-1.91%	46.38	-3.31%	0.0007	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.4353	-1.85%	3.17	-9.43%	0.0640	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.3334	-1.81%	24.03	-6.86%	0.0343	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.8831	-1.80%	23.08	-5.10%	0.0202	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.140337	-1.79%	0.1562	+9.31%	0.1233	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7293	-1.76%	3.514	-7.43%	0.0492	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2401	-1.75%	2.13	-6.58%	0.0351	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014829	-1.73%	0.01344	-10.93%	0.0808	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.1258	-1.72%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0693	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0308	-1.69%	2.809	-8.89%	0.0601	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.925474	-1.67%	0.83537	-11.24%	0.0850	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016723	-1.67%	0.016969	-0.22%	0.0284	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2694	-1.65%	1.4263	+10.50%	0.1305	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6923	-1.61%	1.55	-9.88%	0.0761	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.3849	-1.58%	28.63	-15.60%	0.1359	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2794	-1.56%	4.8292	-9.96%	0.0747	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.480093	-1.56%	0.4872	-0.10%	0.0302	✗	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023856	-1.56%	0.021773	-10.15%	0.0770	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	56.6714	-1.54%	56.02	-2.68%	0.0050	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	105.4786	-1.49%	95.5515	-10.76%	0.0821	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	138.1265	-1.49%	127.84	-8.82%	0.0620	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000095779	-1.47%	0.00008539	-12.16%	0.1013	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046115	-1.46%	0.04466	-4.57%	0.0189	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.766	-1.45%	22.08	-4.42%	0.0170	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.339	-1.40%	115.33	+0.33%	0.0308	✗	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.673	-1.40%	63.42	-6.21%	0.0357	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.15683	-1.39%	0.148737	-6.48%	0.0409	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.400453	-1.37%	0.373	-8.13%	0.0550	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	20.9829	-1.35%	17.65	-17.02%	0.1526	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.058611	-1.35%	0.05759	-3.06%	0.0007	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9656	-1.34%	6.08	-13.88%	0.1230	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.334	-1.32%	1.1915	-11.86%	0.1008	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0561	-1.30%	0.97	-9.35%	0.0733	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040475	-1.28%	0.03198	-22.00%	0.2224	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.9026	-1.27%	2.65	-9.86%	0.0760	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.751376	-1.25%	0.6989	-8.15%	0.0543	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.2699	-1.21%	94.6	-6.80%	0.0476	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	183.6009	-1.20%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0111	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.184565	-1.20%	0.1747	-6.48%	0.0465	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,886.25	-1.19%	43,895.56	-1.17%	0.0120	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1203	-1.19%	4.87	+16.79%	0.1821	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011907	-1.19%	0.01078	-10.54%	0.0875	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	43,968.69	-1.18%	43,960.80	-1.20%	0.0112	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.3165	-1.17%	15.91	-3.63%	0.0129	✓	1.05	590k	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9308	-1.15%	5.47	-8.83%	0.0716	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	186.0316	-1.15%	170.44	-9.44%	0.0711	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.7977	-1.14%	2.67	-5.65%	0.0348	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	142.5969	-1.13%	136.01	-5.70%	0.0323	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.3093	-1.13%	3.217	-3.88%	0.0188	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.29301	-1.11%	0.2693	-9.11%	0.0716	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.584466	-1.11%	0.539	-8.80%	0.0641	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.303	-1.10%	40.62	-15.07%	0.1342	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.16	-1.09%	1.1125	-5.14%	0.0246	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.3994	-1.08%	7.24	-3.21%	0.0180	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2556	-1.07%	1.86	-18.42%	0.1766	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013099	-1.07%	0.01389	+4.91%	0.0680	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0153	-1.06%	6.07	-0.16%	0.0213	✗	1.04	773k	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0861	-1.04%	0.9602	-12.52%	0.1050	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.969	-1.04%	6.8827	-2.27%	0.0019	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012401	-1.03%	0.01171	-6.54%	0.0413	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002296	-1.02%	0.00000218	-6.03%	0.0402	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.119983	-1.00%	0.1142	-5.78%	0.0371	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.318573	-1.00%	0.285	-11.44%	0.0931	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	124.8085	-0.98%	125.58	-0.37%	0.0210	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4163	-0.96%	1.274	-10.91%	0.0913	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.617383	-0.95%	0.5683	-8.82%	0.0674	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0729	-0.94%	6.52	-8.68%	0.0719	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7559	-0.94%	4.803	+0.04%	0.0197	✗	0.83	346k	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033384	-0.94%	0.0335	-0.59%	0.0212	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1835	-0.93%	1.0833	-9.32%	0.0754	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.5138	-0.92%	20.855	+0.72%	0.0323	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.8096	-0.92%	10.78	-1.19%	0.0056	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.1144	-0.91%	6.76	-5.85%	0.0407	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9799	-0.91%	1.8241	-8.71%	0.0690	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	148.8192	-0.91%	129.55	-13.74%	0.1268	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0278	-0.90%	0.9791	-5.59%	0.0356	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	89.3694	-0.90%	95.39	+5.78%	0.0811	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.122597	-0.89%	0.1052	-14.96%	0.1347	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0765	-0.88%	0.983	-9.48%	0.0747	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.9137	-0.85%	1.81	-6.22%	0.0409	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.700765	-0.84%	0.677091	-4.19%	0.0208	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.7947	-0.80%	19.78	-9.97%	0.0811	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069392	-0.79%	0.066472	-4.96%	0.0324	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8177	-0.78%	1.688	-7.86%	0.0605	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.16653	-0.76%	0.1678	+0.00%	0.0199	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	343.68	-0.73%	334.55	-3.37%	0.0149	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1517	-0.73%	7.8678	+9.21%	0.1125	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	190.8222	-0.73%	166.77	-13.24%	0.1205	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	113.2186	-0.72%	101.94	-10.61%	0.0904	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.107076	-0.72%	0.09789	-9.24%	0.0772	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.316236	-0.71%	0.3067	-3.70%	0.0175	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.2831	-0.69%	28.31	-0.60%	0.0124	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030996	-0.65%	0.03216	+3.08%	0.0474	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.239699	-0.62%	0.2202	-8.71%	0.0684	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2542	-0.61%	11.22	-9.00%	0.0726	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,226.50	-0.61%	3,124.45	-3.75%	0.0191	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.237424	-0.60%	0.21874	-8.42%	0.0699	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.537486	-0.58%	0.4754	-12.06%	0.1053	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3865	-0.56%	2.2584	-5.90%	0.0412	✓	1.19	845k	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.6022	-0.52%	17.14	-8.34%	0.0678	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.7971	-0.46%	2.4	-14.59%	0.1422	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0171	-0.43%	11.78	+17.10%	0.1774	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2008	-0.42%	1.86	-15.84%	0.1543	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.286823	-0.41%	0.288	+0.00%	0.0154	✗	0.95	70k	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.825252	-0.21%	0.787	-4.84%	0.0346	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.094148	-0.16%	0.0851	-9.76%	0.0865	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.6055	-0.13%	2.452	-6.02%	0.0483	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085881	+0.18%	0.08117	-5.32%	0.0475	✗	0.76	89k	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.