2022-02-02 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1301

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.38%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.4%

in alpha space · 54.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.29%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.379431	+2.55%	0.8202	+121.68%	0.4621	✓	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	48.5463	+1.99%	57.56	+20.92%	0.1453	✗	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.475446	+1.90%	0.5665	+21.41%	0.1807	✗	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	26.8258	+1.88%	30.94	+17.51%	0.0741	✗	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.03635	+1.33%	0.05819	+62.22%	0.2399	✓	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.875034	+1.00%	1.0976	+26.69%	0.1124	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.006129	+0.98%	0.00744	+22.57%	0.2366	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.431757	+0.95%	0.5406	+26.40%	0.0391	✗	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.9375	+0.93%	18.7	+18.43%	0.0661	✗	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	146.2822	+0.83%	185.83	+28.09%	0.0543	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.074398	+0.82%	0.08573	+16.18%	0.0056	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.9154	+0.81%	2.28	+20.00%	0.1050	✗	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080019	+0.78%	0.0943	+18.77%	0.0613	✗	1.22	299k	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.181694	+0.77%	0.2412	+33.78%	0.0372	✓	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	68.3484	+0.70%	90.18	+32.87%	0.0239	✓	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.0337	+0.68%	1.1947	+16.35%	0.0679	✗	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.194443	+0.67%	0.238854	+23.66%	0.0149	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	74.0849	+0.66%	107.0699	+45.48%	0.1300	✓	1.29	383k	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.251533	+0.61%	0.288	+15.20%	0.0385	✗	0.94	70k	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.575292	+0.61%	0.706728	+23.60%	0.0163	✗	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.060243	+0.57%	0.0867	+44.74%	0.1266	✓	1.29	554k	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8749	+0.57%	10.06	+28.48%	0.0020	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.723015	+0.56%	0.827	+15.02%	0.0635	✗	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,696.87	+0.53%	3,246.22	+21.01%	0.0189	✗	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.117	+0.50%	2.4	+13.94%	0.1000	✗	1.22	888k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5945	+0.48%	3.083	+19.40%	0.1039	✗	1.50	986k	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.6828	+0.48%	28.48	+20.83%	0.0368	✓	0.80	484k	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.927874	+0.47%	1.0371	+12.30%	0.1050	✗	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.949723	+0.45%	1.1728	+24.04%	0.0712	✗	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	279.1657	+0.42%	346.21	+24.54%	0.0233	✓	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.08978	+0.41%	0.10785	+20.62%	0.0074	✗	1.03	46k	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.1888	+0.40%	2.21	+1.38%	0.2561	✗	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.009558	+0.40%	0.01509	+58.51%	0.2187	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	162.9478	+0.39%	192.22	+18.43%	0.0532	✗	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	113.9851	+0.39%	150.18	+32.27%	0.0905	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.5111	+0.38%	6.66	+21.31%	0.0142	✗	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	6.0481	+0.38%	7.2042	+19.57%	0.0917	✗	1.44	174k	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.4692	+0.37%	2.94	+19.51%	0.0518	✗	1.22	566k	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6356	+0.34%	1.93	+18.40%	0.0744	✗	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	4.0117	+0.34%	4.801	+20.09%	0.0279	✓	0.82	351k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.109572	+0.34%	0.1429	+30.86%	0.0197	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	151.7692	+0.34%	188.2	+24.42%	0.0469	✗	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.5648	+0.33%	12.33	+17.09%	0.0948	✗	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.466497	+0.32%	0.591	+27.10%	0.0438	✗	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.278887	+0.32%	0.3185	+14.57%	0.0779	✗	1.14	545k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.8198	+0.32%	21.97	+17.11%	0.1031	✗	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	98.6523	+0.31%	126.05	+28.16%	0.0007	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.232036	+0.28%	0.2963	+28.05%	0.0290	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.6047	+0.26%	1.9982	+24.85%	0.0176	✓	1.09	79k	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	6.0659	+0.26%	7.18	+18.68%	0.0077	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.4089	+0.26%	4.04	+18.82%	0.1270	✓	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020296	+0.25%	0.024233	+19.69%	0.0126	✗	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034084	+0.25%	0.0337	-0.88%	0.2808	✗	1.46	513k	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058782	+0.24%	0.069943	+19.28%	0.0038	✓	0.92	403k	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.110263	+0.24%	0.1237	+12.45%	0.1619	✗	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.8963	+0.23%	8.263	+40.46%	0.1480	✓	1.03	341k	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.6092	+0.22%	33.92	+27.76%	0.0647	✗	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	6.0328	+0.21%	7.14	+18.60%	0.0216	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.0098	+0.21%	0.01253	+28.12%	0.0015	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	36,998.30	+0.20%	44,416.35	+20.29%	0.0020	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020682	+0.20%	0.00003298	+59.79%	0.2077	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.540876	+0.20%	0.6233	+15.47%	0.1018	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.278811	+0.18%	0.3218	+15.63%	0.1586	✗	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	5.0481	+0.16%	6	+19.05%	0.0335	✓	0.75	404k	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	108.5333	+0.16%	140.21	+29.39%	0.0057	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.374	+0.12%	4.17	+23.74%	0.0196	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.0293	+0.10%	0.0312	+6.59%	0.0981	✗	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.883891	+0.10%	1.086	+22.99%	0.0484	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.2251	+0.10%	6.08	+16.48%	0.0431	✗	1.05	1000k	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	93.1391	+0.10%	114.95	+23.54%	0.0075	✗	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.4122	+0.09%	2.83	+17.43%	0.0285	✗	1.02	667k	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	121.3312	+0.09%	144.23	+18.98%	0.0690	✗	1.31	59k	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	102.0605	+0.07%	114.04	+11.81%	0.1135	✗	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.3651	+0.05%	10.91	+16.56%	0.0131	✓	0.76	709k	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.628442	+0.05%	0.7609	+21.14%	0.0942	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.10154	+0.04%	0.1212	+19.41%	0.0084	✗	1.00	41k	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	38.1405	+0.03%	47.83	+25.44%	0.0699	✗	1.60	626k	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.7711	+0.02%	7.06	+22.36%	0.0262	✓	0.95	835k	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000075813	-0.01%	0.00009721	+28.21%	0.0384	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2788	-0.02%	1.43	+11.81%	0.1187	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.089	-0.02%	4.76	+16.38%	0.1061	✓	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009826	-0.04%	0.01205	+22.58%	0.0139	✗	1.03	565k	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.7685	-0.04%	20.705	+16.48%	0.1257	✓	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	20.0808	-0.05%	25.8	+28.42%	0.0404	✓	1.57	438k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.137027	-0.06%	0.159048	+16.01%	0.0469	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.839801	-0.07%	1.0216	+21.56%	0.0080	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.041758	-0.10%	0.041	-1.91%	0.2241	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1112	-0.12%	1.3519	+21.51%	0.0099	✗	1.01	338k	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.7414	-0.14%	16.51	+19.99%	0.0007	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	49.0525	-0.14%	67.62	+37.66%	0.1016	✗	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.134614	-0.14%	0.1678	+24.48%	0.0365	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.31549	-0.16%	0.406	+28.48%	0.0012	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.5324	-0.18%	3.3415	+31.71%	0.1017	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.5174	-0.19%	7.48	+14.55%	0.0942	✗	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.2302	-0.21%	2.609	+16.73%	0.0405	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.1016	-0.27%	3.5	+12.54%	0.1513	✓	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.053105	-0.27%	0.05941	+11.57%	0.1503	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	3.0216	-0.28%	3.347	+10.46%	0.0478	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.039019	-0.28%	0.0468	+19.60%	0.0233	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.1266	-0.29%	3.8968	+24.27%	0.0169	✗	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0391	-0.31%	1.2907	+23.84%	0.0172	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.5186	-0.33%	23.1	+6.99%	0.1544	✓	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	89.6885	-0.35%	101.5	+12.78%	0.0503	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012556	-0.35%	0.01324	+5.08%	0.1095	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.807209	-0.36%	0.94117	+16.18%	0.1651	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	3.0183	-0.39%	2.81	-7.26%	0.3388	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,732.93	-0.40%	44,492.60	+17.45%	0.0211	✓	1.01	51k	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5827	-0.40%	1.832	+15.29%	0.0701	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.637387	-0.41%	1.09	+70.31%	0.1906	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.402946	-0.46%	0.4877	+20.48%	0.0576	✓	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	20.0971	-0.46%	24.32	+20.46%	0.0315	✓	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.607	-0.51%	5.3633	+15.82%	0.0884	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.862066	-0.52%	1.3852	+59.84%	0.2042	✗	1.46	103k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6862	-0.58%	2.16	+27.36%	0.0139	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.043332	-0.59%	0.04699	+7.80%	0.1037	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	5.0508	-0.59%	5.908	+16.28%	0.0280	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8585	-0.62%	2.28	+21.93%	0.0367	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.174452	-0.65%	0.1868	+6.38%	0.0582	✓	0.69	457k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.7144	-0.69%	6.897	+19.86%	0.0312	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.5109	-0.70%	9.329	+23.33%	0.1694	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.0942	-0.74%	33.84	+28.72%	0.0610	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	13.9832	-0.76%	18.16	+28.89%	0.1322	✗	0.70	851k	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.014668	-0.78%	0.017007	+15.04%	0.0661	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	17.8692	-0.78%	21.27	+18.10%	0.1646	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.7481	-0.79%	7.0423	+3.54%	0.1318	✓	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.06377	-0.82%	0.0794	+23.48%	0.0164	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	22,818.85	-0.91%	26,293.98	+14.18%	0.0380	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.137	-0.92%	3.796	+19.90%	0.0302	✗	0.87	766k	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.036855	-0.94%	0.03747	+0.71%	0.2643	✓	1.52	149k	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	42.4557	-1.04%	47.97	+11.82%	0.1053	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.4497	-1.20%	9.31	+23.47%	0.1679	✗	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	2.996	-1.29%	3.885	+28.00%	0.0699	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.0781	-1.39%	6.8052	+64.56%	0.5109	✗	0.01	376k	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.188169	-1.57%	0.23058	+20.61%	0.0981	✓	1.63	25k	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.6926	-1.59%	4.4429	+18.40%	0.0705	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.0852	-1.64%	2.46	+16.04%	0.0195	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.234	-1.80%	5.84	+9.57%	0.1242	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.2396	-1.95%	3.8694	+17.11%	0.0164	✓	0.87	25k	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076644	-2.49%	0.086	+9.41%	0.3559	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.521716	-2.68%	0.6017	+12.24%	0.0719	✓	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.2062	-2.72%	1.351	+8.95%	0.0714	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8074	-2.90%	1.9679	+5.73%	0.0455	✓	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.3683	-2.96%	1.72	+21.99%	0.0440	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.114126	-4.10%	0.128	+7.56%	0.0700	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.2998	-4.43%	1.43	+5.15%	0.1751	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.